CHFUSD trade ideas
"Goooo...!!! Get to the safe-haven choppa!"And there we go... Market participants are in panic mode as tariff show kicks off. Everyone is trying to find a safe-haven like CHF and JPY. However, gold and silver are not the ones, where you need to be now.
Let's dig in!
TVC:GOLD
MARKETSCOM:USDCHF
MARKETSCOM:USDJPY
MARKETSCOM:JAPAN225
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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USDCHF Forecast: AI Signals a Bearish Shift USDCHF is showing clear signs for a short-term bearish momentum based on the latest EASY Trading AI strategy. The AI-driven analysis marks a Sell entry at 0.88135, targeting a Take Profit of 0.87997667, with risk contained by a Stop Loss at 0.88373667.This bearish projection is guided by automated detection of weakening bullish impulses and strengthening bearish indicators, considering recent price levels and volatility patterns. Traders should closely monitor these defined parameters, adjusting risk management precisely according to the provided stop loss.
USD/CHF Market Analysis – Potential Bullish ReversalThe USD/CHF pair is currently in a downtrend, as indicated by the overall bearish price action. However, the chart suggests a potential reversal scenario.
Price is approaching a key H4 demand zone, which previously acted as strong support. If this level holds, a bullish move could be anticipated. The projected market structure indicates a possible pullback before a continuation upwards, aligning with the larger trend shift.
Traders should monitor price reaction within the demand zone, as a break below could indicate further downside continuation, while a strong rejection may confirm a bullish reversal.
USDCHF Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.884.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.881 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CHF Falls to Its Lowest Level in Nearly Five MonthsUSD/CHF Falls to Its Lowest Level in Nearly Five Months
Today, the exchange rate of one US dollar against the Swiss franc dropped below 0.87000 francs—its lowest level since early November 2024.
Since the start of 2025, the USD/CHF pair has declined by more than 4%.
Why Is USD/CHF Falling Today?
On one hand, the US dollar is weakening against other currencies due to Trump’s decision to implement the previously announced tariffs on international trade, as mentioned in our previous post.
On the other hand, the Swiss franc is gaining strength due to its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, this morning’s release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed that inflation in Switzerland remains at zero, increasing the franc’s value at a time when tariff conflicts pose risks to the global economy.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
Since the start of 2025, the USD/CHF pair has been following a downward trajectory, highlighted by a declining channel (marked in red), with the following key points:
→ The median line has shifted from support to resistance, as indicated by the arrows.
→ The price broke through the March support level around 0.8757, accelerating the decline.
→ The lower boundary of the channel provided support this morning, slowing bearish momentum.
It is possible that the 0.8757 level will act as resistance in April 2025. However, the future direction of USD/CHF will largely depend on news developments, particularly statements from global leaders regarding tariffs in international trade.
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USDCHF FORECASTThis guys was one of my favorite pairs in the list for this week. The way how the market developed from the Daily timeframe it gives me the opportunity of looking this pair to the downside. Price has already broken our important areas and now we are waiting to see what market will be doing. Just remember that patient is Key!
USDCHF I Weekly CLS Continuation I KL - OB I Model 2Hey Traders!!
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USDCHF H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8698, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.8799, a pullback resistance.
The stoploss is placed at 0.8609 , a pullback support.
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USDCHF: Consolidation ContinuesDuring our daily interaction class today, we observed that the 📉USDCHF pair is consolidating within a horizontal range on a 4-hour time frame.
After testing its resistance, there was a downward movement in the market which led to the breach of the neckline of a double top pattern, indicating a strong bearish signal for intraday trade.
As a result, I anticipate that the price could decline to the 0.8789 level in the near future.
USDCHF falling resistance retest at 0.8856USDCHF maintains a bearish sentiment, aligned with the prevailing downtrend. The recent price action suggests an oversold bounce, which may be temporary before the downtrend resumes.
Key Level: 0.8856
This level represents the previous consolidation zone and serves as a crucial resistance point.
Bearish Scenario: If the price faces rejection at 0.8856, it could resume its decline, targeting 0.8790, followed by 0.8770 and 0.8736 over the longer term.
Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 0.8856 with a daily close beyond this level would invalidate the bearish outlook, opening the way for rallies toward 0.8870 and 0.8890.
Conclusion:
USDCHF remains bearish unless it breaks above 0.8856. Traders should monitor this key level for either rejection or confirmation to determine the next move.
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#005 USDCHF Moving Average 0308SGT 01042025Add : I pasted a screenshot of how price looks like on the 5 Minutes Time Frame at the current swing high.
Price is stabbing the Major Resistance area, so, I guess the market players are content with the current price, and also, volume is sloping downwards, which shows that actually the market is quiet so the price is ranging at the major resistance area.
Would price go in my favour or against me? There's no telling to be honest. All I could do is to manage my trades and what I tell myself in my head.
0318SGT 01042025
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Shorting USDCHF as price retraces sharply back to the Major Resistance area as shown on the chart.
I am shorting because I think price is being manipulated right now, with the huge spike upwards to the resistance area, institutions are trying to sweep up the liquidity for USD, maybe to buy more stocks as the US stocks is down currently into its 6th week after Trumps win, I think.
I heard that TikTok US is going to be sold to a US firm. Not sure how true it is.
I held my breath for like 10 days or so in the last 10 days of March because I already made some profits in my Oanda mt4 account, and broke even on TradingView paper account.
I'll be taking this trade only for now as a set, and then I would be taking a break. I'll be going for stupid reservist next week. I feel so anxious but no choice.
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I'll be pasting what I mentioned in Ideas section below.
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I wanna sell here, but i wouldn't.
I would wait until 12 pm which is in 1 hour 7 minutes later.
I have other pairs on standby which has also touched the Major resistance and Major support already, but I am holding myself back because I promised myself that I would not trade in March anymore after getting +2.9R profit in March after 3 trades on Oanda mt4, and +0.004R profit on tradingview paper trade.
2255SGT 31032025
Just placed a Sell Limit at 0.88504, SL at 0.88737 going for 2R TP at 0.88039.
Some other pairs I am looking at has either gone without me or and in an unstable situation I am not comfortable with, so I am couldn't join them at my preferred price level, or am not going to join them.
CADCHF went without me at the support of the up channel.
EURAUD, USDSGD, GBPCAD, GBPAUD went without me, too bad.
0039SGT 01042025
Will be removing the Sell Limit if price continues without me.
Today is the first day of April so lets relax abit, even though I am actually raring to go.
I didn't get my dopamine from outside today(go do some delivery jobs) so my mental state isn't that stable, so, I better take some time and chill.
0040SGT 01042025
Will be updating the journal if I do enter the sell limit.
Also want to add, if you look at the 5 Minutes time frame, you would see price stabbing at the Major Resistance level, as the institutions are grabbing the liquidity for a push in either directions.
Power move has also been made as they create false demand for USD, coupled with today being Eid Mubarak or Hari Raya, so, the Muslims are not here with us to provide the additional liquidity. (Im from Singapore, and even though it's a chinese majority country, we celebrate Eid as a public holiday. So, there definitely is an impact there for USD, especially when the middle east is on holiday, too.)
0044SGT 01042025
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Ok I'll be turning off my laptop after I post this in a minute.
0314SGT 01042025