February trading rule The idea is to grow a small 1200 account strictly trading my setup and see where we get to at the end of February.
This is a transparent journal and I will be sharing my thoughts as i trade.
NQ1! trade ideas
NQ daily mark up 2/6/25She is still going up and open bullish! I’m anticipating a continued buy. Again be careful follow your trading plan!
Set up today for both ways however, please pay attention to the market. SL is wide 130+ points ~ $600 . TP are confirmed with fibs and supports and resistance.
Smart Money Strategy on NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!) - 30-MiInstrument: NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!)
Timeframe: 30-Minute Chart
Trade Type: Long/Short (Based on Smart Money Analysis)
Smart Money Concept:
Institutional Order Flow: Identify areas where institutional traders are likely to enter or exit positions.
Liquidity Zones: Focus on areas of high liquidity where price is likely to react.
Fair Value Gaps:
Gap Identification: Look for gaps between the high of one candle and the low of the next, indicating potential areas of imbalance.
Gap Filling: Anticipate price movement towards filling these gaps as part of the market's natural tendency to seek equilibrium.
Entry Strategy:
Entry Point: Enter the trade when price approaches a fair value gap with confirmation from volume and price action.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss beyond the gap to protect against unexpected moves.
Position Size: Adjust based on risk tolerance and account size.
Current Market Conditions:
Economic Indicators: Consider recent economic data that may influence institutional behavior.
Volume Analysis: Use volume spikes to confirm the presence of Smart Money activity.
Target Profit Strategy:
Target Levels: Set profit targets at key liquidity zones or previous highs/lows.
Trailing Stop: Implement a trailing stop to secure profits as the trade progresses.
Risk Management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 to ensure favorable trade outcomes.
Continuous Monitoring: Stay alert to changes in market conditions and adjust the strategy accordingly.
Conclusion: This trade on the NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!) leverages the Smart Money concept and fair value gaps to identify strategic entry and exit points. By understanding institutional order flow and maintaining disciplined risk management, traders can enhance their trading performance.
indicators are Lux Algo Smart Money Concepts and Orderblocks, and Fair Value Gaps. All by @LuxAlgo_Team
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21775.50
- PR Low: 21749.75
- NZ Spread: 57.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
Holding 1400 point range since late December
- Rotating back towards ATH, advertising potential break above 21970
- Value climbing above previous session high
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 2/6)
- Weekend Gap: -1.72% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 413.33
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Pullback in early AM, 8:30AM NEWS - BULLISHI'm looking at the potential for a pullback to grab some liquidity below. Likely a pullback around London Session. Then I am expecting 8:30am news to be very bullish, regardless of the news outcome, I expect it to fuel the aggressive move higher.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - NFP Week! #S1E4It is very evident that whenever there are indecisions around global trade or policies, the market tends to freeze up and spew out error codes.
From the market opening on Sunday, we have been exposed the the wild, aggressive swings that follows with Trading and many gaps has appear.
Do you think this has anything to do with the decision to pause the tariffs Donald Trump was planning on implementing on Mexico and Canada?
Remember, the tariffs might sound positive for the strength of the dollar but US businesses will have to fork out the extra in logistics and taxes if the tariffs was to go ahead.
How exposed are US consumers to price hikes?
Looking forward to the UK interest rates being released today as well as NFP on friday.
It'll be a WILD ride!
Channel up Technical analysisHere we have a Channel up pattern in which weve been seeing alot with future lately. i definitely would like to play this out. 1. we are currently in a 30 minute supply zone. 2. a break lower up here would signal another bigger timeframe LH.
Thursday Nasdaq Analysis 25.02.06Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today's analysis is focused on the Nasdaq.
Chart Link:
Let’s start by reviewing Wednesday’s briefing.
We entered a buy position after the resistance trendline was broken, with the first entry occurring at the yellow box.
The second entry was made after breaking above the previous high of 21,694.
With the horizontal line set as the target, the price rose about $180 from the first entry, resulting in a $3,600 profit per contract.
As for sell positions, there was no entry since the upward trendline held and no trend reversal occurred.
Chart Link:
Let’s review the daily chart.
The Nasdaq is still consolidating within the pattern.
If this consolidation is broken, we could see a trend reversal, which could further strengthen the upward momentum. However, for now, it seems the price is still moving within the pattern.
Chart Link:
Here’s today’s trading strategy:
Buy Position
No planned entry.
Reason: Although the uptrend is clear, the price is approaching a critical area marked by the black box on the daily chart.
In this area, the price could either break out and then retrace or lead to a trend reversal. It could also continue to gain buying momentum, making this zone highly uncertain. Therefore, no buy signals are planned.
Sell Position
Entry 1: Upon a break below the upward trendline at the orange box.
Reason: The current uptrend has been following a staircase-like expansion pattern, making the timing of a trend reversal uncertain. Thus, we’ll prioritize observing a break below a trendline slightly higher than the previous one.
Entry 2: Upon a break below the upward trendline at the blue box.
Context: The first trendline break and the trendline we've been monitoring since Monday will be critical.
Conclusion
Since the gap down on Monday, the Nasdaq has been continuously rising.
This once again confirms that we should focus on reacting to the charts rather than making premature predictions.
Wishing you all profitable trades today!
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The Nasdaq broke out of its consolidation range and closed higher. On the daily chart, the index had been moving within a box range, with MACD and the Signal line flattening. However, following the breakout, the MACD has resumed its upward trajectory, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend.
With a strong breakout candle in play, the market is likely to maintain a short-term buying trend, centered around the 3-day moving average. While tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report presents potential volatility risks, the overall daily uptrend remains intact.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line have crossed above the zero line, entering bullish territory. While further upside is possible, imbalanced order flow suggests we may see mixed price action, with alternating bullish and bearish candles.
Given the current setup, buying on pullbacks remains the most favorable approach for today.
CRUDE OIL
Oil declined following the crude inventory report. On the daily chart, the price failed to reclaim the 10-day moving average, and the MACD-Signal line spread remains wide, indicating a lack of immediate convergence.
A strong bearish breakout candle has formed, making short positions near the 3-day moving average a preferable strategy for today. However, the $70 level has established itself as a key support zone, meaning that buying opportunities may emerge in this area.
Price action suggests range-bound movement, and for additional downside to materialize, the daily Signal line needs to drop below the zero line. As it remains above zero, a short-term MACD-Signal convergence attempt is likely in the near term, though a direct breakout seems unlikely due to the current wide spread.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has reappeared, driving continued downside pressure. However, if prices avoid a sharp decline, a bullish divergence could form, making chasing shorts at this stage risky.
Additionally, mixed catalysts, including Iran sanctions and increased U.S. oil drilling activity, are creating conflicting momentum, increasing the likelihood of sharp price swings. Stop-loss management is crucial in this environment.
GOLD
Gold closed higher but formed an upper wick, signaling profit-taking at recent highs. On the daily chart, gold broke above $2,900, demonstrating a strong, one-way buying trend.
However, given the sharp rally, this is a high-risk zone for chasing longs, as profit-taking pressure is likely to increase. Since gold has been moving in a stair-step pattern, the best approach is to buy on pullbacks at well-defined support and resistance levels.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is in its third-wave buy phase, maintaining the bullish momentum. Once this third wave completes and the MACD crosses below the Signal line (a death cross), gold may enter a consolidation phase or a corrective move, leading to sideways price action.
Tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is expected to significantly impact gold, increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction.
The optimal approach remains buying on dips, but near $2,900, short positions for range-bound trading should also be considered.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21710 / 21675 / 21620 / 21570 / 21510
-Sell Levels: 21895 / 21935 / 21970 / 22010
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 70.90 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.30
-Sell Levels: 71.65 / 72.10 / 72.60 / 73.20
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2881 / 2875 / 2870 / 2864 / 2859
-Sell Levels: 2896 / 2902 / 2909
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/05/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/05/25
📈21750-21809 ; 21682-21690, 21902-21914
📉21245-21370 ; 21475-21465, 21255-21245
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/04/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/04/25
📈21621.75 ; 21579,75- 21603, 21799.75- 21823
📉21220.75 ; 21163- 21139.75, 20943- 20920
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NQ EQHTargeting EQH from H4 BISI. Bias was bullish with support from HTF PD array. Price manipulated and accumulated before expanding to desired target.
Catching the FOMC buy on MNQ - Leap ChallengeUsing the Paper trading leap account for this, did not want to risk my prop firm account but as we can see we had an extremely profitable day. This happens to me often where I decide not to trade for safety and then the day I decide not to trade is usually my biggest days sometimes. Lol
Anyways, If you guys want me to share and post the execution of this trade, I would really appreciate if you guys could give this post some likes.
Please do follow and subscribe for my MNQ & NQ market insights. I am happy to see you here!
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
Morning mark up for NQ! 2/5/25Hey guys!! Long time no hear from! Back at it marking up in the am since really buckling down on my trades to pass an eval! And you girl has done it! So here is what I have for NQ today. Remember it’s NFP week tread lightly and make calculated entries. I have set up both buy and sell however, I fell like it may come back up and continue to buy only because it opened bullish yesterday evening! But again it is NFP so choose one way or both ways, set your alarms and go for it. I’m set up on supports and resistance confirmed with Fibs in 100R TF. SL is wide so you definitely you can scale down depending on your account size. *this is based on a $250k account with a SL at $600-700.
Again follow your trading plan. Good luck!!
Acw Nas100 Feb analysis We see bullish momentum on the nas100 pair provided the low for Feb isn’t broken in the first week of Feb , this will position nas100 to break the Dec 2025, high and head towards 23900-24000 on or before the 20-24th of Feb . We see price action similar to Feb 2020 and a possible crash based scenario off the 24000 dropping to 17000-19000 mid March / early April 2025 , and a 5 year bull run begins once again
Wednesday Nasdaq Analysis 25.02.05Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Tuesday’s Briefing Results
Chart:
Let's begin by reviewing Tuesday’s briefing results.
On Tuesday, as the price broke above the resistance trendline, our first long entry was taken. A second long entry followed when the price broke above 21600. The target—a horizontal line at 21685—was reached before a correction occurred.
From the entry point, the price rose by approximately $245, yielding a profit of about $4,900 per contract on the long side.
On the sell side, no entry signal was triggered, so no sell position was taken.
Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
Looking at the daily chart, the NASDAQ appears to still be converging within a narrowing range.
The current position seems to be right before a directional decision is made, positioned near the middle of the Ichimoku Cloud. However, this sideways movement may persist, and the longer it continues, the more likely it is that a breakout in either direction could trigger a significant trend reversal.
Key Support and Resistance Zones on the Daily Chart
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
Entry Trigger: Breakout above the purple box at 21200.
Rationale: Rather than trading impulsively, a long entry is recommended based on the possibility of filling the gap if today’s high is broken.
Risk: The overall trend remains bearish.
Sell Perspective:
Entry Trigger:
Option 1: A break of the short-term ascending trendline, or
Option 2: A break below today’s low at 20943.
Rationale:
This signal indicates significant risk and suggests that the market is overheated—possibly nearing a bubble burst.
Risk:
Although the trend is bearish, entering a short position late in the move raises concerns about how far the price may fall. It is advisable to set targets based on major support levels.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is currently in a converging state, and it seems best to trade only when clear breakout signals emerge, while staying on the sidelines in ambiguous zones.
For Buyers: Focus on breakouts above the key levels (21779 and 21812) for potential continuation of the uptrend.
For Sellers: Monitor for a break below the ascending trendline or 20943 to confirm a trend reversal.
Stay patient, watch key levels closely, and trade strategically. Happy trading, and let’s finish the week strong! 🚀
Journey to 53k: Mitigating my losses during London SessionTrading Ideas shared here, with a reversal trade after market decided to manipulate lower to that 50% Bullish FVG level outlined by ICT.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
Journey to 53K: MNQ London Buy IdeaLondon Trade Idea reversal after tapping the FVG pointed out by ICT twice.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
NFP looming - Stuck in the middle
If you cannot define exactly what you are doing in the market—what you’re risking, why you’re entering, and where you’re wrong—then you aren’t trading, you’re guessing. Precision is not optional; it’s the barrier between strategy and self-deception.
📌 Liquidity & Market Structure
Currently, market structure and liquidity are at odds—common behavior leading into major data events like NFP . As liquidity thins, price action can become erratic before the release.
A pennant-like formation is developing, but this isn’t a decisive factor in my approach—it provides context, shaping how I navigate the environment.
These conditions can easily catch traders off guard. Even a well-executed trade can fail if trade context and market context are misaligned.
📌 Important Note:
We may need to come lower on the daily or weekly timeframe to establish liquidity before any sustained move higher. NFP could act as the catalyst for this.
📈 Intraday Volatility Outlook
As volume picks up periodically , we could see strong intraday volatility.
The key question:
🔹 Will we see an early move lower before NFP , followed by a continuation higher?
🔹 Or will the market remain in positioning mode until the release?
🎯 Trading Approach
As traders, our job is to respond, not react. The goal is to adapt to liquidity shifts and execution flow rather than forcing a bias.
⚡ Let’s see how the market unfolds.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/5/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21594.50
- PR Low: 21550.00
- NZ Spread: 99.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Value decline below previous session close, inside the wide overnight range
- Lowest volume of the week, resting above daily Keltner average cloud
- Distant sell liquidity below 21240
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 2/5)
- Weekend Gap: -1.72% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 413.33
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The Nasdaq initially declined in pre-market trading due to escalating tariff tensions between China and the U.S. but ultimately closed higher. A sell signal appeared on the daily chart but was reversed into a buy signal with yesterday’s bullish candle.
This suggests that the market is still moving within a large box range, with moving averages converging. This consolidation phase indicates that a trend expansion phase—marked by a strong bullish or bearish breakout—may emerge soon. Until then, it is best to trade within the range.
On the 240-minute chart, the market has been making stepwise upward movements, with the MACD forming a golden cross over the Signal line. Despite a strong price surge due to divergence, the index has entered a resistance-heavy zone, and liquidity is currently tight, which could lead to frequent sharp fluctuations.
For now, the best strategy is selling near the upper boundary of the range and buying near the lower boundary. Given the ongoing trade tensions under Trump's tariff policies, risk management is crucial—placing stop-loss orders is highly recommended to protect against increased volatility.
OIL
Oil gapped down but found strong support around the $70 level, closing with a bullish candle. News of the U.S. tightening sanctions on Iran initially sent prices down by 3%, but a sharp rebound followed.
While the daily chart still shows a sell signal, the $70 price area has historically provided strong support, as previously emphasized. Thus, the overall strategy should be buying on pullbacks rather than chasing sell positions.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD continues to create bullish divergence, forming a buy signal. This increases the likelihood of further upside movement. However, since the MACD and Signal lines are still below the zero line, further price increases are needed to widen the gap between these indicators and confirm bullish momentum.
Overall, buying on pullbacks remains the preferred strategy, but traders should be cautious of potential volatility spikes due to today’s Crude Oil Inventories report.
GOLD
Gold closed higher, finding support at the 5-day moving average. On the daily chart, as long as the 10-day moving average holds, gold should be viewed from a bullish perspective.
The MACD on the daily chart is trending sharply upward, so until a MACD-Signal line death cross occurs, buying on pullbacks remains the best strategy. Similarly, on the 240-minute chart, the MACD has repeatedly formed golden crosses, reinforcing a strong one-way bullish trend.
From a flow of funds perspective, buying pressure remains strong, so buying dips continues to be the most favorable approach. However, traders should be aware of potential high volatility due to the upcoming ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report today and the Non-Farm Payroll report on Friday. Given gold's recent sharp rally, a major inflection point could emerge, using economic data as a catalyst.
The current market environment is characterized by high volatility and rapid price movements, increasing the likelihood of sudden price swings leading to stop-outs. However, if stop-losses are properly managed, losses can be quickly recovered.
In a highly volatile market, profit opportunities increase, so maintaining strict stop-loss discipline while seeking the next trade opportunity is key to successful trading.
Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21500 / 21425 / 21340 / 21250
-Sell Levels: 21665 / 21735 / 21830 / 21930
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 72.20 / 71.60 / 70.90
-Sell Levels: 73.20 / 73.80 / 74.50
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2864 / 2859 / 2850 / 2845
-Sell Levels: 2876 / 2881 / 2889
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Nasdaq ... Now a Trump Dump ?I am expecting Nasdaq Futures to drop 900 points by the close of markets on February 4th.
I see support at the 20,690 area.
Technically this is from the current Wolfe Wave and a pending Harmonic Shark Pattern.
As for reasons:
1. The current ill advised trade dispute and its economic implications.
2. Confusion over the role of DeepSeek and it future role
3. A generally over extended sector which many held on to into the new year for tax and other reasons.
Tariffs IMHO are a lose-lose situation.
Not investment advice. Do your own due diligence.
Good Luck
S.
