NQZ2029 trade ideas
How low will we go :)Market Outlook: How Low Can It Go? 🚨
As the market faces increasing uncertainty, with trade wars, inflation concerns, and even talks of war looming, many are wondering just how low the market can go. Looking at the long-term weekly chart of the NASDAQ 100, we can draw several important insights. 📉
The chart clearly highlights key retracement levels from previous cycles:
2000-2002 saw the market plummet by 83% from its peak 🔴.
2008-2009 experienced a 57% drop 🟠.
In the current cycle, we have already seen a 26% drop from the previous highs, and many are wondering if we will see 37% similar moves as past market corrections.
Looking ahead, key levels to watch include:
60% and 70% retracements from the peak 🟢.
The 83% drop level which historically signals massive corrections 🔵.
The 93% drop from the top, which mirrors the all-time low seen during previous major market crashes 🟣.
The market has already shown signs of consolidation and increased volatility, with investors uncertain about the future direction. A possible recession or worsening economic conditions could push us closer to these historically low levels, especially if inflation continues to rise and trade tensions worsen.
The chart suggests the potential for further downside in the short term, and we could see the market move closer to the COVID lows again if these macroeconomic issues persist. ⏳
But here’s the key question: Are we heading back to these deep levels, or is there a glimmer of hope for a recovery in the near future? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below! 👇
Stay tuned for more updates on how the market is reacting to these pressures. 📊
This chart provides a historical perspective on the NASDAQ’s behavior during past recessions and could help guide your trading strategies moving forward.
Shark News🦈
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below...
NQ Range (04-21-25)Sell in May should NAZ float back up or, Buy in May should it drop from here. The Buy in May would be near lower range or 17,000-500. Yellow Zone to left is the 10-15 minute "insider trading" move that was needed to get the NAZ away from the Danger Zone of death. Not much doing since so expect more of the same with tricks, games and O/N magic rides higher. Reg Session seems to still prefer the sell button. Anyway, until we break out of this range (could be weeks or minutes, as we have seen) we are in a range of insignificant noise. NDX Chart below, Diablo is hanging Tough.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/17/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/17/2025
📈18594 18670 18740
📉18440 18365 18290
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NQ Range (04-23-25)NAZ "Triangle of Churn", all Overnight with some Reg Session today. Seems more like knee jerk strength in low volume (or zero volume) zones. The U Turn off 17,750 was #39 or 40 since 1/22. The 2 Blue lines (upper) 2025 open price and (lower) 2024's. Danger Zones avoided, again (dash line channel below). 19,300 1st Short Zone, NAZ staying under or hitting with rejection may send it back for retest of DZ. 1,000 point days, we can be there by morning. Upper yellow bullseye may be for the Friday-Monday Long play should we pass 19,300. Seems manufactured a bit. Still viewing as insignificant noise/churn until we retest below hard and hold.
Nasdaq - $2,000+ In 30 Mins Utilising Fair Value Gaps17/4/25 - Same strategy, different day guys!
It would be a lie if I told you it was a easy day today because it wasn't!
After a few small losses, I managed to take some meat off the bone with net profits totalling over $2,000 within the space of 30 mins.
Nasdaq (NQM) - Best Time To Buy Nasdaq?After a successful run from September 2022, making more than 110% up to the beginning stages of 2025, Nasdaq has successfully made holders over the past few years richer than those who decided to invest in a random meme coin and what we have been seeing over the past months is a decline close to 30% which is miniscule in the grand scheme of the bull trend.
Could the market continue to trade lower? Possibly but if you learn the skills necessary to hedge your portfolio by shorting the market, its a win win scenario!
NQ Range (04-17-25)NAZ with some major help from the final 30 minute (Close) and Overnight as we see the 500 point retracement. Next play is with the extended weekend and the lift may continue. Big bounce (U turn) off KL 18,300 or Danger Zone, the lift comes when? The final minutes and O/N. Holiday volume next, Long may be the play should the Pump/Dump not show up or the NAZ can stay above KL 18,715.
IDS view below.
NQ UpdateLooks like the EOD pump might be a setup for the ECB meeting tomorrow morning. Did not play it because my indicators did not hit oversold. Taking the patient approach and just waiting for a good play.
I did get into sold gold though this morning. They way they're pumping gold, the dollar index won't matter as much, lol.
NASDAQ 100 Elliott Wave Update – Wave (5) in Play?CME_MINI:NQ1!
📊 NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures – Elliott Wave Analysis
🗓️ Weekly Chart – April 2025
The NASDAQ 100 appears to have completed an ABC corrective pattern, marking the end of wave (4). A bullish move toward wave (5) is now projected, with a potential target zone highlighted in yellow:
🎯 Target 1: 32,291 (100% extension)
🎯 Target 2: 38,678 (127% extension)
This zone marks the Fibonacci projection for the fifth wave, based on the Elliott Wave principle. The bullish structure remains valid as long as the key support at 16,551 holds.
🔎 Key things to watch:
Confirmation of a reversal at wave (C) low
Increasing volume on upward moves
Momentum indicators like RSI / MACD
NQ Short (04-16-25)Staying with the Short, NAZ with a Gap up and a Gap down move in the off session (very little in the Reg). When the moves in the markets seem manufactured and happen in the O/N or off session, look Short. Looks like 18,400-300 is the Danger Zone here and below could be the express way lower. Should we get there, look Long 1st as the will U Turn it away (Gap, off session, Holiday, Dead Zone or any low volume period).
nasdaq rallies to 32kgood morning,
i don’t usually post publicly, especially not about the stock market, but today feels like the right moment. i wanted to share my updated outlook for the nasdaq over the next year or so.
this was originally a member-only idea i shared back in september. you can check out the original post here:
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the whole idea was based on a leading diagonal pattern, followed by a sharp wave 2 that resets sentiment and shakes out early optimism. this kind of move tends to scare most people out before the real run begins. from there, the setup calls for a parabolic wave 3 that carries us all the way to the grand cycle wave 5 target, around 32k (chart attached)
👇
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the reason behind this move is actually pretty straightforward... a short squeeze into the end of the cycle, a weakening dollar, falling interest rates, looser tariff policy, and everyone’s favorite fuel: quantitative easing. while rates haven’t fallen yet and tariff policies are still tight, major shifts are on the horizon. i believe those shifts will trigger a parabolic rally.
and there’s one more catalyst behind this push, the ai boom. i believe artificial general intelligence will be cracked before the year is over, and the market is already beginning to price that in, starting now.
🌙