Nasdaq - Printing The Obvious Bottom!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) already finished the correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis๐๐ป
After we witnessed a minor "crash" of about -25% over the past couple of weeks, the bottom might be in on the Nasdaq. We simply saw another very bullish all time high break and retest and depite the possibility of a second retest, I am (still) extremely bullish at these levels.
Levels to watch: $17.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NDAQ100 trade ideas
US100 - Lots of opportunities unfoldingChart Overview:
This analysis focuses on the US 100 (NAS100) index, sourced from CAPITAL.COM . The chart highlights critical price levels, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) , and a Buy side liquidity (BSL) , offering actionable insights for traders.
Key Observations:
1. Price Action & Structure:
- The index has shown significant volatility, with a clear Break of Structure (BSL) indicating a potential shift in market sentiment.
- The price is currently navigating between key support and resistance zones , marked by horizontal levels.
2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
- Two prominent FVGs are visible on the chart, representing areas where price may revisit to fill imbalances. These zones often act as magnet levels for price retracements.
- Traders should monitor these FVGs for potential entry or exit opportunities , depending on price reaction.
3. Critical Price Levels:
- Resistance Zones:
- 20,250.0 : A major psychological barrier.
- 19,750.0 - 20,000.0 : Intermediate resistance cluster.
- Support Zones:
- 17,000.0 - 17,250.0 : Strong historical support.
- 16,000.0 : A pivotal level for long-term bias.
Trading Strategy:
- Bullish Scenario: A break above 20,250.0 could signal further upside, targeting 20,500.0 and beyond.
- Bearish Scenario: A drop below 17,000.0 may confirm a deeper correction, with 16,250.0 - 16,000.0 as the next target.
- FVGs as Confluences: Use the identified FVGs alongside volume and momentum indicators to refine entries.
Timeframe & Validity:
This analysis is based on the daily timeframe (Apr 19, 2025) and remains valid until key levels are breached or new structures form.
Final Notes:
Always pair this analysis with risk management (stop-loss, position sizing) and confirm with additional indicators (RSI, MACD, volume). The market may fill FVGs before continuing its trend.
Like, follow, and comment if you found this useful! Happy trading!
NAS100 Buy Trade Analysis (4H Timeframe)Entered a buy position on NAS100 after price retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which also aligns perfectly with the ascending trendline support. This area has acted as a strong confluence zone, showing signs of a potential higher low (HL) formation on the 4H chart.
โ
Confluences supporting the trade:
Price bounced from the 0.618 Fib retracement.
Respecting the trendline support indicating bullish structure continuation.
Formation of Higher Low on both the 4H timeframe and also clearly visible on Daily and Weekly charts, indicating strong bullish momentum from a higher timeframe perspective.
RSI is near the oversold zone (~30), showing signs of a potential bullish reversal.
๐ฏ Targets:
First TP around the 18,863 zone (previous resistance area).
Final TP in the region of 19,161โ19,250, aligning with the 200 EMA and psychological resistance levels.
๐ก๏ธ Stop Loss: Placed below the trendline and previous swing low for protection in case of invalidation.
Nasdaq - This Is Still Not The End Yet!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) cannot resist bearish pressure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis๐๐ป
Over the past three months, we saw such a harsh correction on the Nasdaq that a lot of people are freaking out entirely. However technicals already told us that something feels wrong and this is the result. If we see another -10% from here, buying the dip will most likely pay off.
Levels to watch: $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Will Nasdaq Test Liquidity at 17,800 Before an Upside Move?NASDAQ is experiencing bearish slow down at the support level for the past 3 weeks. A re-test of the recent low looks imminent. and if price could be rejected after clearing H4 liquidity at 17,800, then we could see a sharp upside move.
Key risks: Fed commentary, major tech earnings, and geopolitical headlines.
N.B!
- NASDAQ price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#nq!
#nasdaq
US 100 - At a Critical Crossroads The US 100 index shows intriguing price action as it navigates key technical levels. Currently trading at 18,967.2 , the market has formed a clear double top pattern at the resistance zone, suggesting potential exhaustion in the uptrend.
Key Technical Observations:
The chart reveals strong resistance near recent highs around 19,024.3 , with price struggling to break through this ceiling. Below current levels, we spot a double bottom formation that previously provided support, creating an interesting tension between these patterns.
Notable price levels include:
- Resistance: 19,024.3 (double top confirmation)
- Support: 18,961.7 (recent swing low)
- Critical zone: The weakened gap that remains to be filled below current prices
Market Dynamics:
The minimal +0.02% change indicates indecision at these levels. The presence of liquidity pools both above and below suggests potential for volatility when either side gives way.
Trading Considerations:
A break above the double top resistance could signal continuation of the uptrend, while failure to hold current levels may see price test lower supports to fill the gap. The tight range between 18,961.7 and 19,024.3 suggests an impending volatility expansion.
The market appears to be at an inflection point where the next directional move could be significant. Traders should watch for either a confirmed breakout above resistance or breakdown below support before committing to positions.
Final Note: This technical setup presents clear risk/reward opportunities, but requires confirmation before acting. The double top pattern would only be validated by a break below the interim support levels.
Disclaimer: Market conditions can change rapidly. This analysis represents one interpretation of current price action and should be verified with additional indicators. Always use proper risk management.
NASDAQ: Stop the noise. Long term investors are buying here.Nasdaq may be recovering on its 1D technical outlook but remains bearish on the 1W (RSI = 37.616, MACD = -451.790, ADX = 38.564) as the timeframe is still under the dramatic effect of the 3 month correction. The market however appears to be finding support a little over the 1W MA200 and may turn out to be the new long term technical bottom as the 1W RSI rebounded from oversold grounds.
The last three times that happened, the index rose aggressively. The 15 year pattern is a Bullish Megaphone and every rally inside it obviously gets stronger. As long as the market is holding the 1W MA200, the trend will be bullish and this is the right opportunity to buy for the long term, aiming at another +113.90% bullish wave (TP = 36,000) to get hit towards the end of 2027.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Nasdaq 100 - Bull trap print begins circa April 30thThe Nasdaq 100 index is seriously oversold as market participants are gripped by fear. Understandableโฆ however, markets do not crash in fear. Instead the opposite happens, counterintuitive as that sounds.
The Index shall continue display volatility until sellers are exhausted, which is around April 30th when the bottom shall print. So yeah, this week is probably going to suck what life remains of your account. However selling now is not in your best interest, I would argue the opposite. Let me explain why.
On the above daily chart the Nasdaq 100 death cross approaches, forecast to print on April 30th (the dotted lines). The death cross (On the Nasdaq 100 only) is defined as the 65 day Simple Moving average (blue line) crossing down the 240-day SMA with price action under the 240-day SMA.
Now the date has been changing a lot with recent volatility, to counter that behaviour the forecast for the cross uses the "Box Jenkins" forecast method (Ww is a data scientist and engineer specialising in probability theory and stochastic processes, will be adding the tool to my collection of scripts shortly!). Read more about Box Jenkins method here:
www.investopedia.com
Now Iโm not normally a fan of moving averages, but on "looking left"โฆ youโll find me on the front row seat. I tell you all that to tell you this, look left. Look left at past death crosses using this method:
17% rally from death cross on March 15th, 2022
22% rally from death cross on December 18th, 2018
17% rally from death cross on February 16th, 2016
You get the picture. This behaviour continues to repeat with the previous ten death crosses until the print on October 12th, 2000, where the bull trap was followed by a market crash of 80%.
In terms of probability there is a 90% chance the death cross shall result in a positive rally. However, it is my guess many readers will place more weight on the 10% chance of a crash. Thatโs emotion, not reason! In fact if you scan over many of the published ideas on tradingview you'll notice the bearish slant is strong.
Is this time is different?
=====================
There are no certainties, only probabilities. Price action could continue selling off following the cross to reach new lows. That said, this idea is to forecast a bull trap, not a continuation in the market uptrend. The probability favouring a rally is incredibly high. After that, not so good. Not good at all.
Price action forecast on rally
=======================
Approximately 19.2 to 19.5k
Conclusions
=====================
The market is oversold as emotions run high. History tells us It is unlikely the correction ramps up in momentum after the cross prints. However the cross can indicate the index may be about to enter a bear market should price action reject the 50-day SMA, which it is very likely. Thatโs for the next post!
Ww
WHERE TO GO....NDXGood Morning,
I entered a trade with QQQ yesterday as the market has signaled a strong movement for the bulls. By no means is this a confirmed moved however I saw an opportunity for early entry.
We still need to beat out the overall trend reversal resistance which is at the 19,700 mark of April 2th.
Prior to that we need to make it through:
18,400$ First resistance.
19,000 2nd Resistance.
Trend is showing that we will break both of those levels.
Enjoy!
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move๐ Nas100 โ Hanzoโs Strike Setup
๐ฅ Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
โโโโโโโ
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18030
We are watching this zone closely.
๐ If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
๐ฏ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 17830
We are watching this zone closely.
๐ If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
โโโ
๐ป Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
Analysis
๐ Bearish Signs (15M TF):
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
โข Strong Rejections seen at:
โ 18400 โ Major support
โ 19000 โ Proven resistance
โโโ
๐ฉธ Key Zones to Watch:
โข 18700 โ Bearish breakout level
โข 19130 โ Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
โข 18400 โ Equal lows
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move
NAS100 Testing Lows: Will a Bounce Offer a Sell Opportunity?NAS100 Technical & Fundamental Analysis ๐ง
Overall Sentiment: The current market sentiment surrounding tech stocks and the broader indices like the NASDAQ 100 appears cautious, leaning bearish. Factors like persistent inflation concerns, uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path ๐ฆ, and ongoing geopolitical tensions can weigh heavily on growth-sensitive assets like tech stocks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases (CPI, PPI, FOMC minutes) as they could significantly sway sentiment.
1. Daily Timeframe (D1): The Bigger Picture ๐บ๏ธ
The NAS100 is exhibiting clear bearish characteristics on the daily chart, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently approaching or testing a significant area of previous daily equal lows. This is a critical zone โ ๏ธ. Why? Because significant buy-side liquidity often rests below such lows (in the form of stop-loss orders from long positions) and sell-side orders may trigger if these levels break decisively.
A strong break and close below these daily lows could signal a continuation of the major downtrend, potentially accelerating selling pressure. Conversely, this area could act as temporary support, prompting the pullback you're anticipating.
2. 4-Hour Timeframe (H4): The Setup Structure ๐๏ธ
My H4 chart clearly illustrates the recent sharp decline. Price is currently testing the support zone highlighted (around 17,800 - 18,000), which corresponds to the 0.00% Fibonacci level (17,973.8) drawn from the recent swing high (~19,117.4).
This support zone aligns with the concept of hitting the daily lows/liquidity area.
Anticipated Scenario:
I am expecting a reaction (a bounce/pullback) from this current zone. The projected path suggests a retracement towards the 50% Fibonacci level (Equilibrium) at approximately 18,547.3. This level often acts as significant resistance after a strong impulse move. The 61.8% level (~18,682.6) is also a key area to watch just above it.
Point of Interest (POI):
The zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels (roughly 18,550 - 18,700) is your key decision area for a potential short entry. ๐
3. 15-Minute Timeframe (M15):
Entry Confirmation Trigger ๐ซ
The M15 timeframe will be crucial if price reaches your H4 POI (around the 50% Fib level).
What to Look For: During the potential pullback towards ~18,550, the M15 will likely show a temporary bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows).
Confirmation Signal:
For your short setup, you'd want to see this M15 bullish structure fail upon reaching the H4 resistance zone. Look for:
A break of market structure (BOS) to the downside on M15 (price making a lower low after failing to make a higher high).
Formation of clear M15 lower highs and lower lows.
Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars/shooting stars) rejecting the H4 resistance/Fib level.
Potential divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (though price action is primary).
Synthesized Outlook & Strategy:
The NAS100 is undeniably in a bearish phase across multiple timeframes. The current test of daily lows / H4 support (~17,973) is a critical juncture. A bounce from here seems plausible, aligning with your expectation of a pullback.
The Strategy:
Patience: Wait for price to potentially rally towards the H4 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone (~18,547 - ~18,682). ๐งโโ๏ธ
Confirmation:
Monitor the M15 timeframe closely as price approaches this zone. Look for a clear shift in market structure from bullish (pullback) to bearish (resumption of trend). ๐
Entry: If bearish confirmation occurs (M15 BOS), consider a short entry.
Targets:
Initial targets could be the recent lows (~17,973), followed by the Fibonacci extension levels shown on your chart (e.g., -50% at ~17,400.4) or the area below the daily equal lows. ๐ฏ
Risk Management: Crucially, define your stop-loss level (e.g., above the swing high formed during the M15 structure break or above the 61.8%/78.6% Fib level) to manage risk effectively. ๐ก๏ธ
Fundamental Check:
cross-reference this technical setup with any major news releases or shifts in market sentiment that could invalidate the pattern. ๐ฐ
Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USTEC is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 18,606.32
1st Support: 17,788.70
1st Resistance: 18,942.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks โ Will Confirm the Next Move๐ Nas100 โ Hanzoโs Strike Setup
๐ฅ Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
โโโโโโโ
โ๏ธ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18300
We are watching this zone closely.
๐ If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
โโโ
โโโ
Analysis
๐ Bearish Signs (15M TF):
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
โข Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
โข Strong Rejections seen at:
โ 18400 โ Major support
โ 19000 โ Proven resistance
โโโ
๐ฉธ Key Zones to Watch:
โข 18700 โ ๐ฅ Bearish breakout level
โข 19130 โ Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
โข 18400 โ Equal lows
โข 3245 โ Equal highs
โโโ
๐ฉธNo rush. Only precision.
Hanzo moves in silenceโthen strikes with force.
๐ป Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
STOCKS LOWER??This is what Im gauging on the NAS100, as well as the Dow Jones and SnP500 (even though the charts aren't presented).
Technically, I see a 4H QM which sets the high, with the lows not giving the same HTF strength that the highs have given. We've got a nice trading range as price hasn't realigned for the stocks to show its true bullish direction to the ATHs, meaning I see this huge sell off continue until those lows have been ran. I see price printing lower.
Fundamentally, I like to think of the worst case scenario for Trump and the season we're in currently, its made me nice trades. Lets see
NASDAQ Decision making becomes easy after seeing this chart.NASDAQ (NDX) is currently on the 3rd straight red month (1M candle), following the February High and subsequent sell-off due to the Trade War. This has been analyzed extensively in previous analyses and how the fundamental scene is only now starting to show some positive progress but still has a long way to go.
Technically though, the picture is very clear and favors long-term investing. The market has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the U.S. Housing Crisis in 2008 and along with the 2022 Inflation Crisis, those have been the only real Bear Cycle events in the past 18 years.
In between those there have been another 5 shorter term corrections, that offered great buying opportunities for the long-term and the recent 3-month one classifies as one.
There reasons are three. First it has come very close to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which only broke during the Major Corrections. Second, the 1M RSI hit the 50.50 Symmetrical Support, which has held during all those 5 prior Minor Corrections. Third, those corrections only range between two Fibonacci levels.
The current correction fulfills all those conditions. And since the 'weakest' rally we've have on this 5 event sample has been +37.57% and the strongest +96.77%, we have a medium-term Target on Nasdaq at 22800 and a long-term one at 32500.
Do you still reserve doubts at investing long-term after seeing this macro chart?
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
USTEC,NAS100USTEC is still in a downtrend. The price has a chance to test the resistance zone 19588-19875. If the price cannot break through the 19876 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
๐ฅTrading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck ๐
โค๏ธ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!