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Japanese Yen Futures

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6J1! trade ideas

Yen Major Move Up Coming! Custom COT Indicators!Overview. -This is the Beginning of a Educational Series from Jake Bernstein to the TradingView Community. -Many Traders use the COT Data Incorrectly. -Jake Discovered if You Look at the Net Commercials and Take Note When Commercials net Buying is Either At All Time Highs, Or Net Buying = Longest Period of Buying Look for an Extreme Move To the Upside. -In The Future We Will Show Precise Entry Signals…But a Basic Entry Signal Is When Commercials Go From Net Long to Net Short. -Full Credit in Methodology goes to Jake Bernstein at www.Trade-Futures.com and www.2Chimps.net Thought Process: -Commercials Represent Large (Typically Billion Dollar) Companies. -Take Note - When Commercials Are Buying at Record High -Take Note - When Commercials Are Buying For Record Long Periods of Time ***Note…Commercials Can Buy For Extended Periods Dollar Cost Averaging… ***Basic Entry Listed In Overview. ***More Precise Entries Will Be Introduced Soon. Take Note When Commercials STOP Buying and START Selling Indicator Shows Net Commercials -Full Credit goes to Greeny for Creating Original Code. I only made slight modifications. Lower Indicator Modifications include -Took Off Net Long and Short Individual Plots -Added Optional Background Highlighting when Commercials Switch from Long to Short -Added Optional Alert Capability If Commercials Go From Net Long to Short -Ability to Show INVERSE - This makes it Easier for some Traders to See…Since the Signals look similar to MacD/RSI Type Indicators. Upper Indicator Modifications include: -Added Ability to Plot Text Entries when Commercials Switch From Net Long To Short -Added Optional Background Highlighting when Commercials Switch from Long to Short -Added Optional Alert Capability If Commercials Go From Net Long to Short ***Additional Indicators and Updates Coming Soon ***Link To Lower Indicator & Upper Indicator Below Under Related Ideas:
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by ChrisMoody
19
What next?The 6J has broken out (minor) to the downside and we are at the go-no go area. Aggressive traders will sell this area. We are being very cautious due to the recent false breaks. We choose to sit this out until we see a better break. What does that look like? If we break 9725 on the down side we will nibble (very small) to the downside. If we break 9920 on the upside we will buy all pullbacks. It's interesting to note that while the S&P is rallying the 6J is doing nothing. If the 6J breaks to the downside we will see much higher in the indices. If we see a nice break to the upside then we could sell off for a while in the indices. With this pull back we are in the middle of the junk and it's a fight for control...try not to get caught in the fight. Right or wrong the big boys have deeper pockets.
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by OffTheFloorTrader
5
Yen long positions look very interesting hereAfter watching the Japanese Yen trend lower for more than 77 weeks it appears we are now starting to see the smatterings of a bottom coming in on the currency. While it may be a bit early to 'pound-the-table' I do see an interesting opportunity presenting itself within the options space. According to my very strict WCTS model, I can only consider a long position (through options) if the current market price of a 6 month option is half of what I believe the intrinsic value of the option will be at my target price. (intrinsic value = strike price - target price). Today I took a look at the call options and we appear to have just that situation. Using a very conservative price target (W. Gann's 50% rule) I believe the currency can realistically trade back into the 1.1377 area. At the same time, I can buy a seven month (December, 2014) 1.10 call option for about .002 points (or about $250). Should the market go to my target, that option will have an intrinsic value of .0377 or about $471. This is an interesting trade because the low cost enables me to buy 2 contracts (total invested is about $500). I will look to sell 1/2 the position should prices double and ride the remaining 'free' position into expiry. Should the Yen appreciate into the Optimal Trade Entry (short) window the remaining option could realistically have $13,000 of intrinsic value - not a bad reward/risk ratio and something all traders should consider in earnest. Cheers all and I hope my simple analysis is of benefit... If my charts help you, or you use my indicators... please consider a BTC donation to allow me to continue my work : 1EBttA56cWsgtsZn83VGiNT8si7inZV5Z5 & follow me on Twitter @CRInvestor
JLong
by CRInvestor
3
Yen: Abenomics break?Market looks unhappy that Abenomics will print the same amount of money. Wants him to print more and destroy faster than normally expected every Japanese household that could not possibly afford not even heating their homes, after all this devaluation. 5p wedge so far, needs a strong push to create a swing low morning star that maybe will lead to break the wedge. Momentum is creating an IH&S pattern and maybe even build one more right shoulder as symmetry hints. 61.8 area, while the upward trend line that provides support comes from 1985 through 2007 lows. All the best Cheers P.
JLong
by pantheo