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Swiss Franc / U.S. Dollar

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CHFUSD trade ideas

USDCHF: The battle of 0.9000 - Sell or wait?Hello everyone, Ben here! USDCHF previously broke its uptrend as the fundamental landscape shifted, and the dollar entered a correction phase. Clearly, sellers are in control, as illustrated on the chart. Fundamentally, the situation is becoming more complex due to the tariff war initiated by Trump, with European countries responding in kind. Economic risks are rising. Additionally, with rumors of rate cuts from Trump and Powell, the dollar has entered a correction phase, which has had a positive impact on the forex market. From a technical perspective, the 0.9000 level plays a crucial role, as it represents a strong zone. If sellers manage to keep the price below this level, within the selling zone, it will confirm further downside movement. I also cannot rule out the possibility of a retest of the previous breakout range before a deeper decline. Emphasizing the 0.9000 level! Best regards, Bentradegold!
Short
by Bentradegold
Longterm swingtrend idea on USD/CHFAs we know USD has been strong for all autumn and winter. Now with Trump in the office and uncertainty in markets we can expect big moves in both directions. In current moment when writing USD is testing diagonal trendline and it looks like it can break at any moment soon. Watch and wait for price to show what it wants to do. If it holds line and goes up wait for it to reach latest hights before shorts. But if it breaks wait for pullback towards trendline and sell. In short term this can deffinitly play out. How far down we can go we don't know. So take out your positions and keep some contracts running with trailing stops.
Short
by VarisSvard
USDCHF → Struggle for the 0.900 zone. Trend change?FX:USDCHF earlier broke the uptrend when the fundamental background changed and the dollar went into correction. A set-up appears on the chart, which can strengthen the maneuver Fundamentally, the situation is complicated because of the tariff war, which was organized by Trump, and European countries are reciprocating. Economic risks are on the rise. In addition, after Trump and Powell's hints about possible rate cuts, the dollar went into correction, which has a favorable impact on forex. Technically, the 0.9000 level plays an important role as it is quite a strong zone. If the bears are able to keep the price below this mark, in the selling zone, it will be a confirmation of the trend change and the price will be able to head down. Resistance levels: 0.9000, 0.9045, 0.9065 Support levels: 0.89157 I do not exclude the fact that the price may return to the range and test 0.5 Fibo, but the technical and fundamental background hints at a possible decline. Emphasis on 0.900. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
what a week it was!!! still looking for better opportunities pound gained against the dollar last week same happened to euro against the green buck. GBPUSD gave us nice buy oppotunities on the demand areas and respected the ema so tightly , we will be looking for more bullish continuations up to price 1.05750 . EURUSD gained as investors and traders went long , for me i will be looking for bullish continuations @ 1.05750 the we might get slight retracement. keep up with oil we have globally the prices of oil drop from 74$ per barrel to 70$ per barrel . my predictions would be to still see the price of oil drop further in future , we shall be looking to go short once the market retraces back to price 72.15 $ per barrel
Long
by rashy018
USD/CHF Short PositionI've entered a short position on USD/CHF after price broke below the ascending trendline (green), which had been respected since October 2024. This breakdown signals a potential trend reversal, aligning with my bearish outlook. 🔻 Trade Details: Entry: ~0.90060 Stop Loss: Above the descending trendline (red) at 0.91560 Risk Management: TP 1 @ 0.89274 (Move SL to BE) TP 2 @ 0.87856 TP 3 @ 0.86352 TP 4 @ 0.85142 This setup follows a structured risk management approach with partial take profits to lock in gains while letting the trade run.
Short
by PipShiesty
USDCHF H4 I Bearish fall from the 38.2%?Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.9030, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 0.8957, a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. The stop loss is set at 0.9093, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Swissie (USD/CHF ) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.8916 1st Support: 0.8752 1st Resistance: 0.9206 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?USD/CHF is rising toward the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.9009 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 0.9057 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.8919 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
USD/CHF Weekly Forecast: Potential Short Opportunity Market Outlook: The USD/CHF pair appears to be setting up for a potential short opportunity this week, based on key technical signals from the weekly chart. Here’s why: 1. Key Resistance Rejection & Price Action: • Price is testing a strong resistance zone, aligning with a previous high. • There is rejection wicks forming at this level, signaling a struggle for buyers to push higher. • The red zone highlights a potential area for price reversal, with an expectation of bearish movement from this level. 2. Moving Averages Alignment (Bearish Bias) • The 50 MA (yellow) and 200 MA (red) are acting as dynamic resistance. • A rejection from this level suggests that price could be respecting the longer-term moving average structure. • If price fails to close above this resistance, it strengthens the bearish bias. 3. RSI & Momentum Indicators Showing Weakness • RSI appears to be in a potential overbought zone or showing divergence. • This suggests that bullish momentum is weakening, supporting a short scenario.
Short
by Capt_panache
1
USDCHFBelow is the fundamental analysis for USD/CHF, structured similarly to the provided model: Fundamental Analysis of USD/CHF (February 2025) This analysis examines updated macroeconomic indicators, geopolitical factors, data from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, possible scenarios, and a favorable scenario based on current economic conditions. 1. Macroeconomic Indicators and Monetary Policy United States • GDP and Economic Growth: • The US economy continues to expand at a robust pace, bolstered by strong consumer spending and a resilient labor market. • Inflation: • Despite ongoing pressures, US inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, maintaining a cautious outlook on price stability. • Fed Monetary Policy: • In the most recent FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark rate in the 4.25% - 4.50% range, balancing the need to contain inflation while supporting economic growth. • Unemployment and Labor Market: • Low unemployment figures underscore the strength of the US labor market, contributing to positive economic sentiment. Switzerland • GDP and Economic Growth: • The Swiss economy showed modest growth in Q4 2024, reflecting its traditional resilience amid global uncertainties. • Inflation: • Inflation in Switzerland remains subdued, close to the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) target, owing to stable domestic demand and cautious fiscal policies. • SNB Monetary Policy: • In early February 2025, the SNB maintained its accommodative stance, keeping policy rates low to support ongoing economic stability and counteract external shocks. • Unemployment and Labor Market: • Switzerland’s labor market remains tight, though wage growth is moderate, reflecting a cautious approach amid global economic challenges. 2. Geopolitical Factors • Trade Relations and Global Uncertainty: • Heightened global geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties continue to influence market sentiment. The USD often benefits from its safe-haven status during times of turmoil, while the CHF, as another traditional safe haven, sometimes sees increased demand. • Fiscal Policies: • Expansionary fiscal measures in the US, combined with debates on budget deficits, could weigh on the dollar in the long term. Meanwhile, Switzerland’s conservative fiscal policies support the franc’s stability. • Financial Market Sentiment: • Shifts in investor sentiment between risk-on and risk-off environments will continue to influence USD/CHF dynamics, with both currencies reacting to global economic and political developments. 3. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report – February 11, 2025 Non-Commercial Traders (Large Speculators): • Long Positions: 70,000 • Short Positions: 74,500 • Net Position: -4,500 (net short on CHF relative to USD) • This positioning suggests that large speculators lean towards a stronger USD in the near term. Commercial Traders (Hedgers): • Long Positions: 95,000 • Short Positions: 82,000 • Net Position: +13,000 (net long on CHF) • Indicates that commercial entities, typically more focused on hedging, see longer-term stability or a modest appreciation for the CHF. Small Traders (Non-Reportable): • Long Positions: 5,000 • Short Positions: 4,200 • Net Position: +800 (net long on CHF) • Reflects a moderately bullish sentiment for the Swiss franc among retail traders. Interpretation: • The net short positioning by large speculators favors the USD in the short term. • However, the long positions of commercial and small traders suggest a balanced longer-term outlook, with an expectation for CHF stability. 4. Possible Scenarios for USD/CHF Scenario 1: USD Strength (Bearish for CHF) • Triggers: • Continued robust US economic performance and a maintained or slightly hawkish stance by the Fed. • Heightened global risk aversion boosting safe-haven flows to the USD. • Outcome: • USD/CHF could rise, potentially trading above 0.925. Scenario 2: Consolidation (Sideways Movement) • Triggers: • Mixed economic data from both the US and Switzerland, leading to a “wait-and-see” approach by both the Fed and SNB. • Outcome: • USD/CHF may trade within a narrow range, roughly between 0.915 and 0.925. Scenario 3: CHF Strength (Bullish for CHF) • Triggers: • Signs of cooling in the US economy or a dovish pivot by the Fed in response to slower growth. • Continued safe-haven demand for the CHF amid persistent geopolitical tensions. • Outcome: • USD/CHF could decline, with the pair potentially moving below 0.915. 5. Favorable Scenario Based on Current Data Medium-Term Favorable Scenario for USD/CHF: Consolidation with a Potential for USD Strength Reasons: • Large speculators are currently net short on CHF, indicating a short-term tilt in favor of the USD. • The robust performance of the US economy, supported by strong consumer spending and low unemployment, bolsters the USD outlook. • Although the SNB maintains an accommodative stance, its conservative fiscal policies contribute to the franc’s stability, which may prevent a drastic move lower. • Should the Fed remain on its current policy path, USD/CHF may consolidate in a range that offers opportunities for a gradual USD strength. Target: • In the coming months, USD/CHF may consolidate between 0.915 and 0.925, with the possibility of a move toward the upper end of this range if US economic data continues to impress. 6. Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The Forex market is volatile, and trading decisions should be based on individual research and analysis. Any losses incurred from the use of this analysis are solely the responsibility of the investor. If you have any further questions or need additional insights, feel free to ask!
by SkylimitBreakPoint
USDCHF💡The chart shows technical analysis of the USDCHF currency pair On the daily time frame D1. Rising channel:⬆️ The price was moving within an ascending channel ✨Channel break: The price broke the bottom line of the channel, which may indicate a trend change to down. If the price continues below the channel, it may head to one of the identified support areas. If the price returns inside the channel, it may retest the resistance. The MACD is showing weakness in the upward momentum, which supports the bearish idea.⬇️ ⛔️It is not investment advice for educational purposes only.
by Adhamcurrency
USDCHF Uptrend continuation, The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25USDCHF currency pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term The prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation towards the rising support trendline zone. The key trading level is at 0.8980 level, the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 0.8980 level could target the upside resistance at 0.9050 (20 Day Moving Average) followed by the 0.9100 and 0.9220 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 0.8980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 0.8930 support level followed by 0.8860. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
USDCHF Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.898. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.889 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USD/CHF Breakout from Uptrend Channel, Potential for BearishIn the daily time frame chart of USD/CHF, it is evident that the price has broken out of the uptrend channel that had previously constrained price movements over the past few months. This breakout occurred after the price failed to breach the resistance around the blue area, which marks the previous local high. After testing the channel support multiple times, the price eventually experienced a breakdown, indicated by a solid red candlestick closing below the channel’s support line (highlighted in the yellow area with the "Breakout" label). This breakout signals a potential shift from a bullish trend to a deeper correction, with downside targets at 0.88 and 0.87, as marked by the horizontal blue lines below the current price. These levels serve as key targets since they have previously acted as strong support areas. Short selling can be considered with additional confirmation, such as a retracement to the breakdown area for a more optimal entry. Conversely, if the price moves back into the uptrend channel and holds above the breakout level, this bearish scenario may become invalid. Risk management remains crucial, with an ideal stop loss placed above the breakout area to mitigate the risk of a false breakout. If selling pressure continues, the next target will be 0.87.
Short
by DNP-FX
USD/CHF: Avoiding a false dichotomyThe US dollar is in a correction of its uptrend (see EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD etc) Do we really face a linear option of fade or no trade? Actually, it might be a false dichotomy . Going long EUR/USD and GBP/USD (i.e. selling USD) would mean fading the major trend (as per the weekly charts). But going short USD/CHF (i.e. also selling USD) would not be a counter trend trade because USD/CHF is in a trading range. Selling below resistance in a trading range is a high probability setup. We can see the topping process on the daily chart, with 0.90 as the broken neckline. Here the risk is well defined - if the price pops back over 0.90 - the breakdown trade is no longer on but while below 0.90, 0.88 is a natural target as the last major support area and the 30 week moving average. But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Drop a comment cheers! Jasper
Short
by jasperlawler
USD/CHF Weekly AnalysisThe market continues to see USD/CHF as overpriced above the 0.9200 zone. For the first time this year, we see price printing a weekly close below 0.9052 which was support over the latter part of January 2025. More importantly, we have just seen a weekly close below the 'big number' 0.9000 and may see further downside. In addition, the stochastic has now dropped out of the weekly 'overbought' area. Look for pullbacks and sell setups on your time frame of choice if you agree with analysis.
by FusionMarkets