CHFJPY I Technical & Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
CHFJPY trade ideas
Short overview of monetary policyIt's a busy week for central bank monetary policies with the BoJ, FED, BoE and SNB all due this week.
Current probabilities are as follows:
Federal Reserve - 98.8% Hold @ 4.5%
Bank of England - 88.3% Hold @ 4.25%
Swiss National Bank - 100% Cut from 0.25% to 0.00%
The FED will also be realising their economic projections and forward guidance including the updated dot plot, so market attention will be drawn towards this and accompanying press conference.
As always, the BoE will be releasing their MPC votes so focus will shift towards these and comments made in policy summary.
Both the FED and BoE may struggle to make a more dovish tilt with sticky inflation and uncertainty around geopolitical tensions and tariff negations.
If any comments come for a more hawkish stance such as a higher revision for inflation or reduction in future rate cuts will promote and stronger USD and pairs such as USDCAD or USDCHF (whilst keeping safe haven plays in mind) could provide some good moves.
Any surprise dovish comments likely hold a bigger potential for stronger initial moves in USD weakness. For this potential US equity upside such as the S&P or NASDAQ could provide good opportunity.
CHFJPY - NeutralStory : We can see Bearish divergence on 1H time frame, which seems to be diluted followed by the consolidation region. however, if we look for the Bullish continuation signals we have Dow theory (HH and HLs) and bullish rectangular pattern which most likely shows upside control of Bulls. However, we also expect the market to break the rectangular pattern and thus we can see the bears in control.
Anticipate: we wait until market indicates a clear breakout either bearish of bullish with good engulfing candle.
Plan : we place a sell stop and Buy stop simultaneously on a chart with the R:R of 1:1 and 1:2. on whichever side market moves, we close the other trade accordingly.
however my 1st preference is bearish i.e breakout of rectangular pattern downside.
CHF/JPY – Premium Exhaustion Sell Setup🔍 **CHF/JPY – Premium Exhaustion Sell Setup**
On the daily timeframe, CHF/JPY reached a major Premium zone and swept the previous Weak High at 178.400. RSI is at its highest overbought level in months, indicating strong exhaustion.
Price has also formed internal CHoCH on lower timeframes (M15–H1), and we expect a correction towards the next key demand and imbalance zones.
🧠 Clean Smart Money setup based on exhaustion, premium rejection and BOS confirmation. No high-impact news expected for CHF or JPY this week – ideal for a technical swing setup.
Wait for mitigation or entry confirmation.
CHF/JPY – 1H Analysis: Bearish ReversalCurrent Trend: Bullish
📉 Reversal Outlook: Bearish
📊 Technical Confluence Observed:
✅ A bearish divergence has formed, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
📐 The Fibonacci retracement has hit the 3.82 extension, adding further confluence to a potential reversal.
📉 A Rising Wedge pattern is currently forming – a classic bearish reversal setup.
Double Top Bearish Reversal Pattern has also formed.
⚠️ With strong multi-factor bearish signals in play, I am placing a Sell Stop with calculated risk and reward in mind.
🟢 Trade Setup
Pair: CHF/JPY
Timeframe: 1H
Strategy: Bearish Reversal Entry (Sell Stop)
Sell Stop Entry: 176.818
Stop Loss: 177.753
Take Profit 1: 175.851
Take Profit 2: 174.894
Risk–Reward: 1:1 and 1:2
Risk: $200
Reward: $300
Lot Size: (Adjust based on risk %)
#CHFJPY #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #ABCDPattern #Fibonacci #RisingWedge #BearishSetup #ForexTrading #RiskManagement
CHF/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 176.694 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHFJPY 2.06.25We can see the support line from below, which we need to break and gather liquidity. Only then can we think about a long position. I also showed the largest volumes in the zone; we must also achieve this liquidity.
Classic triangles do not work as described in most books on trading.
Best regards EXCAVO
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 177.661.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 178.547 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHF_JPY BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅CHF_JPY is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 177.000 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
On Monday
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY: Massive bullish breakout taking place.CHFJPY is highly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 77.325, MACD = 1.496, ADX = 39.317), having crossed above its 1 year High (R1), staging a bullish breakout much like April 28th 2023. This is a direct outcome of the 1D Golden Cross, following also 1 year of accumulation. A 1W closing over the R1 validates a bullish extension to the 2.0 Fibonacci (TP = 194.000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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CHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental AnalCHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
CHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
On June 20, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) cut interest rates to 0% in an effort to weaken the Swiss franc and combat deflation. This rate cut reduces the yield appeal of CHF, increasing its downside risk in the short to medium term.
On the other side, the Japanese Yen (JPY) initially weakened due to rising oil prices, which hurt Japan’s trade balance. However, recent ceasefire agreements in the Middle East have helped ease oil prices, reducing Japan’s import strain. This shift is now mildly bullish for the yen, giving it more strength in the CHF/JPY pair.
📉 Technical Outlook
CHF/JPY has formed a double top pattern, suggesting a potential price reversal. The pair has also broken a minor key support level at 180.200, followed by accumulation of sell positions.
Price has moved into a liquidity zone, likely hunting stop-losses before initiating distribution. This behavior aligns with smart money tactics.
A limit sell setup is in place, waiting for confirmation at key levels.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 180.160 (Limit Sell Order)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 180.330 (Above recent liquidity grab)
🎯 Take Profit: 179.720 (Next minor support / ~1:2 RR)
This setup is supported by institutional price behavior—accumulation, stop-hunt, and distribution—indicating a bearish move may be underway.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
CHFJPY: Bullish Continuation
The recent price action on the CHFJPY pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHFJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the CHFJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 176.83
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 175.72
My Stop Loss - 177.39
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFJPY: Strong Bullish PatternIn line with the current trend, 📈CHFJPY is experiencing a robust bullish momentum.
The next buy signal will come from a bullish breakout of the ascending triangle pattern's neckline on the 4H chart.
A close of a 4H candle above 176.30 will confirm this breakout, with the next target set at 176.60.