VMA setup. Velocity moving average.
We trade structure And never fear of a manipulation!
We get in on beginning wick entry.
BTCF2021 trade ideas
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We need this pullback to 85K or even to 80K would be greatWe need this pullback to 85K or even to 80K would be great
How evere longterm forever bullish.
You are very welcome to comment with your thoughts, share your charts or questions about COT or how I came to this setup. Just comment below, I like any constructive discussion.
If we get the confirmation, I will be looking to position myself with my students and followers as highlighted on the chart.
Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution
- No liquidity raid = No trade
- Never buy high and never sell low
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Bitcoin Reacted Well to InflationBitcoin serves as an inflation hedge, going beyond its role as a decentralized digital currency that facilitates peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries like banks or governments.
When inflation peaked at 9% in 2022, both Bitcoin and gold exhibited upward trends—a pattern that has continued to the present day.
Although the latest inflation figure stands at 2.6%, the current levels of gold and Bitcoin, driven by market demand, indicate that inflationary concerns persist.
Today, we’ll explore how to buy Bitcoin during market dips.
Mirco Bitcoin Futures & Options
Ticker: MBTX4
Minimum fluctuation:
$5.00 per bitcoin = $0.50 per contract
BTIC: $1.00 per bitcoin = $0.10 per contract
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
$BTC1! Fib Simulation of Fractal (UPD)Perceiving the price action as a function of trading time justifies the quantitative approach in drawing geometric relationship between phases of cycles. Hence, it's safe for me to assume that market is a time fractal which has its own path regardless the collective opinions of the market participants. Logistic curve that reflects well the speed of information spreading made me ignore the voices of masses. The principle aligns with EMH - that the condition of the market is already reflected in the current price.
Impulsive and corrective waves are governed by golden rule in one way or the other. That's why I used fibonacci channels to build predictive models which reflect the interconnectedness of composite fractals to the whole cycle. By measuring the extreme levels of historic wave, the derived fibonacci channels exposed the timing, size and probability levels of the next ones.
In regular TA, people are wrongfully focused on covering their immediate expectations from the market, analyzing a narrow data range of the chart. Whereas, Fractal Analysis graphically shows how current price is interconnected with the entire history of fluctuations in a single probabilistic map.
In this update I fused earlier discovered structures and boundaries to the chart
Added more series of fib ratios derived from white triangle (src 0;1)
Linear boundaries of macro-fractal:
Implementation of fibs with big time Intervals:
As violet Fibs:
Other observations:
We're in a big triangle derived by linear extension 2021 tops and Full cycle (COVID - 2022 LOWS)
Source:
Implementation:
(On interactive chart it darkens till intersection)
BITCOIN head and shoulder pattern + CME GAPBitcoin appears to be forming a potential Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a commonly recognized bearish reversal structure in technical analysis.
If this pattern fully materializes, it could lead to a corrective move, possibly targeting the price gap in the $77,000–$80,000 range. This level may act as a magnet for price action, fulfilling a technical gap-filling scenario often observed in market dynamics.
UPDATE Bitcoin hit our $100,000 first target - Way soonerIf you've been following my TradingView ideas.
You'll know Bitcoin broke out of a Falling Wedge pattern on 27 September 2024. It then came back down to sweep liquidity from the buyers.
Moved up and we got a confirmation signal that upside was imminent from $67,000.
Since then, it's been text book that the market has been moving up a trajectory of 45 degrees and then escalated its upside when Trump became president.
So, the first psychological target has been reached at $100,000 and the next target of $105,000+ is easily on the cards.
So, things are still looking up with Bitcoin. Investors are even studying Bitcoin fundamentals which state it should go higher due to political and economic reasons. Who thought?
ANd with Alt Coins also having their days, it looks like Crypto Summer is here to stay.
Bitcoin’s CME futures gap gives a clue for the 1st big correctonAnytime you see a gap in price action like this they almost always get filled, and typically get filled sooner than later. So while there is a chance bitcoin could turn the current mild retracement into a deeper pullback that goes down to fill this gap, until the current support on btc is broken, which is the top trendline of the rising wedge it now currently has 3 consecutive daily candles above(not shown here), I think it’s more probable that bitcoin waits for a much more powerful resistance line that results in a much stronger rejection before it corrects back down far enough to fill this gap. If the current pullback doesn’t lead to the gap fill then my guess is once we retest the top green trendline of this group of channels:
That this would be the perfect time to have our first significant correction of the current parabolic phase of the bull market. I will be prepared for either zone to have a chance to fill that gap and plan accordingly, Also a few measured move targets around the 115 - 116k range so a pullback could potentially occur around that zone as well. *not financial advice*
BTC vs ETH cup and handleBackground: lots of talk about BTC cup and handle pattern
Image: BTC and ETH side by side
Movement: crypto goes big to small cap regarding movement (except ADA seems to usually be first legit move)
Plan: classic upward play once handle breaks
BTC CME GAP
- A new gap was created this weekend on the CME.
- BTC's price is higher there, which is typical.
- A gap isn’t always filled; while many do eventually close as prices retrace, it’s never guaranteed.
- This isn’t a price analysis, but rather an alert to monitor the gap.
- I’ll add my previous gap analysis in the comments.
Happy Tr4Ding
CME - Predicting the FutureThis is an update to our last tradingview post found here:
So far it has been amazing to see how price action has played out with this trendline. Even though price has wicked above a few times, most of the candle bodies continue to close below it. Therefore should we expect a drop soon?
If there is a large scale drop I want to prepare you guys for where that next major buying opportunity might be. It seems like all the stars are aligning to make this prediction become a reality but let me lay it out for you.
There are three main reasons this might become Bitcoin's next low (based solely on the technicals).
The first reason is because it is the 0.618 of its low before the election to its recent top. This would put Bitcoin around $77,500.
The second reason is because of our yellow line. This represents the ATH that was established March 2024. If price comes back down to revisit that high it should be old resistance being flipped into new support! That would put Bitcoin somewhere around $78,900.
The final reason is because of the CME gap. Historically, gaps tend to be filled and that gap is $80,700-$77,100.
Therefore, one of the best areas for Bitcoin to create its next macro higher low before continuing the bullmarket will most likely be between $76,800-$80,800.
Retail and pros diverge while bitcoin mulls $100kBitcoin is tantalizingly close to the elusive $100k target - a level which has been thrown around, literally for years, by bitcoin visionaries. And it looks like it will finally get there. Yet with prices rising while real-money accounts derisk from the original-flavoured crypto currency, which crowd should we follow?
MS
BTC Futures Expectations: Anticipating the Next Market MovesTwo major macro events are now behind us; the Fed rate decision and more notably, the U.S. Presidential Election. With a clean red sweep, we have begun to see Scenario 1 play out from our previous post. However, given the surge of retail euphoria and excitement, this run towards the 90k mark was not entirely unexpected. November 11, 2024 has now set a crucial range for the weeks ahead.
Big Picture BTC Futures:
Key Levels to Watch:
pATH support: 78,960 - 77,155
Key Bull Zone: 68,100 - 65,500
Yearly Mid: 67,375
Yearly VPOC: 68,100
Scenario 1 — Consolidation While Capped by Weekly High and Monday’s Range
In this scenario, we can expect further consolidation as more participants enter the market.
Based on our current expectations, BTC may consolidate near new ATHs and above key pATHs support. Perhaps we may see another bull flag formation, which may fail at first and test the key pATHs support before another upward move. Here, the key would be shaking out late breakout traders, with a possible dip before another move higher as outlined.
Scenario 2 — Euphoria Turns to Frustration and Shakeout for Late Breakout Traders
In this scenario, we expect a deeper pullback that could be more intense—shifting the euphoria into gloom. A bottom signal will likely emerge as market sentiment turns bearish. BTC futures could dip back to pATHs, followed by a quick V bottom recovery that tests the confluence of yVPOC, key bull support, and yearly midpoint.
Scenario 3 - Sustained Bullish Momentum to 100K
In this scenario, a bullish run continues towards the 100K mark before it starts to cool down and consolidate between 90K and 100K price levels. This is a warning for those trying to time a top in BTC futures. It is better to plan than to step in blindly and fire from the hip.
Considering trading CME BTC futures? You can now access CME MBT Micro Bitcoin futures, 1/10th the size of one bitcoin, and CME BFF, Bitcoin Friday futures, sized at 1/50 of a bitcoin, Bitcoin Friday futures is a short-dated contract that provides an accessible, capital-efficient way to manage your bitcoin trading strategies.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are personal opinions and should not be interpreted as financial advice. NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products. Derivatives involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
CME - Institutional TrendlineWe are watching for BTC to cooldown at some point to revisit the CME gap for liquidity. One potential level we have identified is this red trendline. It has acted as support and resistance flips many times for institutional interest. Therefore, since that rally is being driven by institutional money this trendline might be one to watch for potential selling pressure.
BTC CME Updat(1D)Bitcoin pumped without correction and without hitting our entry zone and reached the red box of our previous analysis. Bitcoin targets were not far from expectations.
Now we have a GAP in CME on the price of $77930, if this gap is filled, we can look for buy opportunities.
From the range of gap and demand, we expect Bitcoin to return upwards
Closing a daily candle below the invaliation level will violate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC ĆMĘ Gap#BTC CME GAP Analysis
We can clearly see a big CME Gap between $77930 - $80670 which will be filled soon .
So be aware of your open trades, we are gonna see a pullback around $78k.
We may still have small bullish before correctionBitcoin has been in a big uptrend since Trump was elected president. By the time Bitcoin went up it left a CME gap. These gaps work for the liquidity of the market and are like magnets. People have noticed it and are waiting for the closing of the gap.
Same thing happened in 2023 Nov-Dec. After the gap bitcoin went up like now, but people start to predict the closing gap and went for short. At the sametime the Whales are waiting people to change their mind that we are continuing to go up after all. After 10% up from new highest high, whales close the gap.
2023 December Bitcoin made a new highest high in a round 44,880$, 10% up to 49,500$. After a 20% dip to close the gap at 39,000$. 2024 November Bitcoin made new highest high in a round 94,085$ and is heading at 10% up to 103,600$. If history repeats itself, we should have a round 20% dip to closing the gap.
Although the situation is similar there is still a big difference, because we are talking about the 100,000$ limit which is really a psychological number. Source: own made research and analytics from Tradingview and CoinMarketCap
BITCOIN CME weekly chartAs BTC approaches 100K on CME there is Big GAP formed between (78000-80500) Its a red red Sign For Swing Traders and Invester as BTC should fulfill these Major GAPs. Also testing 1.414 reversal region of FIB extension
Also there is Supply to demand region and high volume area around (67000-70000)
If BTC retrace towards 70K it will good Opportunity for Bulls and Investors.... Soon Bear will dominate the market in week or two. Mark my words
BTC is dumb especially what it is turning into.I mean look at this bear flag on the futures... Micro Strat is the top signal... 100k is for the birds.. Send this shit back to 10k
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 in Action! Bitcoin is technically riding Wave 5 on both higher and lower timeframes – a strong indication of potential momentum toward its maximum potential! 🎯
📊 Key Levels
Target: $102,000 (Fib 1.618 extension level)
Stop Loss: $91,800 (below Wave 4)
Entry: Market Price
📈 Risk-to-Reward: 2.5:1 RRR
This setup aligns perfectly with Elliott Wave theory, signaling an excellent risk-reward opportunity. Ride the momentum and stay sharp – Bitcoin might be heading toward new highs! 🌟
💡 Pro Tip: Always manage your risk and stick to your plan!
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Trading cryptocurrencies involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices can be highly volatile, and you could lose your entire investment. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before trading. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
#Bitcoin #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #BTC #RiskManagement
BTC1! WEEK OF 11/18/24BTC1! WEEK OF 11/18/24
To maintain simplicity, once the price moves beyond the WHITE range, monitor for a potential retest of the breached level.
Be prepared to initiate long or short positions targeting the YELLOW ranges.While prices may surpass the YELLOW range targets, these levels provide a robust framework for securing profits. 🎯🫡
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
BTC CME gapther is room for potential correction as we have CME gap ondaily and weekly TF of BTC.
Tradesmartly and prepare for it.
however, the STIC indicator already indicated Protect your profit, but not yet Long exit, so the market is yet to ge tot extreme.
#tradesmartly
