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Swiss Franc / Japanese Yen

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CHFJPY trade ideas

#CHFJPY 1HA rising wedge pattern has formed on the CHF/JPY 1-hour chart. This pattern typically indicates a bearish reversal, characterized by a narrowing price range with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting weakening momentum. As the price consolidates upwards within this wedge, volume often declines, hinting at an impending breakout to the downside. Forecast: Sell The rising wedge is a reversal pattern, and in this case, a bearish breakdown is anticipated. A sell position could be considered, with a target near the lower support levels, once the price breaks below the wedge’s support line. Traders should be cautious of false breakouts and monitor key levels for confirmation.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
2
SELL view on CHFJPYSelling CHF/JPY could be based on several macroeconomic and technical assumptions. Here’s a rationale based on both real-world factors and potential market dynamics: 1. Swiss National Bank (SNB) Policy Monetary Policy Divergence: If the Swiss National Bank (SNB) maintains a dovish stance, perhaps due to concerns about inflation being too low or economic growth faltering, it may continue to hold interest rates lower for longer or engage in monetary easing. This could weaken the Swiss franc (CHF), making CHF/JPY a good candidate for a sell. Interventions: The SNB is known for intervening to prevent excessive CHF appreciation, especially since a stronger franc can hurt Switzerland's export-dependent economy. This intervention could lead to CHF depreciation, favoring short positions. 2. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Shift Potential Policy Shift: If the Bank of Japan (BoJ) signals a shift away from its ultra-loose monetary policy—possibly by reducing bond purchases or raising rates slightly—this would support a stronger yen (JPY). Recent inflation pressures in Japan have prompted discussions about tighter policy, which could drive yen appreciation. Inflation and Wages: Japan has seen modest inflation, driven by rising wages and cost-push inflation, which could encourage the BoJ to adjust its policies more aggressively in the future, strengthening JPY. 3. Risk Sentiment and Safe Haven Flows Shifts in Global Risk Appetite: Both CHF and JPY are considered safe-haven currencies, but JPY tends to outperform CHF in times of heightened risk aversion, especially with Asian investors and markets playing a larger role in global trade. A sudden rise in geopolitical tensions or market risk could favor the yen over the franc, creating downward pressure on CHF/JPY. 4. Technical Analysis Overbought Conditions: If CHF/JPY has been in a prolonged uptrend and technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or MACD suggest overbought conditions, this could signal an upcoming correction or reversal, making it a good time to sell. Resistance Levels: Price approaching a strong resistance level, where CHF/JPY has previously reversed, might be another technical signal to initiate a sell trade. Combined with weak fundamentals, this could increase the likelihood of a pullback. 5. Switzerland’s Economic Slowdown Slower Economic Growth: If Switzerland’s economic indicators, such as GDP growth, export performance, or business confidence, show signs of slowing down, it may reduce demand for the franc as investors anticipate lower returns or a more stagnant economy. 6. Japanese Trade Surplus Strength in Japanese Exports: Japan's trade balance has been improving, driven by strong exports, especially in high-tech and automobile sectors. A growing trade surplus supports JPY strength, which could pressure CHF/JPY downward. By combining these factors—particularly monetary policy divergence, risk sentiment, and potential technical signals—a sell position on CHF/JPY could be strategically viable.
Short
by ForexCompany
BUY CHFJPY uptrend continuation STOP LOSS : 173.112BUY CHFJPY uptrend continuation STOP LOSS : 173.112 There is a strong trend on the daily time frame and all that have happened in the past days was just consolidation ( or trend pull back before continuation) ..... The daily time frame is showing strength continuation from this level of support and resistance so we are looking for the trend to push forward from here ..... TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Long
by BALE_FX
2
The #1 Reason I Was Wrong About AUDJPY Or CHFJPY...AGAIN!!I was wrong about the FX_IDC:AUDJPY again..because I was trying to find the right forex trading system to not only make money but also manage my personal stress - Listen as of now am using a FREE account on Tradingview So most of these trades will be long-term trading options. Until I am able to get a paid subscription on trading view. - Long-term term trades are very good for beginners because it slows down the fast pace trading - And allows you to learn more if you are using proper risk management - This forex trade FX_IDC:CHFJPY sadly is a 7-month move at best 3 months. - Maybe later on when I upgrade to trading view essential I might be able to really develop a trading system for day trades. - Honestly, day trading does have a cost to it There is no way around it you have to pay to play in day trading. - Including mid-term trades such as 3-month holds or 1 month holds. This buy signal is a 7-month hold. This means you have to calculate your risk management strategy well. These past few days I have been battling With my trading systems because I really wanted to design a day trading system But all I can manage right now are long-term trades. My hope is that you will continue to follow and learn from these long term trades Now will this reduce my popularity sadly yes. But with my long term trading signals, I think I will be able to attract the right type of people Who have an investing mindset also its safer to trade long-term {7 months] than short-term gains. So don't feel discouraged if you are looking for short-term gains. If that's you then this recommendation and my other recommendations will never suit you because all my trades will be now focussed on me finding the best Long-term trades. Using the rocket booster strategy which has the following 3 steps: #1-The price should be above the 50 EMA #2-The price should be above the 200 EMA #3-The price should be in an uptrend This is a strategy of trading and I hope it will serve you well. Remember if you want to learn more rocket boost this content Disclaimer: Trading is risky you will lose money whether you like it or not please learn risk management and profit-taking strategies. :
Long
by lubosi
#CHFJPY 2HOn the 2-hour chart for #CHFJPY, the price is currently moving within a well-defined channel pattern, suggesting a potential breakout or breakdown scenario. Traders should prepare for both directions, with opportunities to either buy or sell depending on how the market reacts to key levels. Key Insights: 1. Channel Pattern: The price is fluctuating between a clear support and resistance level, forming a horizontal or slightly sloping channel. This indicates market indecision, with buyers and sellers battling for control. 2. Breakout Scenario (Buy): - If the price breaks above the upper resistance of the channel with strong momentum, it signals the start of a bullish move. - Traders should look to enter buy positions after a confirmed breakout, ideally with increased volume, to validate the upward movement. 3. Breakdown Scenario (Sell): - Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower support of the channel, it points to a bearish shift. A breakdown would signal a good opportunity for sell positions, especially if supported by rising selling volume and momentum. 4. Volume Confirmation: Pay close attention to trading volume, as significant increases during a breakout or breakdown will strengthen the validity of the move. 5. Stop-Loss Considerations: - For the breakout (buy), place a stop loss just below the resistance level (now turned support) to manage risk in case of a false breakout. - For the breakdown (sell), place a stop loss above the broken support (now turned resistance) or the latest swing high. Trading Strategy: Entry: Buy if the price breaks out above resistance. Sell if the price breaks down below support. Take Profit: Set take-profit levels according to key resistance zones (in the case of a buy) or support zones (in the case of a sell). Stop Loss: Set stop losses above resistance for a sell trade or below support for a buy trade to minimize risk. This technical analysis provides a flexible strategy for trading #CHFJPY on the 2-hour timeframe, allowing traders to react to either a bullish breakout or bearish breakdown from the channel pattern.
by PIPSFIGHTER
ChfJpy Longterm - SELLThe SNB was one of the first to start the rate-cutting process. Japan, on the other hand, has entered a rate-hiking phase, contrary to other developed central banks. This contrasting approach is helping the Japanese Yen, which has experienced a historic depreciation, to recover. When we look at the long-term main uptrend, we see that the trend price movement aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels. This technically signals the completion of the main uptrend. Our initial target is to see a drop towards the 23.6% Fibonacci level. If this level breaks, we expect a further decline towards the 38.2% level. Since this analysis is based on a weekly chart, these levels are long-term targets, and there will be several intermediate pivot levels and corrective moves along the way. If you missed the previous peak, the current price offers a second chance to sell. You can follow our analysis for intermediate levels, new position additions, and profit-taking opportunities. We will be sharing updates on lower time frame levels.
Short
by TradeAndMeApp
CHFJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for CHFJPY. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 172.733. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 174.189 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
CHFJPY - Bearish TrendCHFJPY formed Bearish Divergence on RSI, will it start Bearish Trend? Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit are mentioned. CHF Fundamentals: SNB is reducing policy rates since March 2024, Switzerland Inflation Rate is at 1%, compared to 1.2% last month further expectations are rate cut trend will continue from 1.25% to 1% TODAY. Which may weaken CHF further. JPY Fundamentals: BOJ is increasing policy rates since March 2024, which is causing continuous strength in JPY.
Short
by Umair_Amjad
CHFJPY - Easy 1000pip Trade.. Atleast!Our last CHFJPY over extended a little but it was still valid. Price dropped 1300pips from the break of our entry trendline! We have now created a correction and looking for another 1000pip drop. There's a chance we may make a complex correction, as indicated on the chart. There is still a 1000pip drop to our first target so this one is definitely one to watch! Trade Idea: - Watch for reversal within the fibs - Entry on break of trendline or you can use lower timeframe BOS or other methods - once entered, put stops above price - Target the recent lows as first target (165.5 (1000pips) - Make sure to taper some positions there and watch to see if we get the complex correction or if we continue dropping. What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
1