FCPO 22 FEB 2023DOWN, SL 4226
(Disclaimer: for demonstrate own planned trade records study only and education purpose, not for recommend to buy or sell. Trade at your own risk)
CPO1! trade ideas
FCPO 22 Feb 2023 : Gap up and UT?1. Yesterday price failed multiple times to break 236 fibo level. However price to able to reach down to 786 fibo level. Buyer and seller are still strong. We can expect price sideway.
2. 15min TF, price already breach EMA50. 30min TF, price still not test EMA50. We expect the price will test it sooner.
3. Channel uptrend is still holding up. Mid channel tested but not cross to the lower track.
4. Market structure: Yesterday's price played in the range. The uptrend is still valid unless the price breakdown and sustains below 4100.
5min :
1. MS : Sideway
2. EMA : Last night EMA12 crosses up EMA50
3. Price to EMA : Not respect either one of EMA = Sideway
What is trading plan today?
1. Gap up, price sustain above trading range = BUY
2. Gap up, price backdown into the trading range = SELL trading range
FCPO 21 Feb 2023 : Reaccumulate/Distribution?1. So far price still uptrend movement in the channel.
2. Price still test EMA50 15min.
Expect sideway movement to form reaccumulation or distribution pattern.
5min :
1. Price breakdown EMA50 multiple times but back up again = Strong buyer still have upperhand
2. EMA12 still above EMA50 = uptrend
FCPO TRADING : 336) sideway for too darn long...this is haidojo and the number is 336...
sorry folks! I am truly very sorry! After a long 3 months, I have returned...
The main reason for my absentee for the past few months is fcpo has been trading sideway and it has been absolutely NOTHING much to discuss...
fcpo is killing me with sudden ups, sudden down, when the trend is supposingly confirmed, then suddenly the tide has changed and it moved the opposite direction and killed all my trades! All this is driving me crazy....so I come with the idea to take the game to the next level by trying to trade "outsider" such as e-micro gold futures (MGC )and micro e-mini dow jones (MYM) and not focusing so much resources on double fcpo and fkli...
Back to business, the technical part, about the price-action. As we can see frm the chart, now we are at the crossroad, 4136...some resistance level, the blue line...and price might fall back to support level at 4000...look for some slowing down and reverse...if it hits the ceiling at 4255, the next resistance level, then we should be looking for some slowing down and reverse...that's all for tdy
**plan your trade and trade your plan... gud luck**
resistance : 4255-4300
overhead resistance : 4130-4170, happening now
support : 3970- 4000
lower support : 3730-3830
WARNING!
RISK DISCLAIMER : this is juz a trading idea...trading stocks, futures , cryptos, warrants, CFDs, spreads, options or forex might incur a huge risk to your account/funds… DON’T LOSE MONEY THAT YOU CANNOT AFFORD …any idea(s) of trading in this episode SHALL NOT be regarded as a hint of BUYING or SELLING. It is MERELY a trading journal and it has been used for educational purpose only…this is not a signal service channel and DON'T TREAT IT LIKE ONE!
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK!
FCPO 17 Feb 2023 : Continue uptrend or consolidate?Yesterday :
1. SnR : Price sustain above the RbS level.
2. Channel : Price respect uptrend channel
3. MS : Price make uptrend structure
Planning for Today?
1. SnR : Price may test nearest supply level around 4100~4120
2. Market Structure: For now BUY MS is still intact. Monitor if the price breach MS.
3. EMA: Price still not tested EMA50. Today's price may be consolidated to test EMA50
4. MACD : We see a possible bearish divergence. But it can be retracement only unless the price breakdown buy MS.
Possible bullish course for FCPOFCPO could potentially be on its bullish course to reach RM 5000. However, there could be some room for the price to drop just slightly to complete of what could be a flat correction in the 2. An immediate break from the zone area highlighted with a box could suggest that flat correction have completed and might be on the 3 of (3) wave.
Disclaimer
This is NOT buy/ sell call but for learning purposes.
FCPO 16 Feb 2023 : High Demand?Yesterday :
1. Price able to break down uptrend channel. However, the support area is still holding up.
2. Maybe the price did reaccumulate again before the gap-up today.
Today :
1. Price gap up due to high demand following SBO demand.
2. Price so far sustain above the supply zone.
3. Price still not yet at the immediate resistance level. If breaks above, possible to reach the next resistance level around 4100.
5min :
1. SnR: Price break previous resistance level and sustain above it
2. Market structure: The morning session price is able to make an uptrend structure.
3. EMA12 is above EMA50 : Uptrend
4. Price respect EMA12: Uptrend. This is an entry opportunity today.
If price breakdown MS, the possible larger pullback to close gap. Monitor if price able to break EMA50
FCPO 15 Feb 2023 : Uptrend continuation?1. Price reject mid-channel and retest lower channel. If the channel is still intact, high chance to continue the uptrend.
2. Market structure: Buy market structure is still intact unless the price breaks the 3906 level.
3. Price still plays around supply zone
4. Price reject EMA50 at 30min TF.
New contract
15min :
5min :
Price in sideway mode but uptrend still intact
FCPO 14 Feb 2023 : Price breach downtrend channel?1. Channel/Trendline: Yesterday price retest and reject mid-channel before going up to test the upper channel. This indicates strong buyers in the market because not allow prices to go lower channel.
2. SnR: Price plays in the support zone area and is still not decided yet on the direction.
3. Fibo: Price rejects 236 fibo level indicates sideway market still in play. The price might go lower to the 786 level if not able to breach and sustain above the 236 level.
4. MACD: There is no interesting divergence yet. We only see green divergence indicating uptrend movement in play.
FCPO 13 Feb 2023 : Sideway/Continue downtrend30min view :
1. SnR: Price rejected the test support area and try to cross the resistance area. However not sustain above the zone.
2. Channel/TL: Price overshoot the TL but is not sustainable to go further.
3. MACD: still not shows an indication of bullish divergence even though green MACD already happening.
5min view in the comment
FCPO UPTRENDAs you can see, prices make a higher high and higher low. The structure is there. So for me, a long position is less risky than a short position.
FCPO 10 Feb 2023 : Bearish divergence in progress?1. SnR: Price not able to sustain above resistance zone 3994. This indicates a strong seller
2. Channel/Trendline: Price break up trendline - Indicate sideway/change direction.
3. Oscillator: MACD from yesterday shows a bearish divergence
Expectation :
1. Price will continue bearish momentum until at least close the previous gap.
Trading plan as usual :
1. In Early morning, monitor the nearest possible SnR
2. Monitor EMA12 1min TF for entry
Short for today?FCPO for April 2023 shows a sign of rejection on resistance 3995 yesterday
- if the pattern continues, today we might expect some opportunity to short
- analyze based on the trend on TF15 min
- EMA crossing appear in TF5 min, approaching for TF15 min
- strong support around 3943, if the price break, potentially will go further.
Today , i will share my idea by pictureToday , i will share my idea by picture.
I believe finish "C".
FCPO 9 Feb 2023 : Bearish Divergence?30min TF :
1. Price break resistance and test supply zone and push back below the resistance.
2. Price break uptrend channel. Indicate SW for 30min or change the trend.
3. MACD shows bearish divergence.
If the price goes for bearish divergence, possible to close the gap and target to be around 3860.
5min TF :
1. Price crosses EMA50 : Sideway/Change trend
2. EMA12 crosses below EMA50 : Downtrend.
Expect price sideway before continue direction.
FCPO Daily ChartThis is my daily chart view. I think price will find resistance zone before making a decision.
FCPO 8 Feb 2023 : Upside / SidewayYesterday's price made an upward movement followed by a sideway which looks like a distribution pattern after breaking the channel.
Today if the price sustains above the 3988 area, there is a chance of upward movement.
5min view later will update
FCPO Seek retrace zone?Let's see if FCPO will go to the retrace zone and then make a decision. Go up or go down. The short-term decision, Long if breaks resistance and short if opens below resistance.
FCPO 7 Feb 2023Price is still in the uptrend channel.
Expect the price to retest the mid/lower channel.
5min TF, price respect EMA50. If today price cross EMA50, expect some trading range before next movement.
FCPO continuing it's bullish momentum?In the short term, FCPO will very likely retest its trendline around 3930++ and hence completing its 3 waves structure in the B. A break below 3815 would invalidate this assumption and suggest that b is just starting.
Disclaimer
This is NOT buy/sell call but for learning purposes.
FCPO To da moon?Based on Wyckoff's schematic, this is the accumulation phase after markdown. We identify SC and AR. Now it is just away from the ST level...
The new trading range is still developing.
However, this is the possible developing channel
Another movement possibility for fcpoThis option suggest that fcpo is still in its corrective structure, quite possibly an expanded flat and could reached RM 3500 ++ in the near term. Structurally, (C) is a 33333 ending diagonal (expanded version). Ultimately, this assumption will be invalidated if the price breaks the 3991 level and therefore validated my previous assumption of this is a start of wave 1 c.
Disclaimer
This is only for educational purposes and NOT a buy/ sell call.
