NQ1! trade ideas
CURRENT DAY TRADE SET UP - NDX/SQQQGood Morning,
Hope all is well. Nasdaq well on its way to an epic bull run. However in between I like to identify some day trades using SQQQ & TQQQ.
Here we see our NAS has broken structure slightly and is looking to go lower to re group before moving higher again.
Waiting for rejection on the SMA line prior to making a move.
Enjoy
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20963.50
- PR Low: 20913.25
- NZ Spread: 112.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | CPI (Core|MoM|YoY)
Weekend gap strongly remains unfilled
- 25% AMP margins increase for expected CPI volatility spike
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 5/13)
- Session Open ATR: 551.55
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 275K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -7.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Two Shots at NQ: Because One's Never EnoughAlright, here’s the game plan – because let’s be honest, the market loves nothing more than pretending to break out, then snapping back just to mess with us.
🔥 The Setup:
I’m eyeing the Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (June 2025), and I’m giving myself two shots at this breakout. Yeah, I know – ambitious. But the market’s been playing hard to get lately, so I’m hedging my enthusiasm.
💡 Why Two Long Entries?
Because, let’s face it, the first entry will probably get stopped out. I like to think of it as a “testing the waters” trade. If it works, great – I’m a genius. If not, well, it was just practice.
First Entry (The Optimist):
I’m jumping in if it breaks out, keeping the stop tight – because nothing says confidence like a cautious stop loss.
Second Entry (The Realist):
If the first entry faceplants, I’ll wait for the market to freak out and then calm down. Then, I’ll slide back in when it looks like it’s actually serious this time.
🧠 Managing the Chaos:
Short-Term Target: The last high – because if it doesn’t clear that, what’s the point?
Long-Term Target: The equal move – assuming the market doesn’t chicken out halfway.
Stop-Loss: Snug and sensible, because I’d rather not watch my account do a disappearing act.
Take profit targets are set where the equal move would complete – assuming the market cooperates for once.
💭 The Thought Process:
I’m not here to pretend I can predict the future – if I could, I’d be on a yacht, not posting on TradingView. But this setup gives me two chances to be right, which is at least one more than usual.
🔥 Your Thoughts?
If you’re also giving your trades a second (or third) chance, drop a comment. Or just let me know how your latest breakout fake-out went – because misery loves company. 😅
Equities Start the Week HigherTrade talks were front and center starting off the week, and the equity markets saw sharp increases with the Nasdaq leading the way higher, being up over 4% on the session with the S&P and Russel also up over 3%. The U.S. and China agreed to a 90-day pause on tariffs, and traders had been waiting for news about this since the initial breakdown in early April. While equities saw gains, the Gold market saw selling pressure being down over 3% today, and now over $200 below the recent all time high.
The CME Fed Watch Tool probabilities have also been changing over the past week, where the July meeting now has a higher probability of another rate pause instead of a rate cut. The market is now pricing in the first rate cut to come at the September meeting at a near 50% probability. Tomorrow traders will see CPI numbers come out, offering data on inflation which could also add volatility to the equity and precious metals markets.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
NQ Range (05-12-25)Looks like it is "Rig in May and go Away". New range to watch would be the white arrow zone between the two orange TL's. The Channel below is a 2 standard deviation, NAZ should return to 19,750-18,750 at some point to retest. Looking for 21,256 to be next upper target for reaction. Flat NAZ YTD may do what, Run up 10-20%? or drop retest lower? Pick one. O/N group and Washington Street are very much in control here.
NASDAQ Harmonic pattern indicating strong bounce incoming.AI vs. Dot-Com Bubble
When drawing parallels between #AI and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, many express concerns that current valuations may be excessively inflated. However, significant differences are apparent.
To begin with, the current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the NASDAQ-100 is approximately 30, whereas during the dot-com bubble, it skyrocketed to 200, with many companies lacking any earnings in sight.
Additionally, the market capitalisation to #GDP ratio reached unprecedented levels in the late 1990s, while today's figures, although still high, are supported by robust earnings and solid cash flows from established business models.
Innovations in AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation have fuelled revenue growth, exemplified by #NVIDIA's data centre sales, which surged 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024, and Microsoft's Azure, which experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in 2024. This surge in productivity is being driven by individuals, businesses, and governments alike.
As a result, major tech firms are making substantial investments in AI research and development, with clear strategies for monetisation.
AI is poised to become a transformative force, akin to the transistor, a groundbreaking invention that scales effectively and permeates various sectors of the economy.
Lastly, the Federal Reserve raised interest #rates to 6.5% to tackle inflation after previously lowering them to address Y2K concerns before the bubble burst in 2000.
In contrast, current expectations suggest that interest rates will stabilise or decrease, which would support valuations.
ChopFlow ATR Scalp Strategy (OBV EMA) on MNQThe ChopFlow ATR Scalp Strategy combines a low choppiness regime filter, on-balance volume with EMA confirmation, and ATR-based exits to capture quick micro-trends on the NASDAQ-100 E-mini (MNQ).
Strategy Logic
1. Choppiness Filter:
-Calculate the Choppiness Index over 14 bars.
- Trade only when chop < 60 (trending or mildly trending market).
2. Order-Flow Confirmation:
- Compute OBV and its 10-period EMA.
- Long when OBV > OBV EMA and chop < threshold.
- Short when OBV < OBV EMA and chop < threshold.
3. ATR-Based Exit:
- Exit at a fixed multiple of ATR (stop and profit target both = 1.5 × ATR).
How to Trade It
1. Confirm time chart with MNQ , preferably1-min chart.
2. Enable only the 17:00–16:00 CME session.
3. Look for low choppiness (< 60), then wait for OBV cross.
4. Enter with one-contract size, tight 1.5× ATR stops/profits.
5. Monitor DOM for liquidity shifts around entry levels.
NASDAQ - Long strategyNASDAQ - Long strategy
After this big impulse is expected a retracement of price.
In this moment there isn't any certains .. we are a boat in Trump sea ..
From technical point of view we can approuch divided entry trade..
By anailys we can have a retracement for wave 4 and after a new long until end of 5 Wave .. ofter this last wave we can have a deep new short wave.
Final targer should be 22500
NASDAQ - continue with the UptrendOn NASDAQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 20150.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
Nasdaq – Daily Breakout Alert!📈 Nasdaq – Daily Breakout Alert!
Wonderful breakout spotted on the Nasdaq Daily Chart after a prolonged consolidation of nearly 2 months. If the price sustains above 19,945 and breaks past the key resistance at 20,060, we could witness the beginning of a fresh rally in the index.
🔍 All eyes now on the price action in this critical zone. Continuation above these levels could trigger strong bullish momentum — assuming no major global turmoil disrupts the setup.
#NASDAQ #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #USMarkets #BullishSignal #ChartWatch #TradingView
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/12/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20474.75
- PR Low: 20376.75
- NZ Spread: 218.75
No key scheduled economic events
Unfilled weekend gap up over 1%
- Gap fills below 20160
- Auction pausing at March 26 pivot
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 5/12)
- Session Open ATR: 551.42
- Volume: 47K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nasdaq 100: Bulls in Control for Now, but Key Hurdles RemainNasdaq 100 futures have gapped higher upon the Asia market open, leaving them sitting above the important 200-day moving average. With momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD generating bullish signals, it’s an environment that favours buying dips and topside breaks.
However, the coast is not entirely clear for bulls with the price struggling to take out the March 28 high of 20,536. The January 2023 uptrend is also nearby, sitting just above 20,600. Zooming out, the price has also been coiling in a rising wedge pattern, warning there may be an eventual resumption of the bearish trend seen between late February and early April.
While some bulls may be willing to buy above the 200-day moving average with a stop beneath for protection, others may prefer to wait for a decisive push above the top of the resistance zone around 20,650 before establishing positions. Topside levels to keep on the radar include 21,000, 21,420 and 21,969.
If the price were to reverse back below the 200-day moving average and close there, it would swing near-term directional risks lower, invalidating the bullish bias.
Good luck!
DS