CHFUSD trade ideas
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Heist Plan Bearish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.90500 (swing Trade) Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.88000 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🌟Fundamental Analysis
The USD/CHF pair is influenced by:
Interest Rate Differential: The difference between the Federal Reserve's interest rates and the Swiss National Bank's interest rates.
Economic Growth: The US GDP growth rate and the Swiss GDP growth rate.
Inflation Rates: The US inflation rate and the Swiss inflation rate.
🌟Macroeconomic Analysis
Key macroeconomic indicators to watch:
US GDP Growth Rate: Expected to slow down in 2025.
Swiss GDP Growth Rate: Expected to remain stable in 2025.
US Inflation Rate: Expected to decrease in 2025.
Swiss Inflation Rate: Expected to remain low in 2025.
🌟COT Data Analysis
The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows:
Net Long Positions: Decreased by 10,000 contracts.
Net Short Positions: Increased by 5,000 contracts.
🌟Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment for USD/CHF is:
Bearish: 55% of investors expect the pair to fall.
Bullish: 30% of investors expect the pair to rise.
Neutral: 15% of investors remain neutral.
🌟Positioning Analysis
Traders are advised to:
Consider short-term investments: As the USD/CHF pair is expected to experience high volatility.
Monitor market news: As central bank decisions and global economic data may impact the pair.
🌟Quantitative Analysis
Technical indicators show:
Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are indicating a bearish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is indicating an oversold condition.
🌟Intermarket Analysis
The USD/CHF pair is highly correlated with:
EUR/USD: A stronger euro may boost the Swiss franc against the US dollar.
USD/JPY: A weaker US dollar may boost the Swiss franc against the yen.
🌟News and Events Analysis
Upcoming events that may impact the USD/CHF pair include:
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Decision: March 19, 2025
Swiss National Bank Monetary Policy Decision: March 20, 2025
🌟Next Trend Move
The USD/CHF pair may experience a:
Bearish move: Driven by the interest rate differential and economic growth.
🌟Overall Summary Outlook
The USD/CHF pair is expected to:
Experience high volatility: Due to central bank decisions and global economic data.
Remain bearish: In the short-term, driven by the interest rate differential and economic growth.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
UPDATE ON USD/CHFUSD/CHF 1H - How we getting on people, sorry I have not been around these past two days I have been busy with some personal matters, nevertheless I am here with an update for you all on this trade.
I have gone ahead and taken a close for 2/3's of the trade, leaving just 1/3 open over the weekend, I have also gone ahead and moved my SL to entry applying those safety measures to our position.
This trade is currently running + 63 pips. (+ 4%) 4RR
A big well done to those of you who jumped in on this trade this week and any of you who got in later on in the week when we saw price pullback before the next push up.
Any questions with regards to this trade or the analysis for the trade, drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Lingrid | USDCHF Corrective MOVEMENT and TREND ContinuationFX:USDCHF market is consolidating after the bearish momentum. We can see the price making lower lows and lower closes showing bearish dominance. The market bounced off the support level and is forming a corrective leg against the major bearish trend. I think the market may retest the resistance zone at 0.88700, which is a range zone that often acts as both support and resistance. If we see a rejection at this area, we can anticipate the continuation of the current trend toward the previous week low. My goal is support zone around 0.87750
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
USDCHF Monthly Expectations Entry IdeaSo as we see bearish momentum on this pair, it has been respecting a high probability 4H trendline, and we see no cause for a trend breakout. There is also a swing low which price has not reached, and we expect that market should tap into the liquidity resting there before we could expect any key reversals. We would a sell at 0.89121, placing our stoploss at 0.89587 and our targets are TP1 = 0.87593 and final TP at 0.87363
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8915
1st Support: 0.8771
1st Resistance: 0.9004
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USD/CHF: Bearish Trend Pauses, but Breakdown Risks RemainThe strong bearish trend for USD/CHF stalled this week, with buying support emerging beneath .8774, continuing the pattern seen in December. The net result has been a grind higher before running into resistance at .8854, forming what resembles a bear flag on the charts. That should put traders on alert for a potential downside break and resumption of the bearish trend.
Indicators like RSI (14) and MACD are providing mixed signals on price momentum, with the former trending higher while the latter remains below the signal line. However, the modest RSI (14) uptrend looks vulnerable, mirroring the unconvincing price action.
If the price breaks down from the bear flag, immediate levels of note include .8774, .8711, and .8617, the latter being a more substantial support level. On the topside, a break of .8854 would put .8920 and .8966 on the radar for bulls.
The price is hanging around the 200-day moving average like a bad smell this week, but having traded through it on multiple occasions like it didn’t exist, it shouldn’t be a major consideration for traders.
Good luck!
DS
USDCHF: The battle of 0.9000 - Sell or wait?Hello everyone, Ben here!
USDCHF previously broke its uptrend as the fundamental landscape shifted, and the dollar entered a correction phase. Clearly, sellers are in control, as illustrated on the chart.
Fundamentally, the situation is becoming more complex due to the tariff war initiated by Trump, with European countries responding in kind. Economic risks are rising. Additionally, with rumors of rate cuts from Trump and Powell, the dollar has entered a correction phase, which has had a positive impact on the forex market.
From a technical perspective, the 0.9000 level plays a crucial role, as it represents a strong zone. If sellers manage to keep the price below this level, within the selling zone, it will confirm further downside movement.
I also cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the previous breakout range before a deeper decline. Emphasizing the 0.9000 level!
Best regards,
Bentradegold!
USD/CHF NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
USDCHF 4H SHORT IDEAOn the USDCHF 1D chart, after moving in a range and making a 3-touch rejection, the price broke out of a higher timeframe channel and pulled back before dropping further, breaking below the previous key level at 0.89105. Now, it is pulling back again.
Since the trendline zone, key level, and Fibonacci 0.618 align at this point, I am planning to open a sell position.
I will wait for price action confirmation on the 15M-30M timeframe before entering.
USD/CHF H4 | Pullback resistance at 38.2% FiboUSD/CHF is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8856 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8940 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 0.8757 which is a swing-low support.
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USDCHF Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.881.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.885 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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