RTY UpdateRSI oversold again, but I wouldn't consider going long until ES and NQ also go oversold.
ES MFI has a LONG way to go before it hits oversold. Plus the market gave up on the short squeeze and lost all interest in garbage stocks. PTON down 7% now. Friday is when funds rebalance their portfolios, and I'd imagine they'd want to get rid of garbage stocks and move to dividend stocks. Flight to safety trade tomorrow, I think. Problem is ES MFI needs to go down....
RTY1! trade ideas
Russell breaks-out of rangeThe Russell2000 CME_MINI:RTY1! breaks-out of range defined on the weekly timeframe with an upper limit ~1890. Additional the 18EMA crosses the 200EMA, which is also a bullish sign. SInce the last two days were very bullish, a small reversal may occur and offer oppertunity to enter trade. Additionally the COT commercial index for NASDAQ signals a bullish direction (Since a comparison of las Swing Highs and Lows of NASDAQ and Russell) exhibits a stronger uptrend for Russell, the Russell may out perform the NASDAQ.
About the timing: SInce the last days were bullish, I would wait for a small reversal into the last support area 1900-1930.
SL: 1830 (prior swing low)
1. Target: 2032 (last major high)
RR:~1.75
Manage your risks and make your own decisions.
RTYH2023 02 MAR 2023 (Candle basics)Some candle basics that are worth revisiting.
It almost seems intuitive. A long wick can very well represent a drastic change of course. Using the 1 and 4 hour is usually the better time frames to use when looking for major changes in direction.
If you rely only on wicks on smaller time frames, you can be deceived so its important to start with the bigger time frame and wok your way down.
You can see the situation here with the current candles. This would be a bad place to short. It May continue down sure, but with candles like this, the probability of this going higher does increase.
Look for wicks at previous demand and supply zones.
Elliott Wave Projects Russell (RTY) Should Resume HigherCycle from 12.20.2022 low in Russell (RTY) ended with wave 1 at 2016.97 as a 5 waves impulse structure. The Index then pullback in wave 2. Subdivision of wave 2 is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave (i) ended at 1986.3 and wave (ii) ended at 2015.60. Wave (iii) ended at 1938.8, wave (iv) ended at 1984.20, and final leg wave (v) ended at 1906.20 which completed wave ((a)).
Rally in wave ((b)) ended at 1970.30 with internal subdivision as a double three Elliott Wave structure Up from wave ((a)), wave (w) ended at 1964.1 and dips in wave (x) ended at 1921.30. Wave (y) higher ended at 1970.30 which completed wave ((b)). The Index has resumed lower in wave ((c)) with internal subdivision as an impulse. Down from wave ((b)), wave (i) ended at 1931.3 and wave (ii) ended at 1968.60. Wave (iii) ended at 1885.4, and wave (iv) ended at 1921. Expect the Index to resume lower within wave (v) of ((c)) to complete wave 2. Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((a)), which comes at 1791 – 1860.
SHORT OPPORTUNITY RTY03-23 Futures Mini Russel 2000 March SHORT OPPORTUNITY RTY03-23 Futures Mini Russel 2000 March
time Frames :::: Left 3 Minutes Right 12 Hours
Due to Symetric Three Correction Pattern *
I assume a coming corrective downtrend on RTY
Place short after break down Level (below 1965.00)
Target at low Pattern level (around1910,00)
Potential profit 55 Point
RTY is 10$ tick quoted
Total potential profit per 1 contract $ 5 500,00
RTY is on the way to the Fakeout targetI was expecting this move, it came on time for the Fed day catalysis.
If you look at smart vs Dumb money as well as overbought conditions and negative divergences, you can see that this is a fakeout move, which happened many times in history.
I had a very important update last night, and will be doing a follow-up tonight.