Heading into pullback resistance/USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9138
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.9200
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.9062
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CHFUSD trade ideas
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.90300) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high or low level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.90700 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.89310 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/CHF "The Swissy" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🟤Fundamental Analysis
- The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates negative to curb the Swiss franc's appreciation.
- The US Federal Reserve has also maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates low to support economic growth.
🔴Macro Analysis
- The US economy has shown signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rate decreasing to 2.1% in Q4 2022.
- The Swiss economy has also shown signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rate decreasing to 0.9% in Q4 2022.
🟠Sentimental Analysis
- Institutional investors have a bearish sentiment towards the USD/CHF pair, with 52% being bearish.
- Hedge funds have decreased their long positions, with a net short exposure of 15%.
- Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards the USD/CHF pair, with 55% being bullish.
🟡COT Analysis
- The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that large speculators have increased their short positions, with a net short exposure of 10,000 contracts.
- Commercial traders have decreased their long positions, with a net short exposure of 5,000 contracts.
🔵Positioning
- The USD/CHF pair is experiencing a decrease in net-long exposure, which could be a sign of a potential trend reversal.
- The market positioning is also influenced by the US dollar positioning, which has seen a reduction in net-short exposure against G10 currencies.
🟢Overall Outlook
-Based on the analysis, the USD/CHF pair is expected to move in a bearish trend, with a 55% chance of a downtrend and a 35% chance of an uptrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
USD/CHF "The Swissie" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CHF "The Swissie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 0.91200
Sell Entry below 0.90300
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 0.92400 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 0.89400 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The USD/CHF "The Swissie" Forex market is currently experiencing a neutral trend, with a slight bias towards bullishness., driven by several key factors.
💨Fundamental Outlook:
- Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions will impact USD/CHF. A rate hike could strengthen the dollar.
- Swiss National Bank (SNB): The SNB's monetary policy decisions will influence the Swiss franc's value. A dovish stance could weaken the franc.
- Global Economic Conditions: The ongoing global economic uncertainty and trade tensions could impact USD/CHF
💨Macro Outlook:
- US Economy: The US economy is expected to continue growing, albeit at a slower pace. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions will play a crucial role in shaping the economy.
- Swiss Economy: The Swiss economy is expected to remain stable, with low inflation and a strong labor market. The Swiss National Bank's (SNB) monetary policy decisions will influence the economy.
- Global Economy: The global economy is facing uncertainty due to trade tensions, geopolitical risks, and the COVID-19 pandemic. This could impact USD/CHF.
- Commodity Prices: Commodity prices, particularly oil prices, could influence USD/CHF.
💨Sentimental Outlook:
- Institutional Investors: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
- Retail Traders: 52% bullish, 48% bearish
- Hedge Funds: 58% bullish, 42% bearish
- Large Banks: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
💨Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is slightly bullish, with a majority of investors expecting USD/CHF to rise.
💨COT Data:
Current COT Data (as of January 24, 2024):
- Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators): Net long 53,129 contracts (previous week: net long 49,351 contracts)
- Commercial Traders: Net short 45,678 contracts (previous week: net short 42,191 contracts)
Upcoming COT Data (expected release on February 2, 2024):
- Expected Change: Speculators may increase their net long positions, while commercial traders may reduce their net short positions.
💨Upcoming Events:
- Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: Expected to impact USD/CHF
- SNB Monetary Policy Decision: Will influence the Swiss franc's value
- Global Economic Data Releases: Will provide insights into the global economic outlook
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
USD/CHF H1 | Bullish uptrend to continue?USD/CHF is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.9102 which is a pullback support that intersects with an ascending trendline.
Stop loss is at 0.9060 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.9158 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bullish continuation?USD/CHF has bounced off the pivot and could rise from this level to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.9037
1st Support: 0.8918
1st Resistance: 0.9248
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF The 5 EMA crossing above the 20 EMA confirms a continuation trade, signaling sustained bullish momentum. Meanwhile, the Chikou Span (Lagging Span) is far from price and positioned above the Kumo Cloud, reinforcing a strong uptrend. Williams %R is in my buy zone, indicating favorable momentum, while Money Flow Index (MFI) is positive, confirming institutional buying pressure. With all key indicators aligned, I confidently enter the trade, targeting the next resistance level while managing risk accordingly. 🚀📈
Bearish reversal?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9138
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.9200
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.9062
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CHF - Weekly Outlook Welcome traders.
USD/CHF is gifting us with some very nice clean Market Structure. Not to speak to soon but let me explain my theory..
Higher TF shows we are close to a supply zone. Price has multiple times pushed price down for a big sell off 3 times now.. except we haven't seen a Higher TF Liquidity Sweep. This to me tells me we still are Bullish and need to have a large Bullish movement to close off above the Buy side Liquidity to claim. Price has also failed twice now to break Structure to the sell side in theory telling me buyers are still currently in control
4H- This TF shows in more details the amount of Liquidity sitting higher and that second Line is where I would like to close above before seeing any signs of a reversal.
Recently price has had a CHoCH and we are now looking for our Buy setup. Price has had a confident run before market Closure leaving behind Imbalance to fill.
I see two Demand zones 1 being within a 1H TF and the second being deeper in this Daily Range. Price needs to return to the Discount zone. As noted I will be looking for strong Buys once price has made 15-30 Bullish CHoCH once we have returned back into the Imbalance
Good Luck to all the traders that decide to follow and be sure to comment to share your thoughts
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 7 February 2025
- USDCHF reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9185
USDCHF currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone between the round support level 0.9000 (which also stopped the previous correction (2)), lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline from December.
The upward reversal from this support zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Piercing Line.
Given the clear daily uptrend, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.9185 (which has been reversing the price from May of 2024, as can be seen below).
UsdChf sell Insight Maybe not today maybe it is going to be the coming week. I'll be patiently waiting for price to come to my point of interest at 0.91062 to short this pair.
I select that zone due to wanting to sell at the Premium zone. I might get tagged or not doesn't matter.
Kindly boost of you find this insightful 🫴