ETH1! trade ideas
Ethereum Merge complete. What’s changed?The Ethereum network expanded the Bitcoin-conceived idea of a decentralised blockchain and added new functionality to the blockchain. It introduced programmable applications and smart contracts that would automate decisions and transactions. Smart contracts are self-executing pieces of code that create conditions for a certain action to take place. This means that it is the code that decides whether an action can take place or not, not a company or individual. This was a major breakthrough. Instead of having to rely on a centralised institution, or the subjective judgement of a person, the code would execute the transaction after certain code-determined conditions were met. Instead of having to trust a company or individual to conduct a transaction, the Ethereum network created a decentralised peer-to-peer network architecture where trust was decentralised. Ethereum developers say their main goal was to create a settlement layer for the internet of value.
What are the main use cases for Ethereum today?
Today, many entrepreneurs are using the Ethereum blockchain to create decentralised applications (dApps) which utilise Ethereum’s smart contracts and data storage. Over the past three years, the most notable application areas have been in non-fungible tokens (NFTs), decentralised finance applications (DeFi), stablecoins and decentralised autonomous organisations (DAOs).
Users of the Ethereum network must pay in Ether to use the blockchain. For example, in order to buy an NFT, the buyer must have a crypto wallet and (most often) own some Ether to buy these tokens. In the area of DeFi, many new protocols are being built to create decentralised peer-to-peer networks for lending, borrowing, insurance, credit, asset issuance, asset management, automated portfolio management etc. Many of these protocols have been built on the Ethereum blockchain.
What is the Merge?
The Merge is part of an upgrade to Ethereum, which has been years in the making and was finally successfully executed on 15 September 2022. The first phase of the upgrade took place in December 2020 when the consensus layer of the blockchain, called the Beacon Chain, went live. This was a new parallel blockchain that ran alongside the Ethereum Mainnet and was tested heavily until it was merged with the Ethereum Mainnet.
The Merge has changed the way transactions are verified on the Ethereum blockchain. The transaction validation process has moved from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS). In PoW, the process was handled by owners of expensive computer equipment (the miners) who raced to solve complex mathematical problems and, as a reward, received newly minted Ether and part of the user transaction fees. In PoS, the transaction validation process is handled by owners of Ether and validators who are then randomly chosen to validate transactions and secure the network. The more Ether the validator owns, the greater the likelihood of being chosen as a validator.
What does the Merge mean for an investor in Ethereum?
For an investor, the Merge creates a yielding asset as Ether holders can now earn rewards through staking and participating in the network consensus. Although staking has been available on the Beacon Chain, staked Ether cannot be withdrawn yet. In early September 2022, there were 13.5 million Ether staked on the Beacon Chain by over 422,000 active validators, meaning that nearly 11% of Ether supply was staked.
Pre-Merge yields paid to validators to validate the transactions of the network were around 4-5% per annum, but this is expected to increase as future rewards will also include the net transaction fees previously paid to miners. Transaction fees are the payments made by users of the Ethereum blockchain for the right to use the platform. As the number of validators increases, the validator portion of the yield is expected to come down. However, as the usage of Ethereum increases, the net transaction fees are likely to increase.
Many industry participants estimate that the combined staking reward and transaction fee will increase the real yield generated by the network to 5-7% per annum. Due to the potentially deflationary nature of Ether, the yield could be even higher. Holders of Ether not willing to stake their coins will not generate any staking rewards.
Will the move to PoS create a deflationary asset?
In the long term, potentially yes. This is another main benefit of the Merge. As the Ethereum network needs less computational power to secure the network, the number of new Ether issued per year is expected to decline from an annual 4-5% supply growth to a net issuance of 0.5% per annum. Assuming the demand for Ether remains the same, a decline in supply could potentially lead to an appreciation in the price of Ether.
Ether does not have a set maximum supply limit. Its supply is collectively agreed with developers and other market participants. With PoW the miners received a reward for approving the transactions and mining the blocks but were also paid user transaction fees (gas fees). In August 2021, the Ethereum network implemented the Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP-1559) which proposed that a proportion of gas fees be burned and permanently removed from the token supply. This has resulted in approximately 50% of historical Ether rewards (roughly $8.6 billion) having been burned as of September 2022.
Will PoS solve the issues of high transaction fees and network congestion in the Ethereum network?
One of the reasons users became attracted to other Layer 1s in 2021 was the high transaction fees (gas fees/user fees) charged by the Ethereum network. In some cases, dependent on the network congestion, buying a cheap NFT might cost up to $100 in gas fees. This is because, at its current decentralised capacity, the Ethereum network can only handle approximately 15-20 transactions per second, which is clearly a problem for some applications and leads to congestion in the network. In comparison, Visa, a major payment processor, can handle up to 1700 transactions per second. This became a challenge in 2021 when the usage of NFTs increased significantly. Gas fees depend on the network demand relative to the network’s capacity.
Ethereum’s move to PoS will not yet significantly reduce gas fees. Another upgrade is required for this to happen. In 2023, the network is expected to go through ‘sharding’, which is the act of splitting the network’s data into smaller portions to enhance capacity and improve scalability.
According to the creator of Ethereum, Vitalik Buterin, the upgrade to Ethereum is only 55% complete after the Merge. Four more major upgrades are needed (the surge, the verge, the purge and the splurge) for the network to achieve the very best transmission speeds which would make Ethereum one of the fastest blockchain networks available.
Will the PoS make the network more secure?
Many Ethereum proponents argue that PoS will make the network more secure as everyone with Ether can participate in the network validation process. One must have 32 Ether to become a validator, but everyone can stake their Ether on the staking pool. However, while the number of validators on the Beacon Chain was diversified (over 422,000 validators) pre-Merge, the largest validator, Lido Finance (a DeFi protocol), controlled over 30% of the transaction validations. On top of that, three exchanges (Coinbase, Kraken and Binance) controlled another 30% of validations. This raises questions about centralisation and censorship and cannot be ignored. We calculate that a potential direct 51% attack on the Beacon Chain would have cost over $11 billion in early September 2022 when there were more than $13.5 million of Ether staked with an Ether price of $1620.
Does the Merge make Ethereum more ESG-compliant?
On the environmental front, the move to PoS is a major positive. It is expected that the Ethereum network’s energy consumption will reduce by over 99%. This is because the miners’ energy-consuming graphics processing units (GPUs) will be replaced by validators’ servers. The move to PoS will significantly reduce the carbon footprint of the network and make the asset more appealing for ESG-conscious investors.
When can I withdraw my Ether from staking?
Until now, Ether-stakers have not been able to withdraw their Ether from the Beacon Chain. We expect that the next smaller upgrade on the network, called the ‘Shanghai upgrade’, will enable unlocking of staked Ether and will take place in early 2023. We also expect there will be rules that limit the exits of validators to prevent massive amounts of Ether being withdrawn at any one time and making the network more vulnerable to attacks.
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Ethereum Multi time frames 🔵1 h chart 🔴4 h chart 🟢daily chartEthereum Multi time frames
🔵1 h chart - ETH at volume support
🔴4 h chart - within a triangle
🟢daily chart - triangle range above support
Comments & Follow and tell me if you like Multi time frame analysis dear Crypto Nation
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
ETH is tad weak BUT has held wll vs other indices3/
Those following know we've been saying that the US #Dollar is done, on life support, BUT it's stronger than all the others in the basket, hence $DXY LOOKS strong
$ETH LONE survivor of indices
#ETH tad weak here but still impressive
#Ethereum held well all things considered
Not crazy that Weekly $ETH RSI, weak & struggling here
BUT
EVERYTHING ELSE IS LOWER, $BTC = exception but #BTC's been super weak, as we called
#ETH must hold area or bear ending inverse head & shoulder pattern done
#Ethereum is @ do or die
#crypto
ETHCME filling 1266 now (finally). That's all gaps below filled. There are gaps immediately above up to 1494 created in the last week that I'm looking for them to fill on a bounce from ~here.
Also worth noting that 1266 was filled on the Autumn Equinox, which makes it an even likelier potential inflection point.
Ethereum about to close gap at $1,266ETH CME future
Ethereum about to close gap at $1,266 - might be a huge support for recovery IMO
Next lower supports $1,227 (FIB retracement) and $1,080 (volume profile)
Don't be in any fear... dear Crypto Nation 😎
Comments & FOLLOW appreciated
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
ETH only major Crypto that is fighting BEAR$ETH still WITHIN parameters of INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER pattern = END OF BEAR
BUT
Needs to BREAK above NECKLINE with VOLUME
Short term, as stated not long ago, #ETH GAP FILL likely
Oversold may also happen
#Ethereum still way better than $BTC (only RSI showing signs of life)
#Ethereum #ETH - looks like bearish confirmationETH might confirm the rising wedge breakout and start another leg down
But we have an invalidation point at $1,672.5
Fingers crossed for all ETH HOLDERS, dear Crypto Nation
Comments & FOLLOW appreciated 🤗
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Hello WorldHello, world!
I think it's time to get meet.
I see the true trading volumes of the markets.
At what point in time did someone buy or sell
How big is the position of a major player the average price of his entry and the moment he exits the market
I literally read the market. And I see its essence.
Predicting movements is a thankless and foolish business. Nobody knows the future. NO ONE
It's much more important to see the present, the point at which everything will change.
Turning points .
Right now, I see trend changes in the most liquid indices and crypto stocks.
Follow me and I will show you the truth
Let’s starts
I transferred the data on entry and exit of trades to the ETH chart
entry on July 08, 2021 to short position from 2411 - exit on July 21, 2021 at 1781 - profit 26.09%
entry on July 21, 2021 to long position from 1781 - exit on September 7, 2021 at 3727 - profit 109.51%
entry on September 7, 2021 to short position from 3727 - exit on September 30, 2021 to 3012 - 19.40% profit
entry in long position on September 30, 2021 from 3012 - exit on October 21, 2021 from 4104 - profit 35.92%
entry in deal on October 21, 2021 short from 4104 - exit on February 24, 2022 by 2563 - profit 37.54%
entry in trade on February 24, 2022 long from 2563 - exit April 1, 2022 at 3500 - profit 36.71%
entry in deal on April 1, 2022 to short from 3500 - exit on May 26, 2022 by 1848 - profit 47.28%
entry in long position at 1848 on May 26, 2022 - exit on June 1, 2022 at 1895 - profit 2.87%
entry in the deal on June 1, 2022 short from 1895 - exit on June 21, 2022 at 1133 - profit 40.24%
buy entry 21 June 2022 long from 1133 - exit 19 August 2022 at 1776 - profit 56.52%
entry in August 19, 2022 short - trade opened at the moment
You can see the result
412% in 14 months - which is a very decent result
I will try to publish the information about the changes in my trading position on the day when it changes
or with a slight delay
Ethereum CME Future - gap & volume profile updateEthereum CME Future - gap & volume profile update
We have a new small gap where ETH price could not break gap resistance at $1,624.5
If current volume support at $1,493.5 does not hold... a lack of volume might bring prices down to the gap support at $1,359.0 quite quick
Will keep you updated dear Crypto Nation
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
ETHHELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT ETH is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the Seller from this area will be defend this SHORT position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong SELLER will be push down the market again..
DOWNTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade..
IF you like my work please like share and follow thanks
TURTLE TRADER 🐢
Ethereum ETH at critical support border of rising wedge !!!Ethereum at critical support border of rising wedge !!!
As many other cryptocurrencies ETH is in a rising wedge that is typically a bearish pattern
Right now we are at critical levels on price chart and RSI again - exciting hours are imminent dear Crypto Nation
Will keep you updated
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
#Ethereum CME Future - gap update and volume profile #ETHThis chart shows how perfect the prices react when they reach important volume profile levels
Day is not over but it seems we get a Hammer candle
If so the Friday before weekend will get quite interesting - maybe we see some profit taking
I will keep you updated dear Crypto Nation
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing