BTC will fill CME GAP at around 77KWe're seeing some wild swings in Bitcoin's price, and I'm calling it: this isn't just the market doing its thing. I mean, where's all the BTC on exchanges? It's like there's none left, and the prices are shooting up to levels that Wall Street boys would think twice about jumping into.
This smells like big-time manipulation by the heavy hitters, like those hedge fund giants and the exchanges themselves. They've got the power to make the market dance, and with so little Bitcoin floating around, every move they make has an outsized impact. It's like they're playing with a loaded deck.
I'm not saying I've got the smoking gun, but the signs are there. When you see prices that don't match the supply, you gotta wonder, right? Are we just pawns in their game, or is there something else at play?
Let's keep our eyes peeled, because if this is manipulation, it's on a whole new level. What do you guys think? Am I onto something, or am I just seeing shadows?
Remember, this is speculative based on what we're observing in the market, and while manipulation is a concern, it's one among many factors influencing crypto prices.
Whats your thouhts?
BTC1! trade ideas
BTC CME GAP
- A new gap was created this weekend on the CME.
- BTC's price is higher there, which is typical.
- A gap isn’t always filled; while many do eventually close as prices retrace, it’s never guaranteed.
- This isn’t a price analysis, but rather an alert to monitor the gap.
- I’ll add my previous gap analysis in the comments.
Happy Tr4Ding
Either this is dip or we are in bear marketCRYPTOCAP:BTC CME gap is nearly filled (ends at 77,930, bounced at 78,675). It also tested the 10-month MA (76K). Monthly RSI is at support, similar to August 2024, when price surged from 49K to 110K. There are several indicators tested such as distance to 50 day moving average as well as 200 day moving average current price. As long as it holds above 75-76K, the bull market remains intact.
BTC 160K in JulySimple fractal from last year summer doldrums on the the BTC chart.
Once we corrected to the 200 SMA (current spot) , a 2 month bottom consolidation followed and after 2 months, BTC reached all time high. That is my thesis going forward and it bodes well with the US new administration typical down turn within the first 100 days of taking office. Fed still tightening, rates still high, etc
Congruent also with a shift to an increase in global liquidity and lower rates incoming towards the summer, as the US economy is now showing obvious signs of weakness.
My 2 cents.
General Market Analysis - SMC Point of ViewIn this video I go through an analysis of DXY, EURUSD, USDCHF, OIL, and BTC. I also delve into why I think some short-term manipulation is happening and share my narrative.
I am not fond of giving a long description here when I give my analysis in the video, so please enjoy and share your thoughts.
- R2F Trading
Bitcon currently filling the CME futures gapWe knew it was likely this would happen at some point in the near future from when the gap was formed and it appears like now is the time. Price action needs to dip as low as $77,920to fill the gap entirely. History tells us the correction should be over with not long after the gap is filled. The only way this isn’t the case is if the top of the bull market was indeed already in, which is a very minute probability but not impossible. *not financial advice*
Will the bitcoin bloodbath send prices below its 200-day SMA?Currently lower for a sixth day, bitcoin futures have just tested the 200-day average for the first time this year. This clearly marks a pivotal moment for bulls and bears over the near term, but we also have to factor in the higher timeframes.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Bitcoin Futures in Freefall !!Bitcoin Futures in Freefall: Navigating the Stormy Crypto Seas
As of February 27, 2025, Bitcoin futures have been experiencing significant volatility, reflecting the broader trends in the cryptocurrency market. The current price of Bitcoin futures on the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) is approximately $84,945, which represents a notable decline from recent highs.
Market Overview
The cryptocurrency market has been under pressure due to a combination of factors, including regulatory uncertainties, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment. Bitcoin, being the flagship cryptocurrency, often sets the tone for the entire market. The recent drop in Bitcoin futures prices can be attributed to several key factors:
Regulatory Concerns: Governments and regulatory bodies worldwide have been tightening their stance on cryptocurrencies. This has led to increased scrutiny and potential regulatory actions, causing uncertainty among investors.
Macroeconomic Factors: The global economic environment, including inflation concerns and interest rate hikes, has impacted risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Investors are becoming more cautious, leading to reduced demand for Bitcoin futures.
Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market has been bearish, with many investors adopting a risk-off approach. This has resulted in increased selling pressure and lower prices for Bitcoin futures.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin futures have broken several key support levels, indicating a bearish trend. The price has entered a fair value gap (FVG) and is approaching an order block (OB), which could act as a support level. If the price finds support at the order block, there could be a potential reversal or consolidation before any further movement. However, if the price breaks below the order block, it could indicate further downside potential.
Future Outlook
The future outlook for Bitcoin futures remains uncertain, with several potential scenarios:
Regulatory Clarity: If regulatory bodies provide clear guidelines and frameworks for cryptocurrencies, it could boost investor confidence and lead to a recovery in Bitcoin futures prices.
Macroeconomic Stability: Improvements in the global economic environment, such as controlled inflation and stable interest rates, could positively impact risk assets, including Bitcoin futures.
Market Sentiment Shift: A shift in market sentiment towards a more bullish outlook could lead to increased demand for Bitcoin futures and higher prices.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the current situation with Bitcoin futures is characterized by significant volatility and uncertainty. Investors should closely monitor regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and market sentiment to make informed decisions. While the short-term outlook may be bearish, there are potential catalysts that could lead to a recovery in the future.
Bitcoin Update: Critical Support & Elliott Wave Levels To WatchBitcoin here is the thing...
1. For now drop is not impulsive, so can be correction
2. 4th wave pullbacks will ideally stabilize near 50/38.2%. Just testing the important zone 77k-85k
3. Old high and unfilled gap are crucial to cause a bounce, otherwise the major high is in
4. You don't want to see this fourth wave breaking the lowest base channel line, otherwise top is in.
5. Bullish resumption for wave 5 when/if 93700 overlaps
6. This market wont go up unless risk-on is back
GH
Bitcoin Is About To Turn Bullish (10X Alert!)It's been 1.5 months since the last low, which happened on the 10th of January. We are potentially looking at a higher low now and the start of a new bullish wave. This is a major development.
There isn't much to go by from the chart, only the fact that trading volume has been higher in previous drops. The total amount of long positions liquidated can also be considered; the market cycle; the fact that the year is 2025 and we are about to enter March.
The Cryptocurrency market will be 100% bullish in March.
Bitcoin will be bullish in March, so it is a possible that we are looking at a higher low on the 2D candle and this candle closes tomorrow.
I am doing, for my people, 10X on this chart setup.
10X is about the limit for our leveraged trades.
I only go to the upper range of the limit when we are really close to the next major market move. We know the next move is bullish and we know we are very close, for this reason we are ready to 'step in the gas', we are ready to go in with full force because Bitcoin (the Cryptocurrency market) is about to embark on a phase of long-term growth.
Now. All growth will not happen in a single week or a single day. This is a long-term process but bottom prices tend to be available only for a matter of days.
Is this really it?
When trading, specially with leverage, there is always high risk.
I can't say for sure if this is it, all we can do is take action, decide what we want to do next. Based on the chart, intuition and experience, we are ready for a new entry, the market will let us know if the timing was right. The market will reward us if timing was right, it will punish us if the timing was wrong.
If we get it right, that's great; enjoy the profits and move on.
If we get it wrong, no need to cry, no need to fight, the market goes down and goes up. We know how much risk we are taking based on the size of the position that we take. If a chart setup breaks down, there is one choice left and one only, try again. We never give up. Success is based on learning from past failures and mistakes. The more often we get it wrong, the more data we have to learn and grow.
The timing is right.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Lord MEDZ Trading Update: BitcoinKey Observations:
Breach of the 60-Day Lookback Zone:
Price has fallen below the previously held demand zone, confirming seller dominance.
This breakdown increases the probability of a deeper retracement toward key Fibonacci and smart money interest levels.
Potential Demand Zones & Fibonacci Levels:
$82,280 - $75,355: This is the first major support area (0.5-0.618 retracement), where we may see a reaction.
$75,000 - $67,500: If weakness persists, price could fill the deeper liquidity void toward the 0.75 retracement level.
Final Support: $57,205 - $54,640: This remains the ultimate level where a full mean reversion move could play out.
Liquidity Hunt & Smart Money Context:
The market is likely sweeping liquidity, trapping late longs before a potential reversal.
Order blocks and imbalance zones suggest that institutional players could step in at lower levels.
Bearish Case: Deeper Drop Incoming?
If GETTEX:82K fails, a move to $75K or even FWB:67K is likely.
Further breakdowns could lead to a full sweep into the $57K region, which aligns with historical liquidity pools.
Bullish Reversal Scenario
If buyers aggressively defend GETTEX:82K -$75K, we could see a strong rebound back toward $90K+.
Any reclaim above the 60-day lookback level (~$90K- GETTEX:92K ) would invalidate the bearish breakdown.
Trading Plan:
Short-term: Watching price action around GETTEX:82K -$75K for a reaction.
Medium-term: If weakness persists, looking for deeper buy opportunities closer to $75K-$67K.
Invalidation: A strong daily close below $75K increases the likelihood of a drop to $57K.
Final Note: The breakdown below the 60-day lookback is a crucial shift in market sentiment. Patience is key—let the liquidity do its job before making aggressive moves.
Stay sharp & trade smart!
– Lord MEDZ
BTS Heading to 74K or Is It Just a Shakeout?Not a pretty picture, is it? I hope it's just a shakeout of weak hands and not truly a breakdown.
The price has clearly closed below significant lows. Only saving grace is that the yesterday low is around 38.2% retracement of the rise from lows of August 2024 (sub 50K level).
Let's hope it reverses for good from here. If not, it's not just #BTC that will fall but majority of cryptos with it.
BTC update#BTC has 2 gaps in CME chart so these 2 should be filled i think that there is 2 scenarios once is rising to catch the small gap and then go down and the other one is go down to catch the big one and then rise to catch the other one !
any way we have to think for bearish in long term and in both scenarios the price will fall under 80K
BTC Mid-Term OutlookBitcoin is struggling to find bullish confluence, and we’re not seeing strong buy pressure at current levels. The nearest significant order blocks are much lower, around $69K, which could act as a magnet if sellers take control.
Adding to the uncertainty, potential tariffs from Trump could shake up the broader market, impacting risk assets like BTC in the short term. Without a strong push from bulls soon, the market will drift lower before any meaningful reversal.