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Swiss Franc / U.S. Dollar

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USDCHF Short-term Channel Up targeting 0.88120The USDCHF pair is following very accurately our September 17 projection (see chart below) and is already half-way through our 0.90500 Target: As mentioned then that was a long-term bottom buy opportunity, but that doesn't mean shorter ones don't exist on the lower time-frames. On this chart, we've identified one on the 4H time-frame where the price got rejected at the top of the October Channel Up and pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This resembles the October 08 0.382 Fib rejection, which was also contained above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and resumed the uptrend all the way to the -0.236 Fib extension. As a result, our short-term Target is 0.88120. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDCHF - Dollar will continue to grow after FOMC?!The USDCHF currency pair is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that zone with appropriate risk reward. The bottom of the ascending channel will be the target of this move. The Federal Reserve recently reduced its interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to 4.75%. The Fed’s statement indicates that the “labor market has cooled,” whereas the previous statement had only mentioned a “slower job market growth.” Additionally, there appears to be a slight decline in confidence regarding inflation reduction. Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chair, emphasized that he will remain in his role until the end of his term. When asked about fiscal policies, Powell stated that such matters are outside the Fed’s authority. He added that if the economy remains strong and inflation does not reach the 2% target, monetary policy adjustments may occur at a slower pace. He also highlighted that the policies of any administration or Congress could have significant economic impacts, but these effects will be evaluated alongside other factors. The recent report on Switzerland’s consumer inflation index indicates that the global landscape has not changed significantly from the pre-COVID era. After the inflation shock of the COVID period, some banking officials speculated that the world was entering a new phase where zero or negative interest rates were unlikely, and the neutral rate would be higher. However, there is no strong evidence to support this claim, especially with the major transformations anticipated from the growth of artificial intelligence. Furthermore, many analysts believe that the risks associated with de-globalization and demographic arguments are not as compelling. In September, the Swiss National Bank revised its inflation forecast for 2025 from 1.1% to 0.6% and also adjusted the interest rate. The inflation forecast for this year was revised down from 1.3% to 1.2%. The next meeting of the Swiss National Bank is scheduled for December 12, and if current conditions persist (including energy prices and exchange rates), a 50-basis-point rate cut could become a strong option. Deutsche Bank also sees an increasing likelihood of a return to negative interest rates, noting factors that could lead to higher risk and a stronger Swiss franc. These challenges are not exclusive to Switzerland; Europe as a whole is facing similar issues. Deutsche Bank has indicated that, currently, inflation in Europe does not pose a significant problem.
Short
by Ali_PSND
Will USDCHF reverse its course due to the new SNB's prospect?Macro theme: - Swiss inflation unexpectedly slowed to 0.6% in Oct—the lowest in over three years—raising expectations that the SNB may opt for a more significant 0.5% rate cut in Dec to keep inflation within its 0-2% target range. - Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% but issued a slightly more hawkish statement. Technical theme: - USDCHF broke the descending channel after testing both EMAs, which just golden crossed each other, indicating a bullish momentum exists. - USDCHF may retest the broken descending trendline, confluence with the support level around 0.8693-0.8700 before resuming its upward movement to retest 0.8825. - On the contrary, a closing below 08626 may prompt a deeper correction to a nearby support around 0.8550. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.8701 1st Support: 0.8634 1st Resistance: 0.8774 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USDCHF Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCHF analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Analysis
1
USDCHF_106 2024.11.07 08:19:04 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for USDCHF_106 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 0.87033 SL: 0.87593 Entry Price: 0.87523 Analysis for USDCHF Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Undecided LT= Strong Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Same LT=Down ST=Up LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF currency pair: **Short-term (next 24-48 hours):** * The indicative opening price of 0.8650 suggests stability, but the thin liquidity on Monday mornings and geopolitical tensions could lead to increased volatility. * The technical analysis video emphasizes caution and monitoring key levels, which implies that the price movement might be uncertain or range-bound in the short term. * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, but this might not necessarily manifest in the next 24-48 hours. Expected price movement in the short term: **STAY THE SAME** (range-bound or minimal movement) **Long-term (next week or beyond):** * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, which implies that the price is expected to go down. * The technical analysis video and the forecast section both indicate a potential downward movement, which supports this assessment. * The broader market conditions, such as central banks' actions and geopolitical tensions, could also contribute to a downward trend. Expected price movement in the long term: **GO DOWN** ( continuation of the downward trend) Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and should not be considered as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and other factors not mentioned in the analysis could influence the price movement. Result: ST=Same LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term Analysis (next few days):** The price is expected to **go up**. The pair is in an uptrend, and technical analysis suggests that it will continue higher, targeting levels such as 0.8680 and potentially 0.8750. The intraday bias is also on the upside, with a target of 0.8698. However, there is a risk of a pullback to fill a chart gap, potentially correcting down to 0.8574. **Long-term Analysis (weeks/months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or potentially **go down**. Despite the strong recovery over recent weeks, the longer-term trend for USD/CHF is still considered bearish as long as the 0.9243 resistance holds. A firm break of 0.8332 could resume the larger downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available. Result: ST=Up LT=Down Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term analysis (next few days):** The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish correction, testing the resistance level near 0.8745. However, this is expected to be followed by a downward rebound, continuing the fall. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, and the RSI supports the decline scenario. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the price to **go down** after a brief attempt to correct upwards. **Long-term analysis (weeks/months):** The fundamental overview mentions the influence of safe-haven demand on the Swiss Franc, which could continue to impact the USD/CHF pair. Additionally, the potential for gradual interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could also affect the pair. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, with a potential breakout of the lower border of the "Triangle" pattern. Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the long term, potentially targeting levels below 0.7985. In summary: * Short-term: **Go down** (after a brief correction) * Long-term: **Go down** (targeting levels below 0.7985) Result: ST=Down LT=Down
Short
by frankiepro
USDCHF_106 2024.11.07 06:43:03 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for USDCHF_106 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 0.87208 SL: 0.87552 Entry Price: 0.87509 Analysis for USDCHF Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Undecided LT= Strong Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Same LT=Down ST=Up LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF currency pair: **Short-term (next 24-48 hours):** * The indicative opening price of 0.8650 suggests stability, but the thin liquidity on Monday mornings and geopolitical tensions could lead to increased volatility. * The technical analysis video emphasizes caution and monitoring key levels, which implies that the price movement might be uncertain or range-bound in the short term. * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, but this might not necessarily manifest in the next 24-48 hours. Expected price movement in the short term: **STAY THE SAME** (range-bound or minimal movement) **Long-term (next week or beyond):** * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, which implies that the price is expected to go down. * The technical analysis video and the forecast section both indicate a potential downward movement, which supports this assessment. * The broader market conditions, such as central banks' actions and geopolitical tensions, could also contribute to a downward trend. Expected price movement in the long term: **GO DOWN** ( continuation of the downward trend) Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and should not be considered as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and other factors not mentioned in the analysis could influence the price movement. Result: ST=Same LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term Analysis (next few days):** The price is expected to **go up**. The pair is in an uptrend, and technical analysis suggests that it will continue higher, targeting levels such as 0.8680 and potentially 0.8750. The intraday bias is also on the upside, with a target of 0.8698. However, there is a risk of a pullback to fill a chart gap, potentially correcting down to 0.8574. **Long-term Analysis (weeks/months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or potentially **go down**. Despite the strong recovery over recent weeks, the longer-term trend for USD/CHF is still considered bearish as long as the 0.9243 resistance holds. A firm break of 0.8332 could resume the larger downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available. Result: ST=Up LT=Down Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term analysis (next few days):** The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish correction, testing the resistance level near 0.8745. However, this is expected to be followed by a downward rebound, continuing the fall. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, and the RSI supports the decline scenario. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the price to **go down** after a brief attempt to correct upwards. **Long-term analysis (weeks/months):** The fundamental overview mentions the influence of safe-haven demand on the Swiss Franc, which could continue to impact the USD/CHF pair. Additionally, the potential for gradual interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could also affect the pair. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, with a potential breakout of the lower border of the "Triangle" pattern. Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the long term, potentially targeting levels below 0.7985. In summary: * Short-term: **Go down** (after a brief correction) * Long-term: **Go down** (targeting levels below 0.7985) Result: ST=Down LT=Down
Short
by frankiepro
USDCHF_102 2024.11.07 05:39:07 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for USDCHF_102 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 0.87336 SL: 0.87608 Entry Price: 0.87574 Analysis for USDCHF Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Undecided LT= Strong Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Same LT=Down ST=Up LT=Down ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF currency pair: **Short-term (next 24-48 hours):** * The indicative opening price of 0.8650 suggests stability, but the thin liquidity on Monday mornings and geopolitical tensions could lead to increased volatility. * The technical analysis video emphasizes caution and monitoring key levels, which implies that the price movement might be uncertain or range-bound in the short term. * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, but this might not necessarily manifest in the next 24-48 hours. Expected price movement in the short term: **STAY THE SAME** (range-bound or minimal movement) **Long-term (next week or beyond):** * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, which implies that the price is expected to go down. * The technical analysis video and the forecast section both indicate a potential downward movement, which supports this assessment. * The broader market conditions, such as central banks' actions and geopolitical tensions, could also contribute to a downward trend. Expected price movement in the long term: **GO DOWN** ( continuation of the downward trend) Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and should not be considered as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and other factors not mentioned in the analysis could influence the price movement. Result: ST=Same LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term Analysis (next few days):** The price is expected to **go up**. The pair is in an uptrend, and technical analysis suggests that it will continue higher, targeting levels such as 0.8680 and potentially 0.8750. The intraday bias is also on the upside, with a target of 0.8698. However, there is a risk of a pullback to fill a chart gap, potentially correcting down to 0.8574. **Long-term Analysis (weeks/months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or potentially **go down**. Despite the strong recovery over recent weeks, the longer-term trend for USD/CHF is still considered bearish as long as the 0.9243 resistance holds. A firm break of 0.8332 could resume the larger downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available. Result: ST=Up LT=Down Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF pair: **Short-term analysis (next few days):** The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish correction, testing the resistance level near 0.8745. However, this is expected to be followed by a downward rebound, continuing the fall. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, and the RSI supports the decline scenario. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the price to **go down** after a brief attempt to correct upwards. **Long-term analysis (weeks/months):** The fundamental overview mentions the influence of safe-haven demand on the Swiss Franc, which could continue to impact the USD/CHF pair. Additionally, the potential for gradual interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could also affect the pair. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, with a potential breakout of the lower border of the "Triangle" pattern. Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the long term, potentially targeting levels below 0.7985. In summary: * Short-term: **Go down** (after a brief correction) * Long-term: **Go down** (targeting levels below 0.7985) Result: ST=Down LT=Down
Short
by frankiepro
Could the price drop from here?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is reacting on the pivot which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 0.8773 1st Support: 0.8698 1st Resistance: 0.8809 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDCHF H4 | Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 0.8698, which is a pullback support close to 50% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 0.8801, which is a pullback resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 0.8611, which is an overlap support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USD/CHF (King Turtle): rise Slow and SteadyFundametnal Analaysis: OANDA:USDCHF outlook is shaped by notable interest rate differentials and diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). With the Fed holding rates at 5% and the SNB's current rate at 1.00% (down from 1.25%), the dollar remains more attractive to investors seeking higher yields. The potential for the SNB to further cut rates amplifies this dynamic, as lower Swiss rates could diminish the franc’s appeal, especially with inflation in Switzerland relatively subdued at 1.1%. In contrast, U.S. inflation sits at 2.5%, with the economy showing resilience, reducing the likelihood of imminent Fed cuts. This policy divergence creates upward momentum for USD/CHF, positioning the pair for further gains as investors capitalize on the interest rate advantage and the prospect of a more dovish SNB stance. Monitoring any shifts in SNB policy will be critical, as a rate cut would likely accelerate the pair's bullish trajectory. Technical Analysis: OANDA:USDCHF chart shows a prevailing bearish trend, with the pair consistently making lower highs and lows. However, the price is currently testing a strong support zone near 0.84066, suggesting the potential for a bullish reversal. The chart hints at a possible breakout from the consolidation, with the first target (TP1) around 0.87269 and the second target (TP2) at 0.88325. The overall trend remains bearish, but if the price breaks above these levels, it could signal a reversal, especially if the SNB's dovish policy continues to weigh on the franc.
Long
by rTrader_official
8