FX Wars Episode 6 - The return of the USDA simple idea, which I will gradually fill with life:
The USD returns and with it the claim to its FX throne.
Act 1:
📊🔮🇺🇲 US retail sales, which will be published today at 14:30, will be higher than consensus expectations.
🟡-> the US consumer is alive and well and will continue to keep the US economy afloat.
Further acts will follow ✅️
CHFUSD trade ideas
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price could fall toward our buy entry at 0.7985 which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 0.8039, which is a pullback resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.7938, which is a pullback support level.
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USDCHF is due for reboundThe USDCHF is showing some interesting signs that a rebound could be on the horizon. Looking at the weekly chart, it's clear that the pair has been under considerable selling pressure—it's not only dipped below the 20-period and 60-period EMAs, but it's also trading in territory that historically marks previous turning points. When USDCHF reaches these oversold levels, there's often a technical bounce as sellers run out of steam and bargain-hunters step in.
Another point worth highlighting is the Fibonacci retracement. The technicals suggest a key rebound target around the 0.8535 level, which aligns with the 50% retracement from the last major swing down. This area isn't just a mathematical target—it also coincides with previous congestion and resistance zones, making it a logical place for bulls to aim for. So, with prices oversold, historical patterns favoring a longer rebound, and a clear technical target overhead, the pieces are falling into place for a USDCHF recovery heading into the autumn months.
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 15 July 2025
- USDCHF reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8055
USDCHF currency pair recently reversed from the support zone lying at the intersection of the support level 0.7900, lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline of the daily down channel from May.
The upward reversal from support zone started the active short-term ABC correction ii.
Given the strongly bullish US dollar sentiment seen today, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8055 (former strong support from April and June).
7.15 USD/CHF WATCH FOR A PULLBACKThis market has a VERY strong S/R zone, certainly worth keeping an eye on for the pullback and the other indicators to line up with it.........4 Hour chart is what I use for the setup then I go down to the 1 Hour chart for the entry. We will wait and see if this develops into something for us.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8076
1st Support: 0.7879
1st Resistance: 0.8295
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CHF is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7959
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.7986
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.7900
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7950
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.7924
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 0.7986
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could the Swissie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bouncer to the 1st resistance which is slightly above the 37.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.7933
1st Support: 0.7879
1st Resistance: 0.8016
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF Breaks Expansion, Aims For Next Support LevelOANDA:USDCHF has given us a Breakout of the Expanding Range it has been traveling in since the Low @ .78712 created on July 1st.
Now Price has already Retested the Breakout of the Rising Support of the Expansion and a Past Support Level, now turned Resistance @ .7960!
Hourly candles are continuing to close Lower signaling further potential to the downside!
Short Entry @ .7945
SL @ .7965 ( Above Retest of Breakout )
TP @ .7880
Setupsfx_ | USDCHF: A Big Major Swing Sell In Making 760+ Pips The USDCHF pair has dropped significantly since our last update. We anticipate another drop before price may reverse. DXY is also dropping and may continue to decline. There’s a major swing target that will take time to complete successfully. Use risk management according to your own risk tolerance.
Thank you for your continued support!
Team Setupsfx_
USD/CHF (1-hour timeframe)USD/CHF (1-hour timeframe), the analysis appears to include:
Ascending triangle pattern (with higher lows and a horizontal resistance).
Ichimoku Cloud for trend analysis.
Two marked target levels with projected breakout potential.
Identified Targets:
1. First Target:
🔹 Around 0.80000
This is just above the current resistance zone and seems to be the initial breakout target if price breaks the horizontal resistance.
2. Second Target (Final Target):
🔹 Around 0.80300 – 0.80350
This is the next higher resistance or profit-taking zone based on projected move from the triangle breakout.
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Summary:
If the price breaks and closes above the horizontal resistance (approx. 0.79850), your potential targets are:
🎯 Target 1: 0.80000
🎯 Target 2: 0.80300–0.80350
Keep an eye on price action and volume confirmation before entry. Let me know if you want stop-loss suggestions or a risk/reward breakdown.
USDCHF long term bullish playHello,
The USDCHF is back to where it last traded in mid 2011. This reflects a significant weakening of the U.S. dollar against the Swiss franc, erasing over a decade of gains. It suggests growing investor demand for safe-haven assets like the franc — possibly driven by concerns around U.S. interest rate policy, inflation trends, or broader global uncertainty. The last time the dollar was this weak against the franc was more than 13 years ago.
While a weaker dollar is seen as good for the United States, we see a long term buy opportunity for this pair from the current level based on technical analysis. The pair is now trading at the bottom of the range.
Next week will be an important time for this pair as we wait for the inflation data. This will be key in guiding what the FED might do during the next meeting towards the end of the month.
USD/CHF Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 100 Pips !Here is my opinion on USD/CHF , We have a clear breakout and the price now above my support area , i`m waiting the price to go back to retest it and then give me any bullish price action and i will enter a buy trade , the reason for cancel this idea , if we have a daily closure again below my area.
USDCHF continues bullish recovery. Opportunity for BUY signal✏️#USDCHF is showing bullish recovery. The price is trading in a triangle pattern in the recovery phase. The 1.79500 area is an important support zone that is driving the pair's upside. 0.80700 is the immediate Target for a BUY signal.
📈Key Level
SUPPORT 0.79500
RESISTANCE 0.80700
BUY now at support 0.79500
Target: 0.80700
SELL Trigger: Break support 0.79500
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
USD CHF SHORT PLAY-TITAN SIGNAL🔻 USDCHF SHORT PLAY – TITAN SIGNAL 🔻
"Impulse Drain Line Breach – Initiate Tactical Short"
📍 PAIR: USDCHF
🎯 Play Type: Short
📈 Signal Code: Impulse Drain Line Activated
📌 Entry: Upon clean break + retest of the Impulse Drain Line (0.79436
🎯 Targets:
LZ1: 0.7909
LZ2: -0.7898
LZ3: 0.7886
🛡 Stop: 0.79522