CHFUSD trade ideas
USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Potential Toward 0.92USDCHF is currently trading at 0.899 and forming a bullish flag pattern, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.92 target. The bullish flag is a strong continuation pattern that occurs after a sharp upward move, followed by a consolidation phase. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s resistance, it could trigger a new bullish wave, driving USDCHF higher.
Technically, the bullish flag suggests that buyers are accumulating positions before the next breakout. A confirmed breakout above the flag’s upper trendline, with increased volume, could validate the uptrend. Traders should watch key resistance zones and look for strong bullish candlestick formations to confirm the breakout momentum toward 0.92.
On the fundamental side, the US dollar remains strong due to the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. If economic data from the US continues to show resilience, the dollar could gain further strength against the Swiss franc. Additionally, the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) monetary policy stance, which has remained relatively dovish, could contribute to CHF weakness, supporting the bullish outlook for USDCHF.
In summary, USDCHF is currently consolidating within a bullish flag, preparing for a potential breakout toward 0.92. A strong move above resistance, combined with bullish fundamentals, could accelerate the upside momentum. Traders should keep an eye on US economic data and risk sentiment to confirm the trade setup.
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.90800 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.89000(or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis
US Economic Trends: The US economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace in 2025, driven by consumer spending and business investment.
Swiss Economic Trends: The Swiss economy is expected to grow at a slower pace in 2025, driven by exports and investment .
Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, while the Swiss National Bank is expected to maintain a negative interest rate policy.
Trade Policies: The US-Switzerland trade relationship is expected to remain stable, with no major changes in trade policies anticipated.
⚫Macro Economics
Global GDP Growth: The World Bank forecasts global GDP growth to accelerate to 3.4% in 2025, up from 3.2% in 2024 .
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, driven by increasing demand and supply chain disruptions.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting currency markets.
Unemployment Rate: The global unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.4% in 2025, driven by job growth in emerging markets.
🔵COT Data
Net Long Positions: Institutional traders have reduced their net long positions in USD/CHF to 35%
COT Ratio: The COT ratio has fallen to 1.6, indicating a bearish trend
Open Interest: Open interest in USD/CHF futures has decreased by 8% over the past month, indicating declining investor interest
🟢Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish
Retail Sentiment: 35% bullish, 65% bearish
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bearish, with a sentiment score of -30
🟡Technical Analysis
Moving Averages: 50-period SMA: 0.9104, 200-period SMA: 0.9034.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 4-hour chart: 38.21, daily chart: 34.14.
Bollinger Bands: 4-hour chart: 0.90200 (lower band), 0.9124 (upper band).
🟠Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for USD/CHF is bearish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected decline in US interest rates, slower Swiss economic growth, and bearish market sentiment are all supporting the bearish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential upside risks, including changes in global trade policies and unexpected economic data releases.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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USDCHF SELL 0.9000On the daily chart, USDCHF fell back from a high level, and the short-term bears are in an urgent position. At present, we can pay attention to the resistance near 0.9000. If the rebound is blocked, we can consider shorting. Pay attention to the area near 0.8900 below. After breaking through, the support below is near 0.8800.
USD/CHF - 1H Analysis & Prediction📈 USD/CHF - 1H Analysis & Prediction
🔹 Key Levels & Market Structure:
✅ 0.90892 - 0.90933 - Major supply zone (resistance).
✅ 0.89139 - 0.89335 - Major demand zone (support).
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) confirms bearish sentiment but a pullback is expected.
🚀 Bullish Retracement Scenario:
🔹 Price is currently bouncing from the demand zone (0.89139 - 0.89335).
🔹 A retracement towards the 0.90892 - 0.90933 supply zone is likely before further downside movement.
🔹 Fibonacci retracement levels suggest price may react around 0.89931 (0.786 level) before moving up.
📉 Bearish Continuation Scenario:
🔹 If price rejects 0.90892 - 0.90933, it could drop back towards the 0.89139 - 0.89335 support.
🔹 A break below 0.89139 could lead to further bearish continuation.
💡 Trading Plan:
✅ Look for sell confirmations in the 0.90892 - 0.90933 zone.
✅ Potential buy setups from the current demand zone if bullish confirmations appear.
✅ Be cautious of liquidity grabs before entering trades.
#FXFOREVER #USDCHF #SmartMoney #PriceAction #ForexTrading #LiquidityHunt
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8864
1st Support: 0.8763
1st Resistance: 0.9045
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USDCHF h1 | Bounce Off the Fibo ConfluenceBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 0.8948, a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibo and the 161.8% Fibo extension, forming a strong Fibonacci confluence where price could find support
Our take profit is set at 0.8980, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 0.8918, below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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USDCHF shortMy analysis was on the 1 hour timeframe and a small position. When I looked at the daily timeframe, I came across a range that could work very well. I have a Fibonacci line that is 86 and I love this line. In one of my tutorials, I came across this line that in range bounds, the trend reversal always comes and touches 86. It has touched the high level and is changing the trend downwards and we can ride this wave.
Bearish drop?USD/CHF has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9001
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.9048
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8945
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CHF Short for Next Week
Looking to short USD/CHF next week based on a few key factors:
US Economic Weakness: If US data comes in weaker (e.g., lower GDP growth, soft inflation), the USD may lose strength, reducing the likelihood of further aggressive rate hikes from the Fed.
Safe-Haven Demand for CHF: The Swiss franc could strengthen if market sentiment turns risk-off, driven by global uncertainty or geopolitical tension, as investors flock to safer assets.
Technical Setup: USD/CHF has recently hit resistance levels (e.g., near 0.9300-0.9400). Look for signs of overbought conditions (RSI above 70, bearish divergence) for potential short entry.
Key Risk: If US economic data surprises to the upside or the Fed signals continued hawkish stance, USD could strengthen, posing a risk to the short.
Conclusion: Short USD/CHF if US data weakens and safe-haven demand supports CHF. Watch resistance levels for entry, and keep an eye on the upcoming economic calenda
Favorite Trade Setups for Next WeekSummary of positions I'm looking to take next week with my Copy Trading program include the following:
AUDCAD - LONG ⬆️ 🟢
AUDNZD - SHORT ⬇️ 🔴
NZDCAD - LONG ⬆️ 🟢
US30 - SHORT ⬇️ 🔴
USDCHF - SHORT ⬇️ 🔴
For optimal risk management, it's best to always scale with small volume relative to your equity. Leave lots of available margin on your account. Diversifying with multiple pairs is recommended to mitigate risk.
If you like my setup and would like to copy my trades, send me a DM for further information.
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~ Michael Harding
USDCHF Will Fall! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.897.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.879 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCHF LongUSDCHF Analysis (H4, Long Position):
1. Current Context:
With USDCHF at 0.89904, the pair appears to be in a relatively strong position, likely reflecting US dollar strength or Swiss franc weakness. On H4, this could indicate the price is either consolidating after a rally or preparing to test higher resistance levels.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: The nearest support might be around 0.8950–0.8970, potentially a recent swing low or a level reinforced by the 50-period EMA or a Fibonacci retracement (e.g., 38.2% or 50% from a prior move up).
Resistance: The next key resistance could be near 0.9050–0.9070, a psychological level and possible historical high or supply zone often noted on TradingView.
3. Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages (EMA): If the price is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, and they’re sloping upward, this confirms a bullish trend. A pullback to the 50 EMA (e.g., near 0.8970) could act as dynamic support for a long entry.
RSI (14): If RSI is between 50–70, it suggests sustained bullish momentum without being overbought. A dip toward 50 followed by a bounce would strengthen the buy case.
Volume: Look for consistent or increasing volume on upward moves, indicating buyer commitment.
4. Patterns:
At 0.89904, the price might be forming a bullish continuation pattern on H4, like a "Flag" or "Pennant" after a prior uptrend, suggesting a breakout toward 0.9050.
Alternatively, if it’s pulling back from a recent high (e.g., 0.9000–0.9020), a retest of support at 0.8970 with a bullish reversal candle (e.g., hammer) could signal a buying opportunity.
5. Long Position Scenario:
Entry Point: If the price dips to 0.8970–0.8950 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., a strong bullish candle or engulfing pattern), enter a long position. Alternatively, a breakout above 0.9000 with momentum could also work.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop below support, e.g., at 0.8930, to guard against a deeper pullback.
Take-Profit: First target at 0.9050 (60–80 pips profit), second target at 0.9070 if the trend extends.
Risk/Reward Ratio: With a 20–30 pip stop and a first target of 60–80 pips, you get a 1:2 to 1:3 ratio, which is solid.
6. Fundamental Factors:
USDCHF at 0.89904 likely reflects a stronger USD, possibly driven by Fed hawkishness or positive US data (e.g., retail sales, employment figures). Conversely, SNB interventions or Swiss economic weakness could also support this level. Check TradingView’s "Economic Calendar" for upcoming catalysts.
USDCHF: A New Opportunity for GrowthUSDCHF: A New Opportunity for Growth
The USDCHF currency pair appears to form a significant range trading pattern between 0.8965 and 0.9200, approximately 235 pips.
After finding strong support at 0.8965, the price may rise again. A strong resistance zones is expected around 0.9045, 0.9080, and 0.9135
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you:)
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.