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USTECH100CFD trade ideas

Price Retest Scenarios and Key Levels for Trend ConfirmationTechnical Analysis The price has surged to a new historic high. It is now expected to retest 21900. A confirmed 4-hour candle close below 21900 will indicate a bearish move toward 21770. On the other hand, if the price stabilizes above 22120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it will support a bullish trend toward 22230. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 22120 Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510 Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Momentum with stability below 22120 - Bullish Momentum by stability above 22120
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
USNAS100 / Bullish Momentum...Technical Analysis The price still trades at the bullish area, it seems to continue in the bullish area toward 22020 especially if it closes 1h candle above 21900. So as long as trades above 21770 and 21900, it will be bullish to get 22020 and 22200. Otherwise, it should break 21770 to be a bearish trend till 21630. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21900 Resistance Levels: 22020, 22200, 22450 Support Levels: 21770, 21620, 21520 Trend Outlook: - Consolidation between 21770 and 21900 - Bearish Momentum with stability below 21530 - Bullish Momentum by stability above 21900
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
US 100 Index – Fed to Bring Christmas Cheer or Fear?The US 100 has been on a roll over the last 2 weeks adding around 800 points or about 3.5% since its opening level of 20,950 on Monday December 2nd. This week however, the US 100’s December rally faces a tough test on Wednesday in the form of the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (1900 GMT) and the Press Conference led by Chairman Jerome Powell (1930 GMT). Ahead of these events, it’s not so much the actual interest rate decision that stock index traders are nervous about, as the Fed are widely expected to cut rates another 25bps (0.25%) at this meeting. Their concerns are focused on whether recent resilient US economic data, sticky inflation readings and Trump taking office are enough for Fed policymakers to feel the need to slow the pace of rate cuts as markets move into 2025. Constituents of the US 100 index, often known as growth stocks, can be more sensitive to US interest rate changes, so this latest Fed meeting may have important implications for the US 100 index. This could well determine if the Tech sector is to see Christmas cheer in the shape of a ‘Santa rally’, or if the Fed Grinch is set to install fear and uncertainty into traders during the final 2 weeks of 2024. Technical Backdrop: Of course, it has already been a strong advance since the August 5th spike low, but what are the levels we can monitor into and over the announcement? Resistance Points to Watch While it has been a positive pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price for the US 100 index, resistance has been found at the trendline connecting highs since August 1st, which continued to limit last week’s attempts at strength. This line starts the new week at 21833, and the daily closing defence of this level will be watched closely. Successful closing breaks above this level, while not a guarantee of future price strength, may see a further phase of upside moves, once again pushing into uncharted territory of new all-time highs. Fibonacci extension measurements of the November 11th to November 19th correction, offers a possible first resistance level after the trendline, marked by the 38.2% extension at 22151. This may prove to be a stumbling block to any future advance, but if breached price activity could possibly test 23010, the higher 61.8% level. Support Levels If corrective themes emerge either into, or after the Fed announcement, a first support level to focus on could be 21286, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of November 19th to December 13th strength. While this type of level has in the past limited price weakness, it may not again, but traders could be looking for this area to limit declines once more. If this first retracement support is unsuccessful in holding any weakness in price, the uptrend connecting the lows since August 5th downside extremes, currently stands at 21111. In the past this level has been able to hold and reverse selling pressure, so daily closes below this level, may be a sign of further price weakness materialising. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
us100 LONGus100 LONG 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by RODDYTRADING
US100 4HNasdaq analysis ( link here ): Although we were only 100 points away from my target zone and it was a successful analysis, even this slight deviation is not acceptable in my evaluation—the exact predicted level must be reached. The price reached 22,129, but it has yet to hit the zone starting at 22,230. Therefore, I cautiously maintain a bullish outlook and am closely watching the price reaction at the key levels of 21,000 support and 21,620 resistance for further insights into the Nasdaq's movement.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by GreyFX-NDS
Nas fundamental idea, sell now 22033, target 21700Tomorrow we will have FOMC. So today US session can be pretty volatile, because of "repositioning". Be careful with opening new positions and especially with sizing. Personally Im expecting a pause in December and cut 0.25-0.50 in January. Contrary to market expecting 0.25 tomorrow. The reasons are two. Sticky inflation + Donald. Inflation is higher than in forecasts(also NFP, GDP are higher) and these alltogether giving FED "free hand" to get inflation under control by a pause. Second reason, Donald will push FED(however independent) to cut, cut, cut. So this is the last chance not to cut, because Joe really does not care nowadays. Donald wants american cars, products, tits not EU, CAD or Chinese. It means duty. Also wants lower taxes = higher consuption. All these steps are super inflatory. Sounds good for voters, bad for economy. These are the reasons Im expecting a pause. You can think about them but surely do your own plan to trade FOMC. This is mine.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Rendon1
How much higher could the Nasdaq 100 climb?The trend remains bullish above 21,920, and as the market approached the 20,000 mark this morning, buyers stepped in. The trend will remain upwards above 21,920, and the biggest concern now is that many traders are sitting on significant profits, and with the tax year nearing its end, they may need to close positions to cover taxes. What’s your take? Will 21,920 hold and lead to a new all-time high before year-end, or is this the peak? This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Long
by ThinkMarkets
NAS100 UPDATE - Severe Divergence20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: (Away from charts) It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year! How I see it: Keep in mind NASDAQ is seriously diverted on all Time Frames! "BAKED IN" Rate Cut Bets = Institutions Maximizing Profits Strong bullish price action with no selling resistance Bull Imbalances all the way! How far can bulls drive it up, who knows? All I know for a fact is that Nasdaq is in "SEVERE" overbought territory! Keynote! The 1HR TF gives me the best view of only the tip of the iceberg of the scale of the 1st divergence level. Please examine your RSI on all TF's, from 1Hour - 1Month closely I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
ICMARKETS:USTECShort
by ANROC
NASDAQ Bearish Momentum Persists as Price Drops 2.7% in 24 HoursTechnical Analysis The price has dropped more than 2.7% in the last 24 hours. The bearish trend, as highlighted in the previous analysis, remains intact. The price is likely to stabilize within the bearish trend, targeting 20,670 and 20,550, as long as it trades below 20,990. However, a bullish correction toward 20,860 or 20,990 is possible, particularly if the price stabilizes above 20,860. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20860 Resistance Levels: 20990, 21080, 21210 Support Levels: 20780, 20670, 20550 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Momentum with stability below 20990 - Bullish Momentum by stability above 20990 Previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ / Price at Critical Levels Amid Rate Decision SpeculationTechnical Analysis The price completed its correction to 21,900 and then pushed back up to the all-time high (ATH). Now, a drop toward 21,900 is possible, with a break below this level signaling a bearish zone. This movement will depend on Jerome Powell's speech and whether there is an indication of a rate decrease in the next meeting. A rate decrease would likely have a bullish impact on the indices. Conversely, if the price stabilizes above 22,120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it would support a bullish trend toward 22,290 and 22,410. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 22120 Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510 Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Momentum: Stability below 22,120 - Bullish Momentum: Stability above 22,120
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
Bearish drop?NAS100 has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 21,414.83 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 21,813.15 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 20,774.05 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by VantageMarkets
NAS100 NAS100 price is still in a strong uptrend, but we expect that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will correct in the 22195-22247 zone. If the price cannot break through the 22247 level, the price may decline. Consider selling in the red zone. *Very Risky Trade 🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by Serana2324
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 9A video version of this commentary is included in the youtube link in my tradingiew profile. A new week of guaranteed trades awaits as we see NAS100 continuing on its historically bullish run. Let me be the first to remind everyone that when I say the market is historically bullish, it does not mean that sells do not exist...All that means is that instead of selling, I am waiting for the market to complete it's largest HL and then I buy back to another ATH (HH). What is my reason for this? If the market is historically bullish, then it has to be trending HLs to HH's..so the largest HL will be terminated on a HH...Guaranteed! So for this week, it is more of the same taking my largest HL's and buying to my HH's and then taking profit before waiting for a temporary sell to another HL where I do it all again. As I have always said... Any sells on the NAS100 are only temporary retracements to set up a larger HL... They key is to be patient and wait for the HL to be completed before taking a buy...otherwise you will suffer significant drawdown before the price goes back in trend. That is all I will be doing for this week...very boring but effective strategy...lol Have a great week. #oneauberstrategy #auberstrategy #aubersystem #whywewait #zigzagtheory #patience #masteryourcraft
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
How to flip $2,000 into a million in a bubble. In this post I want to share with you an idea I've shared with my friends irl who have market exposure. Heading into the 2022 high I strongly encouraged my friends to sell stocks. We were heading into a multi decade resistance level and I'd put the odds somewhere around 80% there'd be a notable reaction to this level. Could be a pullback, could be a crash. If it's a pullback it's easy to get back in, not so easy to get out in a crash. So, no brainer. Late 2022 I started to tell them it was worth getting back in as long as they used good stop loss rules and then when we got to a 76% retracement of the 2022 drop I started to explain the concept I'll discuss in this post to them. First let's lay the groundwork for this. We can focus on the things we know. It's a known that indices have uptrended for a long time. And it's a known of trend development that trends do not get slower. A trend is always increasing in velocity. It goes up faster and faster and then when it comes down it comes down faster than it went up. This is always what happens. Trends speed up. Regardless of the direction. Now, in 2022 we hit a multiple decade resistance. This was evidenced by a local market top. Confirming the market also seems to care about this level. Whatever happens, this is likely to be a major pivot point in the trend. Either we'll top out here or well head into a stage of hyper overperformance. In this overperformance, we will likely see indices up 100% from the current highs. 200 - 300% is on the table, 100% is a number that would have high odds of hitting, based on historical breaks like this. And if the resistance is actionable, this could all come crashing down in a horrific way. If you accept these premises that the market is due to either crash up or crash down, then it makes no sense at all to have common stock exposure (Or whatever you prefer). If the long bet is wrong, you can take crippling losses and if the long bet is right you can make a lot more money betting on the hyper aggressive breakout. Around 4500 I started to tell my friends this. I told them if I was them I'd drop my stocks. Bank the profits on those and then I'd take 10 - 20% of what I'd made in profits and use these to buy a portfolio of aggressive OTM calls. My thinking here is if the market yanks, no big deal. SPX could drop 90% and my friends would take rather nominal losses. Giving back a fraction of what they made in the rally rather than seeing all their positions go from profits top negative. On the other side of the coin, if the breakout comes - they'd make a lot more on the calls than they'd make with common. Depending on aggression level, they'd make a crazy amount more. A rally similar to the Nasdaq breakout would translate as something like this on SPX. At this moment in time you can buy Jan 2027 calls for under $150. In the event this move happened, these would be worth min over $65,000. A bit under $75,000 if the move is completed faster and this is not even accounting for the potential of an IV boost if the market goes into hyper performance. $2,000 into a series of bets on that happening would return over a million in the event that it did actually happen. This is not without risk. The plan I proposed to my friends has one main risk and that is the market slowly continues to uptrend. Making good gains but not hitting the bubble conditions to make it realistic these deep OTMs actually trade (For context, the statistical probability of profit on these right now is 0.2% - something would have to change). In that scenario, they'd take some small losses on the call portfolio and they'd have missed out on whatever the gain of just owning the underlying asset would be. That's the potential cost of the bet. On the upside of that, my friends who had 10s or even 100s of thousands exposure to the bear move can covert this to a few grand risk and still make mega bank if the bubble thesis comes into play. If SPX hits the 100% move inside of 2 years, these calls pay somewhere around $25,000 per $130 risked. In the event this heads into a blow off event they start to get up to close to $100,000 on those positions. This is hyper high RR way to bet on a developing bubble. Ensure you do not have excessive losses in a crash and the price of this is basically you convert your bet into a bet that the market will not range. If the market ranges for a year or two, this idea suffers. I think this is the wise thing to do at this point if speculating in stocks. We're into a binary level in my opinion. A polarising decision will come in this area. The smart thing to do is to put a hard cap on risk exposure so all bearish tail events do not hurt you and have the potential to make 1,000s of % of profit in the event of a bullish tail event. I think the probability of a tail event in the coming years is high now. Rarely is the probability of a tail event high, but rarely do we test multiple decades of resistance in indices. There is so much that can be made or lost in a tail event, that it makes a lot of sense to think about how you can structure bets to survive or thrive in the different outcomes. If this proves to not be the end stages of a bubble, then I think it's only reasonable to assume we're actually somewhere in the middle of a bubble. Which means something exceptional is likely to come in the following years - whatever way this inflection point resolves itself. In my opinion, if you want to bet on continued up moves in indices, you might as well bet on a full fledged bubble. The odds of indices breaking resistance and slowly limping higher I consider super low. I think we reverse or we fly. I have my bets structured to benefit from either one.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by holeyprofit
1
NASDAQ Before FOMC - New Chance For Bears?The NASDAQ has staged an impressive rally in recent weeks. We had pointed out bearish divergences in the volume, which the market ignored with a brilliant upward movement - this was not unexpected, as we remember from the aforementioned analysis. Nevertheless, these bearish divergences are still present and are now also clearly visible in the long-term cumulative volume delta chart. With tomorrow's FED meeting and signs of weakness, the chances of a short-term correction to one of the various open gaps are not bad.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ochlokrat
NAS100USD: Strategic Selling Amidst Bearish MomentumGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we reflect on yesterday’s high volatility, which triggered a significant displacement to the downside. Such strong movements often leave inefficiencies in price action that may be revisited in the near future. However, the prevailing bearish institutional order flow suggests opportunities to capitalize on selling setups. Key Observations: 1. Consolidation in Premium Zones: Currently, price is consolidating at a premium level, providing an optimal zone to initiate sell positions. Following the principle of selling in premium and buying in discount, this setup aligns with institutional trading strategies. 2. Bearish Momentum: The bearish structure remains intact, reinforcing the likelihood of price continuing its descent toward discount zones. 3. Potential Reversals in Discount: When price reaches discount levels, it is possible for a reversal back into premium zones. This necessitates a strategic and observant approach to anticipate the next market move. Trading Strategy: Entry: Seek confirmation to sell at premium levels during this consolidation phase. Target: Discount zones, where sell-side liquidity resides, will serve as the primary profit-taking area. As always, remain vigilant and adaptive to market dynamics. If you have insights or questions, feel free to share them in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect