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CHFJPY trade ideas

CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 5 May 2025 - CHFJPY reversed from the resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 174.00 CHFJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the pivotal resistance level 175.85 (which has been steadily reversing the price from November) and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous sharp upward impulse wave (3) from the end of April. Given the strength of the resistance level 175.85, CHFJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 174.00.
Short
by FxProGlobal
CHFJPY Analysis – Bearish Rejection at ResistanceCHFJPY pair is showing signs of exhaustion near a strong resistance zone just under 176.00. With price action printing multiple rejections and forming lower highs, the setup favors a bearish bias heading into mid-Q2 2025. With Japanese yen sentiment strengthening despite market doubts and Swiss inflation data showing stagnation, the technical picture is aligning with macro fundamentals for a potential drop. 📊 Technical Outlook (Daily Chart) Key Resistance Rejected: Price failed to sustain above 175.75–176.15 area, a strong historical resistance. Multiple rejection wicks highlight bearish pressure at this level. Bearish Structure: Rising wedge and flag breakdowns have preceded the current move. The chart shows a projected bearish leg forming, with three potential targets marked by green support zones. Support Levels to Watch: 172.61 – Minor structure and neckline support. 171.00 – Key horizontal zone; likely the first major test. 168.50–166.50 – Final bearish targets based on previous structure and price consolidation. Bearish Trade Plan (as indicated): Entry zone: ~174.80–175.50 (after a confirmed lower high or breakdown). Stop: Above 176.15 (structure invalidation). TP1: 172.60 TP2: 171.00 TP3: 168.50 Final TP: 166.50 🌐 Fundamental Drivers Swiss Inflation (April 2025): Swiss CPI was flat MoM and YoY (0.0%), reflecting weak price momentum Core inflation remained modest (+0.1%), reducing pressure on SNB to tighten policy. JPY Sentiment & Positioning: COT data shows record net-long JPY positions, suggesting strong speculative interest Analysts warn of overbought sentiment, but dovish BoJ policy continues to suppress JPY bears for now. Macro Context: Risk-off sentiment or yield curve steepening could favor the yen further. CHF may weaken if Swiss data continues to underwhelm. ✅ Summary CHFJPY has rejected strong resistance, and both technical and macro indicators suggest a pullback is likely. A break below 172.60 could open the door to deeper declines toward 168.50–166.50 in the coming weeks.
Short
by ultreosforex
CHFJPY Technical AnalysisThis CHF/JPY 1-hour chart represents a bearish setup with a short position already marked, showing a clear entry point, stop loss, and two take-profit levels (Target 1 and Target 2). The trader appears to be capitalizing on a breakdown from a minor consolidation near the 174.9–175.0 zone, which previously acted as support. Price has decisively broken below that support, and is now trading around 174.63, with rejection wicks confirming selling pressure just beneath the old support turned resistance. The current candle structure suggests a weak recovery attempt, likely a bearish retest of the breakdown zone, forming what resembles a bear flag or descending channel pullback. The Bollinger Bands are starting to widen after a squeeze, with the price now below both the 20-period moving average and the lower band, reinforcing bearish momentum. The RSI confirms this bias, currently sitting below the midline (around 38), indicating weakening bullish strength and possible oversold territory—but without divergence, which keeps the short bias intact. Volume supports this move, as selling volume spiked on the initial breakdown, while the following green candles show diminished buying effort. This divergence between price action and volume is typical of a bearish continuation setup. The first target sits around the 174.00 level — a round number and previous demand area. The second target is deeper, around 172.88, which likely corresponds to a higher time frame demand or order block. If momentum builds below 174.00, especially with sustained volume, the move toward Target 2 is plausible. Overall, this trade assumes a continuation of bearish momentum, following a failed bullish attempt, with risk managed just above the broken structure. The setup hinges on the breakdown holding, making the 174.9–175.0 zone critical: any strong reclaim above it invalidates the bearish thesis.
Short
by xxChartWhizxx
CHFJPY: Potential Bearish Move?CHFJPY at a Key Resistance – Potential Bearish Move? CHFJPY tested a strong daily resistance zone. This is an area that has been challenged multiple times in the past, often triggering significant bearish moves. There’s a good chance CHFJPY could start another major decline from this zone. Key support levels where traders may take profits include 171.40, 168.50, and 166.50. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
3
CHFJPY – Bearish Reversal Setup (Mid-April)Summary CHFJPY short is supported by weak macro + divergence + seasonal timing. CHF is fundamentally the weakest major, while JPY is seasonally strong and technically aligned. 🧠 Fundamental & Seasonal Overview CHFJPY presents a high-probability short opportunity for the second half of April: CHF Fundamentals = Weakest among majors ↳ SNB recently cut rates to 0.25%, CPI down to 0.3%, GDP slowing ↳ Exo+LEI Score ≈ -1143 — highly bearish JPY Fundamentals Improving ↳ BoJ cautiously hawkish (wage growth + inflation rising) ↳ Seasonality favors JPY mid-late April COT: CHF near top → risk of unwind; JPY also elevated, but justified by fundamentals 📉 Seasonality CHFJPY is historically bearish from April 15–30 CHF flat to weak, while JPY typically strengthens in risk-off flows and Q2
Short
by wajahatarif
CHFJPY BUY?Market is reacting to daily area on Daily time frame. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Long
by WiLLProsperForex
CHFJPY Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis. Based on our view, the price will fall to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Short
by dkb14246
1
Nice Idea on a chartI look for 3pin head and shoulders on a chart, Optimism about a de-escalation in the global trade conflict helped the US Dollar (USD) despite disappointing data releases. US President Donald Trump reported undergoing trade talks with South Korea, Japan and India. He also claimed that there’s a “very good” chance of clinching a deal with China, yet added that any pact with Beijing has to be in US terms. At the same time, a Beijing-backed outlet said on Thursday that United States officials have contacted their Chinese counterparts for talks. Tensions between China and the US persist, but optimism led Thursday’s price action.
by EZIO-FX
CHFJPY BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 CHF/JPY TRADE PLAN 🔥 📅 Date: April 28, 2025 🔖 Plan Type: Intra-Day – Trend Continuation Trade Plan Overview Type Direction Confidence R:R Status Intra-Day Buy ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 81% 3.1:1 Awaiting Tap Guidance: Prioritize the Primary Buy Zone entry. Strong continuation bias supported by H4 structure, sentiment alignment, and volume breakout retest. Total allowed risk: 0.5% of account. Primary Trade Plan: Trend Continuation – Buy 📈 Market Bias & Trade Type Bias: Bullish Trade Type: Trend Continuation 🔰 Confidence Level ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (81%) Reason: H4 bullish OB + Retest of Breakout Level + H1 bullish structure + Sentiment Score: +7/10 OB: 35% Structure: 30% Volume: 16% 📌 Status Awaiting Tap 📍 Entry Zones 🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 172.90 – 173.10 (H4 OB, demand retest) 🟧 Secondary Buy Zone: 172.50 – 172.70 (breakout retest zone) ❗ Stop Loss 172.10 (Below H4 OB, +1.5x ATR buffer, ~80 pips risk) 🎯 Take Profit Targets 🥇 TP1: 174.80 (~170 pips | 2.1R) 🥈 TP2: 175.90 (~280 pips | 3.5R) 🥉 TP3: 176.80 (~390 pips | 5.0R) (Swing) 📏 Risk:Reward 2.1:1 (TP1) 3.5:1 (TP2) 5.0:1 (TP3) 🧠 Management Strategy Risk 0.5% of $ SL to Breakeven after TP1 Take 50% at TP1, 30% at TP2, trail 20% to TP3 Full Exit if H4 BOS (bearish) Avoid holding through major CHF or JPY news. ⚠️ Confirmation Criteria H1 bullish engulfing or strong wick rejection in zone Volume spike on H1/M30 Best entry during London Open – NY Open overlap. ⏳ Validity Valid for 2 days (till April 30, 2025) ❌ Invalidation: Full bearish BOS on H4 below 172.10 DXY/Yen strength surge due to sudden macro event 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot COT: CHF Neutral / JPY Mildly Bearish DXY: Mildly Bearish Retail: 61% Short CHFJPY (contrarian bullish bias) Cross-Pair Check: GBPJPY bullish, USDJPY bullish (confirming) Macro: No major CHF/JPY high-impact news next 48H Sentiment Score: +7/10 Historical: CHFJPY continuation setups post-retest have 70%+ success in last 6 months. 📋 Final Trade Summary Elite bullish continuation setup. Structure, volume, sentiment all aligned. Tactical entries only at precision zones. Risk tight and managed per protocol.
Long
by jibkhan111
CHFJPY My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, CHFJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 174.67 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 173.76 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals