US30 trade ideas
Dow in relief until MayYesterday's historic bounce reacted a little to perfectly to the monthly trend-line pictured. Whether coincidence or not, this break in momentum will likely provide an interim bottom to the downtrend and give us a few weeks of reprieve before continuing with the bear market. $37,000 the level to watch.
My outlook is generally still flat although it is useful to remember that the biggest pumps happen during a bear cycle. We also have a full blown trade war on our hands so keep risk tight and trade with caution.
US30 Sell NowUS30 price is static when the market is closed. At all other times the prices are constantly fluctuating. The best time to start active Dow Jones trading on US30 CFD instruments is during periods of very high volatility when investors feel extreme emotions and high volume enters the market.
US30 Breakdown May 19thWhy shouldn't you write with a broken pen? Because it's pointless. Just like your life if you don't stay focused on your purpose. Ok let's get to work!
Price is on a beautiful uptrend and right now it's on a retracement down to 42650 area. I believe price will continue to push up to the 42870 Level.
How I'll enter
I am going to wait for price to get down to the 42650 level
Wait for a break of structure as confirmation for a buy (on a 1min)
Then Buy
But like my ex, price does whatever it wants, so be careful and always wait for a break and retest or a break of structure near the key areas.
Have fun. And trade responsibly
DOW JONES: Looks to extend gains to 43,500Dow Jone remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.492, MACD = 410.840, ADX = 32.007) as it maintains the medium term bullish trend inside its 1 month Channel Up. Since the index kept the 4H MA50 intact, it established it as its Support and is now halfway on the new bullish wave. The 2 prior rose by +4.30%, which gives a clear technical target (TP = 43,500)for the next HH.
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US30 – Supply Zone Hit & Rejection | Is the Rally Over?US30 has just tapped a strong supply zone around 42,752, followed by immediate rejection. With price sitting at a critical turning point, here’s how I’m preparing to trade the Dow this week.
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Chart Breakdown:
1. Supply Zone (42,600 - 42,800):
Price aggressively entered this area and got rejected fast. Historically, this zone has caused sharp moves down, and the reaction today aligns with that pattern.
2. Key Support (42,288.87):
Watch this level closely. A clean break and retest below here would confirm bearish momentum, potentially triggering a selloff.
3. Demand Zone (41,767 - 41,900):
This orange zone has previously fueled strong bullish rallies. If price dips back here, look for a bounce or bullish confirmation setup.
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Bearish Plan (Short Bias):
Entry: Break + retest of 42,288
TP1: 42,012
TP2: 41,767
SL: Above 42,800 (supply high)
Bullish Alternative:
If price holds above 42,288 and forms a higher low, a retest of the 42,750s could be in play. But for now, the supply reaction suggests caution.
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What to Watch:
US economic data (jobless claims, inflation)
FOMC or Fed speakers
Risk sentiment shifts (S&P/Nasdaq correlation)
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Your Take?
Do you think this was a false breakout or the start of a deeper pullback? Comment your setup or target below!
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#US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #IndicesTrading #TradingView #US30Forecast
DOW - H&S is getting progressed. 📉 DOW JONES – Head & Shoulders Pattern Formation (Right Shoulder in Progress)
The chart illustrates a clear Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal, forming on the higher timeframe.
🧠 Pattern Breakdown:
Left Shoulder: Formed in early March.
Head: Sharp dip and recovery formed during early April.
Right Shoulder: Currently in the making, aligning with a weekly resistance near 42,880 levels.
Price is expected to reject this resistance and complete the right shoulder.
📌 Technical View:
Strong rejection expected near the weekly horizontal resistance.
If the right shoulder completes and breaks below the neckline (around 41,500–41,600), it may trigger a measured fall.
Fibonacci levels also align, with the 0.382 and 0.5 retracement acting as potential reaction zones.
🎯 Target:
Target: 40,900 levels (Right Shoulder support zone).
This is a confluence zone where buyers may reappear.
Also forms a neckline test, critical for breakout confirmation or reversal.
🔔 Trade Setup Insight:
Short bias activated near 42,880 resistance zone.
Watch for confirmation via bearish engulfing candles or lower time frame breakdowns.
Targeting 40,900 initially. Further downside possible if neckline breaks decisively.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please perform your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
US30 - Key Breakout Scenario📊 US30 - Key Breakout Scenario
If the price successfully breaks and holds above the 42,656 level, we could consider opening a relatively risky long position. This level has previously acted as a resistance, and a confirmed breakout may indicate bullish continuation.
However, due to recent price volatility and lack of strong impulsive momentum, the entry would be classified as aggressive unless further confirmation is received.
🧠 Strategy:
Aggressive Entry: On a confirmed breakout and 15m or 1H candle close above 42,656 with volume support.
Safer Entry: Wait for a pullback to 42,656 and a bullish reaction (support confirmation) before entering long.
Target: Potential move toward the next resistance zone around 43,302.
Stop-loss: Below 42,500, where recent support structure lies.
⚠️ Caution: This setup becomes much stronger if today's FOMC sentiment aligns with the overall market bullish trend.
Correction and a push up US30 has been gradually climbing but this growth may have to correct a bit before continuing up. After reaching the 41,800 gap, the indice rose a bit, but may have ran out of steam to further go up. The nearest support will be the likely area where the indice may find buying pressure, if price action remains above the support barriers.
US30 (Dow Jones) – 19 May 2025 Breakdown📉 US30 (Dow Jones) – 19 May 2025 Breakdown ⚠️
The Dow just lost the key 42,300 level after struggling to hold above it, signaling momentum shift in the short term 🧯
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📍 Current Price: 42,263
🔻 Support lost: 42,300
❌ Lower high formed under 42,700
📉 EMAs starting to cross downward – early signs of a short-term trend shift
After failing to hold above 42,700, price dropped aggressively and is now sitting right under previous structure support turned resistance.
🔥 Key Scenarios:
Bearish case 🔴:
Rejection at 42,300–42,350 = likely continuation toward 42,100 and 41,900
Clean break of 42,100 could open up a move to 41,600 zone
Bullish recovery 🟢:
Reclaim 42,300 + strong close = chance to revisit 42,500–42,700
Watch for a fakeout and EMA compression reset
🧠 Pro Tip:
⚠️ Breakdowns below structure with confluence (e.g., EMA crossover + volume spike) often lead to momentum flushes
➡️ Don’t fight the shift — adapt fast
➡️ Lower highs = sellers taking control
Bullish momentum ahead?Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $43500
- T2 = $44200
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $42000
- S2 = $41500
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Dow Jones.
**Key Insights:**
Dow Jones is currently positioned at a crucial technical pivot point, showing strong bullish signals supported by improving macroeconomic conditions. Investor sentiment appears to have turned increasingly optimistic as recent updates on GDP growth exceeded forecasts, and corporate earnings have been beating expectations. The index is trading confidently above its 200-day moving average, showcasing healthy upward momentum.
Market volatility remains subdued, which is historically a prerequisite for steady gains in the Dow Jones. Volume analysis indicates rising accumulation from institutional investors, signaling their confidence in continued upside. With sectors like energy and industrials leading gains, the broader market appears poised for further advances.
**Recent Performance:**
Over the past month, the Dow Jones has climbed nearly 4% from its September lows near the $41000 level. This rally has been sustained by increasing investor risk appetite, particularly following easing concerns over inflation as shown by cooling Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The index has also outperformed its peers, recording fewer broad-based declines compared to the S&P 500.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts have highlighted a breakout above the $42500 resistance level, which now acts as strong support. Momentum oscillators such as the RSI (Relative Strength Index) point toward further bullish divergence, suggesting that the upward trend has more room to run. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) has crossed into bullish territory, enhancing the case for long positions.
Economists and strategists suggest that fiscal policy stability, combined with a steady labor market, provides a favorable environment for equities. The resilience of key Dow components like Caterpillar and Boeing further underscores the strengthening bullish case.
**News Impact:**
Recent news around potential interest rate pauses by the Federal Reserve has further soothed investor nerves, leading to an influx of capital into blue-chip stocks. Positive economic data from manufacturing and services sectors has also bolstered expectations for a "soft landing" scenario, minimizing recessionary concerns and driving up valuations in core index components.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the confluence of technical and fundamental strengths, we recommend a LONG position in the Dow Jones. The entry around the current $42654.74 level provides an attractive risk-to-reward ratio. Targets of $43500 and $44200 correspond to key resistance zones, while stops at $42000 and $41500 provide ample protection against unexpected market reversals. This trade is suitable for medium to long-term horizons, capitalizing on the solid macroeconomic and technical foundation supporting the Dow Jones' upward trajectory.
US30 Eyes New Highs – But Pullback Likely FirstThe Dow Jones (US30) remains in a short-term ascending channel, with momentum building toward new highs. However, signs point to a stronger pullback before those upper levels are tested. Watch for the channel base and broader trendline to act as key support before continuation.
US30 Markup May 18thWhat did the tomato say to the other tomato during a race? Ketchup!! Now lets ketchup on these charts.
Price is in an uptrend and is nearing my key level 42,474. If price breaks and retests that area, then I will get in for the buy and buy up to 42,672 area.
However, like a puppy, price does whatever it wants. So, if price breaks structure around 42,268, I shall wait for price to break and retest that area so I can get in for the sell down to 42,141.
I shall be waiting for the break and retest on the one-minute timeframe for both the buy or sell.
Lastly, enjoy yourself, and be responsible.
Crab vs Order BlocksThe Dow Jones Crab 🦀 finds itself caught in the web of order blocks, navigating a treacherous sea of buyers and sellers.
The golden level of the crab has crept dangerously close to the sellers' order block territory, and all eyes are on the impending tumble.
It seems the crab might just scuttle its way down to the buyers' order block nestled at the very bottom, right by its own clawed feet.
Hold tight, folks—this crustacean's market dance is about to get interesting!
US30 Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 42,620.8.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 45,530.9 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Drop followed followed by long.Dow Jones is currently attempting to continue its bullish resurgence, but has failed to do so by failing to stabilise above 40,883. As long as price action is under the 40k mark, the points may likely retest the previous support barriers, situated between 39,500 and 38,750, as likely bullish catalysts for a long opportunity. However, by failing to go down, breaking, and stabilising above 40,883, the price may continue going up, targeting 42,600 and 42,000.