Trade Management – First Partial at 50% of the TrendIn this video, we’re already inside the 10 AM trade from the previous setup. At this point, we’re up 290 ticks, and we’re managing the position carefully. To mitigate risk, we decided to take our first partial near the 50% retracement of the trend, just in case the price reversed and went against us.
This step allowed us to lock in some profit while still leaving room for the trade to continue in our favor.
Trade Overview:
Profit: +290 ticks
Partial: First partial taken at 50% retracement of the trend
Risk Management: Protecting against potential reversal while staying in the trade.
NQ1! trade ideas
10 AM Trade – Entry After Buy-Side Liquidity ManipulationAfter the 10 AM candle formed, price quickly expanded higher, as we had anticipated, taking out the buy-side liquidity before tapping into a new week opening gap low. Once this manipulation played out, I observed the price action on smaller timeframes, particularly the 1-minute chart, where we saw a bullish break for value gaps. I used this as an inverse setup to enter on the third or fourth candle.
The trade eventually played out, moving lower as expected, setting the stage for further price action that I’ll explain in more detail in the upcoming videos.
Trade Overview:
Entry: After the 10 AM candle, based on a break of a bullish FVGs on the 1-minute
Bias: Anticipating buy-side liquidity manipulation and a move toward lower prices
Execution: Entered on the third or fourth candle, holding for a continuation lower.
Pre-9:45 PMI Trade – Executing the Sell and Managing In this trade, we executed a sell before the Flash PMI at 9:45 AM, following our setup and market analysis. We were in the trade and managed it until we were stopped out, at which point we stayed out of the market until after the PMI release.
Once the 10 AM candle opened, we observed price action closely, waiting for manipulation. Our focus was on potential higher wick manipulation before the actual distribution of the 10 AM candle. This setup provided us with the opportunity to get into the market once the manipulation played out.
Trade Overview:
Entry: Pre-9:45 PMI sell
Exit: Stopped out, then waited for the 10 AM candle manipulation
Bias: Watching for higher wick manipulation and potential distribution after PMI release.
MNQ Trade Setup -- Waiting for Flash PMI ImpactI’m holding off on a re-entry as we approach the Flash PMI at 9:45 AM. My bias is that there’s a potential for price manipulation to push higher above buy-side liquidity, taking out the highs before continuing lower. I’m waiting for the PMI release to confirm this idea and get better clarity on the market direction.
Bias: Expecting a possible manipulation higher to take out buy-side liquidity, followed by a continuation lower.
Waiting for Flash PMI to unfold before making any further decisions.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/22/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21177.00
- PR Low: 21113.75
- NZ Spread: 141.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
09:45| S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Value decline follow-through following morning bull run
- Auction holding at Monday's lows
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 5/22)
- Session Open ATR: 460.09
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 276K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -6.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Supply and Demand Zones 5/21/25 $NQLink to chart: www.tradingview.com
Bearish: If we break Asia Highs and tap into the 15MIN Supply above (even push up to 21300), then a rejection to break lower into 30MIN demand to take PDL of NY session 5/21 and final target of 5/13 NY low at 20972.75.
Bullish: If we break and hold above the 15MIN supply above (and break and retest holding over 21300 12AM London Open from 5/21), then target longs to reclaim target area of ~21415. This target is based on how past price action from 5/15 and 5/19 responded when we reached into the current level we are in, and bounced back TO roughly 21415 before hitting stronger resistance/rejection.
Keeping note that on the 4HR frame we failed to break the 4HR supply above and we just created a new lower low/high now.
Indexes Daily "Slow" Trend anticipationExpecting a Daily slowliness a.k.a. HRLR (ICT Concepts) due to the Bonds decorrelation which is bearish. Once Bonds has reached Sell Side Liquidity Target, acceleration will be seen on Indexes higher. Meanwhile "give and take" is expected on a Daily and 4h basis.
Nasdaq’s Next Move Revealed This Week – Don’t Miss the Breakout Following a strong surge at the start of the trading week, the Nasdaq reached a new high since March 26th. At this juncture, I anticipate a potential pullback before any sustained upward movement. My analysis suggests monitoring for a retracement to the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), where price action will likely provide critical insights. I see two probable scenarios:
1. A move to the NWOG, followed by a strong bounce, potentially targeting a new all-time high, as some market commentators have suggested.
2. A weak reaction at the NWOG, leading to a breakdown below this level, with 16,000 as the next key support target.
This week's price action will be pivotal in determining the Nasdaq's near-term direction. I recommend close observation of these levels and disciplined risk management when positioning for either outcome.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21417.25
- PR Low: 21342.00
- NZ Spread: 168.25
No key scheduled economic events
Maintaining Monday-Friday range, currently back at the lows
- Advertising "indecision"
- Will need to break 21100 to follow through on rollover back to mean
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 5/21)
- Session Open ATR: 460.78
- Volume: 30K
- Open Int: 276K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -5.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-05-20 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears get nothing going. Everything is bought. Do not look for shorts unless you can scalp really well. We have room for 1 more day of chop but ultimately I think we will print 22000, like sp500 wants the 6000+. Bull channel is valid until broken, so look for longs.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21000 - 22000
bull case: Bulls want a new ath and we are high enough, that they could easily get it. As long as we stay above 21200, the bull channel is alive and well and we are making higher highs and higher lows. Don’t need to write more for bulls because they have all the arguments on their side.
Invalidation is below 20100.
bear case: Bears can only join the chat again, once we have a daily close below 21000. This channel upwards is tight. Do not look for shorts.
Invalidation is above 21200ish but real confirmation is only below 21000.
short term: Neutral for another day but when the breakout happens, obviously bullish for 22000 and maybe some more. We have room for one more chop day.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year.
trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. 21400 - 21460 was the main range and both sides made money today. Only real bad trade was shorting below 21400 or buying the Globex high.
MNQ 5.20.25 Trade Management (3)Execution, Risk management and Profit taking shown live in the next 3 posts I am about to share with you guys.
I wanted to use that 4H 10am Low as an entry and we caught it. Now we are watching to see if that was just a manipulation to trade into that bearish FVG I outlined near that Buyside liquidity area we were targetting.
Closing the day out with $110 in profits, Which you will see on Video #3
MNQ 5.20.25 Trade Idea (2)Execution, Risk management and Profit taking shown live in the next 3 posts I am about to share with you guys.
I wanted to use that 4H 10am Low as an entry and we caught it. Now we are watching to see if that was just a manipulation to trade into that bearish FVG I outlined near that Buyside liquidity area we were targetting.
Closing the day out with $110 in profits, Which you will see on Video #3
MNQ 5.20.25 Trade Idea (1)Execution, Risk management and Profit taking shown live in the next 3 posts I am about to share with you guys.
I wanted to use that 4H 10am Low as an entry and we caught it. Now we are watching to see if that was just a manipulation to trade into that bearish FVG I outlined near that Buyside liquidity area we were targetting.
Closing the day out with $110 in profits, Which you will see on Video #3
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21515.00
- PR Low: 21493.00
- NZ Spread: 49.0
No key scheduled economic events
Return to previous week's highs following full supply sweep session
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 5/20)
- Session Open ATR: 479.66
- Volume: 34K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -5.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025.05.20 nasdaq analysisDuring the European session, NASDAQ maintained a downward trend and broke below the 21187 level, as shown here:
This movement suggested a potential shift toward a bearish direction.
However, after that, NASDAQ started forming an upward trend and moved sideways. Eventually, the resistance trendline was broken in the blue box area, which you can see here:
This breakout indicated a short-term trend reversal.
The moment this trend reversal occurred coincided with the U.S. market open, accompanied by a significant surge in trading volume that led to a strong upward move.
At this point, the U.S. session closed with a new high compared to the previous pattern, suggesting that the trend has turned bullish.
However, based on the corrective action seen during the Asian session, it seems that the Asian market is not fully accepting the upward momentum.
Here is the current NASDAQ pattern:
It shows an expanding pennant pattern, with both the highs and lows widening over time.
As of now, it is highly likely that the market will continue to move with volatility in both directions until a decisive breakout occurs.
You can view the current situation in more detail here:
In terms of the upside, even though the price could theoretically reach 22000, it doesn’t hold much significance without confirmation from historical data.
Therefore, I recommend taking buy positions only if the market shows a strong inflection point similar to yesterday’s move.
Even if the recent low of 21112 is broken, the price is still within the expanding pennant pattern, and a rebound remains possible.
A conservative bearish view would only be valid if the price breaks below the previous consolidation area that formed just before the strong rally—specifically the black box range, which is around 20723–20680.
Summary:
There’s a high probability of stop-hunting in the current range.
Whether buying or selling, it's recommended to enter only when a clear setup is provided.
Don’t rely on hope that the price will return to your average entry. If the market chooses a direction during this phase, it could lead to unrecoverable losses.
This could be a highly profitable zone if handled correctly, but trading without conviction is like a drug.
Today is not the only opportunity.
Precision Target Hit—Now, a Critical Retest! What’s Next? Market Recap The price accelerated aggressively, smashing through the target (TP) with pinpoint accuracy. Now, a critical pullback is unfolding—will it set up the next big move or signal a shift in momentum?
What to Watch for Now: Bullish Continuation?
If price stabilizes above a key support zone, it could attract new buyers, fueling another leg higher.
Look for volume confirmation—strong buying activity after the pullback would signal renewed momentum.
Reversal Risk?
A deeper pullback or weakness near key levels could indicate profit-taking or trend exhaustion.
Watch for lower highs—if the price struggles to reclaim previous strength, a shift in market sentiment could be underway.
Key Levels & Strategy Insights Retest Zone: Is this pullback a healthy correction or a sign of sellers stepping in? 📉 Liquidity Areas: Where smart money might enter or exit positions. 📈 Momentum Signals : To gauge strength or weakness in the trend.
Why This Setup Matters:
Helps traders recognize high-probability trade opportunities based on price action and sentiment.
Gives an edge in catching the next major move instead of reacting late.
Adds value by showing how professional traders interpret pullbacks and continuation setups.
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