AMP Futures - Profile mode, and ladder type (Volume footprint)In this idea we will demonstrate how to apply the new profile mode and ladder type display to the volume footprint charts using Tradingview.
MES1! trade ideas
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 03/18/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 03/18/2025
📈5740. 5760
📉5680. 5660
Like and share for more daily ES levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
All Relevant ES Levels Near Current Price (June Contracts)If you want to copy and paste these levels on your chart for the new June contracts:
- Scroll to the bottom outside of this chart publication and look for three dots (…).
- Click on those dots and select the option that says “Make it Mine” or “Grab this Chart”.
This will instantly apply my whole chart setup to your own TradingView account. Of course all you need is the levels, so you can adjust the colors or whatever else to your liking if need be.
SP500 (E-mini Futures) - Decision TimeBigger Picture SP500 Futures Update - Decision Time
- Powell (FED) ruled out a recession in todays FOMC Press Conference (Bullish)
- Powell announced drastically slow down QT beginning next month (Extremely bullish for risk assets)
- The Asian and European stock market indices are still showing strength forming new ATHs week by week.
Market recap// Ideal Set ups//1 min Timeframe Chart // Details on the chart of C+ and B + set ups today.
9:45am Buy at 1 min MOB level
1:40 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal at 1 min MOB
3:20 PM VXAlgo NQ 10M Sell Signal
ES Morning Update March 18thYesterday, the plan for ES was straightforward: rally to ~5755 (adjusted for the June contract, previously 5703 on March) to back-test the 3-month megaphone breakdown from last Monday. The market followed through with an 88-point rally to that level before selling off.
As of now:
• 5720 (reclaimed) and 5698 are key supports
• Holding above keeps 5739 and a second test of 5754 in play
• If 5698 fails, look for selling pressure toward 5668
S&P 500 Above it, I’m maintaining a bullish perspective until the next BSL, then turning bearish again in line with the overall market trend.
Below , im keeping my bearish perspective.
Liberation, Altercation or Doom? ES Futures weekly planCME_MINI:ES1!
Quick Update
The upcoming week is poised to be critical for financial markets as President Donald Trump's so-called "Liberation Day" on April 2 approaches. On this date, the administration plans to implement new tariffs aimed at reducing the U.S. trade deficit by imposing reciprocal duties on imports from various countries.
As April 2 looms, the full impact of these tariffs remains uncertain, leaving markets and investors in a state of heightened anticipation.
We may get clarity on the tariff situation on April 2, 2025.
Universal tariff announcement of categories of imports may clarify US administration’s maximum tariff escalation approach.
A phased out and unclear tariff approach may keep markets in limbo.
Economic Calendar
Keep an eye on the data docket, NFP and other key releases are due this week.
Tuesday, Apri 1, 2025 : ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings
Wednesday April 2, 2025 : ADP Employment Change, Factory Orders MoM
Thursday April 3, 2025 : Balance of Trade, Imports, Exports, ISM Services PMI, Initial Jobless Claims
Friday, April 4, 2025 : Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment rate, Average Hourly Earnings MoM,Average Hourly Earnings YoY, Fed Chair Powell Speech
Key Levels to Watch:
Yearly Open 2025 : 6001.25
Key Resistance : 5850- 5860
LVN : 5770 -5760
Neutral Zone : 5705-5720
Key LIS Mid Range 2024 : 5626.50
2024-YTD mCVAL : 5381
2022 CVAH : 5349.75
August 5th, 2024 Low : 5306.75
Scenario 1: Bold but Strategic Tariffs (Effective Use of Tariff to reduce trade deficit and raise revenue) : In this scenario, we may see relief rally in ES futures, price reclaiming 2024 mid-range with a move higher towards key resistance level.
Scenario 2: Maximum pressure, maximum tariff (All out trade war) : In this scenario, we anticipate a sell-off with major support levels, such as 2024- YTD mCVAL, 2022 CVAH and August 5th, 2024 low as immediate downside targets.
Scenario 3: Further delays in Tariff policy (A negotiating tool, with looming uncertainty) : In this scenario, sellers remain in control and uncertainty persists, while we anticipate that rallies may be sold, market price action may remain choppy and range bound.
No where to go but up....What a mess! As you can see from the 240 minute chart, things are indeed ugly. But, isn't it strange that we made all time highs just a month or so ago? Look at the Magic 7 stocks and find one that doesn't look buyable here. All the bearish sentiment in the world cannot stop the flood of FOMO money that will attract to the negative look of the chart to the first clear sign of a trend reversal. I don't care about the rest of the world, I am going to try and buy this somewhere between where we are and an absolute bottom in the 5500's.
Here is my default setupMean Reversion Channel
Swing Failure Pattern
BUY-SELL MAs RSI
Pivot Trendlines with Breaks
BUY-SELL Requirements info
ES Bull Unicorn Trade ReviewDaily bias: Bullish due to the 1hr NWOG that was created on Friday
Trade info:
- Price trades down into 1hr +NWOG
- Creates a 5min bull unicorn model
- I enter as price trades back down into the breaker block (BB) and target +2r profit
- Hits my +2r TP perfectly and falls back down
Let me know if this trade review helps and if you want more trade reviews.
SHORT ON ES?This could be a short rade idea for swing trade.
Las week price invalidate long ideas and the structure remain bearish.
Depending on how we open on Sunday, and with NFP week ahead, I would see ha Monday price will dive quick again, or retrace a little and offer short second half of he week.
29 March 2025S&P 500 falls due to US car tariffs are aggressive to the neighbourhood countries such as Mexico and Canada which may cause the rise in trade tensions. PCE rose to 2.8% on year over year from January 2.7% and the core measure rose to 0.4% from January 0.3% gain.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo SystemEOD accountability report: +$537.50
Sleep: 8 hour, Overall health: Energized
As mentioned in our trade recap video yesterday, today was suppose to be really bearish and go down more,
However, the inflation report ended up being really bad and that just crashed the market all day.
I was expecting to see some bounces here and there along the way but it was just straight drill with no buyers in sight.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System
8:24 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! Look to STR at 1 min MOB or resistance.
11:10 AM VXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal
3:36 PM VXAlgo NQ 48M Buy Signal
Seeking a breakthrough within the fluctuation range.Using this indicator, Seeking a breakthrough within the fluctuation range.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo SystemEOD accountability report: +$786.25
Sleep: :ok: Overall health: Day 1 of fasting, edgy as f
I finally got to test Caffeine and lions mane on an empty stomach and it was crazy, really sharp focus but jumpy as well.
We started the day off pretty scary, Huge drop to 5720 and instant recovery to the top. Traded a bit on one of my APEX evals that renewed today but
Didn't really touch the funded account until 11:20 when we hit the 48m resistance and got a 10m signal.
Overall day was pretty decent, 10m and 5 m chart worked really well.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System
9:50 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal 2x
11:10 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal 2x
12:24 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
The uncertainty of the economic impact of tariffsThe S&P 500 daily chart on Wednesday reflected uncertain economic impact of the new announcements on tariffs. The economic impact is unknown but we know stock markets hate uncertainty. The issue now is after is the downward absorption of the new tariffs will the market get cheap enough to become attractive to buyers.
ID: 2025 - 0073.18.2025
Trade #7 of 2025 executed. So simple, yet far from easy...
Trade entry at 30 DTE (days to expiration).
This trade has a little more hot sauce and fire built into it.
Unbalanced butterfly, close to expiration, will adjust the wing widths as the market adjusts either up or down. Goal is to be out of this trade in under two weeks before GAMMA really begins kicking in.
The reason I like going in closer to expiration after big market moves, is the volatility is better, and fills are quicker, and spreads are tighter. The downside of playing super long DTE strategies is that when the market gets spooked or turbulent, the bid/ask spreads become a mile wide.
Happy Trading!
-kevin
TRADE IDEAS: ES FUTURES (ESM2025) – 3/26/2025 PLAYBOOK# 📊 TRADE IDEAS: ES FUTURES (ESM2025) – 3/26/2025 PLAYBOOK
## 🟢 SCENARIO 1 (BULLISH)
**DIRECTION:** Long
**STRUCTURE BIAS:** Bullish
**ENTRY LEVEL:** 5,795-5,815 (current zone, buying sell-side liquidity raids)
**STOP LEVEL:** 5,785 (invalidate if hourly close below this level)
**TARGET LEVELS:**
- **Target 1:** 5,880-5900 (Weekly Key High Resistance Level)
**R/R RATIO:** ~3:1 (depending on final execution)
### EXECUTION STRATEGY
- **Entry Confirmation:** Look for price to raid previous unhit weekly lows (sell-side liquidity)
- **Long Entries:** Establish long positions as price successfully raids these lows but fails to sustain below them
- **Stop Placement:** Use 5,785 as a hard stop (hourly close below invalidates the trade idea)
- **Target:** Take profits at 5880 - 5,900 (Weekly Key High Resistance)
### KEY POINTS
- Current price action targeting sell-side liquidity in the form of previous unhit weekly lows
- Wednesday typically not a low/high of week formation day, suggesting potential for continued movement
- Tomorrow's High Impact News Event (GDP at 8:30 AM) likely to create volatility and could accelerate the move
- Bullish structure prevails as long as price maintains above liquidity raid zones
---
## 🔴 SCENARIO 2 (BEARISH)
**DIRECTION:** Short
**STRUCTURE BIAS:** Bearish after bullish extension
**ENTRY LEVEL:** 5,880-5910 (Weekly Key High Resistance Level)
**STOP LEVEL:** 5,9550 (invalidate if hourly close above this level)
**TARGET LEVELS:**
- **Target 1:** 5,740 (Weekly Opening Gap upper boundary)
**R/R RATIO:** ~3:1 (depending on final execution)
### EXECUTION STRATEGY
- **No Immediate Short:** Wait for price to extend to Weekly Key High Resistance Level (blue line ~5,900)
- **Rejection Confirmation:** Look for reversal candles and selling pressure at resistance
- **Short Entries:** Establish short positions once price trades below confirmation level after testing resistance
- **Stop Placement:** Use 5,925-5950 as a hard stop (hourly close above invalidates the trade idea)
- **Scaling Out:** Partial profit near 5,800, hold remaining for potential move to 5,745 area
### KEY POINTS
- After liquidity is taken at the Weekly Key High Resistance (blue line), expect manipulation and reversal
- Short opportunity emerges only after bulls exhaust momentum at key resistance
- Weekly Opening Gap (red zone) remains a significant downside target for next move
- Any sustained hourly close above 5,965 **invalidates** this bearish setup
## MARKET BIAS
- **SHORT TERM (Today – 1 Day):**
- **Bullish** bias as price is likely to find support at current levels and move toward the Weekly Key High Resistance
- Current price action suggests accumulation before a move higher
- Tomorrow's GDP numbers (8:30 AM) represent a potential catalyst for accelerated movement
- **LONGER TERM (1–2 Weeks):**
- After testing the Weekly Key High Resistance level (~5,900), expect a reversal and move back toward the Weekly Opening Gap (red zone)
- Market structure suggests a "liquidity hunt" pattern – first to the upside, then reversing to the downside
- Major liquidity draw currently at the blue line, once exhausted, focus will shift back to the Weekly Opening Gap
$SP500 $SPX Is the bull run over?#SP500 SP:SPX S&P500
Is this just a bull-run retracement or the beginning of a bigger crash?
Is the bull run over?
Every major crash started with an “innocent” 10–15% pullback. 🧐
It’s difficult to draw any conclusions right now, but once the current bounce is over, the next retracement will give us more clues. ⏳👀
Are you bullish or bearish? 🐂 🐻
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo SystemEOD accountability report: +$760
Sleep: Bad Overall health: drained
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System
9:50 AM VXAlgo ES 48M Sell Signal ( didn't work that well)
10:10 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal (Double Signal) :check:
12:47 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal (Double Signal) :check:
3:30PM doji trade + expecting 48m to flip up
Market stalled a it today as expected because we ran up a lot yesterday,
We did go a bit higher but not much up from yesterday's high.
Overall decent range day if you trade the 1 min MOB.
25 March 2025S&P continue to rise as trump likely to ease reciprocal US tariffs against some sectors on April 2 which boost investors confidence.
