USDCHF A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USDCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.8441 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.8299
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8525
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFUSD trade ideas
USDCHF: Correctional Movement Ahead?! 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF may continue a correctional movement after
a release of the today's US CPI data.
A technical price action confirmation that I spotted is a
valid Change of Character CHoCH on an hourly time frame.
We can expect a bearish continuation to 0.8358
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count – Building for Wave (5) 🌀 USD/CHF Elliott Wave Count – Building for Wave (5) 🚀
Chart Analysis – May 13, 2025
I'm tracking a well-structured 5-wave impulse on USD/CHF using Elliott Wave Theory, supported by Fibonacci confluence, Awesome Oscillator (AO) momentum shifts, and convergence-divergence signals.
🔹 Elliott Wave Count
We're currently in the corrective phase of Wave (4) after a strong Wave (3) extension. Here's the breakdown:
✅ Wave (1), (2), and (3) are clearly in place, with (3) showing healthy extension.
🔁 Wave (4) is pulling back and is now testing key support.
🔜 Anticipating a bullish Wave (5) continuation.
🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels & Buy Zone (Zone 1)
Wave (4) is approaching a high-probability reversal zone:
Zone 1 Buy Area: 0.8362 – 0.8341, marked by:
1.618–1.786 Fibonacci extension
Confluence with previous breakout structure (resistance turned support)
Classic Elliott correction depth for Wave (4)
This zone provides a strong technical base for a potential bounce into Wave (5).
🔹 Awesome Oscillator (AO) + Convergence/Divergence
AO confirms the wave count momentum:
Strong green bars during Wave (3)
Bearish red bars during Wave (4) correction
Potential bullish convergence forming:
Price is making lower lows
AO is showing higher lows – this is bullish divergence, a classic pre-Wave (5) signal
This momentum shift suggests buyers are returning, even as price dips into support — a strong signal for trend continuation.
🎯 Bias, Target & Invalidation
Trade Bias: Bullish
Buy Zone: 0.8362–0.8341 (Zone 1)
Wave (5) Target: 0.8470 – 0.8500 (based on Wave (1)-(3) projection and previous high)
Invalidation: Break and close below 0.8341 suggests deeper corrective structure or invalid wave count
✅ Summary
This setup combines:
Elliott Wave 5-impulse structure
Fibonacci confluence at key buy zone
Bullish divergence on AO supporting Wave (5) potential
Strong risk-to-reward opportunity from Zone 1
📉 Waiting for confirmation via bullish price action or stronger AO green bars before committing. Let me know your view or alternate wave counts!
#elliottwave #usdchf #wave5setup #fibonacci #awesomeoscillator #divergence #priceaction #forexanalysis #tradingview
USDCHF 30M Smart Money Entry from Demand — Watch This Level🧠 USDCHF 30M | SMC Precision Entry
Let’s break down this sniper play on USDCHF that’s setting up right from a Smart Money demand zone.
🔻 1. Liquidity Sweep Into Demand
Price broke structure earlier, then pulled back into a clear demand block.
We saw liquidity grabbed beneath multiple swing lows before this sharp rejection.
This is classic Smart Money accumulation — they take out weak hands before pumping it up.
🧱 2. Order Block + FVG Alignment
Price is reacting off a refined OB zone (marked in red) with a Fair Value Gap right above.
That OB was the last down move before the push up, and price just tapped into it clean.
The overlap of these two areas adds confluence for bulls.
📈 3. Entry + TP Setup (RRR ≈ 3:1)
📍 Entry Zone: 0.84070 – 0.84200 (inside OB)
❌ Stop-Loss: Below OB, around 0.84000
✅ Take Profit: 0.84750 (clean imbalance above)
There’s a wide imbalance zone above, which price may be magnetized toward.
🔥 4. Why This Works
✅ Liquidity Grab
✅ OB + FVG Confluence
✅ Bullish Reaction Wicks
✅ Tight SL Below Structure
✅ Clean RRR
This setup is Smart Money 101 — let them sweep, you step in with precision 💯
💬 Drop “📍USDCHF OB Tap” if you saw this coming.
📊 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for SMC setups that work.
USDCHF BUY TRADE PLAN🟢 Swing BUY Plan
📈 Market Bias & Type
* Type: Swing Continuation Buy
* Bias: Bullish (Confirmed HTF structure shift from April lows)
* D1: BOS confirmed after clean liquidity sweep
* H4: Higher highs, healthy pullback expected
🔰 Confidence Level: 85%
Factor Score
D1 Break of Structure ✅ 20%
OB + FVG Confluence ✅ 25%
Volume Displacement ✅ 20%
Liquidity Sweep Structure ✅ 20%
📍 Entry Zones
Zone Price Range Structure Reference
Primary 0.8320 – 0.8290 D1 OB + FVG Sweep Base
Secondary 0.8385 – 0.8345 H4 OB w/ D1 wick imbalance
❗ Stop Loss
SL = 0.8250
→ Below OB origin and March structure sweep
🎯 Take Profits
TP Level Reason
TP1 0.8460 Revisit of recent high
TP2 0.8540 March supply zone
TP3 0.8610 Weekly imbalance target
🧠 Management Strategy
* Risk: 0.5–1.0%
* Breakeven at TP1
* Trail after TP2 using 4H structure
* Scale-in from Secondary Zone if rejection candle forms
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
* H1 Bullish Engulfing / Rejection ✅
* Volume spike ✅
* No H1 CHoCH against entry ✅
⏳ Validity
* Primary Zone: Valid 48–72 Hours
* Secondary Zone: Valid 24 Hours from test
❌ Invalidation
* D1 Close below 0.8250
* Momentum breakdown across sessions
usdchf down trendtarget pivot :83400
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
USDCHF Analysis: Break & Retest or Mean Reversion?Hello traders!
USDCHF is offering two trading scenarios on the daily timeframe.
The first scenario suggests the pair may react bearishly from the resistance zone, setting up a break-and-retest opportunity that could drive price lower toward the 0.80001 area.
The second scenario anticipates a bounce toward the 0.89100 region, where a mean reversion setup may come into play (if sellers step in and price action confirms bearish intent near that resistance).
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Bearish reversal?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8519
1st Support: 0.8334
1st Resistance: 0.8604
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8316, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.8509, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8184 , a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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USD/CHF Reversal Setup (Read-Caption)🧠 Professional Technical Analysis – USD/CHF 💱
🗓️ Date: May 6, 2025
🕰️ Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
📊 Current Price: ~0.82218
🔍 Technical Indicators
🔵 EMA 20: 0.84190 (short-term trend)
🔴 EMA 50: 0.82524 (mid-term trend)
❗ Bearish crossover: EMA 20 is below EMA 50 → short-term bearish bias 🐻
📉 Support Zone Analysis 🛡️
🟥 Key Demand Zone (Support): 0.82084 – 0.81437
🔁 Price has bounced here before 🪃
🕯️ Candles with long lower wicks = buyers stepping in 🧍♂️💪
🟠 This is the “bounce zone” 📈
🧭 Trade Idea
✅ Long Entry: Around 0.82084–0.82200
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.81437 ❌
🎯 Take Profit: Around 0.83600 🟢
⚖️ Risk/Reward: Excellent (>2:1) if bounce holds 🚀
🔄 Price Action Outlook
📉 Downtrend approaching major support
🕯️ Looking for bullish candlestick confirmation (engulfing, hammer, etc.)
📈 Target area aligns with mean reversion to EMA 20
📌 Conclusion
👀 Watching for bullish reversal signs 🔄
🛒 Buy zone is clearly defined ✅
⛔ Setup is invalidated if price closes below 0.81437
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 12 May 2025
- USDCHF broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance levels 0.8500 and 0.8600
USDCHF currency pair recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 0.8325 (which stopped the previous waves A and (b)) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse 5 from April.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the middle of last month.
Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment seen today, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance levels 0.8500 and 0.8600.
Could the price reverse from here?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.85076
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8619
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8366
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USDCHF Trade Opportunity AnalysisGood morning, esteemed traders,
Today, I would like to bring your attention to a significant trading opportunity regarding the USDCHF currency pair. After experiencing a considerable decline throughout April, we have observed a consolidation phase lasting over a month. Importantly, USDCHF has attempted to breach the resistance level at approximately 0.8343 on three separate occasions, indicating strong interest at this pivotal price point.
Notably, we witnessed a false breakdown earlier this week, which likely served to lure additional sellers into the market. This move has set the stage for a potential bullish breakout . I anticipate a target of 322 pips from this trade, positioning it as a medium-term opportunity with an attractive Risk-to-Reward ratio of 1:2.
Here are the particulars for this trade setup:
- Entry Price: 0.8343
- Stop Loss: 0.8181
- Profit Target: 0.8666
As always, I encourage you to conduct your own analysis and consider your risk tolerance before entering any positions. Wishing you all profitable trading.
Best regards,
Ehsan
USD/CHF..4h chart pattern..I'm considering a **BUY trade on USD/CHF** with an **entry at 0.83170** and a **target at 0.8600**. Let's analyze this trade setup:
### **Trade Summary (USD/CHF Buy)**
- **Entry:** 0.83170
- **Target:** 0.8600
- **Potential Gain:** **283 pips** (0.8600 - 0.83170 = 0.0283)
### **Key Considerations:**
1. **Current Market Context:**
- USD/CHF has been influenced by **USD strength** or **CHF weakness**.
- Check recent economic data (e.g., US inflation, Fed policy vs. SNB actions).
- If the **Swiss National Bank (SNB) is dovish** or the **Fed is hawkish**, this trade could work.
2. **Technical Levels:**
- **Support:** If 0.8317 is a key support (e.g., recent swing low), buying here makes sense.
- **Resistance:** 0.8600 is a psychological level and may act as strong resistance.
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Consider placing a stop below a recent low (e.g., 0.8250 or lower).
3. **Risk Management:**
- A **283-pip profit** is sizable, but ensure your **risk-reward ratio** is favorable (e.g., 1:2 or better).
- Example: If your stop loss is **100 pips**, your risk-reward is **~1:2.8**, which is good.
4. **Fundamental Triggers:**
- Watch for **US CPI, Fed speeches, or SNB interventions**.
- If the **USD strengthens further**, this trade could accelerate upward.
### **Final Thoughts:**
- This trade has a **strong potential** if USD continues upward momentum.
- **Monitor resistance levels** (0.8400, 0.8500) for possible pullbacks.
- **Always use a stop loss** to protect against unexpected reversals.
Would you like help with **stop-loss placement** or **technical confirmation signals**? 🚀
USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25USDCHF LONG FORECAST Q2 W20 D12 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block
✅Intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bearish reversal?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8391
1st Support: 0.8195
1st Resistance: 0.8598
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Day 1 of turning £20 to £1million in 1 yearThis is day one of the challenge turning 20gbp to 1 million GBP within 1 year.
Expressed thoughts on some fundamentals going on right now and the approach for this week. This was posted 15 minutes before market open on a Sunday. Let the fun commence.
Ideally trying to complete this before 11th May 2026 hitting 1 million by then.
Bullish rise?USD/CHF has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8278
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8244
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8366
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.