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ES1! trade ideas

DID SPECULATORS FINALLY BUY THE DIP?Since the October 2022 low in the S&P, Large Speculators (blue column) have not bought any dips in the market with significance where they got crowded getting long. Since that low, the S&P kept making new all-time highs and the Speculators never chased. Tt's going to be real interesting cot on Friday, 03/07/2025, to see if they bought this dip in stocks which I've been talking about for a few years, where I really didn't think this bull market will end until they buy. They were clearly never going to chase. So maybe they'll buy the dip. The Friday data will show positioning as of this past Tuesday which included a significant move. If that is in fact what they have been doing. My sneaking suspicion is they did. But let's see, let's let the data tell us.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Crowded_Market_Report
9
ES GOLD OIL3.6.25 this is a morning video and this was done purposefully so we could project where the market might go later this morning. I'm looking at four markets but I can't remember the fourth one. this is an exercise in following 2 bar reversals to look for change of Direction in a market and also trying to decide what the target should be. it's an exercise in trying to find a trade with a small stop and a Target that we can consider before we push the button to take the trade. and other words it has a built-in entry, stop and Target....... but it's not perfect.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ScottBogatin
S&P500 & Bitcoin Dancing Off Key SupportsBy Eric Lee , Sales Director of Phillip Nova The E-mini S&P 500 index futures are currently exhibiting a symmetrical triangle formation, a technical pattern that typically indicates a period of consolidation before a potential breakout. The price is testing the lower boundary of this triangle, suggesting a possible breakdown. Additionally, the index is hovering near the 200-day moving average (MA), a critical long-term support level. A break below this MA could signal further bearish momentum, with the next significant support level based on the triangle formation around 5550. The correlation between the S&P 500 index and Bitcoin has been a topic of interest, as both assets have shown periods of synchronized movements, particularly during times of market stress. The recent drop in Bitcoin's price may be indicative of broader market sentiment, potentially foreshadowing a breakdown in the E-mini S&P 500 index futures. If Bitcoin's decline continues, it could exacerbate selling pressure in the equity markets, leading to a more pronounced downturn in the S&P 500 futures. Traders should closely monitor these developments, as a confirmed breakdown could lead to increased volatility and a test of lower support levels.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by phillip_nova
ES Weekly Chart Analysis – Potential Medium-Term Top?The E-mini S&P 500 (ES) may have printed a temporary medium-term top at 6167.25, potentially initiating a Wave 4 correction (yellow circle). If this count holds, we could see prices retracing toward the 5115 area. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Bullish Bias: The trend remains firmly bullish until we start trading below 5715 and break the ascending channel's trendline. ❌ Bearish Confirmation: A decisive break below 5715 would strengthen the case for a deeper retracement, increasing the probability of a more extended correction. 🚨 No clear confirmation of the top yet! Until we see structural weakness, the primary trend remains bullish. #SP500 #ES_F #ElliottWave #MarketAnalysis #Trading #Stocks #Futures
CME_MINI:ES1!
by COLOMBINI-TRADING
Equity Prices Continue LowerAfter testing all time high levels in the ES contract on February 19th, equity markets have seen significant selling pressure which continued today while the precious metals saw a boost higher. One of the volatility drivers traders are seeing is coming from global tariff policies from the U.S. and many other nations adding uncertainty to the strength of these markets. Over the next few weeks, traders will learn more about the implementation of these tariffs and where the equity markets and precious metals may settle. Over the last few weeks, the CME Fed Watch Tool has also shifted, and now is pricing in a 44% chance of a rate cut at the May 7th meeting of 25 basis points, where previous expectations were to see the a pause for the May meeting. This week offers a big slate of economic data as well, including ADP Nonfarm Payroll, Initial Jobless Claims, Unemployment Data, and the Fed Monetary Policy Report. This economic data could have an effect on the Fed’s stance on the economy and their plans for rate cuts moving forward. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/ *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CME_Group
ES Pump n Dump Trade IdeaMarkets have been bleeding relatively quickly here over the last few days. Price has recently hit the Weekly level and 1-1 extension from what might be a potential ABC correction. Would be nice to get some relief, potentially reclaiming the Value Area Low of the trend, and then the VWAP will decide if we trade back down, or potentially higher. We are at some quite important key levels here, losing them would truly expand the range with some room to drop to the downside.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by afurs1
ES Futures & Macro Trends: Key Levels and Market ScenariosCME_MINI:ES1! Macro and Geopolitics: There was continued news flow over the weekend after derailed talks between Trump and Zelensky. Europe, UK and Saudi Arabia are still pushing for a Russia-US-Ukraine peace deal that will likely include rare earth minerals. We also heard Trump commenting on an executive order on digital assets strategic reserves helping reverse losses in CME BTC futures. Investors see this as a positive development prior to the upcoming Crypto Summit in Washington on March 7th. US March 4th tariff deadlines loom for Canada, Mexico, and China. Trump repeated America's first stance commenting that border security and stopping illegal drug trades should be America’s prime focus. Economic Calendar: Looking ahead this week, key economic events include manufacturing PMI data on Monday, employment and services data midweek, and major central bank decisions and labor market reports toward the end of the week. Here’s a breakdown of important releases: Monday: Manufacturing PMI data release Wednesday: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change Services PMI Crude Oil Inventories Thursday: European Central Bank (ECB): Interest rate decision & monetary policy statement U.S. Data: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Continuing Jobless Claims U.S. Trade Balance January 2025 Imports & Exports data Friday: U.S. Employment Data: Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report Average Hourly Earnings Unemployment Rate Federal Reserve Speakers: Bowman & Powell scheduled to speak ES Big Picture: Despite increased volatility and risks mounting, looking at the daily chart shows that ES futures are still within range and trading above Nov 4th, 2024 and January 13th, 2025 low, however, 2025 mcVAH and R1 confluence has been acting as strong resistance and keeping the markets from reaching new all-time highs. Despite the risks, our analysis suggests that with the U.S. economy showing resilience, a "buy the dip" approach remains favorable. However, staying selective and strategic with opportunities is key to balancing risk and reward. Key Levels: Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan. 2025 VAH: 6,150 2025 VPOC: 6,133.75 LVN: 6,113.25 Neutral Zone: 6,000 - 6,015 2025 VAL: 5,972.50 LIS/Yearly Open: 5,949.50 Neutral Zone: 5,916.50 - 5,927.25 Feb 2025 Low: 5,848 Jan 2025 Low: 5,809 Scenario 1: Range bound week Market remains volatile, however, within the neutral zone below key LIS/yearly open and neutral zone above Key LIS/yearly open. Scenario 2: Weak data points slowing economy Worsening economic data points along with progress in Ukraine- US minerals deal points towards further buying. Weaker data points may provide room for further rate cuts should economic weakening further materialize. Scenario 3: Mounting risks and weaker economic data On the contrary, mounting risk and weaker economic data may point towards stagflation as inflation remains sticky while the economy weakens. This provides room for further decline in ES futures.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeClear
we getting it done brick by brick Watch my live /ES session as I navigate market swings with precision—mixing quick longs and shorts for real-time insights. Every trade, from the rapid entries at 9:25 to decisive moves at 9:51, is a lesson in strategy, risk, and opportunity. Dive into the details, learn from the wins and losses, and let’s discuss the tactics behind every move. #LiveTrading #DayTrading #MarketInsights #ESTrading Feel free to tweak it further to match your style!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Trade_WithMani
1