MNQ1! trade ideas
lack of selling pressure suggest price may continue break higher(Disclaimer: The following is only a personal opinion, not investment advice. Please make your own judgment before making any decisions.)
This week, the price has remained stable above 21,432. Yesterday’s CPI data came in worse than expected, indicating inflation is rising again, which may slow down the rate cut process. Despite this, the market did not break lower, suggesting weak selling pressure and the potential for an upward breakout.
Today’s bias remains bullish, with an initial target of 21,968 and the next target at 22,100.
If the price breaks above 22,100, it’s important to monitor its movement within the 22,100–22,389 range. Failure to break above this range quickly could lead to a notable pullback.
If the price successfully breaks through, it may continue to rise toward 22,800.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21898.50
- PR Low: 21845.75
- NZ Spread: 117.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- PPI
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
Strong inventory below 21779 to week low
- Auction returning to 22000 daily pivot (2x)
- Another AMP margin increase for pre-RTH news
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 2/13)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 377.15
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 266K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/12/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/12/25
📈21870-21889
📉21450-21435
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
2025-02-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: CPI was the gift to the bears and what was the perfect setup for continuous selling to the lows of this bigger trading range, became the ultimate bear trap. Bears now have only 2 daily bear bars during the past 8 trading days and today printed a really nasty reversal bar. We are still making lower highs but if bears can’t stay below 21900 tomorrow, I think we could see a bullish breakout above for a retest of the ath.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22000
bull case: Bulls probably burned enough bears today that many will give up until we see bigger selling pressure instead of single sell spikes. That opens the possibility for the bulls to print higher highs above 21900 and test the previous monthly high at 21967. If bulls are strong enough tomorrow, it could setup the next impulse higher to retest 22450.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Likely that bears are done with these reversals and they could give up tomorrow because market clearly rejects lower prices. Bears now had 5 big spikes down in the past 8 trading days and all were rejected hard. Above 21967 I highly doubt bears will fight this if we get above 21967. What would the bears need to keep this another lower high and go down? Yeah right. Neither trade war stuff nor the hot cpi print could bring this down. If somehow bears manage to get strongly below 21750 tomorrow, there is a small chance of more downside to 21670 but at this point it’s very low probability.
Invalidation is above 21970.
short term: Can’t be bear after such a trap today. Bulls need something above 21967 and if they get it, it’s a clear buy signal and we likely melt higher. Bears having more arguments if they strongly go below 21760 again but it would likely turn the market neutral at best. Middle of this range is still 21700.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-09: Another lower high but also higher lows. Bears are not doing enough, so we are in a trading range below the ath. We are close to it that there is always the possibility of printing a higher high again. Bears need lower lows below 20600 before we can talk about 20000 again.
trade of the day: I am always flat into bigger news releases, so shorting into cpi was out of the question. Could you buy the big cpi print near 21500? Well, I would not and I did not. Why? Of course bulls reversed most this week but the spike was so huge, it could have easily become a risk-off event. Biggest question today was, when should you have joined the bulls and when did it became clear that bears can not retest the lows again? Bar 19 had a huge tail below, bears tried to test down to 21500 but failed. Bulls then printed another very strong 5m bar and if you did not want to go long like me, it should have been at least the death for bearish price action for that moment since if bears would have been strong, those big bull bars would have never happened or would have at least been followed by a bear bar and bulls just printed consecutive bull bars.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/12/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21818.50
- PR Low: 21779.50
- NZ Spread: 87.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | CPI (Core|MoM|YoY)
10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies (again)
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
AMP margins increase for expected news-based volatility tomorrow
- Maintaining Previous week highs
- Previous session closed inside print above 50% of Monday's range
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 2/12)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 379.44
- Volume: 26K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
The key is whether there is support at 21698.25
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-------------------------------------
It's the 10th day since the new The Leap season started.
The trading items for this season are as follows.
CL1! : Light Crude Oil Futures
GCL1! : Gold Futures
NQ1! : NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures
ES1! : S&P 500 E-mini Futures
MBT1! : Micro Bitcoin Futures
MCL1! : Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures
M6E1! : Micro EUR/USD Futures
MGC1! : Micro Gold Futures
MNQ1! : Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 index Futures
MES1! : Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures
--------------------------------------
(NQ1! 1D chart)
The key is whether it can be supported at 21698.25.
-
(30m chart)
If not,
1st: 2159.23 near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart
2nd: 21501.75
We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
(1D chart)
If it rises after receiving support at 21698.25, the point to watch is whether it can rise above the StochRSI 50 indicator and the Price Channel indicator (21871.75-21981.50).
Since the StochRSI indicator is currently located near the overbought zone, if it rises further,
1st: 21871.75-21981.50
2nd: 22314.50
It seems likely that it will face resistance near the 1st and 2nd levels.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Scalper’s Paradise – Insights on Evolving Technical LevelsThis is my first post, and I’ll do my best. However, I might not know how to update the post or even view the comments. So, in advance, I apologize for any issues that may arise. :)
Now, let’s dive in with a snapshot of a 1-minute chart. Here, you can see the developing VPOC line along with the VWAP line. These aren’t just random indicators—they are volume-based indicators, meaning the data comes directly from the exchange system. This makes them highly relevant for traders, as they provide crucial insights into market activity.
But what exactly does this mean?
The developing VPOC line (Volume Point of Control) represents the price level with the highest traded volume of the day. It is often displayed when using a Volume Profile.
On the other hand, the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is a standalone indicator that calculates the average price based on volume. Essentially, the VWAP line divides the chart into two key areas:
Above VWAP → Favorable for short positions (or considered expensive for long positions).
Below VWAP → Favorable for long positions (or considered expensive for sellers).
These levels help traders gauge price efficiency and market sentiment throughout the day.
Insights from My Time as an Institutional Junior Trader
As a junior trader in the institution, my job was simple: follow orders. This meant I was told what to trade and in which direction—I was responsible for executing the trades at the best possible price.
Now, as an institutional trader, I execute thousands of trades a day, which naturally results in an average price due to the sheer number of trades executed at different price levels.
So, how is my execution evaluated throughout the day? Exactly—against the Volume Profile and VWAP.
For example, if I need to buy a large quantity and my executions are concentrated in the lower area of the VWAP-divided chart, it means I’ve done a good job—I’ve secured a better-than-average price. On the other hand, if my trades are mostly in the upper area, it means I haven't performed well, as I couldn’t even beat the average price.
Let’s put on our thinking cap and bring everything together.
Imagine you need to accumulate a long position, and you’ve been buying thousands of times, resulting in an average price.
Now, let’s assume you are an institutional junior trader, and your boss instructs you to buy. You’ve already accumulated 85% of the position, and your average price is in the lower area of the VWAP-divided chart. Suddenly, the price has risen, and you have the opportunity to buy the remaining 15% at the VWAP.
Would you take the trade? Of course, you would.
Why? Because 15% won’t significantly move your average price, and you’re still buying at a reasonable level.
And that’s exactly how institutional traders operate all the time. They are constantly evaluated against these key indicators (VWAP & Volume Profile)—just like I was.
How You Can Apply This as a Retail Trader
So far, we’ve discussed just a small aspect of trading, but now you understand that levels matter and that institutional traders think differently when it comes to buying.
While retail traders often focus on getting the best price, institutional traders prioritize average price. This fundamental difference leads to completely different trading styles.
Now that you know how institutions operate, you can start watching the key levels provided by indicators like VWAP and Volume Profile. These aren’t just static levels—they are developing levels, meaning you can use them multiple times throughout the day.
Monitor these key levels throughout the session.
Pay close attention to order flow when price approaches these levels.
Identify who is in control—buyers or sellers—so you can take action accordingly.
By combining these insights with the order flow, you can make more informed and precise trading decisions—just like the institutions do. 🚀
Sincerely,
Marco
Targetting buyside on NNQThis is in demo due to the fact I’m working double this week so I had to take this on my phone, regardless we had an amazing day which is great and builds our confidence specially because we are utilizing our cellphone to take the entry.
I am starting to notice I am getting better at recognizing certain market patters making me more confident and comfortable taking my trade ideas.
Disclaimer:
Trading can bring total loss of funds, be very careful and take these trades at your own risk. ⛔️
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/11/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21773.75
- PR Low: 21832.25
- NZ Spread: 131.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies
Remains relatively quiet anticipating Powell speech
- Holding auction in previous session highs below the close
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 2/11)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 395.38
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 262K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher despite Trump’s tariff announcement. On the daily chart, the MACD buy signal remains intact, and the index posted a strong bullish candlestick, confirming an upward bias. However, given the lack of volume behind the move, the market remains within a range-bound structure rather than signaling a clear breakout.
For meaningful upside continuation, a decisive breakout above 22,000 is required. Until then, the market is likely to remain in a 21,000–22,000 range, as failure to break either side would prevent the MACD from creating a strong divergence from the signal line, leading to further sideways consolidation.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting a bullish crossover, but the price is struggling to hold its gains. If the MACD fails to cross above the signal line and instead turns lower, a failed breakout scenario could trigger a sharp decline. Given the low-volume rally from yesterday, chasing longs at current levels is not ideal. Instead, it is safer to maintain a range-trading strategy, with buying near the lower bound and selling near the upper bound.
Additionally, if the index fails to break above the range high, a bearish MACD divergence could develop, increasing the risk of a downside move. Traders should avoid aggressive breakout buying and instead focus on disciplined range-bound positioning.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher, reaching the 10-day moving average, as MACD attempted to reconnect with the signal line. The $70–71 support zone remains a strong demand area, making dip-buying strategies favorable.
As mentioned yesterday, the key question is whether oil will form a double bottom at $70–71 before breaking higher, or if it will continue rallying without a retest. Given the wide gap between the MACD and signal line on the daily chart, a failure to complete a golden cross could lead to another pullback, making chasing longs above $74 risky.
On the 240-minute chart, oil has confirmed a bullish divergence, triggering a strong upward move. For the first time in a while, strong buying pressure has returned, reinforcing the buy-on-dip strategy. However, traders should monitor price action carefully as resistance levels approach.
Gold
Gold closed at a new all-time high, rallying aggressively into overbought territory and even breaking through the upper Bollinger Band. Inflation concerns are intensifying globally, fueled by Trump’s escalating tariff rhetoric, which is driving a strong commodities rally in gold, copper, and other raw materials.
Since gold has been in a continuous uptrend since confirming its buy signal on January 16, traders should be mindful that sharp pullbacks can occur at any time. Additionally, with key U.S. economic data releases this week—CPI on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday—gold’s volatility is expected to remain elevated.
Given the overbought conditions, the best strategy remains buying on dips, rather than chasing highs. On the daily chart, the MACD would need to form a bearish crossover for a more structured correction to take place.
On the 240-minute chart, gold has been in a stair-step rally, with the 2940–2950 zone emerging as a key wave-based resistance level. However, overshooting this level is possible, making it critical to wait for confirmation before assuming a short position.
For now, the buy signal remains intact on the 240-minute chart, reinforcing the buy-on-dip approach. However, given yesterday’s strong rally, some short-term consolidation or profit-taking is likely today.
With Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release and Trump’s escalating tariff measures, global market volatility is increasing significantly. Risk management remains essential in this environment. Trade smart and stay disciplined!
Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. For more detailed strategies, please contact us on Telegram. Thank you.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21770 / 21720 / 21670 / 21550
-Sell Levels: 21850 / 21905 / 21960 / 22020 / 22100
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 72.10 / 71.70 / 71.30 / 71.00
-Sell Levels: 72.95 / 73.35 / 74.50
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2934 / 2928 / 2922 / 2917
-Sell Levels: 2950 / 2955
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/10/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/10/25
📈21965-21990
📉21555-21530
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
2025-02-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: What did we learn today? Market is digesting any newsbombs quicker and quicker but we still have deep pull-backs. Today the volume was atrocious so I don’t think the bullish daily bar is all that important. If bulls get follow-through above 22000 tomorrow, I am clearly wrong and we test 22100 next and afterwards there is no more resistance until 22400.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21300 - 22000
bull case: Bulls only objective is to print higher highs above 21967. Until they achieve that, market is in a triangle and bulls are not favored when buying the highs. They have prevented another much deeper sell-off below 21400 but given the low volume today, I don’t think many will be thrilled to buy above 21800 tomorrow. Above 21967 we go for 22100 next and after that is no more resistance until 21400.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears were fine with the gap down and did not fight the buying today. I do think tomorrow will be very different. Every bear who sold above 21800 made money since end of December. The price action is not bullish enough to make more bears doubt that we will strongly break above this triangle. First target is today’s open, 21760. Then we have the midpoint of this triangle around 21700, followed by last weeks close 21588. Below that is Globex low 21453 and then 21200.
Invalidation is above 21970.
short term: Bearish. Stop for shorts is 22110. If I’m wrong here, so be it but structure is neutral and odds favor the bears to keep making lower highs now and we test back down to at least the midpoint of this triangle around 21500.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying the big Globex gap down and then market did not print one single bearish signal until bar 45 and that was the first, so you can not sell it.
Journey to 53K: Analyze this MNQ trade with me! 2.10.25It really helps out if you guys support and subscribe. Give it a like if you guys enjoy this content it motivates me to keep posting and shows me that what I am sharing you guys find valuable. I appreciate the 600+ views, to those watching, thank you for being an early follower of my journey and may God bless yours.
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