A long-overdue small-cap reboundThe small-cap Russell 2000 Index has been the underdog among the four major US indices since last year. Its post-pandemic rally halted in early 2021, and subsequently, it went sideways for more than a year without making new highs. Meanwhile, the tech darlings continued to go north all the way until the beginning of this year.
The first half of 2022 has been marked by widespread risk-off sentiment and a precipitous drop in the US equity market. After being down almost 30% from the high, we now find the Russell 2000 Index at significant technical support levels that we believe a meaningful rebound will likely ensue.
The Index has bounced right at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 1700. We also observed bullish RSI Divergence where price made lower lows, but RSI showed higher lows, suggesting the bearish momentum is waning and at the cusp of a reversal.
Entry at 1806, stop above 1680. Targets are 1880 and 2100.
Disclaimer:
The contents in this idea are intended for information purposes only and do not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.
RTY1! trade ideas
RTY - JunkCo IndexIndependent Producers remain in implosion mode.
Bankrupt Companies feigning existence worthy of a Bid.
Chasers will be wrecked again 1610 fails and it's going
to lose 90%+ into 2023 October.
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For now - the Flamingo is having a bit of difficulty getting
gamblers back to the tables.
A complete horror show... this JUNK.
RTY1! - Weekly Market Update, 5/16/22Nasdaq futures like the other major indexes have tested their BLACK channel monthly support structure and have at least based on this past Friday's action bounced slightly. Even if this downtrend continues, there's likely to be some relief at this point. If this past Friday was all of the relief or not, that's yet to be seen. I do not see any actionable ideas offered at this point in time on this particular index. Stay calm, disciplined and consistent - those who do will prevail. Wishing you a blessed and profitable week!
RTY down Fib hitThe RTY daily time frame is in a down channel.
The market is at the bottom of the channel where
support could be found. If support is found, the
market could push bullish towards the top of the
channel price point 1944.1. If support fails. The
market is expected to push bearish towards the
daily down Fibonacci price point 1700.6 about
-869 ticks below the market. It will be a good
idea to wait for either A) the market to close
below the bottom of the support then turn to
the one hour time frame to look for short ideas
towards the daily down Fibonacci
or B) Support holds and the market creates a
bullish trend and pushes bullish towards the top
of the channel price point 1936.2 about +1,482
ticks above the market.
Elliott Wave View: Russell 2000 (RTY) Turning Lower post FOMCShort Term Elliott Wave View in Russell 2000 (RTY) suggests the decline from March 29, 2022 high is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from March 29 peak, wave 1 ended at 1966.6 and rally in wave 2 ended at 2060.90. Index then resumes lower in wave 3 towards 1903.50 and rally in wave 4 ended at 1957.60. Final leg lower wave 5 ended at 1834.50 which ended wave (A).
Wave (B) rally is proposed complete at 1951.85. However, the Index still needs to break below ave (A) at 1834.50 to validate this view. Internal of wave (B) unfolded as a zigzag in lesser degree. Up from wave (A), wave A ended at 1908.20, pullback in wave B ended at 1867.80 and wave C higher ended at 1951.85. This completed wave (B) in higher degree. Index has turned lower in wave (C). Near term, expect wave 1 to end soon, then Index should rally in wave 2 to correct the decline from wave (B) before it resumes lower. As far as pivot at 1951.85 high stays intact in the first degree, expect rally to fail in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
FOMC Party is over folks!End of the relief rally after FOMC. Lots of shorts squeeze for the big expiry today. We should see a sharp pullback now.
We hit multiple resistances on Russel 2000 on multiple hourly, daily and weekly chart. Current price : 2050, Target is back to 1900. SL 2110
Disclaimer : I have short positions in Russel 2000 as mentioned here. This is not an investment advice but an educational idea.
RTY +1,400 Ticks long ideaThe RTY one hour time frame is in a large side
ways range. The market is at the bottom of the
range. The market is below the short term down
trend line. It will be a good idea to wait for the
market to break and close above the short term
down trend line before looking for long ideas.
Entry: Counter trend line break bullish above
the bottom of the sideways range.
STOP: In the sell zone, below the low that
formed at the bottom of the range.
LIMIT: 2055.7
Once or if the market closes above the short
term down trend line. As long as the market
stays above the bottom of the range. It will
be a good idea to turn to the five minute time
frame and look for tunnel trader long /
destination trader long ideas towards 2055.7
RTY1! - Weekly Market Update, 4/25/22The RTY offered us a close below support but not with the 1%+ weekly confirmation we desire to consider a shorting opportunity at this time. While this market like the other major indices exhibit weakness, this does not meet my criteria to consider taking a trade at this time. However, continued settlements below support should yield 1825 in the coming weeks. I'll need to wait for this one to develop a bit further to for a technical setup. Ascending and descending channel structures have been marked up on the chart for your reference if you're trading this market. I hope you find them helpful! Wishing you a profitable week!
+1,300 Bullish move on RTY DailyThe RTY daily time frame is in an up channel. The
market hit the bottom of the channel and is
showing signs of pushing bullish towards the top
of the channel price point 2127.8 about +1,311
ticks above the market. It will be a good idea to
turn to the one hour time frame and to look for
low prices in the buy zone.
RTY1! - Weekly Market Update, 4/18/22Imaged is a WEEKLY chart of the Russell 2000 Index.
Price appears to be caught right between an area of support and resistance.
Price would either need to break through the TEAL structure to go lower, or rally through the BLACK structure to go higher.
The likeliness is the momentum of the larger indexes will pull this price action of the Russell along with it.
I do not see any actionable trade ideas with price residing where it currently does at this time.