US Market Reversal EmergedLast Friday marked the final trading day of February. I always take the opportunity to analyze the monthly chart closely.
We saw an inverted hammer. From the cash chart, clearly, we can see the inverted hammer. Beyond that, it also appears to be a potential double top for the Nasdaq.
E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Ticker: NQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $5.00
Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options
Ticker: MNQ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
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NQ1! trade ideas
NQ Range (03-03-25)The NAZ did hit the 20,695 "Turd" Target in last week's Post. Nearly a 2,000 point drop when you look at 2/21 (Friday) to the low of 2/28 (Friday). From late Friday we have a 500 point move up (normal), need to see if the Monday Long push (2nd half of typical Friday) takes place.
NAZ is falling in a Diablo, Yellow arrows are KL's (long to and short from), Whites are short to and long from. NAZ is basically range bound and will need a Black Swan type action to get it anywhere close to any white arrows below. BTD/FOMO & Go O/N Rig Team. The Overnight price action and range should be primary and trend up. for now the O/N is still The BOSS.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/5/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 20595.25
- PR Low: 20531.75
- NZ Spread: 142.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Heavy swings previous session but closed practically unchanged
- Clearing key long-term zones between 20900 to 20672
- Advertising rotation to 20800 off 20000 to 20200 inventory
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 3/5)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 434.50
- Volume: 44K
- Open Int: 287K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -8.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
MNQLooking at MNQ on the 30m time frame we can see that price has changed to a bullish bias and has now been surfing above the 5ema and the 10ema.
During NY session tomorrow 3/5/25 I want to see bullish price action above the 20324.00 area and see some opportunities develop inside the 30m time frame like the 5m and 1m.
I am BULLISH on MNQ!
Elliott Wave View: Nasdaq (NQ) Has Reached Support AreaNasdaq (NQ) has reached the extreme area from 12.16.2024 peak and thus the Index may see support soon for a 3 waves rally at least. Near term, decline from 2.18.2025 peak is in progress as a 5 waves diagonal. Down from 2.18.2025 peak, wave 1 ended at 22102.75 and wave 2 rally ended at 22299.75. The Index then nested lower in wave 3. Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 21951 and wave ((ii)) ended at 22245.5. The Index extended lower in wave ((iii)) towards 21652.75 and wave ((iv)) ended at 21813. Final wave ((v)) lower ended at 20990 which completed wave 3 in higher degree.
Wave 4 rally ended at 21409.25. Final wave 5 lower ended at 20460.5 which completed wave (1) of ((C)) in higher degree. Rally in wave (2) ended at 21123.53 and wave (3) lower ended at 20075.25. Rally in wave (4) is proposed complete at 20732.5. Near term, as far as pivot at 21123.53 high stays intact, expect the Index to extend lower in wave (5). The extreme area from 12.16.2024 peak comes at 19452 – 20543 where the current decline can end and the Index can see support.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower as market volatility increased due to tariff concerns. Although the index dropped below the 240-day moving average, it formed a lower wick, indicating an attempt to establish a short-term bottom. On continuous futures, the 240-day MA is slightly below 20,000, meaning that the 20,100–20,000 zone is a key support area where a technical rebound is likely following the recent sharp decline. If the market falls into this zone, it could present a swing buying opportunity. Since the daily MACD and signal line are dropping steeply, a sideways consolidation period may be necessary to reduce their angle and separation before further directional movement.
Given that the Nasdaq rebounded strongly after forming a lower wick yesterday, a pullback in pre-market trading could provide a buy-the-dip opportunity. Additionally, potential bullish catalysts include today’s ADP Non-Farm Employment data and Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll report.
On the 240-minute chart, the index is forming a bullish divergence and attempting a golden cross, reinforcing the buy-the-dip strategy at current levels. Therefore, chasing shorts is not advisable, as the Nasdaq has entered a more attractive buying zone. A range-trading approach remains effective, with a preference for buying near support.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower, finding support near previous demand zones. Despite the continued downtrend, the $66–67 range remains a strong support area, making it a potential rebound zone for technical buyers. However, on the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are sloping downward sharply, meaning that selling pressure could intensify further. Long positions should be initiated as close to the lower support zone as possible.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed another bearish crossover, confirming strong selling momentum. However, when compared to the previous MACD level near $68.50, price has declined further, but the MACD has not dropped as low, suggesting a potential bullish divergence. Since this zone has historically acted as strong support, a buy-the-dip strategy remains preferable, but traders should remain cautious of today’s Crude Oil Inventory report, which could lead to increased volatility.
Gold
Gold closed higher, successfully rebounding from support. Yesterday, gold reached the previously projected target of 2,925, aligning with the 240-day moving average characteristics.
If gold continues higher, the 2,940 level will act as resistance, as this is a previous supply zone on the daily chart. Therefore, further upside should be monitored carefully before making new decisions. Since the daily MACD and signal line remain widely separated, this is not an ideal condition for chasing long positions. Even if gold extends its rally, a pullback is likely, making buying dips a safer approach.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD formed a golden cross, leading to a sharp rally. As expected, price reached the 60-day MA following the 240-day MA bounce. However, while the MACD has moved above zero, the signal line is still below zero, meaning that another corrective phase could occur before further upside. Additionally, there is a possibility that gold could revisit the 2,850 support zone to form a double-bottom structure, making buying dips a better strategy than chasing breakouts. Overall, a range-trading strategy—buying low and selling high—remains effective, and today’s ADP Non-Farm Employment data could introduce market volatility.
As market conditions shift, risk management remains crucial. Stay disciplined, adapt to volatility, and trade with confidence. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
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NQ_Daily time frame_Bullish_+15,000 TicksNQ Daily time frame is in an up trend, making higher
highs and higher low. The market is starting to bounce
bullish off the daily up trend line. There is an up
Fibonacci with an extension price point 24662.25
about +15,948 ticks above the market. It will be a
good idea to turn to the one hour time frame and look
for long ideas in the buy zone towards the daily up
trend line.
Understanding the MACD Indicator The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is one of the most widely used technical indicators, helping traders identify trend direction, momentum shifts, and potential buy/sell signals.
How the MACD Works:
📌 MACD Line (Blue): The difference between the 12-period EMA and the 26-period EMA.
📌 Signal Line (Orange): A 9-period EMA of the MACD line, smoothing out signals.
📌 Histogram: Measures the difference between the MACD and Signal Line, visually representing momentum.
How to Use It for Trading:
- Bullish Crossover: When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line, it indicates a potential buying opportunity.
- Bearish Crossover: When the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line, it signals a potential selling opportunity.
- Divergences: If price action moves opposite to MACD, it can indicate trend exhaustion and potential reversals.
- Histogram Strength: Expanding bars suggest strong momentum, while contracting bars indicate weakening trends.
MACD in Action (Chart Above)
In this NASDAQ 100 chart, we see a clear bearish crossover followed by strong downward momentum. The histogram confirms the selling pressure, aligning with the price drop.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 03/04/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 03/04/2025
📈20420 20520 20610
📉20230 20140 20045
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
3/4/2025 NQ Trade Ideas and ConceptsJust sharing some ideas and trade concepts with you guys on why I see what I see. I hope you guys enjoy it.
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 20557.75
- PR Low: 20490.00
- NZ Spread: 151.25
No key scheduled economic events
Friday range supply sweep, placing auction at the lows of previous 2 sessions
- Rotating off 20400 inventory
- Advertising continued selling into new week lows
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 3/4)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 418.05
- Volume: 52K
- Open Int: 287K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -8.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NASDAQ: Bearish Engulfing PatternWhat is a bearish engulfing?
A bearish engulfing pattern, which is a technical chart pattern that indicates that lower prices are on the way. The pattern consists of an up candlestick (white or green) followed by a big down candlestick (black or red) that eclipses or "engulfs" the smaller up candle.
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and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations.
Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed sharply lower, rejecting resistance at the lower boundary of its previous range and dropping to the 240-day moving average. Testing the 240-day MA was an expected technical move, and after facing resistance at the 120-day MA, the index retested the 20,300–20,500 zone. This price action has formed the head of a head-and-shoulders pattern, making it crucial to watch for potential rebound attempts. However, since both the MACD and signal line have moved below the zero line, the market remains in a confirmed downtrend, making selling into rallies the preferred strategy.
As mentioned previously, if the Nasdaq finds support near the 240-day MA, a technical rebound toward the 60-day MA remains possible, as per moving average behavior. On the 240-minute chart, the index is holding support between 20,300–20,500 and still maintaining a golden cross. If the MACD avoids a bearish crossover with the signal line, the likelihood of a rebound increases, making buying near support a reasonable approach. However, the previous range low near 21,000–21,100 will likely act as strong resistance, making selling into rallies favorable. While no major economic reports are scheduled today, market volatility could increase due to comments from President Trump, so traders should maintain strict risk management.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower following news that OPEC+ plans to increase production. On the daily chart, both the MACD and signal line are sloping downward, confirming a gradual downtrend. However, the $66–67 zone remains a strong support level, while the $70.50 level is the key resistance to watch. For now, trading within the range is the most effective strategy. If oil fails to stage a recovery this week, the weekly chart could confirm a sell signal, reinforcing further downside risk.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed another bearish crossover, suggesting that selling pressure is continuing. Instead of chasing shorts, traders should wait for a pullback to support near $66–67 and consider buying on dips. Given that market flows remain mixed, oil is likely to trade sideways, making range-bound trading the most effective approach for now.
Gold
Gold closed higher, finding support near previous highs. On the daily chart, the index rebounded to the 5-day moving average, and since both the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buying pressure remains intact. However, given the wide gap between the MACD and the signal line, even if gold continues higher, it may face another pullback, making chasing long positions risky. On the weekly chart, the bullish trend remains intact, but since gold is now approaching the 5-week moving average, breaking above resistance may take time.
On the 240-minute chart, a strong rebound emerged from the previous resistance zone, which aligns with the 240-day MA. The MACD has also formed a golden cross, meaning that if the uptrend continues, price targets could extend toward the 60-period MA on the 240-minute chart, potentially reaching the 2,925 area. However, since this initial move is a single-bottom formation, the market could attempt to form a double-bottom before continuing higher, making buying at lower levels more favorable. Gold could also enter a consolidation phase ahead of Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, so traders should anticipate range-bound price action.
Risk management remains key, and I sincerely hope that March brings strong trading opportunities for all of you. Wishing you a successful trading day!
If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
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NASDAQ FUTURES Chart Fibonacci Analysis 030325Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 20331/61.80%
Chart time frame: B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NASDAQ FUTURES Chart Fibonacci Analysis 030325Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 20331/61.80%
Chart time frame: C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Third time, will it hold off again, as history repeatsAt this point, with market volatility, the selloff, looking likely to end even if temporarily with market indicators, looks like a swing for a few hundred, if not more, to the upside, certainly has a tenancy of being bought at higher levels at this mark.