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ES1! trade ideas

April 15th Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisEOD accountability report: +940 Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: Good **Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System ** 9:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! - easy money 10:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal - easy money 1:02 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! - easy money 1:40 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (triple signal) -a bit tuff but still work out 3:30 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal) - a bit tuff but still work out **Wed plan: ** Watch for 48M support or 195M support to tag around 5200-5300s.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by WallSt007
S&P futures daily chart review4/27/2024 Daily Chart analysis Market is All-in-long, but the market tempo would suggest a pause or a pullback after 4 bull bars. Likely 1 more bar up before a pullback. Elements to note: Break of the broad bear channel down, an important component of a possible MTR setup. Notice the EMA cross and confirmation, usually leading to some sideways, but good foundation for higher prices. April 2nd was an outside up bar. There are bulls trapped here, so sellers above, and this is a price level likely to tested in the near term.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by AlSmith22
S&P Futures weekly chart review4/27/2025 Outside up bar last week needing continuation. Notice the bear bar of 2 weeks abo triggered and then reversed, trapping sellers. Buyers below. Outside up bars are expanding triangles. Likely we pulllback into the range of the bar, reverse and close above the bar. Good probability of trend continuation up. Momentum is strong, even though this is a second leg reversal back to a breakout point. For the bulls, the best case scenario is an initial selloff, then reversal and back up to form a 3rd leg of a wedge. But after that, likely to go back down. The bear channel down was strong, and bears will want a second leg, even if it eventually forms a failed flag. I view the corrective move down as 17 weeks, so likely 8-9 weeks of sideways to up, of which we are in week 3. So likely more time of sideways to up. So - expecting an initial selloff, then higher prices leading to another leg down for the bears. There are sellers above, and buyers below. Best case for bears is eventual trend resumption. Best case for bulls is a failed flag formation and back to new highs.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by AlSmith22
S&P Futures monthly chart review4-27-25 Update The big April bear bar went too far too fast to be sustainable for the bears Even if it had closed on it's low, that would have been terrible for the bears. Stop would have been too far away and would invite a fade. As it stands, it is a a bad bar for both bulls and bears. Bears see tremendous buying pressure, forming the large wick. But as is, the bar is a bad buy signal and bulls would face a similarly large stop. For bears, ideally they get a few days of down to get back to the mid-point at least, but that is 300-400 points to make it a compelling bear bar, so unlikely. Bulls can erase the bear bar with 100 pts or so, but probability is that the bar finishes with a similar appearance. April's bar is a Breakout and pullback in one bar, likely sellers above. Interestingly, the LT bullish trend line was broken by the wick, which is a typical element of a MTR setup. However, a MTR setup would likely require the formation of a right shoulder first. Most likely scenario here is Price falls back into the body of the bar, reverse up, but then comeback to test the tail of the bar in 2-3 months.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by AlSmith22
ANALISI TECNICA MERCATI AMERICANIHappy Saturday to all traders! In this video we analyze the American market and see what we can expect in the coming weeks. Recently, the markets have reacted positively to the statements of President Trump, who made it clear that he has no intention of removing Jerome Powell from the leadership of the Federal Reserve. This reassurance helped to allay concerns about the independence of the Fed, leading to a rally in the main indices: the Nasdaq gained 2.3%, the S&P 500 1.4% and the Dow Jones 1%.​ In addition, the administration has shown signs of openness towards reducing trade tariffs with China, fueling investor optimism. Despite the recent reassurances, uncertainties related to the Fed's monetary policy remain. Powell stressed that, although inflation is falling, there is no rush to proceed with further rate cuts, maintaining a cautious approach. Investors will therefore need to carefully monitor the upcoming macroeconomic data, especially those related to inflation and employment, which could influence the Fed's future decisions. Next week promises to be decisive for the US stock markets. Although the recent statements by Trump and Powell have helped improve investor sentiment, the presence of technical resistance and uncertainty about the Fed's future policies suggest caution. An upward break of key levels could confirm the continuation of the positive trend, while signs of weakness could indicate the need for a consolidation phase. Have a good weekend everyone and happy trading. Thanks Ciao Mauro I will mention my three rules that I constantly cultivate: Patience, discipline and always have a plan.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Mauro_Mariani
April 24 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisApril 24 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis EOD accountability report: -400 Sleep: 4 hour, Overall health: bad X7 signal this morning somewhat told us we were going to bullish direction, but my mindset just wasn't there today, had bad sleep and things going on and ended up locking up account early. I just read a book about it recently but I think I need to really cut bad influences out of my life when im dealing with money. **Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System** ** 7:00 AMVXAlgo ES X7 Buy signal** 10:43 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (caught 10 pt) 1:12 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (10 pt) 3:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal (2x signal, failed) 3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! (canceled out& failed) Next day plan--> Bullish over $5500
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by WallSt007
ES how to trade longs!On the 1-hour ES chart we identified an hourly oversold condition against our JLines bands and flagged a long plan this morning (see the 2:39 PM alert). We held the JLines 60 min curl as support, pulled the trigger near 5,375, and rode the move up to 5,475+ for a clean win. Setup Details Timeframe: 1 hour Signal: Hourly JLines curl held in oversold zone Entry: ~5,375 region Target: 5,700 area Outcome: Target reached, +100 handles This is our repeatable process—spot the JLines support in an oversold zone, plan the entry, and lock in the move.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by JTRADERCO
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Catch-the-Bounce EditionOTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Catch-the-Bounce Edition 🪙🚀 We’re fishing LONG for a quick, tactical bounce LONG as price aims to poke into a major resistance zones ⚙️📈 Once the dust settles and the bounce plays out, we still expect the macro down-draft to take over, so keep your suitcase packed for a swift exit 🎢✂️. Main risk? A stray White House tweet or (not so much) surprise policy grenade? 💬💥—impossible to time, so size down and run a tight leash on risk 🦺⚖️. #SP500 #Dailymap #BouncePlay #RiskOn #OTEUM
CME_MINI:ESM2025Long
by Karel_OTEUM
April 23 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis April 23 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis EOD accountability report: +2325 on Eval, didn't trade funded Sleep: 10 hour, Overall health: :check: — 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 11:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 12:30 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (triple buy signal) B+ set up — 1:33 PM VXAlgo YM X1 Sell Signal (triple sell signal) B+ set up — 1:55 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 2:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! — 3:31 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double signal) Next day plan--> Short 48m MOB Video Recap -->
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by WallSt007
April 22st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis** April 22st Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis** EOD accountability report: +325 Sleep: 3 hour, Overall health: tired **Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System** — 9:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 10:20 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal 10:30 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 10:51 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal 11:20 AMVXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (Triple signal) C+ set up 1:12 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal (Double X3 signal) 1:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! 3:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 3:10 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (Triple signal) C+ set up
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by WallSt007
ES: DO OR DIE!The SP500 had quite the negative intraday price action today, up until we had a strong volume supported bounce at the Value Area Low of the current range, in confluence with the swing failure pattern of the previous wick low, as well as the 618 fibonacci level from the low to the high of the trump pump. I am watching this do or die zone as the key area where the news fundamentally changed when Trump enacted a 90 day pause. Should we start getting acceptance into this zone, I would view that as extremely bearish for the reason that the market is reclaiming lower levels despite positive Trump news. Lets see how it plays out!
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by afurs1