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MES1! trade ideas

Full Trading Plan For ES/SPX Oct 25thPlan for Friday: Supports: • Major: 5842, 5825, 5805-07, 5787, 5763, 5756, 5746, 5725-29, 5711, 5690 • Minor: 5853, 5848, 5838, 5818, 5814, 5798, 5783, 5774, 5768, 5751, 5740, 5733, 5715, 5702, 5695 Overview: Today was a straightforward backtest of 5864 followed by a dip, then a return to that level, marking a typical rangebound day. We are now in a new consolidation range between 5865-68 and 5825. Trading within this range could be tricky and highly technical, so predicting is a losing strategy. For tomorrow, I’ll trade light, expecting continued chop unless the 5865-68 resistance clears. Key Zones for Tomorrow: • 5842 is the first support down but is now less reliable due to today’s battleground. If ES dips to 5838 and reclaims it, I may consider going long, but only if no new highs above today’s peak are made first. • Below 5838, expect a fast flush to 5825 (major support). I’d consider a long here if there’s a failed breakdown of today’s low (~5822), meaning a recovery above 5825 after a brief flush. If 5825 fails, it could indicate that bears still have control, and longs become riskier. The next key long interest is 5805-07 or failed breakdowns of yesterday’s low. • Deeper support for long interest would be 5756 if we see a larger flush. Resistances: • Major: 5865-68, 5882, 5890-92, 5910, 5919, 5945-47, 5971 • Minor: 5861, 5878, 5886, 5899, 5902, 5907, 5914, 5927, 5933, 5940, 5958, 5966 We haven’t cleared the significant 5865-68 resistance yet. Even if we pop up there tomorrow, another dip is likely before any breakout. If we do break through, we could see a squeeze up to 5882, potentially followed by a dip before pushing higher to 5892. If the breakout continues, we may see a push toward new ATHs in the next leg up. For those interested in shorting, 5882 is a potential level. However, I won’t be shorting above 5865-68. Buyers Case Tomorrow: Buyers case would see ES continue to consolidate between 5825 and 5865 before breaking to the upside. The scenario would likely involve a pop to 5865-68, followed by one more dip (could be significant or small), and then a breakout targeting 5882 and 5892. Afterward, a dip may happen before pushing higher toward ATHs. • I’ll keep an eye on 5842 for long opportunities on dips and potential recoveries at 5848. Sellers Case Tomorrow: Sellers need to break 5825 to regain control. If 5825 fails, it could indicate that the recent dip was not a one-off. However, breakdown trades are risky as 80% of breakdowns typically trap traders. These setups require a high skill level and may fail multiple times before paying off significantly. • I won’t chase shorts after a 30-point sell-off. I’d prefer to see 5825 tested, or a failed breakdown of today’s low before shorting under the bounce structure (possibly around 5818 or higher). Summary for Tomorrow: • Expect consolidation between 5825 and 5865-68 with potential ping pong price action. • Leaning toward a pop to 5865-68, then possibly a dip before breaking out higher to 5882+. • If 5825 fails, we could see further selling. Trade cautiously in this consolidation range, as the price can take complex, unpredictable paths.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ESMorg
SPY Rising WedgeSPY forming a bearish rising wedge here on a larger time frame after strong buy side pressure has brought the index to all time highs. We have left a gap below us around 5640 and we may see this fill in the near future. Currently I see strong support below us at the CC golden pocket retracement zone at the daily 5400 zone. This correction may occur as market participants de-risk moving into elections. I would welcome a nice pullback of 6% - 7% to this zone and add to my positions. To me, this may be the last local pullback before a big rally post election.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by afurs1
3
ES wait price hit 5868ES wait price hit 5868, and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff and I dnot want to write more stuff
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by huahuajhu
1
Directional bias for trade filtering on lower TF , or 70 win %Hi there! I’m excited to share a system I’ve developed called 'Zones.' These zones offer a directional bias, helping predict where price is likely to move next with a current follow-through rate of 70%. In other words, if the price exits one of the orange zones, there’s a 70% chance it will reach the next orange zone, at least touching the boundary, rather than reversing back and closing within the previous zone. You can trade these zones directly for a 70% win rate, or use them as a directional bias to complement your existing strategy on a 1-minute or 5-minute chart (which I highly recommend). Important note: When the price briefly exits a zone but doesn’t close outside it, this is not considered a valid exit — we call this a "spike" or wick. For the 70% win rate to apply, the price must close outside the zone. These zones are the result of years of research, experimental machine learning development, and collaboration with colleagues who have decades of experience in physics. And the best part? I’m offering them completely free. The real challenge isn’t just following a system with a 70% win rate — it’s whether you can overcome your own psychology and avoid sabotaging your success. If you had a winning strategy, what’s really stopping you from being consistently profitable? Often, the answer is ourselves. My zones are built on theoretical thermodynamics and mathematical proofs that help predict the likely trajectory of a system, similar to particle movement in physics. Keep in mind, the orange zone line represents an unpredictable area — while the price often touches the line, there are instances where it may not reach it. Due to the inherent limitations of modern physics, this zone remains an unsolvable area, adding a layer of uncertainty to the system. I promise, none of the paid indicators, whether it’s LuxAlgo or anything from a Pine Wizard or trading “guru,” can match the accuracy of these zones. But don’t take my word for it — try them for yourself and see the results!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by user2839409