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ES1! trade ideas

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-12: Base Rally PatternAlthough I believe the Base Rally pattern is still valid, the markets have been wound tightly near recent highs and I belive this unwinding/breakdown is what I have been suggesting (the Deep-V breakdown) for more than 35+ days. I believe the sticky inflation data (CPI) will overpower the Base Rally pattern today and we will see the SPY/QQQ move downward into the Deep-V lows - likely setting up by Friday/Monday of this week. I'm sorry I'm not able to create a morning video. I'm taking my disabled VET father to his annual checkup this morning. He is still sleeping and I don't want to wake him up. So, you get this content as a substitute. Be prepared for the markets to FLUSH OUT a low and try to grab some easy profits throughout today and tomorrow as the markets struggle to find support. Remember, the broader cycle patterns can sometimes overpower the Daily Cycle Patterns. This happens when NEWS overpowers a Daily cycle pattern construct. In this case, the CPI data is overpowering the Base Rally Daily Cycle Pattern. Ultimately, the markets will find support and move into a brief recovery phase. Get some.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by BradMatheny
2
ES Morning Update CPI DayYesterday’s setup came from a failed breakdown of the 6066-70 zone at 9:30 AM in ES. The daily target of 6093 was reached at 11 AM, and sellers have held below that level since. With CPI scheduled at 8:30 AM today, it’s time to let the runners work if you have them. Or sit on hands til after As of now: • 6078 and 6066-70 must hold through any CPI traps to keep 6109, 6115, and 6126+ in play • If the price dips below 6066, expect a move down to 6020 Check my CPI Trading Guide I sent out yesterday evening on how to trade days like today.
CME_MINI:ESH2025
by ESMorg
Important Support and Resistance Points: 6066.50 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (ES1! 12M chart) When looking at the Fibonacci ratio, the area marked with a circle is an important support and resistance area. If there is an additional rise in the area where the current price is located, it is expected to determine the trend again around the left Fibonacci ratio point of 3.618 (6579.25). If it fails to rise, it is expected to fall to the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.618 (5273.25) ~ 2.618 (5434.75). - (1D chart) The point to watch is which direction it deviates from the box range of the HA-High indicator. The HA-High indicator is formed at the 6066.50 point. - Since the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator is passing around 6066.50, the 6066.50 point is expected to play an important role as support and resistance. Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported in the 6066.50-6106 range and rise to around the Fibonacci ratio 1 (6178.50). If it falls below 6066.50, it is expected to fall to around 5935.75-5972.75. - Ultimately, if it cannot get out of the box range of the HA-High indicator, you should trade within the box range. The box range of the HA-High indicator is 5906.50-6148.0. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
CME_MINI:ES1!
by readCrypto
4
MES Futures – Critical Supply & Demand Zones Based on VPThe current price action in MES Futures is approaching a key supply zone while sitting above multiple demand levels, creating a pivotal moment for the next significant move. Based on historical volume profile analysis, the following zones are identified: Supply Zone (6,087-6,104): Sellers have previously stepped in aggressively in this range, making it a strong resistance area. If price rejects here, we could see a pullback toward lower demand zones. Initial Demand Zone (6,040-6,060): This area has seen notable buyer activity in the past. If price pulls back but holds this zone, it could act as the first support level for a potential bounce. Deeper Support from Major Buyer Aggression (6,013-6,020): If selling pressure continues, this level is where significant buyers previously stepped in. A test of this zone could result in a strong reaction and possible reversal. Major Demand Zone (5,975-5,988): This is a key structural support area where large institutional buying has been recorded. If price reaches this level, it would be a crucial inflection point, with a high likelihood of buyers stepping in to defend. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If price holds above the initial demand zone (6,040-6,060) and breaks above 6,100, momentum could push MES toward 6,147-6,150. Pullback Before Higher Move: A rejection at the supply zone could lead to a retracement toward 6,040-6,060 for a support test before another breakout attempt. Deeper Correction: If 6,040 fails, price may move toward 6,013-6,020, where stronger buyer activity is expected. A failure at this level could send price to the major demand zone at 5,975-5,988 for a structural retest. This analysis highlights key reaction zones based on historical liquidity and volume profile data. Traders should monitor price action at these levels to confirm strength or weakness before entering trades.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by Ravgod
1
10 February 2025S&P 500 saw gains as investors appeared to grow accustomed to President Donald Trump’s latest tariff threats. Many on Wall Street now perceive these announcements as primarily a negotiation tactic. However, concerns remain that the expanding list of tariff hikes could drive inflation higher, potentially delaying expected interest rate cuts. Investors will closely watch Wednesday’s release of the January Consumer Price Index (CPI) for inflation clues, along with retail sales data later in the week. Meanwhile, the latest New York Federal Reserve survey, published Monday, revealed that consumers’ long-term inflation expectations have risen to 3%, the highest level since May 2024. Although markets seem more resilient to tariff-related news, the broader economic consequences of these policies continue to be a key focus for investors and policymakers.
CME_MINI:MESM2025Long
by cyfoo
DeepSeek Is Not What the Market FearsWith the emergence of DeepSeek, tech stocks have generally dropped by 6% over these few short days across all US indices, but from the peak in late November to December, we saw a much more massive drop among all of them. The Russell 2000, representing small and medium-sized enterprises in the U.S., declined by 12%, What triggered this sell-off in the tech giants (Nasdaq), the old guards (Dow Jones), the suite of blue-chip stocks (S&P 500), and the medium-sized firms (Russell 2000)? Markets are inter-connected. What should we be looking out for, and how should we navigate if the market break below this recent all-time low? E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: ES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $12.50 Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options Ticker: MES Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $1.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Trading competition: www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by konhow
Market StuctureObjective This tracker is designed to systematically log and analyze algo-generated signals in relation to market structure changes. VX Algo only alerts two specific signals: 📗 Bullish Market Structure X3 → Market expected to move bullish for 1-3 hours • Ideal Strategy: Look for long opportunities or BTD (Buy The Dip) setups. • The first 30 minutes after the signal is most critical for execution. • Use key support zones for entries and manage risk accordingly. 📕 Bearish Market Structure X3 → Market expected to move bearish for 1-3 hours • Ideal Strategy: Look for short opportunities or STP (Sell The Pop) setups. 💡 X3 means the market structure shift is expected to hold for 1-3 hours. Trading Strategy 📈 When to Enter a Trade • Only trade when a market structure changes happen • double down position at key support/resistance zones
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
Market Forecast UPDATES! Tuesday, Feb 11In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets: ES \ S&P 500 NQ | NASDAQ 100 YM | Dow Jones 30 GC |Gold SiI | Silver PL | Platinum HG | Copper Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by RT_Money
MES1! weekly analysisMonday Morning Analysis - Weekly News Numerous JPOW pressers Inflation PPI Retail Technical MA's have yet to turn bullish RSI above 50 Price well above VWAP Price Action Supply Resistance between 6112 - 6085 Accumulation support 6022-6009 Current Up-trend Displayed Change of Character (CoC) at Sunday night open, with a large gap down breaking the trend. Analysis With upcoming news releases and no change on the tariff discussions, extremely bullish action seems unlikely. Look to sell - Target 6085-6111 Look to Close around 6016
CME_MINI:MES1!
by WillNixTrading
MyMI After-Hours Update: S&P 500 Potential Pullback?As the White House proposes 25% Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum imported to the US, and with the current resistance we're seeing around the $6069 Price Level, we're now looking for a potential pullback as more import duties are to be included along with Steel and Aluminum come Tuesday / Wednesday of this week. If we do see a pullback, we're looking to see if it break support on the 50% Retracement and even further below are the $6021 Price Levels, but even more so, the $5960s. Going to be an interesting one to watch! Stay connected by registering your FREE account on our website to access even more resources and tools to improve managing your financials and investments. LINK IN BIO!
CME_MINI:ESH2025Short
by MyMIWallet
1
Market Outlook for Week 7 (US):Upcoming Week Economic Events & Data Releases (February 10-16, 2025) The coming week will bring several crucial economic events and data releases, which could significantly influence market trends and investor sentiment. Below are the key events to monitor: Key Economic Events & Data Releases U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report (Tuesday, February 13, 2025) Time: 8:30 AM EST The U.S. CPI report will provide insights into inflation trends, with investors particularly focused on whether inflation remains elevated or continues to ease. A higher-than-expected reading could reinforce concerns over persistent inflation, while a lower print could support risk-on sentiment. U.S. Retail Sales Report (Wednesday, February 14, 2025) Time: 8:30 AM EST The retail sales data will offer an important gauge of consumer spending trends, a key driver of economic growth. A stronger-than-expected report could indicate that consumer confidence is holding up, while a miss could signal weakening demand. Bank of England Interest Rate Decision (Thursday, February 15, 2025) Time: 7:00 AM EST The Bank of England is expected to maintain its current interest rate, but any commentary on future rate hikes or economic outlook could impact the British pound and bond markets. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (Thursday, February 15, 2025) Time: 8:30 AM EST The jobless claims report will offer the latest data on the U.S. labor market. Any surprise spike in claims could fuel concerns over a slowdown in hiring or a potential recession. Major Corporate Earnings Reports A range of companies, particularly in the financial and consumer discretionary sectors, will report earnings next week, including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Home Depot. These reports could provide insights into the health of the broader economy and consumer sentiment. Market Implications Equity markets will likely remain sensitive to any economic data that may signal a shift in growth or inflationary pressures. Strong retail sales or a cooling inflation report could boost investor optimism, while any signs of weakening consumer demand or elevated inflation may prompt risk aversion. The bond market may experience volatility based on the CPI report and retail sales data, potentially influencing Treasury yields. The U.S. dollar’s direction will be influenced by the inflation data, jobless claims, and retail sales report. A stronger dollar could arise if inflation remains sticky or if economic growth expectations falter. Volatility could spike in sectors sensitive to economic conditions, including retail, consumer goods, and financials.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by EdgeTools
Understanding Fibonacci In TradingUnlock the secrets of Fibonacci and its powerful applications in trading. Learn how to use Fibonacci tools to identify optimal entry and exit points, manage risk, and refine your trading strategies. While many traders are familiar with basic Fibonacci retracements, this guide will also explore advanced techniques and lesser-known concepts. 📚 The Foundation of Market Geometry 🔢 What is Fibonacci? The Fibonacci sequence is a series where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34... This mathematical principle, introduced by Leonardo Fibonacci in Liber Abaci (1202), is foundational to nature, architecture, and financial markets. The key ratio derived from this sequence is 1.618, known as the Golden Ratio. ✨ The Golden Ratio and Market Significance The Golden Ratio (1.618) and its inverse (0.618) appear frequently in natural patterns and price movements. In trading, these ratios help determine potential support and resistance levels. Other critical Fibonacci-derived levels include: 0.236 (23.6%) 0.382 (38.2%) 0.5 (50%) (not strictly Fibonacci but widely used) 0.618 (61.8%) 0.786 (78.6%) 📊 How Fibonacci Became a Trading Tool Traders noticed that price movements often respect Fibonacci levels, leading to the creation of Fibonacci-based tools: 📉 Fibonacci Retracement: Identifies potential reversal zones during pullbacks. 📈 Fibonacci Extension: Forecasts potential profit-taking levels. 📐 Fibonacci Arcs, Fans, and Time Zones: Advanced tools for multidimensional analysis. Circles Fans 🛠 Applying Fibonacci in Trading 📍 Step 1: Identifying Swing Highs and Swing Lows Choose a clear trend and mark: Swing High (peak before price declines) Swing Low (trough before price rises) 📏 Step 2: Using Fibonacci Retracement Levels On platforms like TradingView, apply the Fibonacci tool: Uptrend: Draw from Swing Low to Swing High. Downtrend: Draw from Swing High to Swing Low. Key retracement levels act as support or resistance zones. 🚀 Advanced Fibonacci Concepts 🎯 ICT Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zone A modern adaptation of Fibonacci, OTE focuses on the 0.618 - 0.786 retracement zone. 📊 Bullish Setup: In an uptrend, the price pulling back into the OTE zone signals a high-probability long entry. 📉 Bearish Setup: In a downtrend, price retracing into the OTE zone suggests a shorting opportunity. 💎 The Golden Pocket The zone between 0.618 - 0.650 is known as the "Golden Pocket." This is a prime area where the price often finds strong support or resistance before continuing its trend. ⏳ Fibonacci Time Zones While most traders focus on price-based Fibonacci levels, Fibonacci Time Zones can predict when significant price movements may occur. These vertical lines are placed at Fibonacci intervals (1, 2, 3, 5, 8...) from a significant market event. 🔄 Fibonacci Confluence When multiple Fibonacci levels align with other indicators (trendlines, moving averages, pivot points), it creates a Fibonacci Confluence Zone, strengthening the probability of a reversal or continuation. 📊 Fibonacci Clusters Traders can plot multiple Fibonacci retracements/extensions on different timeframes. Overlapping levels suggest a high probability reaction zone. 📌 Combining Fibonacci with Other Tools Fibonacci analysis is most effective when combined with: 📉 Candlestick Patterns: Confirmation for reversals or continuations. 📏 Trendlines & Moving Averages: Validate Fibonacci levels. 📊 Volume Analysis: Gauge strength of reactions at Fibonacci levels. 🧠 ICT Strategies: Incorporate Fair Value Gaps, Inversion Fair Value Gaps, Breaker Blocks, and Order Blocks for precision entries. 📍 Practical Applications of Fibonacci ⚡ Scalping: Use Fibonacci on lower timeframes (1m, 5m) to identify intraday opportunities. 📈 Swing Trading: Combine Fibonacci retracements with trend analysis for multi-day trades. 💰 Long-Term Investing: Apply Fibonacci tools on weekly/monthly charts to pinpoint major turning points in the market cycle. 🏆 Key Takeaways Mastering Fibonacci enhances your ability to: Identify optimal entry and exit points. Manage risks with precision. Gain deeper insights into price movements. By integrating Fibonacci with other trading strategies, you can refine your approach and improve decision-making. Start experimenting with Fibonacci tools today on TradingView and elevate your trading strategy!
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CandelaCharts
07 February 2025President Donald Trump said he would soon announce a plan on reciprocal tariffs on American imports. The major averages flipped into red territory this morning after US consumer sentiment sank to a seven-month low in early February. Inflation expectations jumped amid concerns about Trump's tariff threats. Americans now expect an inflation rate of 4.3% over the next year, a full percentage point higher than last month, the University of Michigan survey found. The 10-year Treasury (^TNX) yield rose to a session high of 4.5% in the wake of the sentiment update and the monthly jobs report. That report saw US economy added 143,000 jobs in January, missing economist expectations, but still showing signs of resilience in the labor market. Unemployment ticked down to 4.0%, from 4.1% in December.
CME_MINI:MESM2025Short
by cyfoo
1