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NQ1! trade ideas

NQ2025 – Clean Liquidity Sweep & OB Rejection Leads to Trend ConDescription (for the Idea post): NASDAQ Futures (NQ2025) - June 19th Setup Breakdown Market showed textbook Smart Money behavior today. 🔹 Key Highlights: Price swept the Saturday Low and Wednesday Low, triggering sell-side liquidity. Reaction from an old Order Block + Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 21,780. Market Structure Break confirmed the bearish bias. Retest of OB/FVG zone provided a clean low-risk entry. Targets were cleanly delivered into 21,678 and beyond. 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Liquidity Sweep ✅ OB + FVG Rejection ✅ Volume Spike & BOS ✅ Trend aligned with overall bearish bias 📌 Plan Going Forward: I’m watching for retracements to prior support-turned-resistance (21,740–21,780) for potential continuation plays. Will stay bearish unless a CHoCH above 21,800 with volume and bullish structure forms. Comment below with how you traded this setup or how you're managing it!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by PM_TAE
2
Trade Idea: Nasdaq Q2 Premium Rejection | Mother of HTFNQ is showing early signs of macro exhaustion after rallying deep into Q2 premium territory and failing to hold above it. A key swing high was formed on June 13, in perfect confluence with: 🔻 Q2 0.75 level 🟥 Quarterly Premium Zone 📉 Bond market divergence (ZB1! failed to confirm ZF1!/ZN1! strength) 🗣️ (Not a bond expert, just observing behavior) This type of confluence has historically preceded liquidity draws back to EQ or even discount levels. 📐 Levels I’m Watching Q1 Mid (~20,975): Strong magnet if we break lower Q2 EQ (~19,975): Next likely draw if structure shifts MOOD (~21,460): Holding above this pauses deeper sell bias Q2 Premium Zone (22,300–22,500): Rejection zone and CPI swing high (June 11-13) Discount Block (18,300–17,500): Long-term liquidity void if momentum builds ❌ Invalidation NQ reclaims and holds above 22,300–22,500 ⚠️ Disclaimer This is NOT financial advice. All content shared is speculative and intended for educational or entertainment purposes only. Futures trading carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making trading decisions.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Yvan_WWFX
FED Day: NQ Futures planCME_MINI:NQ1! Today is FOMC day; however, there is a larger geopolitical risk looming, along with the trade war and tariffs situation unfolding. Recently, we have noted inflation moving lower, although it is not yet at the FED’s 2% target. Retail sales fell sharply last month. Tariffs have not yet resulted in inflation so far, partly due to the 90-day pause, and with possible extensions, some deals agreed upon, and a framework for others in place, tariff uncertainty has considerably reduced. On the contrary, lower energy prices that supported lower inflation have risen due to ongoing geopolitical issues. Risks remain high for elevated energy prices even if supply and sea routes remain unharmed. In our view, this is due to the fragility of the situation and what it would take to turn the ongoing war into the worst possible outcome. The FED releases their Summary of Economic Projections. Key data points will be inflation and growth projections, along with interest rate projections and any talks about neutral rates and expected cuts, given the bleak global outlook and growth. The FED is otherwise expected to hold rates steady in this meeting. Given this, and what Chair Powell says in the FOMC press conference, their commitment towards driving inflation lower versus maximum employment, risks on the growth and employment side have started to worsen. If rate cut bets are moved forward or if markets price in more rate cuts than currently priced in, we may see equity index futures make further gains. NQ futures are coiling; the yearly VPOC has shifted higher, as we explained in our previous analysis. Today’s meeting may be key for further fuel higher or lower, depending on how it pans out. Market participants are in a wait and see mode. Markets are accepting higher prices and break of balance is key to determine the direction price may be headed in. Until otherwise proven, markets are range bound and mean reverting from June Composite Volume Profile towards monthly VWAP and VPOC.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by EdgeClear
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 21940.50 - PR Low: 21863.00 - NZ Spread: 173.50 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 14:00 | FOMC Economic Projections - FOMC Statement - Fed Interest Rate Decision 14:30 | FOMC Press Conference AMP margins increase to 25% for expected FOMC volatility spike Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/18) - Session Open ATR: 375.35 - Volume: 31K - Open Int: 213K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -3.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Bulls Teasing a Breakout – But Watch That 4H RSI Divergence We’re at a decision point here on NQ. 📌 Bullish case: We’ve got a clean inverse H&S on the 5-min sitting right on the weekly pivot. If we reclaim the daily pivot and the 30-min VWAP (red line), we could get a squeeze toward 21,960, where prior supply sits. 📉 Bearish case: A break below 21,650 cracks the head and confirms downside toward 21,480. ⚠️ Don’t ignore that 4H RSI divergence. Momentum is fading. If buyers want this, they’ve got to show up now. 📊 Timeframes used: 4H: macro momentum divergence 30M: chop zone with directional potential 5M: inverse H&S near key support 1M: low timeframe momentum shift 🔭 Scenarios plotted for both directions. Choose your trigger. #nasdaq #futures #MNQ #tradingstrategy #priceaction #headandshoulders #vwap
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Long
by natron
2025-06-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Big up, big down, big confusion. Market rallies 500 points yesterday and today we get a late bear breakout and close below 22000. Traps on both sides and I am not believing in bear strength what so ever. I see this as a triangle and 22000 is the middle. Chop chop. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21700 - 22300 bull case: Bulls want to stay above 21900 and print a higher low to then re-test 22300. Today they were weak and let the bears close below 22000 which was unexpected, giving yesterday’s bullishness. Tomorrow we have FOMC and I doubt market can move far from 22000 tomorrow. Any longs closer to 21800 make sense. Invalidation is below 21680. bear case: Bears left behind a gap up to 22015 but I doubt it can stay open. We have to decent trend lines below us and bears would need to break strongly below 21900 to try and go for 800 or even 700. Bears do not have any arguments to go below 21700 so I won’t make up any. That doesn’t mean it can not happen but it’s unlikely. Invalidation is above 22230. short term: Completely neutral around 22000. Only interested in longs below 21900 and shorts closer to 22100. medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-15: Daily close below 21450 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher. trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. Clear range 22000 - 22100 and the late bear breakout was ok if you made your money before. I do think it was unusual that we did not close the gap to y close 22176.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Nasdaq Leading Equities HigherThe equity markets are seeing higher prices today with the Nasdaq leading the way higher trading up near 2.5% on the day while the S&P and Russell both traded over 1% as well. There was steep selling pressure in equities to end the week last Friday due to additional tensions in the Middle East, and the markets are seeing a strong rebound today, especially on the technology front. While the equities were strong today, Crude Oil had the opposite effect, with a strong push higher on Friday and strong selling pressure on the session today trading down near 2.5%. Looking ahead for the week, the big ticket item will be the Fed Meeting and interest rate decision on Wednesday the 18th, where the market is pricing in another pause on interest rates. Looking at the CME Fed Watch Tool, it is pricing in the first rate cut of the year to come in September at a 56% probability, which has continued to get pushed back later into the year with all of the uncertainty and volatility in the market. Traders will be more concerned with Fed Chair Powell’s remarks after the decision about the future plans of the Fed for the remainder of the year. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/ *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by CME_Group
1
Are we about to see historic highs on the markets?Are we about to see historic highs on the markets? In my previous article, I predicted that the trade war would soon be over and that the markets would resume their growth. This is exactly what is happening. I believe that stocks have bottomed out and I am positioning myself very bullishly ahead of the summer. Investors now have the opportunity to buy quality stocks at lower prices and use appropriate tools to make purchases at the right price. Maintaining calm during periods of market turbulence is of paramount importance. The stock market always tends to grow in the long term and, thanks to the intervention of central banks and sometimes governments, manages to overcome moments of deep crisis. This was the case during significant events such as the attack on the Twin Towers in 2001, the Lehman Brothers crisis in 2008, and the Covid period in March 2020. This dynamic is intrinsic to the history of the market itself. If you take a 20- or 30-year view of any major stock index, this trend is visible. Therefore, although recent market declines may appear volatile or steep, they are not particularly serious in the context of the long-term trend, provided you have the time and ability to remain calm while waiting for the situation to stabilize. Immagine These moments can present buying opportunities for high-quality technology stocks that were previously expensive. Despite the uncertainty, there are select opportunities when considering companies that continue to innovate by reinvesting their profits in research. These companies tend to emerge stronger from periods of crisis, especially if they have little debt and a loyal customer base. This is particularly relevant for companies developing artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure, such as Nvidia, Google Alphabet, and Microsoft Corp. Although these companies are not immune to cyclical difficulties, they continue to innovate internally. Some companies, while not distributing dividends to shareholders, reinvest all their profits in equity and technological research. Now we will examine what, in my opinion, is the best index to invest in for the summer. It is well known that one of the Trump administration's main goals is to weaken the dollar, and this dynamic is indeed underway. A weakening dollar has significant effects on American companies, with varying consequences depending on the sector and their exposure to global markets. It is well known that a devaluation of the dollar leads to improved export competitiveness. Companies that sell products abroad benefit from a weaker dollar because their goods become cheaper for foreign customers, increasing demand and profits. This phenomenon favors industries such as technology, aerospace, and agriculture. Immagine The indices we will focus on for the summer are the Nasdaq US TECH 100 and the S&P 500, US 500. Technology companies benefit from a weaker dollar thanks to exports. In general, as I often say, large American companies with strong international revenues tend to benefit from a weak dollar, as foreign revenues increase in value when converted into dollars. It is well known that Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple shares have a significant influence on this index. A weak dollar can boost the profits of companies that generate a substantial portion of their revenues abroad, such as the companies mentioned above. As a result, the rise in these stocks could lead the indices to reach new all-time highs. From a technical standpoint, chart analysis supports my purchases on the major US indices. Recent gains are in fact supported by above-average volumes, and prices remain above the 200-period moving average. In addition, the latest news is positive. As expected, the trade war was short-lived, and the US and Europe have also reached an agreement on 10% tariffs.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Antonio_Ferlito
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/17/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 22177.25 - PR Low: 22065.25 - NZ Spread: 250.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM) Contract rollover week Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/17) - Session Open ATR: 385.81 - Volume: 47K - Open Int: 178K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -3.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5