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British Pound Futures (Feb 2025)British Pound Futures (Feb 2025)British Pound Futures (Feb 2025)

British Pound Futures (Feb 2025)

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GBP/USD Turns Bearish: Analyzing the Key Factors Behind DeclineThe GBP/USD pair has recently turned bearish after reaching a significant Supply area around 1.3228. This level, clearly visible on the weekly chart, has proven to be a formidable resistance, halting the pair's upward momentum and reversing its course. As of today, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3125, marking a notable decline from the previous highs. Weekly Chart Economic Calendar and Market Sentiment Today’s economic calendar highlights the USD ISM Manufacturing PMI, a critical indicator of economic health in the United States. As a leading indicator, the PMI reflects the purchasing managers' outlook, which can offer valuable insights into the overall economic sentiment. Businesses tend to react swiftly to market changes, making this data particularly relevant for understanding the current economic landscape. In contrast, the UK's economic calendar is sparse this week, offering little to support the GBP. The lack of high-impact economic data leaves GBP traders focusing on external factors, particularly from the US. The US economic calendar, however, is packed with significant data releases, including the US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures spread throughout the week. However, the spotlight remains on US labor data, with key prints scheduled for Thursday and Friday. Thursday’s US ADP Employment Change will be the first major data release, serving as a precursor to Friday’s highly anticipated Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). This week's labor market updates are crucial as they represent the last significant data points before the Federal Reserve's rate decision on September 18th. Before these critical releases, the market will also be watching the US JOLTS job openings, scheduled for Wednesday. The JOLTS data is expected to remain steady near 8.1 million for July, closely aligning with the previous month’s figure of 8.184 million. Technical and Sentiment Analysis: Indicators of Further Decline From a technical perspective, the recent rejection from the 1.3228 Supply area signals a potential continuation of the bearish trend. In addition to this, the Commitments of Traders (COT) report reveals an interesting dynamic. Retail traders are currently extremely bullish on GBP, which often serves as a contrarian indicator, suggesting that a reversal might be on the horizon. Seasonal trends also support the bearish outlook for GBP. Historically, this period tends to favor a continuation of the downtrend, aligning with the current market sentiment and technical indicators. Conclusion: A Confluence of Factors Supporting the Bearish Outlook The confluence of technical resistance at the Supply area, bearish seasonal trends, and contrarian sentiment indicators all point towards a continuation of the GBP/USD decline. As the market awaits critical economic data from the US, traders should remain cautious of further downside risks. The alignment of these factors underpins our bearish outlook on GBP/USD, reinforcing the idea that the pair may continue to trade lower in the near term. OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6B1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
EUR | USD | GBP Weekly Forecast Oct. 28: SELL EU & GU!In this video, we will view the markets through ICT Concepts, focusing on the USD, the EURO, and the GBP. The retracement in the USD Index is overdue and pending... but not yet! There is still room to the upside, which means EURUSD and GBPUSD will likely be BEARISH, as the USD is stronger than both at this time. Look for the FVGs to hold price or fail, and let them guide you. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6B1!Short
by RT_Money
GBPUSD British pound Bullish Week**British pound GBP Value Correlation to USD >We are now in the Oversold region Signaling for a bullish trend week. Note: Every time we get Oversold Readings (Green Vertical Lines) we always get a Bullish Move **Election Year Seasonality forecast >Bullish until early next Week. Technicals: >Price already tested the Daily Supply Zone last Friday, preparing for a Bullish Week ahead. >Price could reach to the opposing Supply Zone that initiated the bearish imbalance. OTHERS: >Scalpers can ride the bullish trending week >Long term traders can position for a Sell for next week or position a Long trade at Supply for a retest. ***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
CME:6B1!Long
by TradersPod
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: GBPUSD GBP | GBPUSD is at an OTE level currently, and may find support for higher prices. I am on the lookout for BUY setups, as I do not want to take shorts in this market until prices breaks below 1.3000. Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6B1!Long
by RT_Money
Navigating September 2024: British Pound Trading ForecastAs we approach the close of Q3 2024, key pivot levels on the Camarilla indicator suggest pivotal moments ahead for the British Pound. The currency's performance at these levels could dictate the trading strategy for the upcoming period. Camarilla Insights and Strategic Levels: The British Pound reached a significant juncture at the $1.3220 level, identified as the R5 resistance and a prime profit-taking zone during Q1 2024. This level is now expected to serve as a focal point for institutional traders' actions, oscillating between profit-taking distributions and potential accumulations for new long positions. September 2024 Trading Strategy: Anticipated Long Positions: Observations suggest a potential buildup of long positions at the S3 level of September 2024, which also aligns with August 2024's R3 and Q3's R4. This setup indicates that if the price approaches this level, it could trigger buying activities. However, establishing long positions would be prudent only upon confirmation that the S3 level holds firmly. Should the price fail to sustain this level, a cautious approach would be to wait for it to reach the lower S4 level before considering any long trade entries. Short Trading Opportunities: Conversely, if the price escalates to the R3 level, corresponding to the R5 profit-taking level of Q3 2024, it may suggest that the market is entering a distribution phase. In this scenario, traders might look for opportunities to initiate short positions, targeting subsequent support levels at S3 or S4 depending on the price movement’s momentum. Long-Term Outlook and Price Targets: The pattern of higher lows since September 2022 primes the GBP for a potentially bullish trajectory. A break above the previous highs of July 2023 at $1.3150 could set the stage for an aggressive bullish run, aiming for a resistance target at $1.3650. Conclusion: The current positioning and historical pivot levels provide a complex but navigable trading landscape for the British Pound as we move into the latter part of 2024. Traders should closely monitor these critical levels for indications of market sentiment shifts, ensuring strategies are aligned with the prevailing market phase, whether accumulation or distribution. Stay tuned for updates as these pivotal moments unfold, offering opportunities for astute traders to capitalize on the inherent volatility of currency markets.
CME_MINI:M6B1!Long
by msrozba
GBP/USD Strategic Insights: Q3 Breakouts and Q4 ProjectionsAnalyzing GBP/USD: A Journey Through Accumulation, Breakouts, and Forecasting Q2 2024: The Accumulation Phase During the second quarter of 2024, the British Pound entered a pronounced accumulation phase. Institutional buyers were actively engaged, positioning their trades to capitalize on future movements. This period set the stage for subsequent price actions and was crucial in understanding the currency's resilience. Q3 2024: Strategic Movements and False Breakouts As the third quarter commenced, the GBP/USD experienced a deceptive breakout to the downside, aligning perfectly with the Camarilla pivot support levels at S3 and S4. This false move highlighted the strength of these levels as key support zones, underscoring why initiating short trades—common among retail traders—was strategically questionable at this juncture. By June 2024, the GBP/USD climbed towards $1.2800, briefly entering a distribution/accumulation phase, which prepped the market for an anticipated bullish continuation. Mid-Q3 Breakout and Profit Realization By mid-August 2024, propelled by institutional trading, GBP/USD convincingly broke past the R4 Camarilla level at $1.2950. This breakout targeted the R5 level at $1.3200, identified as the optimal take-profit point. This movement marked a significant transition from the previous range-bound market conditions, showcasing the effectiveness of strategic pivot level monitoring. Anticipating Q4 2024: Calm Before the Next Move Looking ahead to September 2024, expectations are set for subdued trading activity, with the GBP/USD likely oscillating between $1.3000 and $1.3200. This forecasted lull suggests another accumulation/distribution phase that could serve as a precursor to more definitive movements in the fourth quarter. Conclusion and Forward Outlook The trajectory of GBP/USD points towards stability in the near term, with potential gearing up for another significant movement as we approach the end of 2024. Traders should monitor these pivotal levels closely, as they offer valuable insights and strategic entry points. Given the currency’s recent history and the robust support demonstrated at key Camarilla levels, a bullish bias may be advisable heading into the next quarter, with careful attention to any shifts that might suggest a different course. Stay tuned for further updates as we continue to navigate through these dynamic market phases and extract actionable insights to enhance our trading strategies.
CME_MINI:M6B1!
by msrozba
GBP/USD:Anticipating a Bearish Scenario for the British PoundFollowing our successful forecast on the British Pound (link below), we are now poised to take advantage of another shorting opportunity as the price retests the previous supply area. This retest suggests a possible bearish scenario on the horizon. Our analysis is further supported by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which indicates a notable increase in retail long positions. This influx of long positions among retail traders often precedes a bearish reversal, providing additional validation for our anticipated market movement. As the British Pound retests the supply area, we foresee a potential new bearish impulse forming. This aligns with our strategic outlook, where we aim to capitalize on the expected downward momentum. The convergence of technical analysis and trader sentiment data strengthens our confidence in this bearish forecast. In summary, we are preparing for a bearish scenario for the British Pound, leveraging the retest of the supply area and the insights gained from the COT report. This approach ensures we remain well-positioned to take advantage of the expected market movements. Stay tuned for further updates and detailed analysis. Previous Forecast: ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6B1!Short
by FOREXN1
3
British Pound (GBPUSD) is getting close to 2007 crash!!! CoT index shows Commercials(blue line) are in 3-year extreme low AND Retailers(green line) are in extreme high. Almost every time we are in this situation the asset goes down. The last time was May 2021 you can see what happened afterwards. This is the CoT indicator of commercials net positions. Commercials net position is getting close to 2007 level where the big sell off took place. Here is the 5, 10, and 15-year seasonality trends indicating that the market typically reaches a peak around August first. Therefore, it is expected to decline from that point onward.
CME:6B1!Short
by XardasX
8
GBP (GBPUSD. 6BM2024, GBP FUTURES)... BULLISH!Bias is Bullish. Came very close to the DOL, and barely missed the FVG. I expect both will be tapped next week. The IFVG, price trading through the swing high, and the +FVG, are multiple confluences that support the idea that price will find support at these levels and continue higher. Expecting price to tap the +FVG before heading higher. Thank you for viewing! Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! May profits be upon you.
CME:6B1!Long
by RT_Money
2