JPY USD - 6J - Is the Bottom in?
Woke up this morning to see that the Yen had sold off to multi year lows. While the I've read there is a 'risk off' mentality - then that should make the Yen a safe haven.
So what else? Well the US Dollar is strong - right now its very divergent. We may have seen the high of the week for the DXY.
This has had an impact on the Yen vs the US Dollar.
This is the greatest number of Naked Points Control I've seen the Yen with - you can count them.
These are the upside targets. Speaking of Point of Control - todays point of control looks to be left behind as a marker for the future return. As they closed above it - and done after hours of the NY Session.
This is a 'tell' that they plan to move up from here - this should not be lost on anyone, its important.
Frankly I wasn't expecting this move down - but not entirely surprised.
Right now I can't think of a better trade in the Futures market.
Target for me - not being greedy .0089755 - target number 2. From there I'll look at it and decide the momentum will carry us higher. We were there October 6th.
Caveat here is if they take out todays Point of Control - the move down may continue or least least spend another couple of days down here accumulating.
CME:6J1!
J71! trade ideas
(6J) Yen - My Only Long
Everything covered going into NFP.
If there is obvious trend after 10:30 am EST - maybe I'll join.
The only trade on is the USD YEN (6J) which due for a move its been very quiet.
Like it up at the POC with the target - which is .38 Retrace as well - all about the confluence.
Three POCs above it and one below.
4 Hour Chart
Simple Strategy follow the COT commercials COT index indicator shows the positions of the commercial traders.
My strategy is to follow changes on that index (high reading = bullish, low reading = bearish)
Its not an entry indicator but a setup indicator, so make sure to enter on traditional signals like double tops or trendline breaks...
I keep an updated list of the major futures instruments with LONG,SHORT,NEUTRAL readings:
www.tradingview.com
Japanese Yen futures short call verticalPure TA.
Oversold territory, so take care of the trendline.
Max profit: $213
Probability of Profit: 72%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 20%
Max loss with my risk management: ~$250
Req. Buy Power: $1038 (max loss without management at expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 34 (average at futures)
Expiry: 36 days
Sell 2 !6JM1 Jun4' 0.0093 Call
Buy 2 !6JM1 Jun4' 0.00935 Call
Credit Call spread for 0.90cr each
Stop/my risk management : Closing immediately if daily candle is closing BELOW the box, max loss in my calculations in this case could be 250$. Probability of loss in this way: ~20% .
Take profit strategy: 50% of max.profit in this case with auto sell order at 0.45db. Probability of profit this way: ~80%.
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
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JAPANESE YEN FURTURES : PRICE IS FALLING DOW ! ! ! !🔔Welcome back Traders, Investors, and Community!
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