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NQ1! trade ideas

NQ: 145th trading session - recapI actually was able to trade today, that is definitely cool. I took a trade today, loss. I'm not discouraged in the slightest tho, that's what trading is about. The idea behind it was really good. The only problem I'm facing rn is that I entered early (not necessarily bad) because price was pushing up really high. This could actually be done in future trades, I just need to define a clearer approach to that then, like how much time for a 1min candle can be left, what if the close looks really ugly etc. etc.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by GRBmlr
Mastering Candlestick Patterns for better trades!Candlestick patterns are a powerful tool for identifying market sentiment and potential reversals. Let's break down some key single and double candlestick formations seen in this chart: 🕯️Single Candlestick Patterns: - Doji – Represents indecision in the market, signaling a potential reversal. - Inverted Hammer – A bullish reversal pattern after a downtrend, indicating buyers are stepping in. - Long-Legged Doji – Suggests market uncertainty; watch for confirmation before taking a position. - Bearish Closing Marubozu – A strong bearish signal showing sellers' dominance, with no upper wick. - Bullish Opening Marubozu – A strong bullish candle with no lower wick, signaling a potential uptrend. 🕯️Double Candlestick Patterns: - Bullish Engulfing – A strong bullish reversal pattern where the green candle fully engulfs the previous red candle, signaling buying pressure. - Bullish Harami – A potential trend reversal where a small green candle is "inside" the previous large red candle, indicating a slowdown in selling. - Cross Doji – Suggests hesitation between buyers and sellers, often appearing before a reversal. How to Use Them in Trading? ✔️ Combine candlestick patterns with indicators like RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages for stronger confirmations. ✔️ Look for patterns near key support and resistance levels to increase reliability. ✔️ Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SmartSignalss
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/26/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21240.75 - PR Low: 21210.00 - NZ Spread: 68.75 Key scheduled economic events: 10:00 | Crude Oil Inventories - New Home Sales Continuing strong value decline to 21000 long-term inventory - Pivot off previous session close, retracing 50% to 21300 - Maintaining inventory low range of previous 3 months Session Open Stats (As of 1:05 AM 2/26) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 357.48 - Volume: 23K - Open Int: 287K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -5.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by mv3trader5
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower, continuing its selling pressure. The index quickly dropped to the lower boundary of a large range, touching the 120-day moving average. The daily MACD has formed a bearish crossover with the signal line, confirming the downtrend, and the index has now reached a potential support zone near previous lows. Yesterday provided a short opportunity at the 5-day moving average, and since there was no meaningful rebound, the gap between price and the 5-day MA has widened significantly. This suggests that a short-term technical bounce could occur based on intraday movements. However, given the strong selling momentum on the daily chart, even if the market consolidates for a few days, further downside remains likely. If considering long positions, strict stop-loss management is essential. On the 240-minute chart, selling pressure continues to dominate, with both the MACD and signal line dropping sharply below the zero line. Comparing this to past price action near 20,763, the current MACD decline is even steeper, meaning that even if a short-term bounce occurs, the MACD is unlikely to recover back above zero easily. Overall, selling into rallies remains the preferred strategy, but traders should watch for intraday bottoming signals, as a bounce toward the 5-day MA is possible. Crude Oil Crude oil closed lower, weighed down by concerns over slowing consumer demand. On the daily chart, the sell signal remained intact, and the break below $70 has now confirmed a potential breakdown. Since $70 had been a key support/resistance level, the break below it suggests further downside risk. Today, a shorting opportunity may arise at the 3-day moving average, in line with technical retracement principles. However, the $66–67 range remains a strong support zone, so traders should monitor whether selling pressure is strong enough to push prices below this area. Since the MACD is turning sharply downward, and price action is forming a large bearish candle, the best strategy remains shorting into rallies near the 3-day MA. On the 240-minute chart, a third bearish wave has developed, leading to an accelerated decline. Aside from potential buying at key support levels on the daily chart, selling into rallies remains the most favorable approach. Given that inventory data will be released today, traders should be cautious of increased volatility. Gold Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle as the Consumer Confidence Index fell. Yesterday, gold was at a crossroads between a buy and sell signal, and with this bearish breakout, the sell signal is now confirmed. For now, gold is likely to trade within a broad range, as the daily MACD and signal line remain widely separated from the zero line. This suggests that while further downside is possible, periodic rebounds should also be expected. Since gold has now fallen below the 10-day moving average and reached the 20-day MA, traders should treat the 3-day, 5-day, and 10-day MAs as key resistance levels, while the 20-day, 30-day, and 60-day MAs serve as support levels. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped below zero, with the signal line following downward. This reinforces a range-bound trading strategy, focusing on buying at major support levels while keeping in mind potential rebounds. By analyzing the daily candles, traders can identify potential future scenarios for Nasdaq, oil, and gold. This is why daily and intraday technical analysis is essential. Additionally, NVIDIA’s earnings report will be released tonight, which could introduce further market volatility. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading day! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
The Bearish Pennant – A powerful continuation pattern!The Bearish Pennant is a classic continuation pattern that signals the market is likely to resume its downtrend after a short consolidation. It consists of two key components: 🔻 The Flagpole – A strong, impulsive move downward, indicating high selling pressure. 🔻 The Pennant – A brief consolidation with lower highs and higher lows, forming a small symmetrical triangle. This represents a temporary pause before the next leg down. How to trade it? 1- Identify a sharp downward move (the flagpole). 2- Wait for price consolidation within the pennant. 3- A breakout below the pennant’s lower trendline confirms continuation. 4- Target = The length of the flagpole projected downward from the breakout point. Why does this happen? After a strong downward move, some traders take profits, causing consolidation. However, when sellers regain control, the trend resumes with force, leading to another leg down. ⚠️ Pro Tip: Look for increasing volume on the breakdown to confirm the move!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by SmartSignalss
Brace for Impact: NQ’s 15% Plunge AheadAgainst the backdrop of current market conditions and based on the collected indicators, the situation for the NQ index appears rather unfavorable. If the price fails to hold above the 21850 level in the near term, there is a high probability of a scenario where the current price declines by 15%. This forecast is based on a comprehensive analysis that includes both technical and fundamental indicators. Considering the possibility of further decline, I have decided to hold a short position, distributing profit targets to optimize risk. The strategy involves setting a stop-loss at 21860, which will help mitigate potential losses in the event of an unexpected market reversal. The profit target levels are broken down into several stages: Take 1: 20900 Take 2: 20150 Take 3: 18500 Current data indicate the realism of this scenario, and therefore it is crucial to closely monitor market behavior, especially around the key level of 21850. Should that level be breached, the short-term decline may materialize faster than expected, making this trading idea particularly attractive for a short strategy. Always remember the importance of risk management and regularly reviewing positions in response to market changes.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Darvas_UA
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21453.75 - PR Low: 21366.50 - NZ Spread: 195.25 Key scheduled economic events: 10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence Value decline below daily Keltner average cloud to 21415 pivot - Rotating back above previous session close, same as the low - Quick dip into 21400 supply zone Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 2/25) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 351.43 - Volume: 44K - Open Int: 287K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -4.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025
by mv3trader5
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower following news that Microsoft is reducing its data center leasing. This week, the weekly chart suggests strong selling pressure, meaning long positions should be approached with caution. On the daily chart, yesterday’s bearish candle confirmed the MACD sell signal, though the signal line remains above the zero line. In a broader context, a potential bounce could occur near key technical levels, including the lower Bollinger Band, 120-day moving average, and previous resistance zones. Two days ago, a large bearish candle formed, and yesterday’s price action provided an opportunity to sell at the 3-day moving average. However, the market failed to test the 3-day MA during pre-market, leading to a false impression that the daily close was rejected at resistance. This illustrates how a daily close can sometimes be misleading, reinforcing the need to plan for alternative scenarios. Since selling was executed at the 3-day MA yesterday, today’s key resistance level shifts to the 5-day moving average. Given the wide gap between price and the 5-day MA, a short-term rebound toward this level is possible. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line have moved below the zero line, confirming continued selling pressure. However, since the Nasdaq has now entered a key support zone from a previous range, a short-term bounce toward the 5-day MA is possible. Traders should be cautious with short positions and focus on range-bound strategies rather than chasing downside momentum. Crude Oil Crude oil gapped down but managed to close higher. Despite the ongoing MACD sell signal on the daily chart, oil held above the key $70 support level. This week’s weekly close is critical—if oil can end the week with a bullish candle, it could set the stage for a potential reversal. Holding above $70 remains the key technical factor, as a breakdown below this level would signal further downside. On the daily chart, if the market fails to extend lower and instead rebounds, a MACD double-bottom pattern could develop, reinforcing potential upside momentum. However, since market flows remain mixed, it is best to treat oil as range-bound until a decisive break occurs. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line are below the zero line, but price action is attempting a temporary rebound. While selling into rallies remains the preferred approach, traders should be cautious of event-driven volatility, as news developments could trigger sudden moves. The $70 level remains the key downside level to monitor—if it breaks, selling pressure could intensify. Risk management is crucial when taking long positions. Gold Gold briefly made new highs before closing flat within its range. On the daily chart, the buy signal remains intact, but today’s session will be crucial in determining whether gold can sustain its momentum or enter a consolidation phase. The key factor to watch is whether gold finds support at the signal line and continues higher or if a bearish crossover forms, leading to a range-bound correction. On the 240-minute chart, a bullish MACD crossover has occurred, but for the uptrend to be confirmed, a strong breakout candle is needed. Without a significant bullish move, gold risks forming a bearish divergence, meaning that even if price breaks to new highs, the MACD may fail to confirm the move. Since market flows remain mixed, a range-trading approach remains most effective, with a focus on buying at strong support levels and avoiding breakout trades. Traders should remain flexible and manage risk carefully, as both upside and downside scenarios remain open. Looking at VIX futures, a strong buy signal has emerged at the zero level. Historically, VIX buy signals near zero tend to generate large price swings, suggesting that Nasdaq volatility may increase significantly. This increases the likelihood of a sharp correction, making risk management a top priority. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀 If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
2025-02-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bears have turned 21650 (last weeks low) resistance, which is a huge sign of strength. Their problem is, that they could not break below the previous bear trend line and as long as that holds, we could have another bounce from 21400 up to 500 or 600. It’s a clear bear wedge and I think the next push down would bring us much closer to the bull trend line around 21200. For now I still don’t have any confidence in the bears to make new lows below 20900. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21000 - 21700 bull case: Bulls bought the dip but it keeps dipping. They failed to get above Friday’s low 21650 and after 2h of trying bulls gave up and we closed at new lows. Bulls now need to keep the bear wedge alive and buy 21400 to test back up to 21500 or 600. Market is respecting the trend lines and 1h ema. So don’t bet on a breakout of either. Wait for it to happen and tag along. Bulls can only turn this neutral with consecutive 1h closes above the 20ema. Invalidation is below 21300. bear case: Bears did amazing, which is surprising to me. They have no erased 2 weeks of gains in 3 days. Interesting to say the least. Lower targets are 21200, followed by 21000 and 20940. The bear wedge is valid until broken and I wait for the Globex open to see if bulls buy 21400 or bears want blood. I do think it’s more reasonable to expect the trend lines to hold and chop some up to at least 21500 and getting closer to the 1h ema before we can have a third leg down. Invalidation is above 21700. short term: Bearish near the 1h 20ema or upper bear wedge line. Would be amazing to see 21000 this week but for now I still have doubts. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-23: Neutral since we are in a 4-5 month trading range. Still leaning heavily bearish for this year but for now it’s sideways until we get consecutive daily closes below 20000. trade of the day: Buying the Globex open obviously and then shorting 21600 once we broke below the 15m ema again at bar 52 or 53.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds