SELL USTEC 25.7.2025Reversal trade order: SELL at H1~M15 (all-time high - ATH)
Type of entry: Limit order
Reason:
- The price breakout the sub key of M15, confirming it will hit the main key M15.
- There is a key H1 support at the entry point.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of bottom of M15 (23,343)
Set up entry:
- Entry sell at 23,264
- SL at 23,281
- TP1: 23,243
- TP2: 23,223
- TP3: 23,207
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
NDAQ100 trade ideas
Bullish continuation?USTEC has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistancewhihc lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 22,997.77
1st Support: 22,639.22
1st Resistance: 23,703.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Trend Exhaustion Detected – Bearish Structure AheadUS100 (NASDAQ) 30-minute chart as of July 26, 2025, with technical insights based on the visible elements.
🔍 1. Trend Analysis
Primary Trend: Uptrend (bullish structure)
The price has been respecting a rising parallel channel, marked by:
Ascending support (lower boundary)
Ascending resistance (upper boundary)
Market structure shows:
Higher Highs (HH)
Higher Lows (HL)
✅ This indicates continuation of bullish momentum until structure breaks.
📐 2. Market Structure Elements
Structure Type Label on Chart Price Zone (approx.)
Break of Structure (BOS) BOS (center-left) ~22,950
Higher Low (HL) HL (2x) ~22,700 (1st), ~23,050 (2nd)
Higher High (HH) HH (2x) ~23,150 and ~23,300
Resistance Labelled ~23,300–23,320
Demand Zones Labelled ~22,450–22,700
🔁 Break of Structure (BOS)
The BOS occurred after a prior swing low was broken, followed by a new higher high, confirming a bullish shift.
🧱 3. Support / Resistance Analysis
🔼 Resistance Zone
The price is testing strong resistance around 23,300–23,320
Multiple rejections in this area
Trendline resistance also aligns here
A rejection arrow is drawn, indicating potential bearish reaction
🔽 Support Zone (Immediate)
23,180–23,220: highlighted green box is a local support block
If broken, likely to revisit 23,000–23,050, or even down to 22,900 range
🟩 4. Demand Zones
Zone 1:
22,450–22,600: Strong bullish reaction historically — likely to act as a key demand if a deeper pullback occurs
Zone 2:
22,850–22,950: Validated with prior accumulation & BOS event
🧠 5. Key Observations
Price is at a critical inflection zone:
Testing a resistance zone
At the upper trendline of an ascending channel
A bearish reaction is projected (black arrow)
Possibly targeting the green support zone around 23,180–23,220
If that fails, demand at ~23,000 will likely be tested
Ichimoku Cloud:
Currently price is above the cloud → still bullish
Cloud is thin → potential weakness or upcoming consolidation
⚠️ 6. Trading Bias & Setup Ideas
✅ Bullish Bias (if price holds above ~23,180)
Long entries can be considered on bullish reaction from support
Target: retest of 23,300–23,350 or even breakout continuation
❌ Bearish Bias (if breakdown below support)
Short entry valid below 23,180 with:
TP1: 23,050
TP2: 22,900
A breakdown from the ascending channel would signal trend exhaustion
🔚 Conclusion
Current Price: 23,298.4
Trend: Bullish, but at resistance
Next move: Watch for reaction at resistance and support box below
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish unless the structure breaks below ~23,180
NAS100 - How will the stock market react to the FOMC meeting?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. The target for this move will be the ceiling of the channel, but if it corrects towards the indicated support area, you can buy Nasdaq with better reward-risk.
As signs of easing global trade tensions begin to emerge, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet this week. Analysts widely expect the Fed to hold interest rates steady for a fifth consecutive time. This anticipated decision comes as the U.S. President continues to push for rate cuts, persistently pressuring the Fed to adopt a more accommodative monetary stance.
So far, the Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark rate within a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. While some officials project two cuts by the end of the year, markets are waiting for the Fed’s patience to run out. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, investors have priced in a 62% chance of a rate cut in the September meeting. By then, the Fed will have access to the July and August employment reports—key indicators of whether the labor market is weakening or remains resilient.
The upcoming week marks the peak of Q2 earnings season, with 37% of S&P 500 companies reporting results, including four major tech firms. In parallel, the August 1st tariff deadline for the EU and other countries is approaching, while legal challenges over existing tariffs remain ongoing.
According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, many large U.S. corporations have so far absorbed the bulk of tariff-related costs without passing them on to consumers. This strategy aims to maintain market share and avoid drawing criticism from President Trump. However, the question remains—how long can this continue?
Examples from the report include:
• General Motors paid over $1 billion in tariffs in Q2 alone without announcing any price hikes.
• Nike expects a $1 billion hit from tariffs this fiscal year and is planning price increases.
• Hasbro is working on a combination of price hikes and cost cuts to offset $60 million in tariff impacts.
• Walmart has made slight pricing adjustments (e.g., bananas rising from $0.50 to $0.54) and managed pressure through inventory reductions.
This week is shaping up to be one of the busiest on the economic calendar in recent months. A flood of key data on growth, inflation, and employment, alongside three major interest rate decisions, has markets on high alert.
On Tuesday, attention will turn to two significant reports: the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index for July. These metrics will offer a clearer view of labor market dynamics and household sentiment heading into critical monetary policy decisions.
The most anticipated day is Wednesday. That day brings the ADP private payrolls report, the first estimate of Q2 GDP, and pending home sales data. Additionally, both the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve will announce rate decisions—events with the potential to simultaneously steer global market trajectories.
On Thursday, the July Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index will be released—a key inflation gauge closely monitored by the Fed. Weekly jobless claims data will also be published that day.
The week concludes Friday with two heavyweight economic indicators: July’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, a crucial input for Fed policy decisions, and the ISM Manufacturing PMI, which offers insights into the health of the real economy.
Some economists argue that a September rate cut may be premature, and even suggest that no rate changes might occur in 2025. Analysts expect Fed Chair Jerome Powell to reiterate a data-dependent stance, consistent with previous meetings.
Still, beyond political dynamics, the July meeting holds independent significance.The Fed’s internal policy tone is gradually leaning more dovish, and subtle signals of this shift may emerge in the final statement. Given that only one meeting remains before September, if policymakers are leaning toward a rate cut then, it’s critical that the groundwork for such communication be laid now.
The US100-Nasdaq Playbook: Prime Sell Zone Approaching!Hey friends 👋
I’ve prepared a fresh US100-NASDAQ analysis for you all. Nothing makes me happier than seeing us grow and profit together.
📌 Once price reaches the 23,192 – 23,231 zone, I plan to enter a **Sell** trade from that area.
🔐 Feel free to set your stop-loss based on your personal margin and risk tolerance.
🎯 My target level is: **23,024**
Every single like from you means the world to me—it’s my biggest motivation to keep sharing high-quality analysis 🙏
Huge thanks to everyone who supports with their likes 💙
Bullish continuation?USTEC has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support, and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 22,997.77
1st Support: 22,639.22
1st Resistance: 23,703.56
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NAS100 Bigger Picture. Uptrend to be resumedLooking at the current structure through the lens of a trend trading approach, what we saw on NAS100 is more than a simple price bounce, it’s a trend continuation trading within a high-volatility environment. As price is approaching a key resistance level, how price is behaving around this dynamic trendline will be key.
This recent retracement and rejection happening near what we can call a demand zone cluster, was confirmed by a beautiful bounce off the support range. And right now price is respecting the upper and lower bounds nicely.
What happens next? Price is showing signs of bullish exhaustion, but the higher-timeframe structure supports a continuation.
My projected target is towards the upper resistance line, that’s my 23,100 zone as shown.
Beyond the Chart – NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals📊 CAPITALCOM:US100 Analysis
Today, NAS100 opened with a huge gap up following former President Trump’s announcement that the U.S. has officially reached a trade agreement with the European Union.
🕳️ After price rejected the gap zone, and volume gets low low. I’m now looking for a potential test of the 23,540 level.
💼 With Q2 earnings season kicking off, stock-moving news will be hitting fast. While retail traders might scramble to catch up, smart money is already positioning for surprise earnings beats.
Stay sharp, this week could set the tone for the next major move.
The Markets, the Rabbi and the Goat...It’s funny how sometimes markets react like people in old jokes…
They scream when things get bad, then cheer wildly when things return to how they were — as if something amazing just happened.
Let me tell you one of those jokes.
It’s about a house, a rabbi… and a goat.
A man goes to the Rabbi:
“Rabbi, my house is too small. The kids are screaming, my wife’s yelling, I’m losing my mind!”
The Rabbi calmly replies:
“Bring in the chicken.”
Two days later:
“Rabbi, it’s worse!”
Rabbi:
“Now bring in the duck.
Then the pig.
And finally… the goat."
Now the house is in complete chaos. Smell, noise, no space to move or breathe.
The man returns, ready to break down:
“Rabbi, this is hell!”
The Rabbi smiles:
“Now take them all out.”
A few days later, the man comes back glowing:
“Rabbi… it’s incredible! So much space! So quiet! So fresh!”
📉 Now, 2025 markets
In April, Trump imposed tariffs.
Markets fall sharply. Analysts scream recession. Headlines go full drama.
Recently, “brand new deals” have been announced.
Markets explode to new all-time highs.
Applause. Celebration. “Stability is back.”
But if you read the fine print…
The deal is basically the same old deal. Renegotiated. Repackaged.
Just without the goat.
NAS100 steadies at high levels, pay attention nextThe most recent move on NAS100 saw a sharp drop that briefly recovered, likely triggering stops before aggressively reversing from the lower boundary of the newly projected channel. This isn't a cause for concern, on the contrary, it's another opportunity to get involved.
That is because this drop and recovery is a common behavior in strong uptrends before resuming bullish momentum.
The market is likely in the early stages of a new impulsive leg to the upside right here.
We could either have short-term consolidation or pullback, then a continuation toward the upper channel boundary or straight upwards, and with NAS100, the latter is more plausible.
My target will be at 23,300 around the upper boundary of the projected channel resistance.
In this context, the market remains bullish clearly. The most interesting aspect is the emotional flush on the last drop, trapping sellers before fueling what could be another big leg up.
NAS100 Retesting Breakout – Eyes on 23170 for Bullish PushDaily Analysis:
Price is testing the upper boundary of the long-term ascending channel. Structure is still bullish with no major breaks of support. If momentum holds, we could extend toward the channel top.
4H Analysis:
Retesting breakout structure. Support is forming around 23000–23050. Bullish momentum remains valid unless price closes below this zone.
1H Analysis:
Micro-breakout confirmed with bullish impulse above 23120. If 23170 holds, continuation toward 23280–23320 is likely.
Confirmation & Entry:
Watch for continuation above 23170. SL below 23080. TP: 23280+
Use caution if 23000 breaks — this would weaken short-term bias.
Longs then short - $$$🚀 Caught the Bottom. 🔻 Sold the Top.
Same chart. Same system. Same day.
While most traders were guessing,
ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion was sniping both ends on the US Tech 100.
📍 Long Signal:
At the dead low — green UP arrow fired.
The reversal followed instantly. Momentum exploded.
📍 Short Signal:
At the top of the rally — red DOWN printed.
Perfect spot. Price reversed hard within 1 candle.
⸻
🎯 How It Works:
✔️ Combines RSI overshoots + volatility reversion
✔️ Filters false signals using structure + time of day
✔️ Works on any index or FX pair
✔️ Real-time signals. No lag. No repainting.
⸻
💡 These weren’t “lucky trades.”
They were high-probability SETUPS.
Backed by logic. Confirmed by RSI extremes.
And now? Proven on the chart.
⸻
👉 Want to catch the next reversal like this?
💬 DM me “USTEC” or drop a 🚀
🔒 Access is limited to serious traders only.
📲 Follow for daily setups & training.
Do you want to keep buying NAS100?📉 Sell-Side Bias Activated
After PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 confirming the trend shift with a clean Break of Structure (BOS) and a strong rejection from the FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone, price failed to hold above 23,275.
This move validated the liquidity sweep and imbalance fill. Multiple FVGs stacked above suggest premium pricing and further downside potential.
🧠 I’m now watching for continuation setups toward discount zone. Especially below 23,100 and possibly targeting the lower FVG region.
This is a classic smart money play, manipulation, BOS, FVG retest, and selloff.
🔻Bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: Liquidity pools below 23,100
🛑 Invalidated above 23,280 (structure reclaim)
US100 continues to be in a clear uptrend.US100 continues to be in a clear uptrend.
After the price managed to break above 22900, we can see a strong bullish price action. The price increased by almost 2% in just 3 days and the volume still looks high.
There is a high possibility that even if US100 makes a small correction, it could rise further to 24000, as shown in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
NASDAQ100 continue its strength due to the strong earning seasonFundamental:
USTEC (NASDAQ100) continues its strength, propelled by robust Alphabet (GOOG) earnings that buoyed technology companies. Cloud services recorded the largest growth at 32% YoY, primarily driven by AI. Concurrently, the company plans to allocate $85 bln to capital expenditure in 2025 for AI, an increase from $75 bln, signaling continued surging demand for AI infrastructure.
In addition, recent US economic data indicated strong consumption and optimism, with the July Services PMI expanding to 55.2 from 52.9 in the previous month. Initial Jobless Claims also fell to 217k, the lowest in 14 weeks, reinforcing optimism regarding the labor market, alongside stronger-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls from early July.
Inflation data showed a minor impact from tariffs, and tariff negotiations have progressed favorably. Trade deals have been secured with Vietnam, Indonesia, Japan, and the Philippines, and potential trade agreements with the Eurozone and India are anticipated before the deadline.
Major earnings releases are slated for next week, including MSFT, META, and QCOM on July 30. AMZN and APPL's results the following day could provide a clearer picture of USTEC's overall earnings.
Meanwhile, USTEC's forward P/E currently stands at 27x, aligning with its 5-year average despite reaching a new record high, suggesting further upside potential.
Technical:
The index is trading above its EMAs, which are extending, signaling a continuation of the rally.
If USTEC sustains its momentum, the index may reach 24000 upon breaking above the potential resistance at 23400.
Conversely, a pullback near the swing high may suggest a retest of the support at 23000.
NAS100 Gaps Up on Trump Trade Deal – Bullish Continuation The market opened with a bullish gap after Trump announced new trade deals, sparking investor optimism. Price cleanly broke above the 23,266.5 🔼 resistance level, confirming it as a fresh support zone.
Buyers are now in full control, and price is forming a strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
Support at: 23,266.5 🔽, 23,200 🔽, 23,025 🔽
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: As long as price holds above 23,266.5, the path is clear for a move toward 23,400 and possibly 23,540+. Watch for minor pullbacks into support for continuation setups.
🔽 Bearish: A break back below 23,266.5 would be the first warning of bullish exhaustion, with downside potential toward 23,200.
📰 News Insight: The bullish gap came after Donald Trump announced new trade deals, boosting risk sentiment across U.S. indices. This has become a key short-term fundamental catalyst.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.