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Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures

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MES1! trade ideas

ES UpdateWell, apparently you can't just rely on daily indicators and an open gap. All I did was lose money on premium burn with the calls I bought last week, but I added next week's XLF calls when the market opened and XLF went red for some stupid reason. Wound up dumping everything near the daily peak when I regained lost profits, so at least I'm even now, lol. What I realized is that you gotta pay attention to the 3 hr indicators even at the bottom. You can see how it sold off Monday afternoon/night because RSI and MFI hit overbought, and we got the Powell pump because MFI hit oversold premarket today, I don't have time to pay attention to the market all day because I have a job now, lol, so you guys will have to track MFI and RSI on your own. 3 hr chart, standard settings for RSI and MFI and make sure your time zone aligns with US east coast (NY), or else the 3 hr charts will look different. There's also a small gap up aftermarket today that also needs to be filled. Probably more whipsaw, lol. At this point, I'm only trading if I see indicators go oversold or overbought. WIll post plots pre-market if I have time. Good luck.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
2
ES, Mar 19, 2025With today's FOMC Federal Funds announcement, I expect CME_MINI:ES1! to sweep liquidity below the current range, tapping into the daily liquidity level and daily average sweep zone before reversing higher. From there, I anticipate a push through the 4H Imbalance (IFVG) and continuation toward the daily average expansion area, which aligns with key daily buy-side liquidity. This move would follow a classic liquidity grab and expansion pattern, with price reclaiming key levels and driving higher as liquidity unlocks. If buyers step in as expected, ES should have the momentum to reach and potentially exceed the daily expansion target. Note weekly FVG above daily expansion level. However, if ES fails to displace above the 4H IFVG, it would signal a lack of strength to sustain a move higher. In that case, a rejection at this level could trigger a shift in momentum, increasing the likelihood of further downside as liquidity is redistributed lower. If that happens, I will be targeting the daily average expansion level at $5,600.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by dekatrades
1
S&P - Will we follow 2020/2021?The S&P has been trading in a rising pattern for over 700 days, similar to the rising pattern observed in 2020 and 2021. In that instance, the price of the S&P broke below the support trendline and lost all SMA support, while also making a lower low. This has not occurred since the start of the current pattern. Could a deeper correction follow? Blue line = 50-day MA Red line = 100-day MA Yellow line = 200-day MA Analysis of the 2020/2021 Price Action We can conclude the following five points: 1. The rising wedge lasted for nearly 700 days. 2. The price consistently made higher highs and higher lows. 3. The S&P found support on the SMAs and never broke below the 200-day MA. 4. After approximately 700 days, the S&P broke below the rising wedge, lost all key SMA support, and made a lower low. 5. During the retest of the rising wedge and key SMAs (which had turned into resistance), a bearish cross (50-day SMA below the 100-day SMA) occurred, leading to a downtrend. How Does the 2020/2021 Price Action Correlate to 2023/2024? We can conclude the following five points: 1. The rising wedge lasted for approximately 750 days. 2. The price continued making higher highs and higher lows. 3. The S&P found support on the SMAs and never broke below the 200-day SMA. 4. After around 750 days, the S&P broke below the rising wedge, lost all key SMA support, and made a lower low. 5. A bearish cross between the 50-day SMA and the 100-day SMA is currently forming. When we overlay the bar pattern of the 2021 bearish price action onto the current chart, it suggests that a revisit to 4,750 is possible. This level is both a technical support and the point where the S&P started its downtrend in 2021. Conclusion Will the S&P follow the 2021 price action, resulting in a sustained downtrend, or will it reclaim all lost SMA levels and continue its uptrend? The price action suggests that there is a real possibility of weakness in the coming months.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Youriverse
7
Weekly Market Forecast SP500 NASDAQ DOW: Short Term BUYS!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of March 24 - 28th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. The equity markets have been choppy lately, but this week may be different. The economic calendar shows a smooth week ahead, as there are no NFP, FOMC, or similarly volatile news ahead to potentially reverse a market out of the blue. The indices show potential to break consolidation and move upwards. So we wait until there are definitive market structure shifts to occur, acting as confirmations. Only then do we pounce! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by RT_Money
4
the S hit the Flosing thi trendline is a problem or im not captain obvious where bottom? well. no one knows the future some people me included though trump would boom the market some people thought people think i think we need to stop thinking and see whats infront of us. fear gives us a lack of buyers (volume) uncerteinty provides sellers (price drops) macro economics provide both of these. and rate cuts arent happening but im still balling. i wont say my projections in case im right i dont want market makers to change their plans but i will be nice and post my chart. lines are levels and sweep levels volume profile is volume profile rectangles are gaps rsi is rsi fibbos are fibbos declining volume is declining volume Which place is attractive to buy??
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Captainobvious5454
4
ES1! Short Term View With price rebounding from the 61.8% Fib (~5516) and now hovering near the 38.2% Fib (~5758), the market is at a critical juncture. If buyers maintain control above 5637, we could see a continued push higher, first testing 5758, then potentially on toward 5907+. On the flip side, failure at these resistance levels could prompt a deeper retracement back into the high‐5500s or lower. Always watch volume and price action near the key Fib confluence zones to gauge the next directional move. Trading Scenarios (Week of 23rd March) : Bullish (Primary): As long as the market holds above ~5637 on pullbacks, the bias remains upward, targeting a retest of 5758 and potentially higher toward 5908. Bearish (Secondary): A firm close below 5637 re‐opens the door to 5514–5516. A break below that “golden zone” would negate the short‐term bullish structure and could send ES toward the larger swing low at ~5114.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Forexgrindr
1
ES Premarket UpdateWell, I did mention the small open gap yesterday afternoon, lol. Looks like Europe sold off and took the US futures with them, MFI is now OVERBOUGHT meaning more downside despite the open gap above. The market is breaking a lot of my usual rules, the only time the market left an open futures gap for an extended time was the initial COVID gap which stayed open for a year. Looks like Trump is the new COVID, not playing the gap fill anymore, just playing 3 hr indicators now. Also, Powell did not say anything significant yesterday.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
4
ES Melt upLook at the MFI, it's pegged. I guess we get a melt up, at least until tomorrow's PCE numbers. Maybe even into next Monday. Anyways, I woke up, called in sick, and re-entered my AAPL trade this morning, I figured with TSLA's bad news they'd have to pump AAPL instead to get the market green, and they did. Plus XLF gapped up too much, though I suppose I could have bought that too when it went red on the gap close. Gonna just hold the AAPL calls as my PCE trade for tomorrow morning. Expecting a slight kick up EOD because of PCE bets. Until then probably just a sideways whipsaw
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
2
Overview on S&P / 6C / 6E / Gold / SilverJust ran down a major overview on where I'm at in responding to a few messages. I left my last scenario mid December where I stated the S&P was overheated and was likely to come down, even if I didn't have a strong enough signal to go for a longer short on the market. As I had said then, I was mostly interested in the 6E. I made a large chunk off buying the dip on the 6E and cashing out on trends, to include the launch off it recently had. I'm now done with the 6E for the moment. My current focus is on 6C. The algorithm and math have taken a turn that the 6C is ready to rebound. I entered into it at just under .69, I did have to roll over into the newer contract, but even with the last couple down days, the math still supports a rebound. I almost cashed out today when it had a rough start and fell at .5%, but held through and we have mostly recovered for the day, leaving us with a fairly bearish candle pattern to support the ongoing uptrends pulling is higher. When it comes to gold, we have multiple trend violations against the 1hr, 2hr, 3hr, 4hr, and 6hr of lower highs. I expect a downswing to correct these, as they are long overdue for some time now before we move higher. I do believe that Gold is destined for higher, just not yet. I haven't gotten any longer-term signals for gold, so I've mostly been shorting in swing trades to net just a couple thousand on this issue. I am getting a signal on Silver that it is ready to launch. It is not a flawless signal to show it is ready to meet new highs, so I may watch it tomorrow, but ultimately, I may feel more comfortable jumping into silver over gold for a rebound instead of quick shorts. Also, silver has less margin, so it ties up less of my account. That is where I sit, hope your trades go well, and remember your risk management.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by SemperTrader
1
Why DCA Does Not Work For Short-Term TradersIn this video I go through why DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) does not work for short-term traders and is more suitable for investors. I go through the pitfalls than come through such techniques, as well as explain how trading should really be approached. Which at it's cost should be based on having a positive edge and using the power of compounding to grow your wealth. I hope this video was insightful, and gives hope to those trying to make it as a trader. Believe me, it's possible. - R2F Trading
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by Road_2_Funded
8
ES Update - Gap AlertSo this time the market gapped up, lol by like 22 points so that's pretty big. My assumption here is that the market fills the upper gap RSI and/or MFI go overbought and it cycles back down before next Wed's tariff announcements. PCE gets announced Wed so not shorting anything before then even if MFI and RSI get overbought. Will post a comment when I see it go overbought, no time to post during the day. BTW: For people who don't understand what I'm talking about, futures gaps almost always fill, it's not the same as daily indices. If you don't believe me, just go look for opens gaps in the past. Also, I prefer 3hr charts on US index futures, has worked well in the past.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
2
ES - continue with the UptrendOn ES , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 5722. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. (FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Trader_Dale
Gamma Exposure Analysis SPY & VXX SPY Resistance at 570. The 570 level in SPY likely corresponds to a high gamma concentration for 0DTE (zero days to expiration) options. At this strike, market makers short gamma (i.e., net sellers of options) at this level would dynamically delta-hedge by selling SPY as the price approaches 570, creating selling pressure and resistance. Next resistance level 575. For VXX , the 48 level likely represents a put-dominated gamma zone: If market makers are net long puts, they would buy VXX as prices decline toward 48 to hedge against further downside, creating support. Next support level 46.50
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Gexvieww
S&P 500 Recovery: First Price Target Reached What’s Next?S&P 500 Update – Downside Target Hit The first P&F count has been reached, raising the question of whether this is a true reversal. Market patterns often show a low forming at quarter-end followed by a retest in the new quarter. Currently, the market is in recovery mode off the bottom. The key questions remain: Is this recovery sustainable, and where might it lead? Is this truly a reversal? Having achieved the downside objectives, the market is now starting to build cause. The initial lift off the low is notable, but its timing at the end of the first quarter requires caution. There could still be a need for additional testing. A common pattern in markets is the formation of two lows – one at the end of the old quarter and another in the new quarter – creating what appears as a low and a test. If a significant market turn is developing with a potential uptrend in the second and third quarters, there will be ample time to position accordingly. The prudent approach now is to create a shopping list of potential investments and look for good ideas and market leadership. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Wyckoff_Analytics
ES, Q2 25 - Path to RecoveryCME_MINI:ES1! swept the major liquidity resting below the Sep 24 low and is already starting to show signs of a reversal. Price could just keep pushing higher, but with a Volume Imbalance, IFVG, and Wickless Candle all lining up in the same zone, it’s a high-probability area for a retracement before any continuation. From there, I’m expecting a brief accumulation around the weekly FVG, which also aligns with the equilibrium (50%) of this entire leg down. After that, I’m looking for a break through the weekly FVG, a retracement back into it, then a move higher into the Daily FVG. Another small retracement from there and finally, a push up into the Feb 25 High. A strong reversal from the weekly FVG would invalidate this scenario and could potentially slow down the recovery.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by dekatrades