Bitcoin Live Trading - Price Action and Volume Patterns Volume patterns in Bitcoin live trading can provide valuable insights into market trends and potential price movements. Here are some key volume patterns to watch:
1. **High Volume with Price Increase**:
- Indicates strong buying interest and can signify the start of an uptrend.
- Often accompanied by bullish sentiment.
2. **High Volume with Price Decrease**:
- Suggests significant selling pressure.
- Can indicate the beginning of a downtrend or a correction in the market.
3. **Low Volume with Price Increase**:
- May indicate a weak rally with less conviction among buyers.
- Often a sign of an impending reversal or correction.
4. **Low Volume with Price Decrease**:
- Indicates a lack of selling pressure.
- May signal a potential bottoming out and possible price reversal.
5. **Volume Spikes**:
- Sudden increases in volume can indicate major news or events impacting the market.
- Important to analyze the context and price movement alongside volume spikes.
6. **Volume Divergence**:
- When price moves in one direction but volume moves in the opposite direction.
- Often signals a potential reversal in the price trend.
7. **Volume Trends**:
- Consistent increase in volume over time can signal strengthening trend.
- Consistent decrease in volume can indicate a weakening trend.
Understanding these patterns can help traders make more informed decisions. Additionally, combining volume analysis with other technical indicators can provide a more comprehensive view of the market. Do you have any specific patterns or scenarios you're interested in exploring further?
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BTC1! trade ideas
BTCUSD / POTENTIAL BULLISH BREACKOUT Hello Traders!
I expect a bullish move on BTCUSD H4, after retesting the bullish breakout at the price of 60500.
As we can see, the price returned to PWL and now I expect a reaction, meaning a good opportunity to execute a trade.
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BTC 2024-2025For the past year another bullish cycle was incepted in BTC. Once again, it started from the key support zone, which represents miners' breakeven price. The strong bullish market sentiment last year was supported by a risk-on environment in financial markets:
Supressed dollar sterngth, decreasing oil and gas prices
Increasing buybacks in the US corporate sector
Strong results of the "magnificent seven" and anticipation of the AI revolution
Fed provided liquidity to mitigate the consequences of the SVB collapse, and decreased the rate of quantitative tightening (QT)
All this provided favorable liquidity conditions in the markets, setting the stage to propel the crypto market. Now that BTC has reached an all-time high (ATH), and on-chain metrics look very strong according to Glassnode, the question remains: will this bullish cycle follow the same pattern as after previous BTC halvings, or will it be somewhat different? As for now I see the following possibilities:
Best-case:
Confidence: 69%
Description: BTC will continue ongoing bullish cycle as during the past cycles. However investors should be aware of the possibility of temporary consolidation before ATH break out (similar to what we saw in spring-summer 2023 before last autumn bull-run).
Min pull-back price: ~50K$
Max target price: >130K$
Base-case:
Confidence: 21%
Description: False ATH breakout will provoke a deeper pull-back before continuation of bullish cycle. In case the price starts sliding down, investors should check how the market reacts on the 50K price zone. Market inability to break ATH after such consolidation, will provoke a deeper pull-back.
Min pull-back price: ~35K$
Max Target price: ~100K$
Worst-case:
Confidence: 10%
Description: False ATH breakout will provoke strong bearish trend to last year low and miners breakeven price range. This will require a black-swan event and rapid deteoration of financial market's sentiment. This is very unlikely because the US government will try all possible means to keep markets strong before the POTUS election.
Min pull-back price: ~20-25K$
Max Target price: ~80K$
Conclusion:
The best-case scenario looks the most probable (69%), there are some factors which may come into play in the foreseeable future and enact downward price pressure:
Having BTC and ETH ETFs approved, investors and traders might follow a psychological pattern of selling the news.
This could be exacerbated this autumn by tighter monetary conditions due to a prolonged period of high rates before the Fed is forced to start easing despite sticky inflation.
Additionally, the BTC halving event might produce a lesser impact during this cycle, as newly mined coins will constitute only a minor share of coins already in circulation.
So there is a slight chance (21%) that the market might behave differently than past bull cycles. Over the course of the year I will continue posting updates on whether the market confirms this outlook, and I'll keep you updated throughout the year if the alternative scenarios unfold.
Are you bullish or bearish?I could make an argument for Bitcoin rallying, but also for it to sell off. And to be frank, it has to do with more about what happens in the future in the markets. Do risk assets rally? Bitcoin would rally. Do risk assets sell off from profit taking and growth reasons? I think Bitcoin would sell off. Do stocks move down from a banking or debt crisis? I think Bitcoin would rally. There are even more situations to consider, but the fact is that we don't have enough information.
Technically, I could argue either at this time. Bitcoin is in a long term "cup and handle" pattern which could target well above the 100,000 level in the coming months. However, a a break of the 50% retracement of the last leg higher and channel support at 56435 (would be the handle support too) would suggest a much bigger pullback is in store.
So unless you have an edge at the moment, the 56435-72000 rage (handle) looks to be what traders should be watching near term.
$BTC calls have been $ for months now, here's anotherIn less than one month it will be 6 months when CRYPTOCAP:BTC topped.
Historically, this has been an important time frame for the asset.
#Bitcoin is getting to the major support level faster than anticipated, yellow line.
The time between big cyan colored arrows is IMPORTANT.
#BTC close to oversold & TONS of $ has been taken out.
Getting closer to a bottom.
$BTC retested and caught a cold, likely will sell off moreCRYPTOCAP:BTC retested the all time high & then sold off, as expected.
The 2nd phase is the more important one and it is right around the corner. In a previous post we mentioned 3 and 6 months from ATH was a pivot point.
#BTC will likely keep selling off until it reaches major support & that area is a is do or die time, represented by cyan arrows.
#Bitcoin Money flow is not very good & the RSI is still sinking.
will BTC plummet? or is this the buildup to trigger 75k???
theres two ways id look at bitcoin, either id be waiting for a buy on 3rd leg down, or seeing it it breaks for 75 first. i would really like to see the 3rd push down and an explosive move to 75k.
lower low made on tuesday, higher high made today, chances of going parabolic later in the week thurs/fri have increased drastically!
tomorrow is day 3 ill be looking to see a coupel different scenarios. waiting for previous day high or low to be taken out first then seeing how price responds from there.
its a buy low template for tomorrow in 1 of the 3 sessions so be ready. tonight or tomorrow.
i repeat buy low template!! id be waiting for PDL to be taken out theres a few different ways to play first green day. be patient and sdave your bullets!! there will be plenty of opportunities
BITCOIN MONTHLY BIAS TRADEThis idea base on MAY month opening price,
now were on June for liquidity grab highs.
Im expecting less on Discount idea to clear that level of liquidity above.
But if you want to wait the Real money transfer, wait again below.
For discount traders trade base on stoploss , trade base on your own.
This is not a financial advice,
this idea are monthly basis.
Follow for more.
$BITCOIN
BTC Long Scalp OpportunityDear Friends,
Another long Scalping opportunity has arrived on BTC and I feel bullish. Obviously There will be dips as market needs these for rocket fuel.
Take care till next trade.
BTC on CME - Confirming Breakout?Here we have the CME chart and we notice something very interesting which could lay out Bitcoins direction for the coming week.
On Friday Bitcoin closed at $69,650 on CME which "coincidently" closed the candle body exactly on top of that white trendline.
Today, CME is about to open in 2 hours and currently BTC's price should align again with the same trendline.
This is the 1D chart so we need to see confirmation close above to confirm this retest as a new level of support and confirmed breakout to higher highs.
This means if on Monday CME is able to defend this level that should give us the ability for price to retest $71.3k on the spot chart and as soon as we get a 3D close above $71.3k we are starting the next leg of the bull market.
BTC looks okay, 1st phase pretty much complete, phase 2 nextTurned bullish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC during the beginning of May.
Futures #BTC looks good but the volume is lacking a bit.
RSI looks okay but not great.
$ Flow is not that great either.
Spot #Bitcoin = ditto.
However, technically they look good, they are trading above their respective moving averages.
What would seal the deal? HUGE volume breaking highs!
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Not shown here, pls see profile for more info.
Noticed an interesting weekly CRYPTOCAP:BTC pattern. Will speak on that later as the pattern will likely resolve months from now. Want to see what happens within the next couple months first.
Spot #BTC hasn't proven it's better to chart vs futures #Bitcoin, doubt it will until it counts (meaning it'll change when things hit the fan).
Current box is the best looking. We'll see what happens very soon.
#crypto