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ETH1! trade ideas

BTC Leads, ETH follows, Altcoins right behind, true?We hear that CRYPTOCAP:BTC runs 1st. Then CRYPTOCAP:ETH follows. Then #altcoins lag showing the biggest gains. Let's see how true that is Early 2021 Chart: 1 Extended #BTC a little bit more on the left to show that there was a run already in progress. 2 #Bitcoin led the rally & it also TOPPED earlier. Took #ETH a little longer to run. It topped later. It also sold off faster than its counterpart. ----------------- CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit a mid April peak CRYPTOCAP:ETH hit a mid May peak ETH fell faster & coincided with BTC on all bottoms, shown in the yellow box. #Ethereum resumed run was bigger, but was in conjunction with #Bitcoin. #BTC made a higher high on this run. However, while the #ETH run was bigger, peaking a month later both times, it made a lower high. ----------------- CRYPTOCAP:ETH bottomed right above 1k in Mid June - July & tested this in Nov. CRYPTOCAP:BTC bottomed at a lower price in November. Both put higher lows in the middle of March. Since then: #ETH has done a 4x! #BTC has done 4.5x & has new ATH! The #Bitcoin performance is pretty much the same but the technical is better. #Ethereum is still under the ATH & resistance is currently stopping. ***So far: The early 2021 run shows CRYPTOCAP:BTC was a clear leader, topped before $ETH. Later in the year, #BTC peaked first BUT did manage to make another high while #ETH did not. During bear market, the clear performer was #ethereum. It managed to bottom first, before BTC. #Bitcoin has similar performance in returns in similar time frames but has been more impressive technically. *** ----------------- CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 = NO CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH #altcoins follow similar trajectory to #ETH in early 2021 but outperformed it by a very good amount. The second half of #altcoinseason wasn't as strong as the first half but still outperformed #ethereum & coincided with patterns again. Smaller caps weakened first showing a loss for risk appetite. ----------------- #Altcoins perform more like CRYPTOCAP:BTC come August 2022. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 bottomed a month AFTER #BTC. This is shown in the yellow box. Since then, as a whole, smaller caps have severely underperformed #bitcoin & #ethereum by 50%! Granted, those in the right sectors have done well. Sectors like #AI #CryptoGaming & #memecoin. ----------------- CRYPTOCAP:BTC is at an ATH CRYPTOCAP:ETH is 20% away from its previous all time high. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL 3 = is a whopping 50% from its all time high! *******Conclusion******* Not sure of the narrative being pushed for the last 2 years is correct. At least in reference to #altcoins as a whole. If you're in right sectors, yes, it is great! However, looking at the the data shows that most previous winners are severely lagging. Examples are CRYPTOCAP:BNB CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:AVAX BIST:LINK Hope you enjoyed this & get something out of it. (Very hard to show all this data here, Please see our profile for more data)
CME:ETH1!
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Not much of a pause for the ether rocketEthereum has had quite a run over the past six weeks. Yesterday's tiny pullback seems to have just set the stage for a further advance. This echoes the price action that prevailed until late summer 2022. From Labor Day 2022 until the end of January 2024, sideways price action gave Ethereum traders almost as many opportunities to be whipsawed as to make profits. A second-stage advance will find us adding to our long position if Ethereum can manage to hold above 3650 or so. If we do load the boat, we'll be ready to reverse on a pullback below 3450.
CME:MET1!
by SwingWaiter
Ethereum CME Futures Gap UpEthereum CME Futures testing Gap Up Support Resistance levels. Also Fibonacci 55% Retracement Level , First Touch Price Rejection. ...................................................................................................................... We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature. and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
CME:ETH1!
by CryptoTrend-Alerts
Three corrective waves are enough and continue? Deeper correctivDear Friends, I hope this message finds you well and that you're having a great start to the week. I wish you success in your business endeavors. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it a valuable tool for analyzing the market. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. I am sharing my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. I aim to share my unbiased analysis with you so that you can use it as a guide to make informed decisions. The first analysis is Litecoin In the attachment, you will find my previous analysis of the same market, so you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand (although having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily). I have been studying the Elliott Wave principle for almost three years now. With time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has increased. What I have achieved so far is a legacy of a genius named Ralph Nelson Elliott, and I am truly satisfied with my progress. May his soul rest in peace and his memory be cherished. Thank you for your support so far. I am grateful and will always remember your kindness. Please feel free to share your thoughts and feedback with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely,
CME:ETH1!Long
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
$ETH ETF news but it has held well regardlessCRYPTOCAP:ETH has been hovering around Major Resistance for some time and it has certainly held well. There's a tiny downtrend but this can easily be broken today & on HEAVY VOLUME. #ETH RSI & $ Flow are looking petty good, not bad at all. 1st target called long ago was 2300. Next target is the Gap fill and that sits around 25-2600. Then the final target would be 50% Fib level, putting #ethereum at 3000. Might pause around there for a bit again. #crypto #ETF
CME:ETH1!
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
ETH forming bearish engulfing on weekly and more...Battle happening with CRYPTOCAP:ETH at the moment. #ETH pumps but it cannot hold them. CRYPTOCAP:ETH is really struggling @ major resistance. Recently it did break the uptrend and bounced back above. As of now it's under it again and in the middle of an intraday downtrend. #ETH RSI & $ FLOW peaked in mid November & have formed negative divergence since then this means it is weakening. Volume is also lessening with some selling showing up. CHART SHOWN IS WEEKLY Weekly #Ethereum forms a bearish engulfing but it lacks volume Arrows show previous instances.
CME:ETH1!
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Time for ETH to Outperform BTC? Ethereum futures (ETH) have showcased robust performance this year, marking an impressive gain of over 80% year-to-date, albeit trailing behind Bitcoin (BTC) with its remarkable surge of over 130%. However, this lag may present a compelling opportunity for ETH as a catch-up trade. In the realm of cryptocurrency fundamentals, Ethereum distinguishes itself with a broader array of applications compared to Bitcoin. While BTC is often likened to digital gold, Ethereum functions as a decentralized platform facilitating the creation and execution of smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps). Ethereum's Performance Despite its stellar performance, ETH prices remain more than 55% below their peak, in contrast to BTC's 42% decline. Similar to the relationship between gold and silver, the trading dynamics between BTC and ETH reflect their unique roles in the cryptocurrency landscape. ETH, despite sharing the spotlight with its more prominent sibling BTC, has demonstrated remarkable strength, outperforming traditional stock indices year to date. Notably, the crossing of the 21-day EMA above the 50-day EMA on October 30th, triggered by CPI and PPI numbers for October indicating no increase in inflation, fueled a notable rally in ETH prices, aligning with the broader trend in risk assets. Major Headwinds for Ethereum: As the year draws to a close, the prospect of easier financial conditions bodes well for Ethereum, especially as retail traders may increasingly engage in transactions using cryptocurrencies. However, potential headwinds loom with the Federal Reserve's summary of Economic Projections and crucial job-related data releases, including ADP Non-Farm, JOLTs, Unit Labor Cost, Avg Hourly Earnings, and Nonfarm Payrolls. From a technical standpoint, major support rests at the psychologically significant 2000 level, and the recent break above 2150-2200 has instilled greater confidence in the upside potential of the ETH currency. The interplay of fundamental factors, market dynamics, and technical indicators will continue to shape the trajectory of Ethereum futures. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME:ETH1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Cryptos: Great Hedge Against the Stock Market DeclineCME: Micro ETH Futures ( CME:MET1! ), Micro BTC Futures ( CME:MBT1! ) On March 29th, I published this trade idea: “Crypto Staged a Strong Comeback in Q1.” At the time, bitcoin was quoted $28,348, up $11,800 or +71.3% year-to-date. The main driver was flight-to-safety when a series of US bank failures shocked the financial markets. On July 17th, I published a follow-up idea, “Crypto Bull Market Appears to Take Hold.” Bitcoin was closed at $30,146, up 1,798 or +6.3% since the first report. While the 80%+ gain in the First Half had been remarkable, bitcoin was still 56.2% off its record high of $68,789. As price remerged above the critical $30K mark, investor confidence returned. I suggested that bitcoin would continue to rise. Last Saturday, spot bitcoin price was settled at $34,090. The leading cryptocurrency is up $17,542, or +106.0% YTD in 2023. Current price is 20.3% higher since I wrote the first idea, and up 13.1% further since I published the 2nd report. Ethereum, the other leading crypto currency, closed at 1,801 on Sunday, up 50.5% YTD. Key Drivers for Crypto’s Recent Rises In my opinion, the rising bitcoin prices could be attributed to the following: Firstly, strong law enforcement helps investor regain trust in cryptocurrencies. For a long time, bad actors found ways to steal investor’s money, even though the sector was built on blockchain technologies designed to safeguard crypto assets. This year, the SEC fined Binance, the largest crypto Exchange. Public trial of the founder of FTX, the defunct second largest Exchange, sent strong signals of investor protection. Secondly, crypto market benefits from investors rotating assets out of stocks. In the First Half, the S&P 500 was up 15% while the Nasdaq rose 38%. However, the boom in market indexes was a mirage, rather than a real broad-based bull market. The S&P did not behave like a well-diversified stock market index. The “Magnificent Seven”, which include Nvidia, Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon, represent 30% of the entire index and were up 60%, driven largely by the AI hype. At the same time, the remaining 493 companies were up only 3%. Altogether, the S&P 500 was up 15.8% as of June 15th. Similar phenomenon occurred at the Nasdaq index. In previously writings, I reasoned with my readers that the US stock indexes could no longer carry the heavy weight of hundreds of mediocre stocks. Rising interest rates eventually caught up with them. An average company saw its market value decline as prescribed by the Discounted Cash Flow stock valuation method. Since the Federal Reserve turned hawkish in recent weeks, investors became more pessimistic and began taking out stock market profits. On October 27th, the S&P closed at 4,117, a 10.3% drawdown from its yearly high of 4,589. The Nasdaq, at 12,643, was down 11.9% from 14,358. Both indexes are officially in the bear market territory. Meanwhile, bitcoin was up 16.6% in the last three months. Trade volume data suggests that investors are putting money into cryptos. • Coinbase market data shows that its bitcoin trading volume in October averaged $15.2 billion, up 35% from September and up 21% from Q3 average. • The S&P 500 traded 3.8 billion shares per day in October, up only 2.8% from September and up just 1.1% from Q3 average. Thirdly, the Israeli-Hamas conflict triggers a flight to safety. Investors moved money out of risky assets and into relatively safe assets, including gold, US dollar, and cryptos. • Since October 6th, COMEX gold futures were up 10.2%. At $2,016 per troy ounce, this is the first market close above $2K in over five months. • Dollar Index was last closed at 106.58, up 0.5% for the same period and up 3.0% YTD. • Bitcoin was up 24.2% while Ether rose 9.4% since the Gaza War broke out. Finally, growing expectations that the SEC will authorize exchange-traded funds investing directly in bitcoin pushed it up by more than 25% over the past two weeks. If materialized, this momentum could form the biggest price breakout in years for cryptos. Trading with Micro BTC and ETH Futures In my opinion, the above price drivers will run their courses in coming months, giving solid support for the crypto market. However, having a bullish view is easy, putting money on something already doubling in price is quite hard. In crypto investment, choosing the right instrument will make a big difference. Neither the physical bitcoin nor the bitcoin ETFs offer any leverage. When price goes up, it will take a larger dollar increase to get the same investment return. For example, when bitcoin was trading at $20,000, a price hike of $10,000 represents a 50% return. When bitcoin rose to $40K, a 50% return will require $20K in price increase. CME Micro BTC futures ( LSE:MBT ) provide leverage and capital efficiency. Contract notional is 1/10 of 1 BTC. Initial margin is $750. November contract was last settled on $3,409.5. At current price there is a 4.5 times leverage built in the contract, which is the ratio of 3,409.5 divided by 750. If futures price goes up 10% to 3,750.45, the price gain of 340.95 would be a 45.5% return, using the $750 initial margin as a cost base. In my view, Ether has more room to grow comparing to Bitcoin. In the past five years, Ether price closely tracked that of Bitcoin. In 2023, Ether lagged Bitcoin performance. Its 50% YTD gain, while extraordinary, is just half the return Bitcoin managed to gain. The ETF fund expectation has a direct impact on bitcoin, but also helps pull the entire crypto market up as it inspires investor enthusiasm. Ether’s lower price, at about 1/19th of a bitcoin, would be more attractive to value investors. At the end, if one crypto ETF is approved, there will be more. ETF funds on Ether could be next. CME Micro Ether futures ( NYSE:MET ) provide leverage and capital efficiency. Contract notional is 1/10 of 1 ETH. Initial margin is $49. November contract was last settled on $179. At current price there is a 3.6 times leverage built in the contract, which is the ratio of 179 divided by 49. If futures price goes up 10% to 196.9, the price gain of 17.9 would be a 36.5% return, using the $49 initial margin as a cost base. Warning: Cryptocurrencies and all financial instruments based on the value of cryptos are highly risky investment. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:MET1!Long
by JimHuangChicago