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Dow Jones Testing Key Support – Bounce or Crash Ahead?The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is currently testing a key rising trendline support, which has been a strong foundation for its uptrend since 2023. Holding this level could signal a continuation of the bullish momentum, while a breakdown may lead to a deeper correction. If the price fails to hold above this trendline, the next significant support lies around 41,000-40,000, a zone that previously acted as resistance and is now a psychological support level. In case of further weakness, the long-term trendline support around 38,000-39,000 could come into play, aligning with the Ichimoku cloud support. For the bullish scenario to remain valid, DJIA needs to sustain above the rising trendline and reclaim recent highs. However, if sellers gain control and push prices lower, a broader pullback could unfold. Overall, the market remains in an uptrend as long as key support levels hold, but price action in the coming weeks will determine whether the index continues upward or undergoes a deeper correction. Do like, comment and follow
TVC:DJILong
by unichartz
US30 (Dow Jones) Probability Analysis – February 28, 2025 **Current Market Structure:** - **Timeframe:** 30-Minute - **Key Levels:** - **Premium Zone:** 43,800 – 43,900 - **Equilibrium:** ~43,500 - **Discount Zone:** 43,050 – 43,130 - **Previous Day’s High (PDH):** 43,900 (strong high) - **Previous Day’s Low (PDL):** 43,130 (weak low) - **Break of Structure (BOS):** Confirmed bearish. - **Change of Character (CHoCH):** Bearish near equilibrium. - **Liquidity Levels:** - **PWL (Previous Weak Low):** 43,360 - **PDL (Previous Day's Low):** 43,130 - **Weak Low at Discount Zone (~43,050)**. --- **1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)** **Entry Criteria (Long)** - **Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,050 – 43,130 (Discount Zone) - **Confirmations Needed:** - **Liquidity grab at the weak low (43,050).** - **Bullish reversal signal** (Pin Bar, Engulfing Candle, or Order Block reaction). - **CHoCH to the upside, confirming trend shift**. **Entry Trigger** - If price **wicks below PDL (43,130) and recovers strongly**, enter long. **Stop Loss (SL)** - **Below 43,000 (strong low).** **Take Profit (TP)** - **First TP:** 43,360 (PWL & previous structure resistance). - **Final TP:** 43,500 – 43,600 (Equilibrium). 📈 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:3 or higher**. --- **2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)** **Entry Criteria (Short)** - **Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,360 – 43,500 (PWL & Equilibrium). - **Confirmations Needed:** - **Price must fail to break above 43,500 (Equilibrium).** - **Bearish BOS on lower timeframes (15M, 5M).** - **Liquidity grab above PWL (43,360) before a drop**. **Entry Trigger** - If price **retests PWL (43,360) and rejects strongly**, enter short. **Stop Loss (SL)** - **Above 43,550 (Previous CHoCH area).** **Take Profit (TP)** - **First TP:** 43,130 (PDL). - **Final TP:** 43,050 (Discount Zone). 📉 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:4 or higher**. --- **3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)** - If price consolidates **between PDL (43,130) and PWL (43,360)**, avoid trading. - Wait for a **liquidity grab or CHoCH before making a decision**. **Trading Plan Summary** | Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R | |--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----| | ✅ Long | 43,050 – 43,130 | Below 43,000 | 43,360 | 43,500 | 1:3+ | | 🚨 Short | 43,360 – 43,500 | Above 43,550 | 43,130 | 43,050 | 1:4+ | --- **Final Thoughts** - **Bullish Bias:** If price sweeps **weak low (43,050) and shows strength**. - **Bearish Bias:** If price **rejects equilibrium (43,500) and PWL (43,360).** - **Avoid trading in the range (43,130 – 43,360)** until confirmation.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by wizzywise1
US30 Dow Jones Equal Lows & Structure Shift - Is This Reversing?The US30 is showing key signs that could point to a potential reversal. 🔄 On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see equal lows 🟢 that have been tested three times, followed by a liquidity sweep 💧 and a sharp rally 🚀—indicating possible accumulation by larger market participants. For confirmation of a Dow Jones bullish reversal, we’ll need to see a pullback forming a higher low 🔽 and then a break in market structure to the upside 📊. In this analysis, we dive into potential price action scenarios based on specific conditions outlined in the video 🎥. If these conditions are not met, the setup will be invalidated ❌. ⚠️ This is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 💼
THINKMARKETS:US30
by fxtraderanthony
4-hr US30: Dropping Stocks now Enter Oversold Territory The current geopolitical and economic landscape remains highly uncertain, causing investors to offload expensive stocks from their portfolios. This selling pressure, combined with persistent inflation and no clear signals of interest rate cuts, continues to drag the US30 downward. The bearish momentum is further reinforced by the Death Cross, a well-known technical sell indicator. While the index is already in oversold territory, we anticipate further downside potential. Given this outlook, we prefer to wait for an additional decline of 400–500 points before considering long positions. If the index drops to approximately 43,000, this level will coincide with the crucial 61% Fibonacci retracement. Historically, this retracement has acted as the last major support before a trend reversal. A long position near this area would provide a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio. However, to protect against excessive downside movement, we will implement a stop loss set 1.5% below the entry point. This precaution helps mitigate risks in case the downward momentum strengthens and leads to a further decline.
SKILLING:US30Long
by Trendsharks
US30 (Dow Jones) Probability Analysis – February 27, 2025 Current Market Structure: - Timeframe: 30-Minutes - Key Levels: - Premium Zone: 43,800 – 43,900 - Equilibrium: ~43,550 - Discount Zone: 43,260 – 43,340 - Previous Day’s High (PDH): 43,900 (near weak high) - Previous Day’s Low (PDL): 43,260 (strong low) - Change of Character (CHoCH): Bullish near equilibrium. - Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed downside moves. --- 1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position) Entry Criteria (Long) - Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,340 – 43,420 (Discount Zone) - Confirmations Needed: - CHoCH to the upside**, confirming shift in market structure. - Liquidity grab at PWL (Previous Weak Low). - Bullish rejection pattern** (Pin Bar, Engulfing, or Order Block reaction). - Price must stay above PDL (43,260) and Discount Zone. Entry Trigger - If price **retests PWL (43,340) and holds**, enter long. Stop Loss (SL) - Below PDL (~43,250). Take Profit (TP) - **First TP:** 43,700 (Equilibrium zone). - **Final TP:** 43,850 – 43,900 (Premium Zone & PDH). 📈 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:3 or higher. 2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position) Entry Criteria (Short) - **Ideal Entry Zone:** 43,800 – 43,900 (Premium Zone). - Confirmations Needed: - Liquidity grab above PDH (~43,900). - Bearish rejection (Engulfing candle or BOS to downside). - Price must fail to hold above PDH. Entry Trigger - If price *breaks PDH (43,900) but fails to hold*, enter short. Stop Loss (SL) - Above 43,950 (Strong High). Take Profit (TP) -First TP: 43,600 (Equilibrium). - Final TP: 43,340 – 43,260 (Discount Zone & PDL). 📉 Risk-to-Reward (R:R) → 1:4 or higher 3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation) - If price **remains between Equilibrium (43,550) & Premium Zone (43,800)**, avoid trading. - Wait for **clear BOS or liquidity grab before executing trades**. Trading Plan Summary | Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R | |--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----| | ✅ Long | 43,340 – 43,420 | Below 43,250 | 43,700 | 43,900 | 1:3+ | | 🚨 Short | 43,800 – 43,900 | Above 43,950 | 43,600 | 43,260 | 1:4+ | Final Thoughts - **Bullish Bias:** If price holds above **PWL & Discount Zone**. - **Bearish Bias:** If price **fails at PDH & Premium Zone**. - **Avoid Choppy Market:** Wait for clear **BOS or liquidity grab**.
BLACKBULL:US30
by wizzywise1
DOW JONES Bull Flag completed. Massive rally ahead.Dow Jones / US30 has completed a Channel Down on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. This pattern is nothing more than a Bull Flag based on September's similar structure that also hit the 0.5 Fib and 1day MA50 and bottomed. This time, the 1day RSI is also on a Rising Support. Both corrections took place after a +8.15% rise and September's then went on to rebound to the 1.5 Fib extension. Buy and target 46700. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TheCryptagon
US30 Bearish Momentum | Key Support Levels in FocusUS30 Analysis | February 21, 2025 The price has broken below the pivot line of 44,404, confirming a bearish momentum. Now, it is testing the support zone at 44,051, and a continued failure to reclaim the pivot will strengthen the bearish case toward 43,763 and 43,212 support zones. For bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 44,404 and break the resistance zone of 44,500 to initiate a potential recovery toward 44,756 and 45,099. Key Levels: Pivot Line: 44075 Resistance Levels: 44190 – 44404 – 44650 Support Levels: 43763 – 43520 - 43212 📉 Directional Bias: As long as the price remains below 44,404, US30 remains bearish, with a high probability of testing lower support levels.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
US Wall St 30Hello dear traders! This is an updated analysis of Dow Jones. Please note that since you may not have enough information about smart money and liquidity, let me put it simply for you: Whenever this trend line breaks, you can set the stop loss above this trend line and determine your target based on your strategy. A scalper trader utilizes positions and always has a fixed risk to maintain a consistent outcome, and should never use unreasonable risk because the market is continuously changing. What matters is that we are winning. Yesterday, I was waiting for the price to reach the Secret Order Block zone, but when my trade entered a good profit, I closed it and didn't feel the need to hold the trade until the very end. So, this is the cleverness of a trader in how to use analysis to their advantage. The previous zone seemed to be ineffective for a significant drop, so I have replaced this updated analysis with the previous one. Key Points Resistance (1.H): 77943 Secret Order Block: 44994 Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
OANDA:US30USDShort
by fereydoon1199
Dow Jones D1 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementDow Jones (US30) is trading close to an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 43,330.55 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 42,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 44,325.14 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US30Long
by FXCM
DOW pullback triggered by weak US consumer confidenceThe Dow (US30) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 04th December 2024 the Dow index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. The key trading level is at 42980, the previous consolidation zone and the rising support trendline. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 42980 level could target the upside resistance at 43800 followed by the 44080 and 44540 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 42980 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 42520 support level followed by 41820 (200 Day Moving Average). This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
Us30 strong bullish opportunity 1. Overly Bullish Bias The analysis assumes a clean breakout above support and a strong push to resistance. However, Dow Jones is known for fakeouts—meaning: A false breakout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing. A liquidity grab below support might happen before the real move. 2. Weak Confirmation for the Uptrend There's no clear volume confirmation—breakouts need high volume to be valid. Price is consolidating near key Fibonacci levels, meaning a reversal is just as likely as a breakout. A better approach would be waiting for a strong retest and breakout confirmation. 3. Ignoring Key Fibonacci Levels The chart includes multiple Fibonacci levels but does not integrate them into the projection. The 2.618 (43,535) and 3.618 (43,446) levels suggest possible retracements before an upward move Instead of an instant push-up, a dip to test Fibonacci support is likely. 4. Resistance Might Hold Strong The resistance area is broad, meaning: A rejection at resistance could lead to a short-term bearish pullback. The market might range between the two levels instead of moving in a straight line. Alternative Scenario: Instead of assuming an instant bullish move: 1. Bearish Trap First: A false breakout above resistance to trap buyers, followed by a drop. 2. Deeper Retest: Price could revisit support or a Fibonacci level before a true breakout. 3. Wait for Volume Confirmation: If resistance breaks with strong momentum, then an entry makes sense
SKILLING:US30Long
by Fx_Oliviaa
US30 Struggles Below Pivot as Tariff Risks LoomUS30 Analysis & Market Impact – February 26, 2025 📉 Bearish Momentum Continues Below Pivot Zone US30 remains in a bearish phase after failing to reclaim the pivot zone (43,763 - 44,404). The price is struggling to gain upward traction, indicating that the bearish trend remains dominant. 🔍 Technical Outlook: 🔻 Bearish Scenario: If US30 continues to stabilize below 43,763, the next target will be 43,212 as the first support level. A break and 4H candle close below 43,212 will further extend the downside toward 42,769 and 42,588. 🔹 Bullish Recovery: For buyers to regain control, US30 must close a 4H candle above 43,763, pushing the price back into the pivot range. A sustained move above 44,404 would shift momentum towards 44,756. 🌍 Market Sentiment & Trade Impact: Investor sentiment remains fragile following Trump’s tariff announcement on Mexico and Canada, which has increased downside pressure on US indices. Trade tensions are sparking concerns about rising costs for US businesses, leading to higher volatility and potential downside risks for US30, SPX500, and NAS100. Safe-haven assets like Gold (XAUUSD) could see increased demand if risk-off sentiment prevails. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 43900| 44200 | 44404 Pivot: 43763 Support: 43590| 43,212 | 42770 ⚠️ Directional Bias: Bearish as long as US30 remains below 43,763. A break below 43,212 would accelerate downside momentum. However, geopolitical factors and market reaction to tariffs could increase volatility.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
US30 PROBABILITH ANALYSIS# 1️⃣ Bullish Entry Plan (Long Position)** This is the **high-probability** scenario where price continues upward. Entry Criteria (Long)** - **Ideal Entry:** If price pulls back into the **discount zone** or holds above the **equilibrium level**. - **Confirmations Needed:** - A **bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on lower timeframes** (5M or 15M). - Bullish rejection (e.g., **pin bar, engulfing candle, or liquidity sweep**). - **Price must stay above the discount zone** and not break below BOS. Entry Trigger** - Look for price action near **43,365 – 43,425 (equilibrium area)** - If price shows bullish reaction in this area, enter long. Stop Loss (SL)** - Below the **weak low** or **PDL (Previous Day’s Low)** - **Target:** - **First TP:** PDH (Previous Day’s High) around **43,800**. - **Final TP:** The strong high near **43,850 – 43,900**. 📈 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R)** → Aim for **1:3 or higher**. 2️⃣ Bearish Entry Plan (Short Position)** This setup assumes price **rejects from the premium zone** and sells off. Entry Criteria (Short)** - **Ideal Entry:** At the **premium zone** near **43,750 – 43,850**. - **Confirmations Needed:** - A **liquidity grab** above PDH (**price fakes out then drops**). - **Bearish engulfing candle** or strong rejection. - A **Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside on lower timeframes Entry Trigger** - If price **sweeps PDH (Previous Day’s High) but fails to hold above**, enter short. Stop Loss (SL)** - Above the **strong high (~43,900)**. Target (TP)** - **First TP:** Equilibrium (~43,450). - **Final TP:** PDL (~43,245). 📉 **Risk-to-Reward (R:R)** → **1:4 or higher**. 3️⃣ Neutral Strategy (Wait for Confirmation)** - If price consolidates **between equilibrium & PDH**, avoid taking trades. - Only enter if **clear BOS or liquidity grab** happens. Trading Plan Summary** | Setup | Entry Zone | SL | TP1 | TP2 | R:R | |--------|----------|----|-----|-----|----| | ✅ Long | 43,365 – 43,425 | Below PDL | 43,800 | 43,900 | 1:3+ | | 🚨 Short | 43,750 – 43,850 | Above 43,900 | 43,450 | 43,245 | 1:4+ | Final Thoughts** - **For Longs:** Wait for a bullish rejection in the discount zone. - **For Shorts:** Look for a liquidity grab at the premium zone. - Use a **1:3 or 1:4 R:R** for better profitability. - Stick to **risk management** (max **1% per trade**).
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by wizzywise1
US Wall St 30Dow Jones Market Analysis Introduction Hello dear traders! In this analysis, we will examine the status of the Dow Jones chart in the one-hour timeframe. Technical Analysis The Dow Jones chart is currently in a bearish phase, but it has provided us with a bullish confirmation. Based on this, we can hold a buy position (Buy Position) until the one-hour liquidity. Key Levels Liquidity 1H: 44662.2 Secret Order Block: 44792 Ideal Time to Buy with Confirmation: 43783 Conclusion My analysis is very simple and straightforward so that you can easily utilize it. Considering the mentioned key levels, you can make your trading decisions. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the cryptocurrency market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by fereydoon1199
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Dips 1.69% The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), a price-weighted measure of 30 U.S. blue-chip companies across various industries except transportation and utilities, faced a notable downturn in Monday’s premarket session. Despite a positive movement in U.S. equity futures, the index saw a 1.69% decline, with its 1-month low serving as a critical support level. A break below this level could see the Dow finding support around the $42,000 region. Technical Analysis The Dow Jones (^DJI) is currently hovering near its 1-month low, which is acting as a key support zone. If the index fails to hold this level, it could face further downside pressure, potentially testing the $42,000 mark as the next major support. The overall sentiment in the stock market remains cautious, with investors monitoring upcoming economic reports and corporate earnings that could influence market direction. Meanwhile, the broader market selloff has had a ripple effect, with the Nasdaq falling 2.5% on Friday, marking its worst weekly decline in three months. The S&P 500 also erased its February gains, while the Dow dropped nearly 750 points over the past week. The weakness in equities has largely been driven by concerns over slowing economic activity, disappointing PMI data, and rising inflation expectations. Economic Uncertainty & Corporate Earnings The broader stock market has been navigating economic uncertainty, with recent data signaling potential challenges. A disappointing services sector report from S&P Global’s PMI survey and a surge in inflation expectations from the University of Michigan’s consumer survey contributed to market jitters. Investors are now turning their attention to **this week’s key economic data releases, including: - Thursday: Second estimate of U.S. Q4 GDP from the Commerce Department - Friday: PCE price index data (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis These reports will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, particularly with **inflation and economic growth concerns** taking center stage. Market Reaction: A Positive Start to the Trading Day? Despite the premarket dip in the Dow, U.S. equity futures suggest a potential recovery: - S&P 500 futures indicate a 32-point gain at the opening bell - Dow Jones futures suggest a 297-point advance - Nasdaq futures are up 93 points, driven by premarket activity in Nvidia, Tesla (TSLA), and Intel (INTC) Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are up 1.4% after Warren Buffett’s investment firm reported its third consecutive year of record profits, with a staggering $334.2 billion cash reserve. Conclusion The Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to face uncertainty amid economic headwinds and a volatile earnings season. While support at the 1-month low remains crucial, a break below could lead to a test of the $42,000 level. The upcoming economic data and Nvidia’s earnings report will be critical in determining whether the market can regain momentum or if further downside risks persist.
TVC:DJILong
by DEXWireNews