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LE1! trade ideas

LIVE CATTLE - Finding a bottomIn the chart above I've plotted average cattle prices since February of 1980. I found that a 30 year view is typically enough to see the big picture in a market. Prices closed today (9/6/16) nearly exactly at par, which has been a major level since 2003. From its all time low (53.xx in July 1985) to its peak (170.xx on Nov 2014), the .618% retracement sits at about $98 per cwt. Since Feb 1980 price has never declined over 30% (avg major peak to major trough was about 28%). Since Q4 of 2014 price has declined 40%, so by all standards this is considered a somewhat rare decline in price. Though, given how high prices have gone, it is far from out of the ordinary to see a decline of this magnitude or greater. This recent price action is reminiscent of oil in January/February. My thought is we'll see a bottom somewhere between 96 - 88. 88 seems more likely. I am going long with low leverage at 96 if price action signals a long on the short term chart. I am going long at 89 with an automatic buy order regardless of the short term price action. Oil is the chart above - Live cattle is the chart below Source for data: www.investing.com
CME:LE1!Long
by Lanmar
October Live Cattle ShortThe market has experience an an excellent rally over the past 10 days and is now hitting a prior area of support/resistance. When using the Fib Extension we are currently at the 127.2 Level, which also lines up with a 78.6 Fib Retracement at this same level. An additional confirmation can be found by the overbought level of the RSI Indicator below. I am predicting the market to fall back down to the $110-112 area (green zone) and hopefully find support and head for a new high around the $119-120 level, but that won't be for a couple weeks if it happens. Time will tell. Let me know your thoughts.
CME:LEV2016Short
by JaceYoung
August Feeder Cattle ShortThe market has made a New Structure Low (NSL) in the past couple days when the market became oversold and now has started to rally a bit. This NSL would signify another downtrend continuation trade possibility. Based on prior resistance/support areas, I am projecting the market to rally back into the $115-$117 price range, which happens to be the 61.8 - 78.6 Fib Retracement Zone as well, and then continue our downtrend or at least retest the lows at $109.625. Let me know your thoughts.
CME:LEQ2016Short
by JaceYoung