Dow Jones takes a different path!US President Donald Trump announced a postponement of the suspension of tariffs from July 9 to August 1, stressing that this deadline is final and will not be delayed again.
This decision has left the markets cautious, particularly US indices, but the Dow Jones Index has taken a different route compared to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which are generally trending upwards. Meanwhile, the Dow has shifted its direction from bullish to bearish.
On Monday, July 7 2025, the Dow Jones fell and recorded a lower low at 44,348.45, below its previous higher low. This signals a trend reversal on the 4-hour chart from bullish to bearish, a trend it had maintained for the past few weeks.
What’s the next expected move?
The current rise is considered a corrective move aiming to retest the 44,723.87 level, before likely dropping again to target 44,320.29. The bearish outlook would be invalidated if the price rises above 44,880.90 and closes a 4-hour candle above
US30 trade ideas
US30 H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 44576.41, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 44162.08, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 44922.32, a swing high resistance.
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US30: The bullish trend remains in progressUS30: The bullish trend remains in progress
On April 7, 2025, US30 hit its lowest point at approximately 36500. Since then, despite significant concerns regarding Trump's tariffs and the ongoing turmoil in the Middle East, all indices have been on the rise.
Overall the U.S. indicators are showing robust performance.
In a worst-case scenario, we might observe US30 to make a minor correction close to 42500 before it bounces further, potentially retesting the chart level that aligns with its all-time high price as well.
Key target levels: 44000 and 44970
You may find more details in the chart!
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Dow Jones -> A breakout rally of +40%!🐂Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) will create new highs:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since the April lows, the Dow Jones already rallied about +25%. This was simply the expected rejection away from a strong confluence of support. Now, the Dow Jones is sitting at the previous all time highs and about to break out, leading to a massive rally.
📝Levels to watch:
$45.000, $60.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
US30 Sell IdeaSelling in the 44815–44886 zone, targeting a drop to 44476.50 with a stop loss at 44927.50 to cap risk. This setup aims to catch a pullback from resistance after the recent upward move, expecting the price to retrace toward the lower support area. Trade with discipline and wait for bearish confirmation around the entry zone.
Dow Jones Extends Rally Toward New HighsOver the past two trading sessions, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained nearly 1%, approaching the all-time high zone near 45,000 points. For now, the bullish bias remains intact, supported by the Federal Reserve’s announcement that a rate cut may occur later this year, despite renewed concerns over a potential reignition of trade war tensions. If buying pressure holds in the short term, this could fuel further upward momentum, potentially pushing the index to new record levels.
Consistent Uptrend
The recent bullish swings have sustained a steady level of investor confidence, allowing the upward trend to remain unbroken. So far, there hasn’t been any significant selling correction strong enough to break the structure, meaning the dominant long-term uptrend remains intact. This continues to be the most important technical pattern to monitor, although the index is once again testing previous highs, where short-term selling corrections may emerge.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The RSI line is hovering near the overbought level around 70, suggesting that buying momentum has created an imbalance in market forces. This may open the door to a potential technical pullback as the index approaches historical highs.
ADX: The ADX line continues to rise above the neutral 20 level, maintaining a steady upward slope in recent sessions. If this trend continues, it could indicate increasing strength behind the current uptrend, especially if key resistance levels are broken.
Key Levels:
44,970 – Major Resistance: This level marks the all-time high and serves as the most important short-term resistance. A breakout above it could strengthen the bullish bias, open the door to new record highs, and further confirm the ongoing uptrend.
43,863 – Intermediate Support: A technical indecision zone seen in late February. A drop below this level may trigger a period of short-term neutrality or sideways movement.
42,756 – Critical Support: This zone aligns with the 50- and 200-period moving averages, making it a key technical area. A break below this level may signal the end of the current bullish trend and initiate a deeper correction.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
US30 - Short SellThe Dow Jones aka US30
* Overall trend is bullish
* Currently trading the retracement with the following points.
1. Valid OB
2. Liquidity to the sell side
3. Imbalance to the sell side
4. Price failed to break the previous HH activating the Bear positions, the question is How Deep The Retracement Will Be ? So we are closely monitoring the price action to adjust at any changes that the market might face.
US30 Projected All Time Highs As Bullish Trend ResumesPrice is currently being supported by an H4 demand zone. If this demand zone continues to hold and apply pressure to the upside, we will soon be seeing new all time highs. Which really should not surprise us because as we all know, indices are generally bullish long term.
US30: Market in Rally Mode – Prepare for the Next OpportunityWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Upward trend Given the behavior of the index within the current resistance range, possible scenarios have been identified. It is expected that a trend change will take place and we will witness the beginning of a correction. With consolidation above the resistance range, the continuation of the upward trend will be likely.
US30 Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 44,556.0.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 44,867.4 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DowJones bullish breakout retest?Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45000
Resistance Level 2: 45445
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44000
Support Level 2: 43700
Support Level 3: 43430
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Dow Jones approaches 45kThe Dow Jones has extended its recovery to 44,800, just shy of its 45,000 record high reached in January. The RSI is tipping into overbought territory, so some consolidation could be on the cards. Buyers will look to extend the bullish run above 45,0000 to fresh record highs. Meanwhile, immediate support is at 44,500. Below here, 44,000 could offer some support. It would take a drop below 42,900 to negate the near-term bull trend.
FC
US30 BUY IDEA🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
• Demand Zone Entry:
• Price tapped into a strong demand zone (gray box) around 44,280 – 44,330, signaling potential institutional buying interest.
• Liquidity Grab:
• Sell-side liquidity has been swept just below the previous lows, which aligns with a classic SMC liquidity manipulation before a bullish move.
• Projected Market Structure Shift:
• Price is forming a higher low, hinting at a potential reversal and bullish BOS (Break of Structure).
• Expecting a multi-leg bullish move, targeting 44,812 area, filling imbalance and reaching premium zones.
• Risk-Reward Outlook:
• Stop loss placed just below the demand zone.
• Take profit aligned with previous highs and inefficiency zone — a favorable R:R ratio for swing traders.
⸻
🧠 Smart Money Narrative:
1. Sweep of liquidity below demand.
2. Institutional buy orders triggered.
3. Low-risk buy opportunity with clear internal structure shift.
4. Bullish continuation toward premium pricing and unfilled imbalances.
DowJones Bullish trend support at 44000Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45000
Resistance Level 2: 45440
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44000
Support Level 2: 43700
Support Level 3: 43430
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones (US30): Recovery in Motion — Target at 45,000Market Overview:
The Dow Jones index holds above the support zone at 44,183 after a local correction. The broader trend remains bullish, with the primary target set near the monthly resistance zone at 45,000.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Completed ABCD pattern
— Support confirmed at H8 level (44,183)
— EMA acting as dynamic support
— Upside potential toward channel resistance
Key Levels:
Support: 44,183, 43,455
Resistance/Target: 45,000
Scenario:
Primary: If Dow Jones remains above 44,183, continuation toward 45,000 is likely.
Alternative: A break below 44,183 could trigger a deeper correction toward 43,455.
First obvious major clue may be stronger than the second.I think this shows a clear direction in price action. Strong moves addition to bullish trend line and internal structure. Now at the moment, I am looking at the trend line as a major attraction point in the current moment. Some opinions may say that it's more correct to sell down lower from the trend line, and that might be correct. Although, at this moment, price has yet to have a proper pullback after a clean breakout below. It might honestly just be too obvious that it'd go down lower after retesting trend line, so in my opinion, I think the most clear entry right now is to buy now at a low point, might as well be called a liquidity pool. So right now in this strong trend change, the next obvious major potential for move is going to be back at trend line. The next obvious move will be even more obvious, so then it might also be lacking stability, but until then, my focus here is to buy within a potential deep pullback.