Levels for NQ come Sunday / Monday.Plotted from 4 hour candles looking for areas of interest along with 15 min candles. . My personal assumptions to see how my modeling will play out. Not financial advice.
NQ1! trade ideas
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Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Nasdaq futures , printed a cash signal on close of march candle.So I am cash in my trading accounts with exception of my SPY price action trading which works in any condition .
The market Nasdaq futures market has closed under the monthly 20 period ema , I have tested the Dow jones on this logic to 1897 for over 100 years of results and when the market makes closes below I go to cash and wait for a H2 monthly close to get back in . I personally think that this is a very easy way to trade as there is very little user interference its very black and white and if you traded this way on Dow jones from 1987 to now it would have even outperformed buy and hold from 1897 to 2015 (and maybe we will be outperforming soon again too with what the market seems to be threatening ).
The 2X Nasdaq , QLD which from 2023s buy signal to end of last months cash signal yielded 78% return. ( that's what my strat uses instead of QQQ for these signals , note however that TQQQ has too much decay to work well imo)
It's not hard to make money this way , but there is lots of inaction and us humans don't do so well with that . In any case we have a cash signal and now the game is to wait .... possibly quite a while .
Also the Dow , SPY , QQQ and MES , have not quite yet printed sell cash signals so you could argue that they should do this before going to cash but they are all below their sell signals and the market is flashing pretty notable warning signals , So I am cash .
I do plan on continuing my price action trades when I have time it can work in all markets but that is a tiny account in comparison to my monthly signals capital . I mostly do it for fun and experience building and often don't have the time .
Take care and good luck out there .
Thoughts on US equities. Not looking good at all. Expecting more sellside distribution on US equities. We need to go towards any discount levels
Nasdaq ranges to start the yearArea's of interest in the Nasdaq going to be the start of a volatile period for equity markets.
The gap is nearly filled , what next today with Fed and earningsThe gap we have from the weekend and the announcement from Deepseek , we have nearly rebalanced the imbalance.
Today with Fed decision (No rate changed widely expected) but tech heavy earning after the close , today will be the start from something pivotal be prepared.
NQ! Short Idea (MXMM, Quarterly Theory)Dear Traders,
today I present you once again my current idea on the Nasdaq. We have swept a High Liquidity Area marked as my lower HTF PDA. Because of that we might see a stronger Pullback as shown on my Chart.
However, I will still keep my eyes open and wait for the 9:30 (UTC-4) Manipulation to look for a Market Maker Sell Model which I will only consider a after a Pullback into my Key Areas and Price Action showing interests of a bearish continuation.
(09:30 Manipulation, Liquidity Sweep + SMT Divergence, Break Of Structure, Any PD-Array)
Praise be to God
-T-
Bearish PotentialBias: Bearish (Pending Confirmation Post-News)
Higher Timeframe Context (Daily) Wednesday closed bearish –
4H made a lower high, and a bearish engulfing candle after sweeping the previous day high, and MACD turned from bullish momentum after making a higher high showing hidden bearish divergence
Lower Timeframe Breakdown
1hr made a market structure shift after making a higher
MACD made a lower high (bearish divergence), the price closed below Wednesday NY session POC
15M made a lower low + MACD lower low( convergence)
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed sharply lower due to the aftermath of tariff impositions. Following a significant gap-down, the index broke below the lower Bollinger Band, intensifying selling pressure. Yesterday’s bearish candlestick confirmed a sell signal, leading to an expanded third wave of selling. The index has now reached the previous support zone near 18,500, with additional volatility expected due to today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and Fed Chair Powell’s speech.
On the monthly chart, the Nasdaq is forming a lower shadow around the 20-month moving average. Given the sharp decline, if further selling occurs, oversold conditions may trigger a strong rebound, making it risky to chase shorts at this stage. The 240-minute chart also shows a sell signal, with heavy selling pressure continuing. However, this is a risky zone to enter new short positions, so it's advisable to monitor short-term price movements before making a move.
Regardless of whether you take long or short positions, due to high volatility, make sure to set stop-loss levels and adjust leverage to a manageable risk level.
Additionally, the VIX surged, forming a large bullish candle and reaching its March 11 high. With the VIX in an uptrend and a buy signal appearing, further volatility expansion is likely. However, since it has reached a key resistance zone, a short-term pullback in the VIX could allow for a Nasdaq rebound. For the VIX to break above its previous high, a period of consolidation may be necessary. Given the strong buying momentum on both the weekly and monthly charts, this should be taken into consideration when forming a trading strategy.
Crude Oil
Crude oil plunged following the OPEC meeting, where supply increases became a key issue. While oversupply concerns are a factor, the economic slowdown fears from tariffs have also played a major role in the decline. Previously, $68 was considered a strong support level, but oil collapsed from $72 in a steep decline. The final key support lies around $66.
On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are converging near the zero line, suggesting that once a new wave begins, it could lead to a strong trend movement. Depending on today's session and Monday’s market, oil could see an aggressive breakout in either direction. Current candlestick patterns indicate that the weekly chart remains bearish, meaning holding long positions over the weekend carries significant risk.
The 240-minute chart also confirms a strong sell signal, with MACD plummeting. Oil may form a temporary sideways range near the $66 support, but if this level breaks, selling pressure could intensify. Ensure you manage stop-loss risks carefully in case of further downside.
Gold
Gold declined, reacting to fluctuations in the U.S. dollar's value. The price failed to hold above $3,200 and dropped below the 5-day moving average. Gold has been in a one-way trend, so a bullish approach remains valid unless it breaks below the 10-day MA. However, it has now entered a range-bound phase, and MACD on the daily chart is nearing the signal line, suggesting potential downside risks. The MACD failed to break its February highs, increasing the likelihood of divergence, which could trigger a strong correction if selling intensifies. With rising market volatility and today's NFP release, further wild swings in gold prices are expected.
The 240-minute chart has shown a sell signal, leading to a sharp decline. However, the price has found support near a key resistance-turned-support zone. Since the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, gold may continue trading within a range in the short term. On shorter timeframes, candlestick volatility is high, so reducing leverage and widening stop ranges would be a prudent strategy.
During periods of extreme market volatility, technical analysis may become less effective, as market sentiment often overrides chart patterns. As always, trade only within your manageable volatility range. The market is always open, so even if you incur losses, there will always be opportunities to recover. Manage risk wisely, and best of luck with your trades today!
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 18698.00
- PR Low: 18588.25
- NZ Spread: 245.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
11:25 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
AMP margins remains increased but lowered to 25%
- Value decline continues, dipping into 18400s inventory
- Auction holding just below previous session low
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 4/4)
- Session Open ATR: 482.31
- Volume: 48K
- Open Int: 261K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -18.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18106
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-04-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: 18200 is the next huge support and it’s likely that we get there tomorrow and there I would conclude my W3 thesis. Doing another red day into the weekend seems most reasonable because who the duck wants to hold on to longs in the current environment?
current market cycle: strong bear - W3 ongoing - target is 18200ish and W5 should get us to 17500ish
key levels: 18000 - 20100
bull case: Bulls can make money buying new lows on days like today but bears made sure to only print lower highs. For tomorrow bulls can’t expect something different to happen. Best they can hope for is to stay closer to 20000 but I highly doubt that.
Invalidation is below 18100.
bear case: Bears have the 2024-04 and 2024-08 lows in sight and could get there tomorrow. They are in full control if they continue to print lower lows and lower highs. Right now the 1h 20ema is holding like a champ but my drawn bear trend line will most likely have to be adjusted tomorrow before EU open. Every bear who sold the spike down yesterday is betting on a measured move down which is around 17600. Can we get there tomorrow? Very unlikely. This is most likely a spike & channel pattern that started Wednesday and given that tomorrow is the end of the week, I expect market to now go above 19000.
short term: Bearish for 18400 or even 18200. Lower highs have to hold, so no prices above 19000 or market turns a tad more neutral at least on lower time frames. Bulls can only hope for long scalps on new lows and going sideways.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. W3 underway, W5 should get us to my target. If we get there, no matter how dire, you just have to buy some very long term investments there. Odds that Nasdaq will stay below 20000 for the next 5 years are so abysmally low.
trade of the day: Sell anywhere and hold or look which bigger 20ema holds and look for shorts near it. Today it was once again the 1h 20ema.
$NQ_F -- Short Head and Shoulders on WeeklyCME_MINI:NQ1! -- clear as day head and shoulders pattern forming on the Nasdaq Futures Weekly Chart -- getting very close the price range in which it should begin to rebound for a bit and then ultimately continue down.
NQ: 164th trading session - recapTook a loss today, I'm not discouraged or anything: Losses are a part of this game + it wasn't a picture perfect setup either. But I learned that I have to try new things and move on fast, and yes, try new things with my funded account. Yes, real money on the line. Because I know I won't learn otherwise.
If somebody is reading this (I highly doubt it) who hasn't started a funded account but has somewhat of a system: Buy your first funded, you might probably lose but then you'll learn from it. At least a little bit of money is on the line, and trust me - there will never be the perfect moment to start one, do it now.
QUICK TRADE IDEA - NDXGood Morning
NDX Ready to break on the hourly, seeing some rejection off the previous support now resistance still unconfirmed, I have entered a trade with a short stop loss. Looking to get out at the next support but may hold longer.
I will update shortly.
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning,
Hope all is well. Thanks Trumpet :P you have allowed multiple day trade opportunities!
Right now NASDAQ is fighting to get its way through another spot of resistance. If it is able to do so you will see some definite bullish activity throughout the market including the crypto market
Lets see if NASDAQ is able to form a new support and opportunity for a swing trade or will it continue lower.
Thanks
NQ! Short Idea (MXMM, Quarterly Theory)Hello again, once again I publish my current Idea on the Nasdaq. I expect a Bearish Day after a Pullback into a HTD PD-Array.
Following the Market Maker Sell Model and the Quarterly Theory I will look for a short setup in the NY Killzone.
Praise be to God
-T-
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19037.00
- PR Low: 18819.00
- NZ Spread: 487.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
AMP temporarily increased margin requirements to double the standard rate ahead of Trump tariff announcement
- Over 740 point session gap down
- Extreme volatile open aligned with tariff anticipation
- Value decline continues to 18000 inventory following touch and go off daily Keltner average cloud
- Auction rotating back to previous session low
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/3)
- Session Open ATR: 484.77
- Volume: 85K
- Open Int: 249K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -15.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. However, following the announcement of mutual tariffs after the previous session’s close, the index experienced a significant gap-down. On the daily chart, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, generating a sell signal, though confirmation is still pending. If today's session closes with a bearish candle, we must monitor whether this leads to a third wave of selling, signaling further downside.
Due to the gap-down, the price is now significantly distanced from the 3-day and 5-day moving averages (MAs), making it crucial to observe whether the price rebounds intraday or continues to decline further. With the first support level at 19,000 now breached, the next key support is around 18,500. When considering buy positions, it is essential to manage stop-loss risk carefully.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared but is not yet confirmed. If confirmed, it could trigger a third wave of selling pressure, potentially leading to further declines. Given the increased market volatility, a cautious approach is recommended—reducing leverage and only trading at key price levels to minimize potential losses.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher while maintaining a range-bound movement around $72. On the daily chart, the MACD has moved above the signal line and the zero line, establishing a bullish trend. However, following the mutual tariff announcement, the price gapped down, dropping below $70. The strongest support zone lies around $68, making it crucial to observe whether the MACD adjusts and aligns with the signal line before rebounding from this support level to resume the bullish trend.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared, but with multiple support levels nearby and both MACD and the signal line still above the zero line, the market is likely to attempt rebounds. A buy-the-dip approach remains favorable, but caution is necessary given today’s OPEC meeting, which could lead to increased volatility.
Gold
Gold closed higher, finding support at the 5-day MA. Following the mutual tariff announcement, the price initially gapped up to around 3,200, before pulling back. As previously mentioned, the upward target for this wave is around 3,216, with strong buying momentum continuing. On the daily chart, gold is trading between the 5-day MA and the upper Bollinger Band, maintaining a one-way bullish structure.
A bullish strategy remains favorable unless the daily close falls below the 10-day MA. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains above the zero line and previously attempted to break above the signal line but has since pulled back. Since buying momentum is still present, if the price finds support at a key supply zone, another leg higher could occur, potentially triggering a golden cross in the MACD and leading to a third wave of buying pressure.
Short positions should be approached with caution, and given the increased market volatility, risk management is crucial. Whether buying or selling, stop-loss discipline is essential to manage potential risks.
Market volatility has surged since the pre-market session due to Trump’s mutual tariff policies. Volatility is both an opportunity and a risk for traders. Do not let greed lead to losses in a market that doesn’t match your trading style. Adjust position sizes accordingly and only trade within your comfort zone. The market is always open. Do not focus solely on today—take a steady and stable approach to trading.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
NQ Short until 10kIt seems inevitable that we are due. Break of a massive daily trendline, retest during Trumps tariff speech. Back under the trendline. NQ going to 10,000 - get on the train.
NQ Trade 02 April 2025 Demand SetupThis was an explanation to my trade this morning, we won the trade with a 1:3 RR.
NQI have no idea what this market is doing, NQ is overbought on MFI and they're still trying to pump TSLA after bad news, lol.
In any case, I dumped my GLD calls after open, and bought back in after they sold it off to pump the market. Still going with long dated GLD calls, the Asians seemed pretty bullish on gold even if the US market is selling gold futures to buy index futures. Eventually they'll run out of gold futures to sell, lol.
NQ current Maket structure with 4 hour and 1 hour analysis.NQ is currently in a 4 HR range as well as a 1 Hour range, In the higher time frames we are bearish. I Will be scalping the market for buys if we get a MSS at the 1-hour support paired with a BOS and Demand set up. For shorts i will look for a Bearish BOS paired with a supply Order block to enter for shorts targeting a 1:3 RR or prior support/Resistance.
