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Swiss Franc / U.S. Dollar

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CHFUSD trade ideas

Will USDCHF reverse its course due to the new SNB's prospect?Macro theme: - Swiss inflation unexpectedly slowed to 0.6% in Oct—the lowest in over three years—raising expectations that the SNB may opt for a more significant 0.5% rate cut in Dec to keep inflation within its 0-2% target range. - Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% but issued a slightly more hawkish statement. Technical theme: - USDCHF broke the descending channel after testing both EMAs, which just golden crossed each other, indicating a bullish momentum exists. - USDCHF may retest the broken descending trendline, confluence with the support level around 0.8693-0.8700 before resuming its upward movement to retest 0.8825. - On the contrary, a closing below 08626 may prompt a deeper correction to a nearby support around 0.8550. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
USDCHF Short-term Channel Up targeting 0.88120The USDCHF pair is following very accurately our September 17 projection (see chart below) and is already half-way through our 0.90500 Target: As mentioned then that was a long-term bottom buy opportunity, but that doesn't mean shorter ones don't exist on the lower time-frames. On this chart, we've identified one on the 4H time-frame where the price got rejected at the top of the October Channel Up and pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This resembles the October 08 0.382 Fib rejection, which was also contained above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and resumed the uptrend all the way to the -0.236 Fib extension. As a result, our short-term Target is 0.88120. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
MY THOUGHTS ON USD/CHFUSD/CHF 1D - This is one of the only pairs thats close to providing us with an opportunity at the moment, so I am going to provide you all with a breakdown on my thoughts for this pair. As you can see price has traded us in a bullish way since trading into the area of Demand below, I am expecting this to continue, trading us up and into the Supply Zone above. Before price does that we can expect a fractal correction to take place trading us down and into the Demand Zone below, this giving us the opportunity to get involved in this market with a refined entry. Once price trades us down and into this we want to see price reject well, breaking structure fractally to the upside suggesting an end to this current correction before a continuation higher. When we have been delivered with that we can look to enter.
Long
by Lukegforex
USDCHF_101 2024.11.05 07:03:10 Trading Signal BUYFrankPro Signal for USDCHF_101 Type: Screen Signal: BUY TP: 0.86803 SL: 0.86348 Entry Price: 0.86418 Analysis for USDCHF Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Undecided LT= Strong Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Same LT=Down ST=Up LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF currency pair: **Short-term (next 24-48 hours):** * The indicative opening price of 0.8650 suggests stability, but the thin liquidity on Monday mornings and geopolitical tensions could lead to increased volatility. * The technical analysis video emphasizes caution and monitoring key levels, which implies that the price movement might be uncertain or range-bound in the short term. * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, but this might not necessarily manifest in the next 24-48 hours. Expected price movement in the short term: **STAY THE SAME** (range-bound or minimal movement) **Long-term (next week or beyond):** * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, which implies that the price is expected to go down. * The technical analysis video and the forecast section both indicate a potential downward movement, which supports this assessment. * The broader market conditions, such as central banks' actions and geopolitical tensions, could also contribute to a downward trend. Expected price movement in the long term: **GO DOWN** ( continuation of the downward trend) Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and should not be considered as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and other factors not mentioned in the analysis could influence the price movement. Result: ST=Same LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term Analysis (next few days):** The price is expected to **go up**. The pair is in an uptrend, and technical analysis suggests that it will continue higher, targeting levels such as 0.8680 and potentially 0.8750. The intraday bias is also on the upside, with a target of 0.8698. However, there is a risk of a pullback to fill a chart gap, potentially correcting down to 0.8574. **Long-term Analysis (weeks/months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or potentially **go down**. Despite the strong recovery over recent weeks, the longer-term trend for USD/CHF is still considered bearish as long as the 0.9243 resistance holds. A firm break of 0.8332 could resume the larger downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available. Result: ST=Up LT=Down Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term analysis (next few days):** The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish correction, testing the resistance level near 0.8745. However, this is expected to be followed by a downward rebound, continuing the fall. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, and the RSI supports the decline scenario. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the price to **go down** after a brief attempt to correct upwards. **Long-term analysis (weeks/months):** The fundamental overview mentions the influence of safe-haven demand on the Swiss Franc, which could continue to impact the USD/CHF pair. Additionally, the potential for gradual interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could also affect the pair. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, with a potential breakout of the lower border of the "Triangle" pattern. Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the long term, potentially targeting levels below 0.7985. In summary: * Short-term: **Go down** (after a brief correction) * Long-term: **Go down** (targeting levels below 0.7985) Result: ST=Down LT=Down
Long
by orbborisson
Long usdchf**Bullish USD/CHF Description** The USD/CHF currency pair is poised for significant upward momentum as the fundamentals align favorably for the U.S. dollar against the Swiss franc. Several key factors contribute to this bullish outlook: 1. **Strong U.S. Economic Data**: Recent economic indicators from the United States, including robust employment figures, healthy consumer spending, and rising manufacturing output, suggest a resilient economy. This strength is likely to encourage the Federal Reserve to maintain or potentially raise interest rates, making the dollar more attractive to investors. 2. **Safe-Haven Dynamics**: While the Swiss franc is traditionally seen as a safe-haven currency, global market volatility and geopolitical tensions have led to increased demand for the U.S. dollar as a preferred reserve currency. As investors seek stability in uncertain times, the demand for USD is expected to rise. 3. **Divergent Monetary Policies**: The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance contrasts sharply with the Swiss National Bank's accommodative policies
Long
by slimshah2003
Technical Analysis of USD/CHF: Rate Reaches Key Resistance LevelTechnical Analysis of USD/CHF: Rate Reaches Key Resistance Level As seen on the USD/CHF chart, the pair has been moving within a descending channel (highlighted in red) since May. In September, price action confirmed that the 0.84000 level, near the lower channel boundary, serves as strong support—after several unsuccessful attempts to break below it, the pair rebounded from point A to point B, rising by over 3% to the current level around 0.86750. The U.S. dollar’s recent strength has been supported by: → Expectations of a Trump victory in the upcoming presidential election, → Rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds. However, technical analysis of the USD/CHF chart suggests that the pair faces significant pressure at this level: → From the proximity to the upper boundary of the descending channel, → From the 0.8725 resistance level, tested in August (indicated by an arrow), → From the psychological level of 0.87000, which has twice deflected price downward this week. Further supporting this outlook, a rounding top pattern (illustrated by a black arrow) appears to be forming, potentially signaling a bearish reversal. Given these factors, a stronger bearish presence may emerge, with USD/CHF likely to test the 0.86000 level, which recently served as resistance but was subsequently broken earlier this month. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
USDCHF Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.867. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.860. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2
USDCHF - 4hrs ( Sell Trade After Break Target Range 150 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name : USD/CHF Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close Scale Type : Large Scale ------ spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons We seek to spread understanding rather than make money 🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Short ) Bearish After Break Out Type : Mid Term Swing ——————————— Bearish Break 0.86500 Area Reasons - Major Turn level - Visible RAnge Hvn - Channel Break Out - Fixed Range Hvn - Week low Area Bullish Reversal 0.85250 Area Reasons - Major Turn level / M - Visibe Range HVn - Pattern Target - Choch Area - Fixed Hvn - Week High + D High / P
Short
by GoldenEngine
USDCHF Long for 70pipsTrade Setup: We're looking to go long (buy) the USD/CHF pair. This means we expect the value of the US dollar to rise against the Swiss franc. Take Profit: We've set our take profit target at 70 pips. This means if the price rises by 70 pips from our entry point, we will close the trade and secure our profit. This level is chosen based on technical analysis, market sentiment, or specific support/resistance levels. Stop Loss: To manage our risk, we’ve placed a stop loss at 40 pips. This means if the price moves against us and falls by 40 pips from our entry point, the trade will automatically close to limit our losses. This is a crucial risk management tool. Risk-Reward Ratio: With a take profit of 70 pips and a stop loss of 40 pips, our risk-reward ratio is 1.75:1. This means for every dollar we risk, we aim to make $1.75. This is generally considered a favorable ratio in trading.
Long
by LORDOFTHETRADERS
USDCHF_106 2024.11.07 06:43:03 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for USDCHF_106 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 0.87208 SL: 0.87552 Entry Price: 0.87509 Analysis for USDCHF Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Undecided LT= Strong Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Same LT=Down ST=Up LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF currency pair: **Short-term (next 24-48 hours):** * The indicative opening price of 0.8650 suggests stability, but the thin liquidity on Monday mornings and geopolitical tensions could lead to increased volatility. * The technical analysis video emphasizes caution and monitoring key levels, which implies that the price movement might be uncertain or range-bound in the short term. * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, but this might not necessarily manifest in the next 24-48 hours. Expected price movement in the short term: **STAY THE SAME** (range-bound or minimal movement) **Long-term (next week or beyond):** * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, which implies that the price is expected to go down. * The technical analysis video and the forecast section both indicate a potential downward movement, which supports this assessment. * The broader market conditions, such as central banks' actions and geopolitical tensions, could also contribute to a downward trend. Expected price movement in the long term: **GO DOWN** ( continuation of the downward trend) Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and should not be considered as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and other factors not mentioned in the analysis could influence the price movement. Result: ST=Same LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term Analysis (next few days):** The price is expected to **go up**. The pair is in an uptrend, and technical analysis suggests that it will continue higher, targeting levels such as 0.8680 and potentially 0.8750. The intraday bias is also on the upside, with a target of 0.8698. However, there is a risk of a pullback to fill a chart gap, potentially correcting down to 0.8574. **Long-term Analysis (weeks/months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or potentially **go down**. Despite the strong recovery over recent weeks, the longer-term trend for USD/CHF is still considered bearish as long as the 0.9243 resistance holds. A firm break of 0.8332 could resume the larger downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available. Result: ST=Up LT=Down Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term analysis (next few days):** The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish correction, testing the resistance level near 0.8745. However, this is expected to be followed by a downward rebound, continuing the fall. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, and the RSI supports the decline scenario. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the price to **go down** after a brief attempt to correct upwards. **Long-term analysis (weeks/months):** The fundamental overview mentions the influence of safe-haven demand on the Swiss Franc, which could continue to impact the USD/CHF pair. Additionally, the potential for gradual interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could also affect the pair. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, with a potential breakout of the lower border of the "Triangle" pattern. Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the long term, potentially targeting levels below 0.7985. In summary: * Short-term: **Go down** (after a brief correction) * Long-term: **Go down** (targeting levels below 0.7985) Result: ST=Down LT=Down
Short
by frankiepro
USD/CHF (King Turtle): rise Slow and SteadyFundametnal Analaysis: OANDA:USDCHF outlook is shaped by notable interest rate differentials and diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). With the Fed holding rates at 5% and the SNB's current rate at 1.00% (down from 1.25%), the dollar remains more attractive to investors seeking higher yields. The potential for the SNB to further cut rates amplifies this dynamic, as lower Swiss rates could diminish the franc’s appeal, especially with inflation in Switzerland relatively subdued at 1.1%. In contrast, U.S. inflation sits at 2.5%, with the economy showing resilience, reducing the likelihood of imminent Fed cuts. This policy divergence creates upward momentum for USD/CHF, positioning the pair for further gains as investors capitalize on the interest rate advantage and the prospect of a more dovish SNB stance. Monitoring any shifts in SNB policy will be critical, as a rate cut would likely accelerate the pair's bullish trajectory. Technical Analysis: OANDA:USDCHF chart shows a prevailing bearish trend, with the pair consistently making lower highs and lows. However, the price is currently testing a strong support zone near 0.84066, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal. The chart hints at a possible breakout from the consolidation, with the first target (TP1) around 0.87269 and the second target (TP2) at 0.88325. The overall trend remains bearish, but if the price breaks above these levels, it could signal a reversal, especially if the SNB's dovish policy continues to weigh on the franc.
Long
by rTrader_official
8
USDCHF - Dollar will continue to grow after FOMC?!The USDCHF currency pair is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that zone with appropriate risk reward. The bottom of the ascending channel will be the target of this move. The Federal Reserve recently reduced its interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to 4.75%. The Fed’s statement indicates that the “labor market has cooled,” whereas the previous statement had only mentioned a “slower job market growth.” Additionally, there appears to be a slight decline in confidence regarding inflation reduction. Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chair, emphasized that he will remain in his role until the end of his term. When asked about fiscal policies, Powell stated that such matters are outside the Fed’s authority. He added that if the economy remains strong and inflation does not reach the 2% target, monetary policy adjustments may occur at a slower pace. He also highlighted that the policies of any administration or Congress could have significant economic impacts, but these effects will be evaluated alongside other factors. The recent report on Switzerland’s consumer inflation index indicates that the global landscape has not changed significantly from the pre-COVID era. After the inflation shock of the COVID period, some banking officials speculated that the world was entering a new phase where zero or negative interest rates were unlikely, and the neutral rate would be higher. However, there is no strong evidence to support this claim, especially with the major transformations anticipated from the growth of artificial intelligence. Furthermore, many analysts believe that the risks associated with de-globalization and demographic arguments are not as compelling. In September, the Swiss National Bank revised its inflation forecast for 2025 from 1.1% to 0.6% and also adjusted the interest rate. The inflation forecast for this year was revised down from 1.3% to 1.2%. The next meeting of the Swiss National Bank is scheduled for December 12, and if current conditions persist (including energy prices and exchange rates), a 50-basis-point rate cut could become a strong option. Deutsche Bank also sees an increasing likelihood of a return to negative interest rates, noting factors that could lead to higher risk and a stronger Swiss franc. These challenges are not exclusive to Switzerland; Europe as a whole is facing similar issues. Deutsche Bank has indicated that, currently, inflation in Europe does not pose a significant problem.
Short
by Ali_PSND
USDCHF_106 2024.11.07 08:19:04 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for USDCHF_106 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 0.87033 SL: 0.87593 Entry Price: 0.87523 Analysis for USDCHF Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Undecided LT= Strong Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Same LT=Down ST=Up LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF currency pair: **Short-term (next 24-48 hours):** * The indicative opening price of 0.8650 suggests stability, but the thin liquidity on Monday mornings and geopolitical tensions could lead to increased volatility. * The technical analysis video emphasizes caution and monitoring key levels, which implies that the price movement might be uncertain or range-bound in the short term. * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, but this might not necessarily manifest in the next 24-48 hours. Expected price movement in the short term: **STAY THE SAME** (range-bound or minimal movement) **Long-term (next week or beyond):** * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, which implies that the price is expected to go down. * The technical analysis video and the forecast section both indicate a potential downward movement, which supports this assessment. * The broader market conditions, such as central banks' actions and geopolitical tensions, could also contribute to a downward trend. Expected price movement in the long term: **GO DOWN** ( continuation of the downward trend) Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and should not be considered as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and other factors not mentioned in the analysis could influence the price movement. Result: ST=Same LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term Analysis (next few days):** The price is expected to **go up**. The pair is in an uptrend, and technical analysis suggests that it will continue higher, targeting levels such as 0.8680 and potentially 0.8750. The intraday bias is also on the upside, with a target of 0.8698. However, there is a risk of a pullback to fill a chart gap, potentially correcting down to 0.8574. **Long-term Analysis (weeks/months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or potentially **go down**. Despite the strong recovery over recent weeks, the longer-term trend for USD/CHF is still considered bearish as long as the 0.9243 resistance holds. A firm break of 0.8332 could resume the larger downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available. Result: ST=Up LT=Down Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term analysis (next few days):** The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish correction, testing the resistance level near 0.8745. However, this is expected to be followed by a downward rebound, continuing the fall. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, and the RSI supports the decline scenario. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the price to **go down** after a brief attempt to correct upwards. **Long-term analysis (weeks/months):** The fundamental overview mentions the influence of safe-haven demand on the Swiss Franc, which could continue to impact the USD/CHF pair. Additionally, the potential for gradual interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could also affect the pair. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, with a potential breakout of the lower border of the "Triangle" pattern. Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the long term, potentially targeting levels below 0.7985. In summary: * Short-term: **Go down** (after a brief correction) * Long-term: **Go down** (targeting levels below 0.7985) Result: ST=Down LT=Down
Short
by frankiepro