NQ1! trade ideas
Monday hitter NQ1!Hey took a little break but I’m back with the end of the month Monday Mark up. Playing a little safe and marking in up both a buy a sell. As of now there is a head and shoulder developing and I’m looking for it to be a sell. SL is at $250 and I’ve set 4 TP. Good luck and always remember to follow your trading plan and take proper risk management.
NQ1! H1: Sustaining the Uptrend - Support Areas in FocusOverall Trend: The price of NQ1! is clearly in an ascending channel (or parallel channel), signifying a robust uptrend over the observed period. This suggests sustained buying pressure and higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel (Dynamic Support & Resistance):
The lower trendline of the blue channel has consistently acted as dynamic support. Price has repeatedly bounced off this line upon testing it (highlighted by the light blue oval markers), demonstrating strong buying interest at these levels.
The upper trendline of the channel serves as dynamic resistance, defining the upper boundary of the current bullish movement. Price has approached this line but has not yet shown a clear breakout above it.
Support Levels:
22850 to 22860 (1st Supporting Area): This is identified as the most immediate support zone. The current price (22,862.75) is hovering just above or within this area, indicating it's presently being tested as a potential floor.
22800 to 22820 (Intraday Key Level): Located below the first support, this range represents a significant intraday support level. Should the immediate support fail, this zone would likely be the next area where buyers might step in.
22725 to 22750 (1Hr Support): This is a deeper support level on the 1-hour timeframe, strategically placed near the lower bound of the ascending channel after the June 28th pullback. It suggests a strong historical area of demand or price reversal.
Large Green Shaded Area (Lower Left): This extensive green area at the bottom of the chart represents a broader, long-term support or accumulation zone from which the current uptrend appears to have initiated.
Price Action (Candlesticks):
The prevalence of green candlesticks indicates dominant buying momentum.
The significant red candlestick on June 28th shows a sharp intraday pullback, but the long lower wick suggests that buyers rapidly re-entered the market, pushing the price back up from the lower channel boundary. This rebound reinforces the strength of the dynamic support.
In summary, NQ1! in a clear uptrend, guided by an ascending channel, with distinct horizontal support levels identified that align with historical price action and the channel's dynamic support. The current price is testing an immediate support area.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Prepare for Record-Breaking Momentum- Current Price: $22534.20
- Key Insights: The NASDAQ has been surging to new highs, fueled by strong
contributions from tech leaders such as Nvidia and Meta. While the index
exhibits bullish sentiment, it's hitting overbought conditions, signaling
potential volatility and positioning opportunities for strategic entries on
pullbacks. Seasonal strength could sustain upward movement in the near term.
Long-term investors may consider accumulation near support levels, while
short-term traders should carefully manage risk as the index approaches
resistance.
- Price Targets:
- Next week target 1 (T1): $22,820
- Next week target 2 (T2): $23,100
- Stop level 1 (S1): $22,433
- Stop level 2 (S2): $22,325
- Recent Performance: Over the past week, the NASDAQ gained 4.15%, outperforming
other major indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones. It continues to benefit
from strong momentum in mega-cap technology stocks and semiconductors. The
NASDAQ’s leadership has been supported by impressive gains in Nvidia and AI-
driven sectors, reinforcing its tech-heavy advantage. Smaller-cap indices
lagged behind, showing a divergence that could hint at broader market
hesitation or a rotation in leadership.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight the index's technical patterns, including
overbought RSI levels (above 70) and golden crosses in moving averages,
aligning with historical seasonal trends. While bullish sentiment persists,
overbought conditions may lead to short-term pullbacks. Divergences in major
indices suggest caution, especially with weaker momentum among
semiconductors. Long-term optimism remains, provided demand zones hold firm.
- News Impact: Nvidia continues to drive NASDAQ gains, spurred by its leadership
within the AI and semiconductor sectors. Expansion of 0DTE options for
individual mega-cap stocks could increase trading activity, adding both
opportunities and risks. July’s seasonal tailwinds lend support to the
index’s momentum, but traders should remain vigilant for external events or
corrections.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22842.50
- PR Low: 22751.50
- NZ Spread: 202.75
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Weekend volatility taking auction into new ATHs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/30)
- Session Open ATR: 345.85
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 261K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: +0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
#202526 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Similar to dax and for most other markets. Cash index made a new ath and broke strongly above the trading range. This is W5 which I thought was cut short but I guess not. It’s most likely the end of the trend since the trading range went on for about 6 weeks, which in this case was likely the final flag. Futures could now aim to print 23000 and touch the bull trend line which began in 2021 and went though the ath from 2024-12.
current market cycle: resumption of the bull trend but likely the final flag and we most likely will top out here around/under 23000
key levels for next week: 22000 - 23000
bull case: Bulls printed 5 consecutive bull bars. They are in full control and could pump it to 23000. Purely based on momentum and squeezing shorts. Got nothing else for the bulls.
Invalidation is below 21500
bear case: Bears gave up on Monday and I doubt they want to fight this until we hit the bull trend line or 23000. Most bears will wait for a clear topping sign that bulls are beginning to take bigger profits before they think about shorts. As of now, bears have zero arguments on their side. Only a daily close below 22300 would confirm this bull trap and fake breakout above the bull channel and then we could test down to 21900ish but for now I think it’s most likely we go higher.
Invalidation is above 23100
short term: Neutral. Will only scalp longs on huge momentum and I will only start thinking about shorts once we break below 22300 again.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-29: No change in plans. I expect 20000 to get hit over the next 3 months and maybe 19000 again.
NQ Holding Above Daily Highs – Trend Structure Intact📈 NASDAQ 100 (NQ) – Riding the Trend, Holding Above Key Daily Highs | 4H Chart
NQ remains in a strong uptrend, respecting structure and reclaiming key daily highs going into the final trading days of June.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔼 Price is currently holding above Thursday’s high: 22,740
✅ Strong support formed at Wednesday high: 22,693.25
🔁 Clean reclaim of Tuesday and Wednesday lows — confirming bullish pressure
🔸 Trendline from June 23 low continues to guide the rally
🗓️ Previous Day Levels Providing Structure:
SUN LO / MON LO (~21,550–21,650) → Base of the rally
JUNE 17–21: Price consolidated just below 22,400, forming resistance
JUNE 25: Breakout above Sun/Mon Highs confirmed expansion phase
🧠 Bias & Plan:
Bias: Bullish, as long as price remains above 22,693
🕵️♂️ Watch for reaction around 22,800–22,900 zone (potential exhaustion or continuation)
If we sweep Thursday’s high and shift structure → possible short-term pullback
📌 Summary:
NQ continues to honor the prior week’s highs as new support. The market is trending cleanly with structure, and as long as daily highs hold, the bullish case remains intact.
#NQ100 #NASDAQ #FuturesTrading #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #DailyLevels #PlaymakerTrades
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/26/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22488.25
- PR Low: 22450.25
- NZ Spread: 85.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
GDP
Durable Goods Orders
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 6/26)
- Session Open ATR: 358.17
- Volume: 20K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-06-25 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq e-mini
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Market is leaving behind gaps and breakout prices are tested but we stay above. Also higher highs and higher lows. Max bullish for new ath still.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22300
bull case: Bulls want 23000. They have to keep it above 22400 to keep the max bullish momentum going for tomorrow. Below 22400 we could test down to 22200 before another leg up. Multiple way to draw the trend lines, all are correct until broken. So draw them and watch what market does when it gets near them.
Invalidation is below 22200.
bear case: Bears actually made money selling 22500, which was a surprise to me. Especially that we stay below the open price. Bad session for me today. I still got nothing for the bears until they print below 22200 again. Everything on this chart is bullish. Best bears can hope for is another pullback below 22500 and go sideways.
Invalidation is above 22550.
short term: Max bullish for 22800 or 23000.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-22: Daily close below 21500 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher. Getting into longer term shorts above 21500 seems like the banger trade right now.
trade of the day: Buying the double bottom 22390 or any long close to it. Wasn’t the trade with most profit but the most obvious one.
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22412.00
- PR Low: 22384.50
- NZ Spread: 61.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies
- New Home Sales
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 6/25)
- Session Open ATR: 372.52
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 253K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -1.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nasdaq Deep Bearish RetraceI Think we're going to retrace (potentially deeply) on FED release or just before it to then reverse aggressively higher.
I am considering the current "range" on m15 as re-distribution and expecting lower prices on Fed release or just prior before continuation higher that may be delayed till tomorrow next FED.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/24/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22217.00
- PR Low: 22065.75
- NZ Spread: 337.75
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence
- Fed Chair Powell Testifies
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 6/24)
- Session Open ATR: 384.68
- Volume: 45K
- Open Int: 240K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -2.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-06-23 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Not even the US President joining a war can start the selling. Truly a special time. Above 22130 there is no reason this can’t test 22300 or higher. Market clearly does not care about the event and the pain trade seems up. Can’t hold bearish thoughts after today’s reversals. Very small chance that if we stay below 22130, bears come around and we test down to 21800 or lower.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22300
bull case: Bulls had the following legs up today: 380, 260, 350 points from swing lows to highs. On such a day, this is as bullish as it gets. They now need to print a higher high and then there is no more obvious reason why we can’t test back up to 22300 or higher.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears vanished after the double bottom in the US session and market closed at the high. Which is worst case for bears. Above 21130 they have to cover and I expect an acceleration upwards. If they somehow come around strongly and we go below 21950, then chances are decent that we can test down to 21800 again. Bears need to sell it early tomorrow or the bear trend line is gone and we could go much higher.
Invalidation is above 22130.
short term: Neutral. Only interested in shorts if we stay below 22130. I still think markets are grossly miss-priced and complacent but for now that thesis is wrong.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-22: Daily close below 21500 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher. Getting into longer term shorts above 21500 seems like the banger trade right now.
trade of the day: Buying literally every dip was good.