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BTC1! trade ideas

BTC1! short idea with open gap fill and catching a quick longAs you might know, open gaps have a fill-rate of 90-95%. Additionally the open CME-gap (1W-basis) has much confluence with important technical levels for support and it lies in the middle of two zones where enormous amounts of USDT-inflows came into the market. 1. the 2024-range (Q1 - Q3) 2. the 2025-range (Q1 at least) Where the new neckline also is, the new support that became resistance appeared. It might also be a good strike for smart money to know that above the biggest orderblock of 2024 support has developed more strength and consequence. So why you don't give it a try to retest it? Here a maximum of buying pressure should lead to a strong bounce of BTCUSD towards a new alltime-high, if and as long as global liquidity rises again. But if not, at least inflation should do half of the bullish job for BTCUSD and a "sideways up" would be my - historically BIASed - expectation. It begins with a shorter short. In the end it might be a very, very quick longer long because of my expectation of rising buying pressure with huge volume delta for the bulls below 78k.
CME:BTC1!
by BossmodeInvestments
2
BTC1! Bitcoin possible crash scenario.The BTC1! chart strikes me as particularly interesting because, unlike other BTC charts, professionals use Bitcoin futures contracts here to speculate on BTC's volatility or manage risk in larger portfolios. The trading schedule runs from Monday (opening at 5:00 PM CT) to Friday (closing at 4:00 PM CT). When the Monday opening price differs from the Friday closing price, a gap is created, which is often filled, as historical data shows similar occurrences. Currently, there is an unfilled gap between 80,000 and 78,000. While it's not guaranteed that this gap will close, it's worth keeping an eye on that zone. Interestingly, the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level also aligns with this area. Additionally, there's the 0.25 zone where we find an nPOC (naked Point of Control). We could see a significant bounce of 20–40% from these levels. If BTC were to experience a 50% drop from the current point, it would bring us to around 54,000. Historically, it tends to have a substantial bounce whenever BTC has fallen more than 40%, making these levels worth monitoring closely.
CME:BTC1!Short
by BOT721
Bitcoin futures eye breakout from falling wedgeBitcoin futures are threatening to break out of the falling wedge established in early December, testing resistance during Asian trade. With RSI (14) through its downtrend and MACD set to cross over from below imminently, momentum is swinging in favour of the bulls, bolster the case for upside. If we see a clean downtrend break, longs could be established with a tight stop beneath for protection. Depending on the risk-reward sought, potential targets include the highs set in early January or record high of $108,945. If the price is unable to break and hold above the downtrend, it would lessen the appeal of initiating longs. Good luck! DS
CME:BTC1!Long
by FOREXcom
BTC Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern - Target: $74,675BTC is currently forming a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic technical setup that often indicates a trend reversal. This pattern points to a downside target of $74,675, calculated based on the distance between the head and neckline. Key Details: 01) Neckline Support: 90650 - 92000. 02) CME Gap Influence: A significant CME Gap in the $77,000–$80,000 range increases the probability of this bearish scenario playing out, as price movements often tend to fill such gaps. Breakout Confirmation: Watch for a strong breakdown below the neckline with accompanying volume for confirmation. Important Note :- Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement above the shoulder levels to manage risk effectively. This setup aligns with the expectation of filling the CME Gap and reinforces the bearish bias. However, as with all trading strategies, remain vigilant for signs of invalidation and adjust your positions accordingly.
CME:BTC1!Short
by SL_Crypto
Bitcoin CME Futures Analysis: Key Support and Resistance LevelsIn this analysis, I delve into the current price action of Bitcoin CME Futures, highlighting critical resistance and support zones based on the recent market structure. The insights provided aim to assist traders in understanding potential market movements and identifying key areas of interest. Resistance Zone: The chart shows a clear rejection from the highlighted resistance zone (purple box) around the $108,000-$112,000 price level. This zone has proven to be a strong ceiling, where sellers have taken control and pushed the price downward. The rejection confirms that this level is significant and should be monitored closely for future price movements. Support Zone: On the downside, we observe a critical support level around the $80,655-$77,965 range (yellow box). This zone is derived from a confluence of historical price reactions and psychological round numbers. If the price reaches this level, we might see strong buying interest, which could act as a reversal point. Market Structure Currently, the market appears to be in a corrective phase, with lower highs forming after the rejection from the resistance zone. A potential move towards the identified support zone could serve as a critical test for buyers. If the price breaks below this level, it may signal a deeper correction or trend reversal.
CME:BTC1!Short
by Tradeaione
Bitcoin correction inevitableTime to Chart the King! If you've checked my recent ideas, you'll find onefrom 11 December 2022 titled "Run it Back Turbo." Check it out! Press the play button to see how I've pinpointed the perfect bottom! Now, let's dive into why I've decided to close my trade: Wave Count: I've marked the 5 waves we've seen so far. Wave Comparison: Using the Date & Price Range tool, I've compared the size of wave 3 to wave 5. Wave 5 typically matches or exceeds wave 3, and you can see the King has done just that. How much more do you need to satisfy your greed? ABC Correction: We're expecting an ABC correction where: A Wave: Should hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the bottom of the count to the current wave 5 peak. B Wave: Logically, this would reach the 0.236 Fibonacci level. C Wave: Expected to extend to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Fibonacci Retracement for Wave 5: If you draw a Fibonacci retracement just for the 5th wave, you'll see: The A wave should touch the 0.618 level of this measurement. The B wave goes to the 0.382 The C wave, as usual, should retrace fully to the 1.000 Fib level, where it began. CME Gap: Check out the 1-day chart below to see there's still a CME gap to fill on the way down. Monthly Close: We're nearing the first monthly close of Q1. Take a look at the RSI; there's a clear bearish divergence forming. Liquidity Clusters: The liquidity clusters below look enticing and are prime for grabs, essential for further upward movements. Remember, this market thrives on the ping-pong effect with short stop hunts and liquidation hunts, followed by the same to the longs, rinse and repeat. Here you see a freshly pulled LiqMap from The Kingfisher platform currently the only one I know of which can show you these clusters. As you can see we have a ton of liquidity to tap into before we can resume this bullrun! Conclusion: The King Needs to Reset! No reason to be upset. Everyone needs a rest after such a run. We will resume our journey soon enough, reaching those higher targets sooner or later. See the bright side: we can sell now, load up at cheaper prices, and potentially make even bigger profits. Follow me for updates to this idea and follow me on X for even more insights!
CME:BTC1!Education
by Candle_Styx
2 IDEAS. BULLISH AND BEARISH.BASIS JANUARY (M) CANDLE CLOSE.Bearish Scenario in Red lines. If BTCUSD January month candle closes below 99k. A bearish momentum is possible.To 49k Unless Feb month candle briefly goes below 99k( Institutional bulk buying will create a jump up to above 105k). Then the bullish move will be restored. Bullish scenario in Green lines If January Monthly candle closes at above 103k. or anywhere above 100k, We will be looking at a bullish rally to 155k -take profit. Then a retracement will happen. king's ideas.
CME:BTC1!
by patking24th
BTC CMEAfter touching the weekly BISI, the price dropped behind the stops in the shorts, the daily BIs became an inversion and gave support to the price without pushing it down. If this is a Екгьз rally, we will see how the price will react within 4 hours, a selling pattern is formed, there is inefficiency, a block of refusal is possible, which can lower the price to 0.5 range Will this move be to fill the weekly BISI again or will it continue to send orders up? Now those who entered long have opened positions, I think the price will follow their stops
CME:BTC1!Short
by Jojo2075