CrudeOil - Elliott Wave Elliott Wave analysis on Crude Oil suggests more downside closer to $60 levels. Shortby sKeshav2
Us oil for buy.Price hits a weekly support zone, price bounced 3 times which signals a possible trend change. Wait for a break of the bearish trendline to the upside and a retest. Then long.by makindetoyosi22
US Oil (WTI Crude) Bullish Based on 1H and 4H Divergence with St 1. Market Analysis: Asset: US Oil (WTI Crude) Timeframes: 1-hour (1H) and 4-hour (4H) Setup: Bullish divergence observed on both 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes Support Level: Price is near a strong support zone, providing a solid base for a potential bounce. 2. Divergence Details: Bullish Divergence: Both 1-hour and 4-hour charts are showing bullish divergence, indicating weakening bearish momentum as the price approaches strong support. This divergence can signal a potential reversal to the upside if confirmed by bullish price action. 3. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Enter a long position when a bullish confirmation candle forms (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer candle) on the 1-hour chart after divergence confirmation. This candle should close above the support level for a stronger entry signal. Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just below the strong support level to protect against further downside risk. This positioning ensures risk is limited in case the support does not hold. Take-Profit: Aim for a 1:2 or higher risk-reward ratio, targeting the next resistance levels on the chart. Consider recent highs or Fibonacci retracement levels on the 4-hour timeframe as potential take-profit areas. 4. Risk Management: Position Size: Determine position size based on risk tolerance, ensuring only a small percentage of capital is risked on this trade (e.g., 1-2%). Risk-Reward Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio provides an advantageous setup, enhancing potential reward relative to risk. 5. Additional Confirmation: Volume Analysis: Look for an increase in volume on the 1-hour chart as the price bounces from support to confirm strong buying interest. Support-Resistance Alignment: Ensure the support level aligns well with recent price structure and support zones on higher timeframes to reinforce the strength of this setup. 6. Trade Execution: Place Orders: Set buy orders, stop-loss, and take-profit levels according to the criteria above. Monitor the Trade: Manage the trade by adjusting the stop-loss to break even or trailing it if the price moves strongly in your favor. 7. Review and Adjust: Post-Trade Analysis: After closing the trade, review the outcome to evaluate effectiveness and learn from the trade setup.Longby MAAwan2
Falling towards pullback support?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 67.64 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 65.84 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 69.05 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.Longby VantageMarkets2
Oil on Demand Mode Keep on eye H1 candle movement. When It passes Simple Moving Average 200 and then 50 that means the bullish movement kicks off.Longby karlapermana972
USOIL: Move Down Expected! Sell! Welcome to our daily USOIL prediction! We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 6.976.8$ Wish you good luck in trading to you all!Shortby XauusdGoldForexSignals113
As the war drew to a close, crude oil plungedInternational crude oil rebounded on short covering, but gains were capped by a strong dollar. WTI crude reversed a V-shape earlier in the session and eventually settled up 0.1% at $67.91 a barrel; Brent crude settled up 0.21% at $71.76 a barrel. Fed-mussallem: 2% inflation Target should not be raised; Don't think the dollar's status is being challenged by currencies; Logan: More rate cuts are likely, but they need to be cautious. Middle East - Israeli officials say Iran has withdrawn its decision to respond to Israeli attacks; Israel is said to be offering President Trump a diplomatic gift for a ceasefire in Lebanon. The latest trend of crude oil -- The crude oil market opened yesterday at $68.02 / BBL, and then the market directly rose, the daily high hit $68.95 / BBL, and then the market quickly fell, the daily low to $66.97 / BBL, and the daily final close at $68.13 / BBL, and the market closed with a long leg cross shape with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. And such a form after the end, crude oil in the low shock. Four hours on the level of view, crude oil bears did not change, but the price also down to the bottom line, the market can further break uncertain, but yesterday closed the cross, for today, the following line for defense, continue to try to test the above resistance level. Based on the above analysis, Zhang Yifu believes that: after the bottom of crude oil, the test of the above resistance level, the above does not break it is difficult to change the fate of falling back, today's operation still considers the high-low multi-strategy, the above attention 68.7-69.6 dollars resistance, below attention 67.5-66.5 dollars support.by LisainblueUpdated 3
OIL: Three days breakout long on the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week Thursday DAY 2 Friday DAY 3 Closing Range ✅ 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day First Green Day 3 Days Long Breakout ✅ 3 Days Short Breakout Inside Day 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump Dump&Pump ✅ Frontside ✅ Backside 4. THESIS: Long: that's my primary thesis, let's analyse the current market condition. - Monday opened with a huge gap breaking through the previous low of week, establishing as well the high low of the new week (opening range). - Tuesday, it almost consolidated the full day, not really interesting in terms of trading activity. - Wednesday, the market performed the first breakout of the week, breaking the HOW, triggering long traders in the market and closing out of balance (an interesting signal) - Thursday closed again out of balance, long traders are potentially driving this move. - Today, Friday, the market has good chances to go reaching and targeting the closing price of last Friday, why ? because traders shorting the beginning of the week are still in profit and stops are placed above that level. After PMI 10am, if the market will setup for a buy low opportunity around the current level (yesterday HOD or London low), I will be willing to take this trade. Short: at the moment not really into this scenario, but however, the market could retest the current high of day, failing for a reversal, day 3 longs in the market it can reverse for major move, but I repeat, the current setup is potentially long! Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. GianniLongby GianniPichichero666
USOIL Expected Growth! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 69.29 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 70.28 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK Longby AnabelSignalsUpdated 2234
CRUDE OIL Bearish Bias! Sell! Hello,Traders! CRUDE OIL is already making A bearish pullback from The horizontal resistance Of 72.54$ so we are bearish Biased locally so we will be Expecting a further move down Sell! Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too!Shortby TopTradingSignals2
WTI, Bearish Channel with Bearish Trend ContinuationBearish Channel Currently Facing Horizontal Resistance Breakout Of Resistance Expected Sell Entry After Break and closing Below Resistance Stoploss above resistance level Target towards next resistance zoneShortby itsrohansaeed1
WTI, Double Bottom with Bullish DivergenceBullish DIvergence Double Bottom Formation Rejected from Support Expected Bullish move Buy @ CMP TP @ 1:2 risk to reward SL below double bottomLongby itsrohansaeed1
Oil Short: Pending BreakdownOil looks like it will not be able to hold above the trendline and may breakdown soon. Sometimes, the simpler the idea, the better it will work out. Good luck!Shortby yuchaosng1
Oil - Crude(WTI) | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; * Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand; Overall Consensus | Neutralby P-Ment4U2
WTI, Inverted Head and Shoulder with Bullish DivergenceInverted Head and Shoulder Pattern Bullish Divergence Right Shoulder in Completion Buy at Breakout Buy with Buy Stop Sl Below Right Shoulder Longby itsrohansaeed1
USOIL YEARLY OUTLOOK Will the US post-election continue to impair the oil price? The election of Donald Trump has changed the dynamics of the market, causing oil prices to drop, with more negative pressure anticipated. Global purchasers now pay more for oil due to a rising US dollar, which exacerbates concerns over oversupply. Since recent economic measures have not yet produced immediate stimulus, China's demand outlook remains poor. USOIL formed a weekly and daily Head-and-Shoulder pattern, signaling a continuation of bearish pressures. If USOIL breaks below 68 - 62 necklines(blue and yellow bar), the price may continue its bearish movement to the nearby major support of 43 - 33 On the contrary, if USOIL remains above 68.00, the price may trade within the 68.00-84 range until an apparent breakout occurs.Shortby Money_Pips1
EDUCATION: Simplified Candlestick Psychology (Part 1)As traders, understanding candlestick patterns is fundamental to decoding market behavior. But beyond the pattern itself, there’s a deeper story being told with every candle. Just like words form a story in a book, the Open, High, Low, and Close (OHLC) of a candlestick reveals the psychological battle between buyers and sellers at a given moment in time. In this video, we’re going to break down how to read candles like a book and uncover the psychology behind each price action move. The Anatomy of a Candlestick Before we dive into the psychology of candles, let's refresh on the basic anatomy of a candlestick: Open (O): The opening price of the candle, where the price starts within the time period. High (H): The highest price reached during the candle’s time frame. Low (L): The lowest price reached during the candle’s time frame. Close (C): The final price when the candle closes at the end of its time frame. Each candlestick provides valuable information about the price action during that specific time period. But what’s even more important is the psychological narrative it tells. The Psychology Behind the OHLC Understanding the psychology behind the Open, High, Low, and Close will give you insight into the market’s behavior and sentiment. Here’s a breakdown of what each component reveals: The Open (O): The start of the battle. The opening price represents the market's starting point. Buyers and sellers have already made their decisions before the candle even begins, and the open shows where the price begins to unfold. If the open is near the low of the day, it indicates a bearish sentiment, while an open near the high could show bullish strength. The High (H): The peak of the conflict. The high of the candle represents the furthest point reached by either the bulls or the bears. When the price reaches a new high, it signifies that the buyers are in control and pushing the price up. Conversely, if the high is lower than the previous candle's high, it suggests that sellers are starting to assert their influence. The Low (L): The valley of indecision. The low of the candle is where the price falls before either the bulls or bears regroup. A low that is lower than the previous low indicates that the sellers are pushing the price downward. A higher low, on the other hand, suggests that the bulls are holding the line and potentially setting up for a rebound. The Close (C): The conclusion of the battle. The close is the most important price point of the candlestick, as it represents where the battle between buyers and sellers has ended. The relationship between the open and close tells you who won the fight. If the close is higher than the open, buyers have won the battle. If the close is lower than the open, sellers have gained control. Reading Candles Like a Book When you look at a candlestick, think of it like reading a short sentence in a book. Each candle tells a small part of the market’s ongoing story, and together they form the narrative of price movement. Here's how to read the story: Bullish Candles (Close > Open): When a candle closes higher than it opened, it tells the story of a market that was dominated by buyers. The longer the body, the stronger the buying pressure. A large body with a small wick suggests buyers were in full control with little resistance. Bearish Candles (Close < Open): When the candle closes lower than it opened, it represents a market where sellers took charge. A long red body with little wick indicates a strong bearish move. A bearish candle with long wicks shows that although sellers were in control, there was some pushback. Doji Candles: A doji occurs when the open and close are almost identical, signaling indecision or equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Doji candles are like a “question mark” in the story, telling us that the market is uncertain about which direction it will take next. Engulfing Candles: An engulfing pattern, whether bullish or bearish, tells the story of a shift in momentum. If a candle completely engulfs the previous candle’s body, it signifies a strong change in sentiment—either a bullish or bearish reversal. Putting it All Together: Candlestick Psychology in Action Understanding the OHLC components is the first step, but it’s how these elements come together that really gives you the full psychological picture. A candlestick is like a snapshot of a battle. The open is where it starts, the high and low represent the range of movement during the battle, and the close is where the conflict resolves. When you read candles in sequence, you begin to see the ongoing tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. The story unfolds slowly, and the more you practice, the better you become at predicting the next chapter. Let me know your thoughts below!Education12:57by TLTurnerTV2
WTI crude oil has bearish conditions prevailingTVC:USOIL continued to decline during the Asian trading session on Monday (November 11), trading around 70.03 USD/barrel. As the storm's impact on the supply side waned, sentiment in favor of rising oil prices faded. At the same time, the US Dollar index is strong and rising, putting pressure on WTI crude oil and global demand is expected to show no signs of recovery. Under many resonances, the positive outlook for WTI crude oil is still quite dim. It is currently near the integer mark of $70. If it falls below again, a return to the previous low is likely. Essentially, continue to pay attention to changes in inventory data, as well as whether the US Dollar Index (Dxy) continues to exert strong pressure on oil prices. On the daily chart, after crude oil TVC:USOIL Under pressure from the area around 72.39USD, readers should note that in previous publications, the recovery momentum has weakened. Meanwhile, moving below the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and the RSI pointing down from the 50 area will be quite good signals for bearish expectations. The first target level for bearish expectations is $68.77 in the short term, ahead of $68.11 and $66.44. Currently, WTI crude oil has technical conditions that are completely inclined to the downward trend with the price channel being the long-term trend. During the day, the downtrend of WTI crude oil will be noticed again by the following technical levels. Support: 70 – 68.77 – 68.11USD Resistance: 70.56 – 72.39USDShortby Xayah_trading3
Crude steadiesCrude prices managed to steady yesterday, having declined sharply since hitting a three-week high last Thursday. Front-month WTI was a touch firmer in early trade this morning as well. But it feels as if this could turn out to be nothing more than a brief pause before prices head downwards once again. The fundamental picture remains unchanged. Supply remains plentiful, and in the absence of a supply shock from either the Middle East or Eastern Europe, that situation is unlikely to change. The Trump election victory should encourage more US production through tax cuts and deregulation. The only question is whether US producers will want to increase output, given that they are already producing at record levels, and that crude prices are low. Meanwhile, demand isn’t keeping up with supply, and this explains why OPEC+ producers have extended their output cuts for an extra month, until the end of December. Chinese demand has fallen further than previously forecast. The world's biggest oil importer recorded a sixth consecutive decline in crude oil arrivals in October, and last week’s much-hyped fiscal stimulus will do little to change that. On Tuesday OPEC released its latest monthly report. It said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024, down from last month’s forecast of 1.93 million bpd. It also reduced its demand growth forecast for 2025 to 1.54 million barrels per day, from 1.64 previously.by TradeNation1
USOIL, dailyOil prices fell more than 2% as concerns about Hurricane Rafael’s impact on Gulf of Mexico production eased, and China’s latest economic stimulus measures failed to impress oil traders. Rafael, now a category 2 hurricane, is expected to stay centered in the Gulf, reducing risks to oil output. China’s fiscal support focused on easing local government debt rather than stimulating demand, disappointing investors amid ongoing deflationary pressures and a sixth consecutive monthly decline in China’s crude imports. Despite these losses, oil prices rose over 1% last week due to expectations that new U.S sanctions on Iran and Venezuela could reduce global supply. On the technical side, the price is currently testing the support level of the 23.6% of the daily Fibonacci retracement while the Stochastic oscillator is in neutral levels hinting that the price has the potential to move in either direction in the short term. The faster 50-day moving average is trading below the slower 100-days validating the overall bearish trend in the market, at the same time the Bollinger bands have somewhat contracted showing that volatility is slowing down in the market for crude oil. This could mean that there might be some sideway movement in the coming sessions and there might need a new catalyst to perform any significant moves. by Exness_Official1
Crude Oil Weekly Technical AnalysisCurrently, Crude Oil is forming a descending triangle on the weekly timeframe, with significant support at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. This level is a critical point; a break below it could signal further bearish momentum. Should this support level fail, I expect the price to target the next Fibonacci levels at 0.618 and potentially down to 0.786, indicating possible continuation of the downward trend. I will monitor for confirmation signals of a breakout to the downside, such as increasing volume or bearish candlestick patterns, before confirming a short position. However, if support holds, the triangle could consolidate further, so I will remain cautious for potential reversal signs. My Approach 1. Weekly timeframe as a guiding framework 2. Daily for pattern confirmation 2.1. Bearish Candlestick formation below support (like a bearish engulfing or strong red candle). 2.2. Rejection candles near the descending upper resistance line (like doji or shooting star). 2.3. Increase in volume on a breakdown below support to confirm seller commitment. 2.4. Decreasing volume within the triangle as consolidation continues. 2.5. Spike in volume on a failed breakout could indicate a false move and potential reversal. 3. 4-Hour for entryShortby kris_tarum1
Crude oil medium term holdOil has been consolidating for a while now, my view is for it to push down and tag us into our potential trade then anticipate a push towards our TP zone. This might take sometime but it is a good risk to reward return. Key zones are marked out in yellow which might serve as TP zones or entry zones on a break and retest.Longby TheDayTrdr1
WTI crude Wave Analysis 13 November 2024 - WTI crude oil reversed from the multi-year support level 66.70 - Likely to rise to resistance level 70.00 WTI crude oil recently reversed up from the powerful multi-year support level 66.70 (which has been repeatedly reversing WTI from the end of 2021, as seen from the weekly WTI chart below). The support level 66.70 was strengthened by the nearby lower daily and the weekly Bollinger Bands. Given the strength of the nearby support level 66.70 and the bullish divergence on the weekly Stochastic indicator, WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 70.00. Longby FxProGlobal1