New System available soon. (DAFE) AI Adaptive Regime.๐ง Dskyz (DAFE) AI Adaptive Regime
Next-Level Intelligence. Real-Time Adaptability.
This is the latest evolution in the Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems family โ built to dynamically adapt and thrive across all market conditions.
Powered by a multi-layered AI-inspired framework, this strategy identifies five distinct market regimes (Trending, Range, Volatile, Quiet, and Other) using advanced volatility, trend, and range detection techniques. It then adjusts its behavior in real-time with regime-specific thresholds, adaptive pattern scoring, and intelligent signal filtering.
Key upgrades include:
โ
Smart regime classification with ADX, ATR, BB Width & MA differentials
โ
Enhanced candlestick pattern recognition with volume confirmation
โ
Weighted scoring using RSI, MACD, trend alignment & volatility expansion
โ
Regime-based performance tracking and trade optimization
โ
Dynamic position sizing based on stop distance and risk control
โ
Built-in circuit breaker to prevent overtrading during drawdowns
โ
Clean visual signals + trailing stop logic
This strategy is designed not just to tradeโbut to adapt, learn, and evolve with the market.
๐ง I'm finishing up the final pieces, and it will be available soon right here on TradingView.
Follow to stay updated. ๐
-Dskyz
MNQ1! trade ideas
NQ Range (04-08-25)Staying with the Range forecast. NAZ is inside the Yellow arrow range (yesterday post). The Box is the range to watch, NAZ may go above and drop back inside to retest KL's 17,027-16,845. You can see new declining channel above. Below is 30M chart.
Watch all moves in both directions with VIX this high. Yesterday (chart below) we had a tweet, leak, comment, etc. regarding tariffs (unofficial, not credible source) that move the NAZ 1,700 points in 30 minutes. Expect some games during lower volume periods (to the upside).
Let's go Meathead.
Understanding the ICT Venom ModelIn this video I break down the ICT Venom Model as recently described by the man himself on his YouTube channel. I am sure he has more details on the model he has not released, but I basically attempt to give my two cents on NQ and the model itself.
I hope you find the video useful in your endeavours regarding learning ICT concepts as well as trading in general.
- R2F Trading
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/08/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/08/2025
๐18365
๐17755
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more NQ levels Tues & Thurs ๐ค๐๐๐ฏ๐ฐ
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NQ - APRIL 8th Supply/Demand AnalysisNQ is on its retracement from previous week deep dive. I am currently looking for price to retrace and test previous resistance as support. Once it gives this retest i will scale down to the 5 Minute for Long entries. There has to be a Break of structure paired with a Demand push/ FVG and orderblock for me to enter for Longs. 1:3 RR Stops will be at the swing low.
Nasdaq Approaches Bear Territory Amid Escalating Trade TensionsMarket Decline: The Nasdaq Composite has fallen 20% from its December record high, approaching bear market territory. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have also experienced significant drops, marking their steepest weekly declines since March 2020. โ
Trade Tensions: The downturn is largely attributed to escalating trade tensions. The U.S. imposed a 10% tariff on most imports, prompting China to retaliate with a 34% tariff on all U.S. goods, effective April 10. This escalation has heightened fears of a global trade war.
Recession Concerns: In response to these developments, J.P. Morgan has increased the probability of a global recession to 60%, up from 40% previously. โ
Market Movements:
Support Levels and Potential Retracement: The Nasdaq's 20% decline suggests it's testing critical support levels. While technical analysis might indicate a potential for a short-term retracement or consolidation at these levels, the prevailing market sentiment, driven by ongoing trade disputes and recession fears, could limit any substantial recovery.โ
Outlook: Given the current geopolitical and economic climate, a continued downward trend is plausible. However, markets are inherently volatile, and any developments in trade negotiations or economic policies could influence future movements.โ
Disclaimer: Please remember that market predictions are speculative. It's essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
NQ - Supply/Demand Trade Idea for Longs
NQ is on its retracement from previous week deep dive. I am currently looking for price to retrace and test previous resistance as support. Once it gives this retest i will scale down to the 5 Minute for Long entries. There has to be a Break of structure paired with a Demand push/ FVG and orderblock for me to enter for Longs. 1:3 RR Stops will be at the swing low. (Watch My 5 minute video for entry breakdown)
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/8/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 17753.75
- PR Low: 17644.50
- NZ Spread: 244.0
No key scheduled economic events
Volatility remains high with Trump tariff excitement
- Advertising rotation off previous session low
- Holding above the close below the high, inside Friday's range
- AMP margins temp increase remains
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 4/8)
- Session Open ATR: 627.37
- Volume: 48K
- Open Int: 272K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -21.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
we might continue dropping daily hidden divergence, price might want to continue seeking sell side liquidity
4hr is making a new low and taking out old lows (sell side liquidity) to the left MACD is not converging as of yet
1hr hbrsh-div price is dropping ahead of red news this Friday, could head to 1hr old low or weekly low, waiting to see how price reacts to news
m15 price is below POC of previous NY session POC, as well as overnight Asian and London session converging nicely ahead of news I would favor price reacting short-term from m15 bearish imbalance before reaching the lows around the NY open after news but we will see
Market Update: NASDAQ 100 Analysis๐ The NASDAQ 100 is currently trading at 18,075.00, which represents a -22.6% decline from the all-time high of 22,425.75 . This marks a significant drop from its peak, entering into what could be classified as a bear market by traditional standards.
๐The previous decline from the high of 16,800.00 in November 2021 saw a decline of 37.47% , eventually bottoming out at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (10,514.25), from which it staged a significant recovery to reach the all-time high of 22,425.75.
๐Current Demand Zones & Fibonacci Levels:
These zones represent potential reversal areas where buyers could regain control. The Fibonacci retracement levels align well with historical price action, reinforcing their significance as support zones.
DZ-1 (17,539.00-16,334.85): Approximately the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent bull rally
DZ-2 (16,334.85-15,384.25): Approximately the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement - Historically a strong support level
DZ-3 (15,384.25-14,557.00): Critical structural level with prior buyer interest
DZ-4 (14,557.00-14,140.25): Deep support level - key psychological zone
๐ Recovery Potential
To regain the all-time high of 22,425.7 5, the market would need to achieve the following percentage gains from each demand zone:
From DZ-1 (Top: 17,539.00, Base: 16,334.85): ๐ +37.3% to all-time high
From DZ-2 (Top: 16,334.85, Base: 15,384.25): ๐ +45.8% to all-time high
From DZ-3 (Top: 15,384.25, Base: 14,557.00): ๐ +54.0% to all-time high
From DZ-4 (Top: 14,557.00, Base: 14,140.25): ๐ +58.6% to all-time high
The DZ-2 to DZ-3 range provides the most likely region for a significant reversal based on confluence between historical support levels and Fibonacci retracements. While DZ-4 aligns with the 37% historical decline.
๐ Key Takeaways
The NASDAQ 100 s is in a significant correction phase, down -22.6% from its peak.
Price is approaching critical Demand/support zones (DZ-1 to DZ-4), which may act as reversal points.
A return to all-time highs would require substantial gains, particularly if the market reaches the deeper demand zones.
Investors should closely monitor price action around the DZ-2 to DZ-3 range (15,384.25 - 14,557.00) for signs of a potential reversal.
Additionally, staying updated on developments related to the new tariffs is essential, as they may heavily influence market dynamics in the coming months.
NQ - Nasdaq's potential to reboundThe Median or Centerline:
The Median (Centerline) Line is the central element of the Pitchfork and acts as the equilibrium point. Price tends to oscillate around this line, and it often serves as a strong reference for potential reversals or price targets. A price move back toward the Median Line is common after significant moves away from it.
Pitchfork (Red):
The red Pitchfork, drawn through significant price points, provides the overall trend direction and shows the potential path to the downside. The red line indicates a bearish bias in the current setup, as it has been guiding the price lower.
Green Circles and Arrows:
These represent key areas of support.
The lower green circle and green arrows indicate price has found solid support in this region. The price has been bouncing from this support level, showing that it is reacting to the [ower boundary of the Pitchfork. This behavior aligns with the rule that the price tends to respect these boundaries, creating a foundation for a potential move back toward the Median Line.
Price Action Analysis:
The price recently tested the lower green circle and green arrows, bouncing off this support level, which is a typical reaction in a Pitchfork setup.
According to the Median Line theory , when the price moves too far away from the Median Line, it often returns toward it. Therefore, the bounce off the lower boundary suggests that price may now be setting up for a bullish reversal toward the RED Median Line .
Bottom Line:
The price action is following the general Pitchfork playbook . The bounce from the lower green circle suggests that the price is setting up for a potential bullish reversal toward the RED Median Line .
The next major test will be the upper resistance in the red Pitchfork , after the break of the Centerline. If the price can break through this resistance, a strong move higher is likely.
Keep an eye on this critical point!
Nasdaq futures , printed a cash signal on close of march candle.So I am cash in my trading accounts with exception of my SPY price action trading which works in any condition .
The market Nasdaq futures market has closed under the monthly 20 period ema , I have tested the Dow jones on this logic to 1897 for over 100 years of results and when the market makes closes below I go to cash and wait for a H2 monthly close to get back in . I personally think that this is a very easy way to trade as there is very little user interference its very black and white and if you traded this way on Dow jones from 1987 to now it would have even outperformed buy and hold from 1897 to 2015 (and maybe we will be outperforming soon again too with what the market seems to be threatening ).
The 2X Nasdaq , QLD which from 2023s buy signal to end of last months cash signal yielded 78% return. ( that's what my strat uses instead of QQQ for these signals , note however that TQQQ has too much decay to work well imo)
It's not hard to make money this way , but there is lots of inaction and us humans don't do so well with that . In any case we have a cash signal and now the game is to wait .... possibly quite a while .
Also the Dow , SPY , QQQ and MES , have not quite yet printed sell cash signals so you could argue that they should do this before going to cash but they are all below their sell signals and the market is flashing pretty notable warning signals , So I am cash .
I do plan on continuing my price action trades when I have time it can work in all markets but that is a tiny account in comparison to my monthly signals capital . I mostly do it for fun and experience building and often don't have the time .
Take care and good luck out there .