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NQ1! trade ideas

NQ Bull trap?Is this possibly a bull trap? CME_MINI:NQ1! has reached the first weekly price imbalance created during the downward rebalancing. This is also dangerous territory. There was a slight pull back Friday afternoon right before the closing bell but we wont know for certain until Monday mornings opening Bell. I am still curious to see the opening on Sunday. Things to note or we have been pushing higher without any considerable pullback on the higher time frame let’s take a look …. Daily Chart Intra Day Chart NQ price visibly consolidating right above the Weekly imbalance low. The exit from this consolidation will tell us a lot, until then I wil remain cash or reduce risk dramatically until direction is evident.
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by JP_Tru
2025.05.19 nasdaq analysis🟧 At the close of Friday's session, the daily and weekly candle closed around 21500. However, in the final hour after market close, Nasdaq broke below the orange trendline. Then, at the start of Monday’s session, a sharp gap down occurred. The gap was briefly filled before Nasdaq retested the broken trendline and continued to fall. 🔗 🕒 Nasdaq hasn't confirmed a downtrend yet. The key is whether 21187, which has held since May 13th, will break. If it fails, price may fall below the value area it’s held for a week. Downside targets if 21187 breaks: 21000, 20765. 🔗 🟩 Bullish scenario isn’t dead—this may be a temporary pullback. Key entry signal: Break above the 15-min 20 EMA. Target zones vary by strength: Conservative TP: 30-min 20 EMA Aggressive TP: 21415, possibly even 21500 if today’s high is broken 🔗 📌 Conclusion Monday started with a gap down, but support is still holding. Break below 21187 = potential trend reversal + end of box-range movement. Buy trades should be cautious & short-term until confirmation of strength.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
NQ localI think we have done enough work on the current levels as mentioned in the previous daily analysis, we opened today(on sunday) disrupting the relative equal lows which could be used for accumulation of the buy orders. If so then we would not need to reach out for the sellside marked in the lower part of the current daily ifvg, and we would probably look for higher prices and buyside delivery, in case we break out lower part of the daily ifvg I think we can have the lower prices, where it will balance through the previously left imbalances in the range
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by itismetrading
#202520 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futures Good Day and I hope you are well. comment: The bulls gapped up on Monday’s Globex open and we never looked back. My line in the sand was 20536 and we are now about 1000 points higher. The rally is climactic in a very tight bull channel and those are always unsustainable. We are close to the ath to expect a new one or a retest but I doubt we can get there without at least a couple of days sideways to down movement. If we continue higher from 21500, it will go without me because I don’t think this is a good trade. Bulls should not let the market fall below 20800ish or the trend line breaks and that would decrease the odds of a new ath somewhat. Even if I expect a pullback, I doubt bears will get something big going next week. The rally is too strong to not expect the next pullback to get bought. The only chance bears have to reverse would be a news event and trading on hope is never a good strategy. current market cycle: trading range key levels for next week: 20000 - 22000 bull case: 22000 is the next obvious target for the bulls but I doubt we can get there without some sideways to down movement first. If we print 22000 next week, there is no reason we can’t go for 22500 as well. Bulls have all the arguments on their side right now and the bull channel is clear, so trade it until it is clearly broken. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: Very small chance my wave count is correct and we have seen the high of this move. The two-legged correction with a higher high is the best guess I have for now but I would not initiate trades based on that right now. It helps with expectations but not more. Base assumption is a pullback, more upside and then a stronger reversal over the summer and Q2. As of now, bears have absolutely nothing going for them and you can only think about shorts if you are comfortable with holding through 23300ish because that’s how high I can potentially see it going. I fully expect 19000 to get hit again this year but for now this market is as bullish as it gets. Invalidation is above 21600. short term: Neutral. Expecting a pullback and that will likely be another good long opportunity if nothing changes dramatically. 22000 is the obvious next target. If we get real bad news, we could see a bigger pullback but even then I would expect at least a retest of 21500. medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-11: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish. Now I assume we will be in a trading range 16000 - 23000 for much longer. Same update as for dax, I guess we could go down and sideways over the next weeks/months and then have another squeeze into year end. Stairs up, elevator down.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/16/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 21379.50 - PR Low: 21403.25 - NZ Spread: 53.25 No key scheduled economic events Holding Wednesday range, holding short bias participants hostage - Still advertising rotation below 21200 Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 5/16) - Session Open ATR: 503.83 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -5.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025Short
by mv3trader5
2025.05.16 nasdaq analysis This is the briefing result for Nasdaq as of yesterday. The briefing began during the yellow box phase. At that time, I clearly mentioned that the market had entered a short-term correction phase and emphasized the importance of the 21187 support level marked by the red box. As seen in the chart, the 21187 level was not broken to the downside and instead held as support, followed by a rebound. This reaffirms the significance of the 21187 level. Afterward, the trend continued upward. Looking at the 15-minute chart, there have been consistent lower wicks breaking below support, which decreases the reliability of a short opportunity simply from a trendline break. At this point, the trust in a sell-off purely based on trendline breakdown is weakening. This chart outlines a short-term sell strategy. As previously mentioned, while the short-term uptrend line has become less reliable, if we see a break of the trendline and a drop below 21376, we could expect a pullback toward the blue box area around 21320~21300. Thus, a short-term short strategy may be valid in this scenario. From a daily chart perspective, Nasdaq closed with a green candle again, but the shape of the candle resembles a doji with similar upper and lower wicks. What we need to focus on here is that Nasdaq has re-entered a high-volume price area (supply zone), but since no clear direction has formed, many positions seem to be closed off whenever the price pushes higher. On the downside, since the 21187 support level has held, this remains the most critical level. If 21187 is broken downward, it could mark the beginning of a daily-level correction phase. Conclusion: No clear direction yet. While the direction was upward until yesterday, the doji close suggests caution. For further bullish movement, a confirmed close above the current supply zone is essential. If the market corrects downward, watch for a break below 21187. The current price action is forming a channel pattern with higher lows and higher highs. If traded correctly within this range, good opportunities may arise.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
2025-05-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market is in peak euphoria again but you would be buying at the very top on an Opex Friday. Like… Just dont. Enjoy your weekend. I expect a rather choppy session maybe even a deep pullback rather than closing the week on another green bar. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20600 - 22000 bull case: Bulls want a new ath and we are high enough, that they could easily get it next week. My count was likely wrong and W1 was not the spike from 16735 to 19388 but rather the leg from 17863 to 20277. That means we are in W3 and W4 is around the corner. I have many calculated targets around 23000 and as of now, there is no reason we can not get there. It’s a very tight bull channel upwards. Bears are not doing anything so the path of least resistance is up. Invalidation is below 20100. bear case: Bears need a miracle. That’s it. Best they can maybe get is a pullback to the bull trend line around 20700ish but I highly doubt that. If we print 21000 tomorrow, most bears would be wet and take their profits before letting them see burning away again. My assumption for tomorrow is a choppy session somewhere between 21000 - 21600. Invalidation is above 21600. short term: Neutral. Opex Friday, I made my money this week. Absolutely no need to throw it away tomorrow. Less interest in buying up here but bears are barely making money, so I’d rather sit on hands. medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year. trade of the day: Longing the lower low below 21300 is the obvious choice. Market went sideways to up with higher lows for 4h. There were at least 4 big tails on the 15m chart which told the story.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/15/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 21386.50 - PR Low: 21361.50 - NZ Spread: 56.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - Retail Sales (Core|MoM) - PPI - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 08:40 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks Temp 25% AMP margins increase for Powell expected pre-RTH volatility spike - Extending week highs, holding previous session high - Advertising potential rotation with weekend gap motivation Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 5/15) - Session Open ATR: 515.63 - Volume: 25K - Open Int: 290K - Trend Grade: Bear - From BA ATH: -5.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025Long
by mv3trader5
2025.05.15 Nasdaq analysisHello, this is Greedyallday. It’s been a while since the last update. Today’s analysis is on the NASDAQ. 📈 Daily Chart View: Looking at the NASDAQ on the daily chart: The current price action has entered back into the range that existed from November 2024 to February 2025. This range is approximately 20,790 to 22,430. Although the range is wide, it reflects the strong volatility we’ve recently experienced — making this level of fluctuation reasonable. One key area to observe is the blue box. There were two significant gap-ups, and recent NASDAQ movement consists only of strong bullish candles. So, where could the correction go if it occurs from here? The maximum potential drop appears to be either: 20,763, or Near the May 13, 2025 low of 20,818. Since price has entered a larger daily frame, a correction could potentially push it down toward the lower end of the frame. But considering that 20,818 acted as a recent support level, that area can be used to anticipate the bottom of the correction. 🕒 15-Minute Chart View: On the 15-minute chart: After the weekly close on May 9, 2025, the NASDAQ saw a gap-up, and an upward trend formed — but that trend was broken earlier today. In the short term, we can say a correction trend has begun. However, looking at the yellow box, the price is still making higher lows and higher highs, meaning the market structure remains bullish for now. So, even within this correction, we may continue to see long lower wicks followed by rebounds. If the price breaks below 21,187, that would signal a clear shift into a deeper correction phase. At that point, the previous strong rally from the blue box may be reversed by selling pressure. In that case, the short-term downside targets would be: 20,996, and at most 20,763. 🔍 Summary To summarize: The NASDAQ is currently in an uptrend — making higher lows and higher highs — but we’ve entered a potential correction zone. However, this is not yet a confirmed full correction. We need to wait for a clear break below 21,187 before entering any trades based on that view. 💰 Buy Setup None for now. Despite the ongoing bullish trend, the market keeps setting new highs, making it difficult to find a good entry point. It would be wiser to wait for a clearer correction before considering a long position. 📉 Sell Setup Trigger: Break below 21,187 🎯 Targets: TP1: 21,070 TP2: 21,000 TP3: 20,780 ❌ Stop Loss: Set at around 21,282, which is the level where, if price re-enters the mid-range of the previous bullish frame, the short thesis becomes invalid.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday