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Swiss Franc / U.S. Dollar

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CHFUSD trade ideas

USDCHF | Live Price Action LessonIn this lesson we have the major pivots in price action directed with the blue path so that we can easily find the trend and to also figure out how to take action on finding out if this pair is Bullish or Bearish In this case we see that price is at the same high in the past with tight swings creating a range or also called the distribution phase in the 4 market cycles and these two sings alone are telling us that price is looking bearish for the long term After knowing what the overall goal is for price action 🐻 we can create a strategy for short positions only and look for entries at high points within the entire range to swing this market (the pivots are our zones of entry either up/down) I've also drawn an impulse wave to add more confluence to the according swings Up and Down as both directions have the same pattern Note: Usually the 1st wave is typically way smaller with the 3rd wave⚡ being the largest and quickest. Using the 150-day MA can now help you manage the trade in either direction like show on chart we can see that almost every pivot bounced somewhat around the average line for optimal entry points At the top like the last setup price action broke below and then retraced back to the MA to confirm if the selloff is true after being rejected. 🎯 The goal for this setup is to capture the entire swing and to scale the position as price falls further with more confirmation along the way Typical forex traders dont teach this type of method as its harder to manage and unrealistic based on how long its takes (70 days+ give or take) This is a different approach and would be similar to mid - long term swing trading stocks or crypto but it very possible for forex as well based on your strategy and style By finding the true pivot points in price action you can easily break the trade down to capture 100 - 200 pips or less but will require you to look at the charts in one way only and not both ☯ as it can be confusing. If you enjoyed reading this and learned something new to help advance your trading journey please boost this post, share it, and comment your thoughts on this universal strategy so that I can continue to make more, Thanks!🙂
by Nathanl19
LongGiven that the market price is likely to move upwards, it sounds like you’re anticipating a bullish move. With the resistance level at **0.91946**, if the price breaks above this, it could trigger further upside momentum. Setting the **stop-loss at 0.89589** provides a solid risk management strategy, as it’s a safe distance away from potential support, allowing for some fluctuation while protecting against major downside moves. If the price holds its bullish sentiment and pushes through the resistance at **0.91946**, a continuation upward seems plausible. Make sure to monitor price action closely near the resistance to confirm whether it breaks or faces a rejection.
Long
by Rohan_Jas
USDCHF - Buy Setup After Resistance BreakOANDA:USDCHF has broken out of its descending channel and is now pulling back to retest the key breakout zone, which aligns with a critical support level. This retest is crucial in confirming the breakout and establishing bullish momentum. If buyers defend this level and bullish rejection patterns emerge (e.g., bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks), it could signal the continuation of the upward move. I anticipate a rally toward the 0.91250 level, which has previously acted as a significant area of interest. This setup aligns with the idea of a break-and-retest pattern, offering an opportunity to join the bullish trend at a favorable entry point. ⚠️ Key considerations: Monitor the price action closely for confirmation before entering long positions. If the 0.90650 level fails to hold, a deeper retracement may occur, invalidating the bullish setup. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
USDCHF H4 | FOREX BEEHey Traders, Looking at the USD/CHF H4 chart, here's my technical analysis: Observations: 1. Descending Channel: - The pair is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, indicating bearish momentum. - The price recently touched the upper boundary of the channel and appears to be pulling back. 2. Key Levels - Support Zone (Red Box): Around 0.8965, coinciding with the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement, acting as a strong potential demand zone. - Resistance Zone (Red Line): Near 0.9140, where previous price reactions and the channel's upper boundary converge. 3. Potential Scenarios: - Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the descending channel and clears 0.9140, it could signal a reversal to the upside. - Bearish Continuation: If rejection continues at the upper boundary, the price may head toward the 0.8965 zone, potentially retesting the 0.50 Fibonacci level or even lower near 0.8840 (0.236 Fibonacci). ### My Thoughts: This setup currently favors short-term bearish momentum unless a breakout above 0.9140 occurs. A sell opportunity may arise on rejection near the current level, while a clean break out of the descending channel offers a potential bullish reversal signal.
by forexbeesignals
USDCHF - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 0.89147 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 0.89147 is broken. Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.89645 on 01/27/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.91497, 0.92218, 0.94400 and more heights is expected. Take Profits: 0.85510 0.86286 0.87474 0.88195 0.89147 0.90367 0.91497 0.92218 0.94400 0.96000 0.99200 1.01453 __________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 BOOST button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! 🙏 Your Support is appreciated! Let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
11
USDCHF Support Bounce and Bullish OutlookUSD/CHF is currently trading at 0.91100, showing a strong support level. The expected target price is 0.94000, indicating a potential upside of 300+ pips. The price is bouncing well from a key support level, suggesting a bullish reversal. The support and resistance pattern is playing a crucial role in this setup. Traders anticipate that buyers will push the price higher toward the target. A sustained move above resistance may confirm further bullish momentum. Risk management is essential to handle potential reversals. Market conditions and news events should be monitored. A breakout above resistance can strengthen the bullish trend. Patience and discipline are key to executing this trade successfully.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
USDCHF → The bullish trend may get its continuationOANDA:USDCHF is entering the realization phase after a prolonged correction. A favorable background is created by the uptrend and rising dollar The technical outlook on the daily timeframe is very good. The price after breaking the trend resistance tested the previously broken line. The currency pair after the false breakout managed to consolidate above the key point, marking an interim bottom and further prospects. Technically, the focus is on the resistance at 0.911, if the bulls can overcome this area and consolidate above this level, the currency pair will be able to realize a rise to 0.918 - 0.93. Resistance levels: 0.911 Support levels: 0.90555 Before breaking the resistance, the currency pair could test 0.90555 due to the liquidity generated below this area. But, the trigger that can provoke further growth is 0.911 Regards MARKET ANALYZER
Long
by MarketAnalyzar
USDCHF: Should we look for a weaker franc?!The USDCHF pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, we will be provided with further buying positions in this pair with an appropriate risk-reward ratio. The continuation of the pair’s rise and its placement in the supply zone will provide us with a selling position. The President of the Swiss National Bank (SNB), Schlegel, stated in an interview with SRF that while the SNB does not favor negative interest rates, it also cannot completely rule them out. He emphasized that implementing such a policy would not be a decision taken lightly. In recent weeks, Schlegel has repeatedly mentioned the possibility of negative interest rates, particularly in light of Switzerland’s inflation dropping to 0.6% in December, which has raised concerns about deflation. However, he noted that temporary periods of negative inflation would not necessarily pose a problem.Additionally, Schlegel reaffirmed the SNB’s commitment to maintaining price stability over the medium term, within the 0–2% target range. Currently, market expectations indicate a 60% probability that the SNB will cut interest rates from 0.5% to 0.25% in March, with a 25% chance of rates reaching 0% by June. In the United States, GDP data for Q4 2024 showed that the economy grew at an annualized 2.3% rate—below market expectations (2.6%) and lower than the 3.1% growth seen in the previous quarter. However, a 2.5% year-over-year growth rate remains substantial and aligns with the Federal Reserve’s outlook. A key takeaway from the recent GDP report is the strong performance of U.S. consumers, who exceeded expectations with 4.2% growth in spending. According to CIBC, American consumers have shown a notable preference for durable goods, with spending in this category surging 12.1% last quarter—a figure significantly above pre-pandemic trends. However, CIBC warns that other sectors of the economy are not as strong. Business investments remain weak, and government spending has played a crucial role in supporting economic growth. Additionally, a 0.9% decline in inventories, driven by weather disruptions and labor strikes, has negatively impacted GDP growth. These factors are expected to persist into Q1 2025, as businesses stockpile inventory ahead of potential tariffs. However, when stripping out inventory effects, final sales to domestic buyers remain strong at 3.1%, which is nearly in line with the two-year average. CIBC also believes that consumer spending will remain resilient, supported by rising asset-related incomes and millennials’ enthusiasm for technology and discretionary spending. That said, trade tariffs could ultimately shave 1% off GDP growth, with their effects likely to linger for some time. Overall, CIBC concludes that while GDP growth may slow slightly under a Trump presidency, the decline is unlikely to cause major concern for the Federal Reserve. Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains more focused on rising prices, their impact on inflation expectations, and wage pressures, as the economy remains strong but inflation is not yet fully controlled. Today’s data reinforces the Fed’s data-dependent approach. Underlying growth is still around 3%, and there is no indication that consumers are scaling back spending, suggesting that they can absorb moderate price increases. As a result, Nomura now expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged through the end of 2025, revising its earlier forecast, which had anticipated at least one rate cut in 2025.
Long
by Ali_PSND
An extended growthDollar Franc has been growing since August 2024, and is in a position to possibly extend this expansion. Price action is retesting the 0.92000 barrier, after reach it this month, January 2025. If the pair remains below this barrier, price may begin transitioning into a bearish trend. However, if the current surge manages to breakthrough with an attitude of stabilizing above the resistance zone. An expansion of price is likely going to happen. If it does break and continue up. The above resistance zones may be areas where price action will probably correct, possibly settling a bit (days/weeks) and then continue up to the established W and M tops. Price action is ranging with a Monthly correction phase.
Long
by Two4One4