USDCHF Zigzag Corrective Rally Expected to FailThe USDCHF currency pair has been trending downward since its high on January 13, 2026. The pair follows a pattern known as a 5-wave impulse in Elliott Wave analysis. This pattern helps traders predict price movements by breaking them into distinct waves. Starting from the peak, the first wave (wave 1) saw the pair drop to 0.8965. After this decline, a brief recovery, or wave 2, pushed the price back up to 0.9196. From there, the pair resumed its downward trajectory in wave 3, which unfolded in several stages.
In wave 3, the price first fell to 0.8356, marking the end of an internal sub-wave (wave ((i))). A small bounce to 0.8583 completed wave ((ii)). The decline continued, with wave ((iii)) reaching 0.8096, followed by a slight rally to 0.8203 for wave ((iv)). The final leg of wave 3, wave ((v)), bottomed out at 0.803, wrapping up the third wave.
Currently, USDCHF is in an upward correction in wave 4, which is taking the shape of a zigzag pattern. From the low at 0.803, the pair climbed to 0.8124 in wave (i). Pair dipped to 0.8066 in wave (ii) then rose again to 0.8286 in wave (iii). A pullback to 0.8194 marked wave (iv), and the final push to 0.8311 completed wave ((a)), the first part of wave 4. Right now, the pair is experiencing a short-term pullback, called wave ((b)), correcting the rise that began on April 21, 2025. As long as the key support level at 0.8036 remains intact, USDCHF is expected to resume its upward movement soon, potentially reaching higher levels before the next major trend develops.
CHFUSD trade ideas
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.8232
1st Support: 0.8124
1st Resistance: 0.8371
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8211
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8109
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8369
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCHF: Very Bullish Price Action 🇺🇸🇨🇭
There is a high chance that USDCHF will go up from
the underlined blue support.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish breakout of a resistance line
of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame.
Target - 0.83
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USDCHF... 1H CHART PATTERNI am considering selling **USD/CHF at 0.82529** with a **take profit (TP) at 0.82300** — that’s a short position targeting a **~22.9 pip** gain. Let's break it down quickly:
### 🔍 Trade Overview:
- **Pair**: USD/CHF
- **Position**: Sell (short)
- **Entry**: 0.82529
- **TP**: 0.82300
- **Pip Gain**: ~22.9 pips
### ✅ Considerations Before Entering:
1. **Trend**: Is USD/CHF in a downtrend on the higher timeframes (H4, D1)?
2. **Support Area**: 0.82300 — does this align with a recent support zone?
3. **News/Events**: Any CHF or USD news coming up? (Like SNB or Fed speakers, inflation, etc.)
4. **Volume & Momentum**: Is momentum currently bearish? Look at RSI/Volume or MACD if you're using indicators.
5. **Stop Loss**: What’s your SL? Risk-reward is key — ideally at least 1:1.
### 🔒 Risk Management:
If you don’t have a stop loss yet, maybe set one above the recent swing high (like 0.82650 or above depending on market structure).
USDCHF - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback
No opposite signs
Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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USD/CHF Rebounds from Multi-Year LowUSD/CHF Rebounds from Multi-Year Low
As the charts show, the USD/CHF exchange rate fell below 0.810 US dollars per franc earlier this week. The pair had not traded this low since the 2008 financial crisis. Demand for the Swiss franc as a safe-haven currency was driven by concerns over the escalation of the trade war between the United States and other major economies.
However, the USD/CHF pair has since rebounded and is currently trading above 0.825. This recovery was supported by yesterday’s statement from Finance Minister Bessent at the JPMorgan Private Investors Conference, where he expressed optimism about imminent de-escalation in trade tensions with China.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
The chart indicates that the trend remains bearish, highlighted by the descending channel marked in red. A bullish attempt to push the price into the upper half of the channel earlier this morning (as shown by the arrow) failed to produce any significant momentum.
The price is fluctuating around the median line, a level where supply and demand tend to balance. It is possible that the market has already priced in the positive news from yesterday, and the bears may attempt to reassert pressure, driving the price back towards the 0.810 support level.
Nevertheless, much will depend on the fundamental backdrop. A stronger dollar could follow in response to possible developments such as:
→ a statement from China signalling readiness to de-escalate its tariff policy;
→ signs of progress in trade deals between the United States and key partners such as Japan, South Korea, and India.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8364
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8511
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8212
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCHF INTRADAY bearish below 0.8300Recent price action in USDCHF suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 0.8300 level.
The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 0.8090, followed by 0.8040 and 0.7940.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 0.8300, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, USDCHF could target 0.8365, with further resistance at 0.8450 and 0.8520.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 0.8300 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favour of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
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USDCHF: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
Balance of buyers and sellers on the USDCHF pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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USDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISWe are currently observing the USD/CHF pair, which is trading around 0.8225 as of April 23, 2025. The pair has recently experienced a slight uptick, driven by renewed demand for the US dollar following President Trump's decision to retract threats against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This move has alleviated investor concerns regarding the Fed's independence, providing a temporary boost to the greenback.
Despite this short-term rally, the overall outlook for USD/CHF remains bearish. The pair is trading below the critical 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 36, indicating continued selling pressure. The immediate resistance level is identified at 0.8360, while the first support level to monitor is at 0.8121.
Fundamentally, the Swiss franc has appreciated significantly, surging approximately 9% against the US dollar in April alone. This appreciation is attributed to global uncertainties stemming from shifting US trade policies, which have increased demand for safe-haven assets like the franc. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is under pressure to address this rapid rise, as it poses risks to their inflation targets and the competitiveness of Swiss exports.
In conclusion, while there may be short-term fluctuations influenced by geopolitical developments and central bank communications, the prevailing trend for USD/CHF appears bearish. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors that could impact the pair's trajectory.
USDCHF Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.807.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.824 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Possible Long Setup on USDCHFA structure break occurred at the 0.8123 level, shifting the market from a bearish structure to a local bullish one — which now has the potential to continue higher.
With that in mind, a long position can be considered on a renewed break above 0.8123. The target is 0.8267.
If the setup is triggered, the stop-loss should be placed either below the most recent (optimal) local low, or simply at 0.8065.
USDCHF Swing UpdateUSDCHF has officially broken out of the 0.82485 consolidation zone. Based on structure and momentum, we could be seeing a deeper pullback toward 0.83366, which has been a key level historically and would make sense for retesting the bearish structure.
If price fails to reach that level or rejects sooner, I’ll be watching for continuation setups below 0.81394 and 0.80464. A clean break and retest of either would offer strong selling opportunities targeting 0.70517 for a longer-term swing setup.
Momentum remains bearish, so staying patient for high-quality entries is key.