CHFUSD trade ideas
USDCHF Musical Chair Music Begins! 1613SGT 20032025Yesterday or so, I posted about selling USDCHF but it is risky, and indeed risky it was because the opportunity has been utilised already.
We would need to wait for the music to stop and start again before we walk around the chairs, and now, the music has stopped and started, again.
Price came back to the 200SMA, to stop the music, and now we have a trend again signalling that the music has begun.
Price has made the first significant setup as seen on the chart.
I will only be eyeballing because I am testing out my theory.
I think I need to see my previous entries in the moving average series, to see what I done right and what I done wrong.
Done right = I profited
Done wrong = I loss
It's not perfect but I think I know what to look out for.
Look out for when price is retracing, and I entered that i profited.
And look out for when price was in its impulse move and I entered and loss.
1616SGT 20032025
BEARISH MOVEMENTUSDCHF is on descending channel, an ascending channel is broken to the downside, which is now giving us pure bearish move. Also on daily timeframe i can see bearish head and shoulder pattern, which additional confirmation for my analysis. So i'm for a sell risking 1%. Lets see the see the outcome
USD/CHF 15M Chart - Bullish Outlook!📈 USD/CHF 15M Chart - Bullish Outlook!
🟢 Demand Zone Identified!
Price is approaching the 0.87537 - 0.87400 demand zone, where a potential reversal could occur. If support holds, we may see an upward move toward key resistance levels.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🟢 Support Zone: 0.87537 - 0.87400
🚀 Breakout Target 1: 0.87887
🎯 Main Target: 0.88603
🔥 Potential Trade Setup:
🟢 Buy Near: 0.87537
🎯 TP1: 0.87887
🎯 TP2: 0.88603
🛑 SL: Below 0.87400
⚠️ Break Above 0.87887 could confirm further bullish momentum toward 0.88603. Trade wisely and manage risk!
#USDCHF #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab #FXFOREVER
USDCHF INTRADAY oversold bounce backThe USD/CHF price action exhibits bearish sentiment, supported by the prevailing downtrend. The current intraday swing high at 0.8860 serves as a critical trading level, as the pair shows potential for an oversold rally before facing bearish rejection.
Key Levels to Watch:
Key Resistance: 0.8860 (current intraday swing high)
Immediate Support: 0.8760
Lower Support Levels: 0.8720, 0.8680
Upside Resistance Levels: 0.8890, 0.8930
Bearish Scenario:
An oversold rally toward the 0.8860 level, followed by a bearish rejection, could validate the downtrend and target the immediate support at 0.8760. Continued bearish momentum could extend the decline to 0.8720 and ultimately 0.8680 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above the 0.8860 resistance level, accompanied by a daily close above this mark, would negate the bearish outlook. This scenario could trigger further rallies toward the next resistance levels at 0.8890 and 0.8930.
Conclusion:
The prevailing sentiment remains bearish amid the ongoing downtrend. Traders should closely monitor the 0.8860 level for potential bearish rejections or a bullish breakout. A sustained close above this resistance could signal a shift toward bullish momentum, while failure to break above would reinforce the bearish outlook.
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If you don't have DXY, keep an eye on USDCHF.Today we are waiting for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, where the Bank is expected to keep the rates unchanged. However, it's the press conference, which we are more bothered about. Keep your eyes on TVC:DXY , but if you don't have MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX , then MARKETSCOM:USDCHF will be just as good.
Let's dig in.
FX_IDC:USDCHF
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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USDCHF to continue in the downward move?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
The weaker US dollar has boosted performance.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.8801.
We look to Sell at 0.8799 (stop at 0.8839)
Our profit targets will be 0.8701 and 0.8681
Resistance: 0.8777 / 0.8800 / 0.8818
Support: 0.8759 / 0.8740 / 0.8720
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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CHF/USD Trading Idea – Bearish Reversal from Key ResistanceThis CHF/USD chart presents a compelling bearish setup, suggesting that the pair may be headed for a decline after facing strong resistance. The price action has followed a technical breakout and retest pattern, with a clear rejection from a well-defined resistance level.
Traders looking for short-selling opportunities should take note of the key price zones, support levels, and overall market structure before making a move. Let’s break it down in detail.
🔍 Chart Breakdown: What’s Happening?
1️⃣ Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish Push
The price was consolidating inside a falling wedge, a pattern that typically signals an eventual breakout to the upside.
The breakout led to a strong bullish move, pushing the price toward a well-established resistance zone around 1.1414.
After breaking out, the pair made a significant upward run before stalling at this key resistance.
2️⃣ Key Resistance Level Holding Strong
The price touched the resistance zone but failed to break above it.
This rejection indicates that sellers are stepping in, absorbing the buying pressure.
The market is showing early signs of bearish momentum, hinting at a potential downtrend.
3️⃣ Projected Bearish Move: Lower Targets in Sight
If the current rejection holds, the price is likely to fall toward the nearest support levels:
✅ TP 1 (Take Profit 1): 1.1271 → First major support level, likely to be tested soon.
✅ TP 2 (Take Profit 2): 1.1201 → A deeper retracement if selling pressure increases.
✅ TP 3 (Take Profit 3): 1.1055 → Final downside target if the bearish trend extends further.
4️⃣ Stop Loss Placement – Risk Management
To manage risk, the ideal stop loss should be placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.1414.
This protects against potential false breakouts and unexpected market shifts.
📉 Trade Strategy – How to Approach This Setup?
🔸 Entry Point: Look for a confirmed rejection of the resistance level (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like engulfing, shooting star, or pin bars).
🔸 Stop Loss: Place above 1.1414 to avoid getting caught in a short squeeze.
🔸 Take Profit Targets:
First TP at 1.1271
Second TP at 1.1201
Final TP at 1.1055 for extended downside moves
⚠️ Important Notes for Traders:
✔ Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush into a short trade. Look for a strong bearish candle closure or a retest before entering.
✔ Be Aware of News Events: Economic releases, interest rate decisions, and major USD-related news can impact price movement.
✔ Monitor Market Sentiment: If USD strengthens, this setup is even more likely to play out.
🧐 Final Thoughts – High Probability Short Setup?
✅ Why This Trade Looks Strong:
The technical pattern is playing out perfectly, with a clear resistance rejection.
The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels.
The overall market structure supports a potential downside move if price continues respecting resistance.
📢 Bottom Line : If price remains below the 1.1414 resistance, this trade setup could provide an excellent opportunity for short-sellers targeting lower support levels. 🚀 Stay patient and wait for confirmation before pulling the trigger!
USDCHF Study 1529SGT 19032025On the last round of trading, I took USDCHF and finally made a profit, after the first two rounds of losses on tradingview paper account.
Now, another opportunity came up on USDCHF, again. Should I enter?
I think, it is really risky.
I manage to be just above breakeven on tradingview, and I made a net total of +2.8R profit on Oanda mt4 with the same trades taken, after a total of 3 trades in March 2025.
Why would I continue to put myself at risk?
1st - I have exhausted USDCHF's opportunity, I feel.
Reason being, I have already traded the USDCHF in the last trade, and I managed to make a profit. What are the odds of making a profit again? One might say it's 50 50, however, it isn't.
The more something happens, the more unlikely it would happen the next round.
That's the first.
Especially when the trend and opportunity has been used up by traders who used that opportunity in the first place.
Slowly, they would be looking to move their money elsewhere, to new opportunities.
2nd - Price is at a significant level of support.
The support might not be the major of major on the higher time frame, but it is still significant because there might be traders who think they should take off all their profits and losses and take the opposite position instead, or new players could come in and decide to buy instead at the support area, we wouldn't know.
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The thing is, just take it and get lost.
Some months you will be breakeven, or in a loss, or profit.
Take it and move.
If you are in a loss, and you want to try to take more trades to "max out your winrate", then you will only be maxing out your mental capital, as you see alot of "deaths" and "escapes", draining you out, and that's when you deviate from your trading technique, knowingly or unknowingly.
"I have already made so many mistakes, Imma make more, just to see where it would take me to. I could always restart, because this is paper trading."
Then get ready to lose in the long run, again.
I have been there done there, even in my last trading entries I done that because I wanted to max out of winrate.
why should I take 30 trades to make +2R when I could have taken 3 trades to make +2R?
It's not to say that when you take your time, and less is more approach, you will only make +2R at the end of 30 trades, but that, why would you try to max out your win rate when you will only be depleting yourself and your time and mental capital?
If you take your time, and focus on 1 to 3 trades, and take a break, you will go further, and gain more in the end, rather than trying to max out in the same amount of time, trading 10x the amount of trades.
Opportunities come and go, and most of the time, you are taking the same opportunity at the same time on multiple different pairs. And that is over trading. Dividing your full profit over multiple pairs at a time range, and you wonder why it took you 30 trades to make +2R, when you could have held onto the +2R at the beginning, after taking just 3 trades.
We shall see how this entry setup goes.
I am not going to take it, but I want to keep myself in check with how the price is moving.
This exact overtrading thing could be said on my previous trade on USDJPY. I made +2R on USDJPY, in my first trade but I lost -1R on it, on the second trade on Oanda mt4.
If I held my breath under water instead of panicking, I would have been up, +3.8R now, instead of +2.8R on Oanda mt4, and I would have been up +1.004R on tradingview paper account instead of being up +0.004R only.
1547SGT 19032025
USD/CHF: Bearish Continuation Towards Key SupportUSD/CHF has maintained a strong bearish trend, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. The chart highlights a **Deep Crab** harmonic pattern, which previously triggered a corrective move before resuming its overall downtrend.
Currently, price action is trading near **0.8767**, approaching a key support zone at **0.8722** (HOP level). The recent rejection from the **H4 supply zone** around **0.8920** further confirms bearish momentum, suggesting sellers remain in control.
**Key Considerations:**
- A breakdown below **0.8722** could accelerate further downside, extending losses towards lower psychological levels.
- A potential pullback may occur if buyers step in at support, but the overall bearish structure remains intact unless a significant reversal signal appears.
**Conclusion:** USD/CHF remains under bearish pressure, with a high probability of further declines. Traders should monitor price action at support for potential continuation or reversal signals before committing to new positions.
USD/CHF Daily AnalysisPrice is back at daily support (tested and rejected in December 2024 and most recently March 2025).
Tuesdays daily candle saw a bearish close at the level. If price breaks the high on Wednesday, we could see 0.8850 tested again.
From there, price could reject (again) or push higher.
The upcoming FOMC statement could change everything though.
USD-CHF Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF keeps falling down
But the pair will soon hit
A horizontal support
Of 0.8754 from where
We can enter a long trade
With the TP of 0.8795
And the SL of 0.8730
Buy!
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Bullish bounce?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8726
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.8851
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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#003 Moving Average USDCHF Sell 0153SGT 18032025The title says moving average, and I did use the moving average this time but it won't always be the moving average.
I think the USDJPY trade #002 might have been abit dragged out, and I jumped in slightly too late. But it is ok.
I also took correlated pairs and am selling the USD.
But its ok.
I think Kei sensei must have some magic that works, and I have been trying different things and I think Kei sensei is really right.
Less is more. If we get 2% in 1 trade and also get 2% in 10 trades, then why would we trade 10 times just to get 2% ?
Why would we pay 10 times the commission just to get the same results plus gain 10 times the stress?
I think the USDJPY #002 trade is a test kit. I need to know how deep the water is, and that trade is my test kit. It doesn't matter if I lose that one or not, because now I remembered what I should do and what I shouldn't.
Look out for fresh potential breakouts, retracements that could be traded.
Get good natural dopamine into the system then come see the charts.
Once you made some money outside, then the charts will be a, "if I have it, I have it. If I don't have it, I don't have it, and I don't give a f" kind of vibe.
If you missed it, don't give it any f because there will be other opportunities that will come.
Sometimes, in this watchlist of pairs, sometimes, you make new watchlists because new fresh potential breakouts and retracements came up.
You will be ok. 1 trade, 2, 3 trades a month is alot. as long as you made some money, just run.
Don't hinge your hopes on getting 10% every month because of ftmo's rules of getting 10% in a month in order to pass the 1st phase of the challenge.
0211SGT 18032025
USD/CHF Struggles at Key Support Amid Bearish MomentumUSD/CHF remains under pressure after breaking below the 200-day SMA (0.8815) and failing to reclaim it. The pair has formed a bearish flag pattern, indicating the potential for further downside. The next key support level sits at 0.8750, which, if breached, could accelerate selling pressure.
Momentum indicators confirm the bearish outlook:
📉 MACD remains in negative territory, signaling weak momentum.
📊 RSI at 34.75 nears oversold conditions but hasn’t triggered a reversal signal yet.
Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Support: 0.8750 (critical level), 0.8650 (next downside target)
📌 Resistance: 0.8850 (recent swing high), 0.9010 (50-day SMA)
A break below 0.8750 could open the door for a deeper decline, while a bounce above 0.8850 would signal a potential recovery.
-MW