NQ futures ( Nasdaq ) LONG 22750Ray is LONG NQ - 22750, price need to close 4H above 22245 with displacement, if not possible retracement to 22k support level before moving higer after News....
MNQ1! trade ideas
NQ Future Nasdaq Long opportunityNQ Future Nasdaq Long opportunity (5min candle)
Information on chart.
Looking for nq to hit 2.5std in greenCompletion of mmbm model. Time ti buy? Break below blue line invalidates long and return to Consolidation or worse.
NQ: 139th trading session - recapVery good session today, I was really focused and we had really good price action and a very interesting opening (no opening trades - but that's fine)
That's the end of the week, overall a good performance.
See y'all next week.
NQ heading down until AprilBased on time fib the top should remain Dec 17th. I think it will reverse down from the daily FVG and head down towards 195xx, which is another daily VIB and 3,5 std from last manipulation leg up. Time fib with Feigenbaum projection suggests the bottom will happen around April
NQ Range (02-10-25)NQ Range has been the play since 11/24, range range range. Breakout already, we have seen three Friday's in a row where the NAZ sells off (the opposite of past 2 years). Unless Monday redirects this one (will need off session O/N Mystery Magic), we could break range and move to the Yellow Brick Arrow. NAZ is on Danger Zone TL now, 21,250 is 1st lower retest, then 20,695. Should these hold, Long back up. No Hold, Strong Short to lower KL's. We have seen the NAZ (mysteriously) redirect most drops at/near danger zone key levels, this will have to continue (expect this 1st). Should it not then we should see a free fall, drop test, fluff clean out. The Post's range may play out over 1-2 weeks should the super slow price action (on the downside) continue. GO Fed, Washington Street, BTD/FOMO Forever, set that Long Trap up for Joe Retail.
NQ 30M TF 2/14I fell pretty neutral with this idea. Though she open up a little bullish I feel she could go either way. I marked up both ways buy and sell. $400 SL please follow your trading plan and use good risk management! Take one or take both trades. Good luck.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/13/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/13/25
📈22080-22130
📉21645-21565
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NQ1 BULISHNQ1 is one of the assets used for the current leap, representing the NASDAQ 100. Here is a brief analysis of it. The targets, danger zone, and stop loss levels are marked on the chart. Please pay close attention to all of them.
Note: My ideas are not intended for any type of scalping or scalpers!
You can find the full list of my ideas here: www.tradingview.com
Here are some of my ideas:
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 22103.25
- PR Low: 22070.00
- NZ Spread: 74.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
Previous session print advertising momentum above 22000 daily pivot
- Holding auction just above previous session high
- Next key level in sight is ATH 22450
Session Open Stats (As of 1:35 AM 2/14)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 375.09
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, breaking through resistance near 22,000. Although Trump held a press conference on tariffs, the market interpreted the grace period as a bullish signal, driving a breakout from the previous range with a strong bullish candlestick.
On the daily chart, the MACD remains in an upward trend, and since the index has broken out of its previous range, today’s strategy should focus on buying at the 3-day moving average, which aligns closely with the previous range high.
Today marks the weekly close, making the Retail Sales data release a crucial event. If price action sustains its bullish momentum, it will be important to check whether a weekly buy signal is confirmed on the closing price.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has emerged, reinforcing the breakout above the range. Buying on dips remains the preferred strategy, but traders should stay mindful of potential volatility spikes around the Retail Sales report.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off the $70 support level with a long lower wick. Despite this rebound, both the MACD and signal line remain below the zero line on the daily chart, indicating that selling pressure is still dominant. However, this area also represents a strong historical support zone, making buying on dips a favorable strategy.
As mentioned earlier this week, oil is forming a potential double-bottom pattern, which could provide further upside potential. The key trigger would be either a bullish MACD crossover near the zero line or a bearish continuation if the crossover fails, leading to a strong directional move.
On the 240-minute chart, price action has exhibited a false breakdown, followed by a bullish divergence, suggesting that a bottoming process is underway. Buying on pullbacks remains the most effective approach, but traders should be cautious with weekend risk, as Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations could bring unexpected developments.
Gold
Gold closed higher, digesting the PPI data while trading near previous highs. The key focus is whether gold is forming a double-top pattern at this level. The recent rally can largely be attributed to global inflation fears stemming from Trump’s tariff policies.
On the daily chart, the buy signal remains intact, but traders should be cautious, as a corrective pullback could emerge at any time. The MACD and signal line tend to converge naturally, so chasing momentum at current levels carries increased risk.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has bounced off the 2,900 support level, triggering a buy signal. However, there is now a wide divergence between price and MACD, meaning that even if gold breaks above previous highs, the MACD may fail to surpass its previous peak, potentially signaling a bearish divergence.
If a divergence forms and price pulls back, the correction could be sharp, as overbought conditions often lead to strong reversals. However, since the MACD and signal line remain well above the zero line, even a pullback is likely to find support, leading to a range-bound structure. The safest approach is to buy only at key support levels.
Today’s Retail Sales report could drive significant market volatility, particularly as it will influence the weekly close.
Always focus on the larger trend, manage risk effectively, and stay disciplined. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. Thank you.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 22000 / 21945 / 21900 / 21840
-Sell Levels: 22160 / 22240 / 22300 / 22360
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market(March)
-Buy Levels: 71.10 / 70.45 / 69.85
-Sell Levels: 71.85 / 72.55 / 73.00
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2945 / 2936 / 2930 / 2921
-Sell Levels: 2966 / 2974 / 2985
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
NQ <> TOTAL 3"Playout chart of NQ vs. TOTAL 3 over the past few years, highlighting periods of market expansion, cooling phases, and corrections.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - Back To The Drawing Board #S1E8Weekly bias has been negated.
Activating my longer term bullish bias with all time highs a strong possibility.
But first, we must overcome some obstacles.
2025-02-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: As expected after yesterday’s cpi reversal, bears are not strong enough and bulls wanted a higher high badly. Now a new ath is much more likely than prices below 21800. Max bullishness would be if we stay above 22k but everything above 21900 is ok for the bulls. We have a decent channel on the 1h tf but it’s not steep enough to get to 21400 tomorrow. So it’s probably best to pay more attention to the lower trend line and not looking to short the upper one.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21800 - 22500
bull case: Bulls now only need to keep it above 21900 and bears can’t hold shorts on this. We could easily print 22500 or higher tomorrow. Today we had wild swings on smaller time-frames so I doubt many bulls would want to buy the highs but we should know an hour into the Globex session if we can expect sideways to down first or if bulls just keep it above 22k in fear of not getting enough points to the upside. Odds are good for a max long day tomorrow.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears can scalp short on new highs but the risk of getting trapped if we break above was never higher this week. If they somehow manage to get below 21900 again, the bull case would be in trouble but for now we are making clear higher highs and higher lows. Could bears stay below 22100 tomorrow and break sideways out of the channel? Yeah but we closed at 22094. If Globex sells-off hard, might happen but I doubt it. Bears do not have much here.
Invalidation is above 22150.
short term: Clear plan. Stay above 21900 and long for 22400+. Dip below and see if bears can generate follow-through. Leaning heavily bullish though.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-09: Another lower high but also higher lows. Bears are not doing enough, so we are in a trading range below the ath. We are close to it that there is always the possibility of printing a higher high again. Bears need lower lows below 20600 before we can talk about 20000 again.
trade of the day: Strong selling on the open but by now everyone knows bears are only getting trapped this week, so buying around 21750 was where market found support late yesterday and we dipped only 6 points below the low from yesterday evening. Market refused to go down after the early EU session selling was done, so long it was. The pullback from 22000 down to 21890 was deep and holding longs through it was tough but if you look at the 1h chart at the end of the day, it was much more bullish than lower time-frames suggested.
NQ: 138th trading session - recapAnother really ugly session, I blame this on the market being in the same spot for about 3 months.
But we got a breakout know, this might be going somewhere...
1pm CRT 30m Candle Model (NY Session PM Model)Establish CRT Range of 1p-130p
Drop down to 2m/1m and refine CRT range to candle body highs/lows on the 2m/1m timeframe
Look for TS of nearest candle body high/lows within first 20 mins after 130p EST
Execute reversal from 50% to 100% of refined CRT range, ideally 75 tick spread NQ/MNQ
Entry Structure:
Bulk - 60% (3 mnq, 1 nq)
--- Exit: Opposing End of Range (Origin of TS)
Runner - 30% (2 mnq)
--- Exit: One (1) .618 Standard Deviation Extension
Optimal - 10% (1 mnq)
--- Exit: Most Recent 1H High/Low (Higher TF Liquidity)
Is Liquidity Zones The Hidden Battleground of Smart Money In every market move, liquidity zones are the battlefields between buyers and sellers. Understanding these zones is crucial for spotting reversals and breakouts before they happen.
What Are Liquidity Zones?
High Liquidity Areas, Where large orders are placed, typically around key support/resistance or round numbers.
Low Liquidity Areas. Where price moves quickly due to fewer orders, often creating price imbalances.
Why Liquidity Matters
Smart money (institutions) seeks liquidity to execute large orders without massive slippage. Their footprints appear as wicks, sudden volume spikes, or rapid price reversals.
Spotting Liquidity Traps
False Breakouts, Price pierces a key level, triggers stop losses, and reverses quickly.
Stop Hunts, Sudden price spikes beyond a key level, only to return inside the range.
rading Strategy Example
1. Use volume profile or heat maps to spot high-interest price areas.
2. Wait for Reaction, Enter only after confirmation (e.g., a sharp wick or order flow shift).
3.Risk Management, Place stops beyond liquidity zones to avoid getting trapped.
Master liquidity zones, and you'll start seeing the market through the eyes of institutional players.
NQ! Trade IdeaNQ is very bullish. bouncing off the 200 EMA. VWAP below that level is also a good buying entry
Inflation Fears Weigh More than China Tech GainsDeepSeek Is Not the Market’s Biggest Concern
Over the past few days following the emergence of DeepSeek, Nasdaq or technology stocks have experienced a notable 6% decline across all major U.S. indices. However, this recent pullback pales in comparison to the more substantial drop seen in December.
Small-Cap Stocks Take a Bigger Hit
The Russell 2000, which tracks small and medium-sized enterprises in the U.S., suffered an even sharper decline, falling by 12%. This suggests that broader economic concerns, beyond just the tech sector, are weighing on investor sentiment.
Then, What Is It?
On December 18, during the highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the Federal Reserve announced a widely expected 0.25% rate cut, bringing the Fed Funds Rate down to 4.5%. However, it wasn’t the rate cut that rattled the market—it was Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments that followed.
“… the median participant projected that the appropriate level of the federal funds rate would be 3.9% at the end of 2025, indicating expectations of two additional rate cuts in 2025, down from the four projected in the previous summary.”
This statement signaled that the Fed remains hawkish on inflation, with expectations of only two rate cuts in 2025 instead of the previously projected four. As a result, borrowing costs are likely to remain elevated at around 3.9%, a scenario that investors had not fully priced in. The market reacted negatively, with indices falling sharply over the subsequent weeks.
Market Stabilization Amid China Tech Competition
Despite the recent downturn, there are signs of stabilization, with major indices still maintaining their position along an established uptrend line. As long as inflation continues to ease—hovering around 3% or, ideally, heading toward the Fed’s 2% target—the broader market outlook remains positive.
From a strategic standpoint, I will continue to focus on buying dips if the market respects the uptrend line. However, if hopes for rate cuts in 2025 fade and the trend begins to break below key support levels, my strategy will shift toward selling into strength when opportunities arise.
Short-Term Trading Outlook
To refine my trading decisions, I have also drawn trendlines on an hourly chart. Applying the same uptrend principles, these lines serve as a guideline for short-term trading in the Micro S&P 500 futures.
With the latest January Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading at 3%—higher than expected—I will be closely monitoring my daily chart's uptrend line.
While external economic conditions remain unpredictable, adapting trading strategies in response to market trends is key to staying ahead.
Please see the following disclaimer and information that you may find useful:
E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options
Ticker: ES
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $12.50
Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures & Options
Ticker: MES
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $1.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• My mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
Trading competition: www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Live execution and insights to my MNQ POI The Bias we had was perfect, and it panned out just right. We were a little late to the party, I had just walked into my room after taking my dog outside. As soon as I saw it at my zone I felt the urge to enter so I did.
I recommend you guys check out the previous video I posted of my MNQ POI
Over 120 points SL which I am not a fan of but on MNQ that is about $65 risk. We took our profits early for precaution and to keep our greed in check.
Give a like and thumbs up if you enjoyed the video and my personal insights!
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CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
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